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Root, Inc. (ROOT)
:ROOT
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Root (ROOT) AI Stock Analysis

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ROOT

Root

(NASDAQ:ROOT)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(5.92% Upside)
Root's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic advancements, particularly in AI-driven pricing and partnership expansion. However, the stock's bearish technical indicators and high valuation relative to peers pose risks. The company's ability to manage leverage and maintain operational efficiency will be crucial for sustaining growth.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunities
Management is focusing on growth opportunities, such as geographic expansion and partnerships, which could benefit the company in the long term.
Profitability
Root has exited the turnaround phase and moved toward sustained profitability, as evidenced by its positive net income and consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flow.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Competition in the market might increase, making it more difficult for Root to maintain its current margins and loss ratios.
Valuation
The current valuation is seen as fair, with limited upside potential from current levels, leading to a reaffirmation of a Market Perform rating.

Root (ROOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Root Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoot, Inc. provides insurance products and services in the United States. The company offers automobile, homeowners, and renters insurance products. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model and serves customers primarily through mobile applications, as well as through its website. Its direct distribution channels also cover digital, media, and referral channels, as well as distribution partners and agencies. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoot makes money primarily through the sale of automotive insurance policies. Its revenue model is based on collecting premiums from policyholders. The company uses telematics data collected through its mobile app to assess driving behavior, which helps in pricing insurance policies more accurately and potentially reducing the overall risk. This approach allows Root to attract safer drivers who may benefit from lower premiums. Additionally, Root may generate income through investment of the premium reserves, as is common in the insurance industry. Significant partnerships with automotive companies and technology firms could also contribute to customer acquisition and service enhancement, although specific partnership details are not provided.

Root Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -24.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Root Inc.'s second quarter results demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic progress, particularly in expanding their partnership channel and leveraging AI in pricing models. However, challenges such as increased competition in the direct channel and expected near-term profitability pressures due to strategic investments and warrant expenses were noted. Despite these challenges, the company's advancements and financial improvements suggest an overall positive trajectory.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Net Income
Root Inc. reported record revenue with $371 million in gross earned premiums and generated a net income of $22 million for the second quarter of 2025.
Partnership Channel Expansion
The partnership channel saw new writing nearly triple year-over-year, with Root available through the industry's two largest comparative raters, EZLynx and PL Rating, now live in more than 20 states.
AI-driven Pricing Model Success
Root's next-gen pricing model increased customer lifetime values by 20% on average, demonstrating the effectiveness of AI and machine learning in improving risk selection.
Improved Financial Metrics
The company reported a $30 million improvement in net income year-over-year, with operating income of $27 million and adjusted EBITDA of $38 million, showing significant year-over-year improvements.
Strong Loss Ratio and Combined Ratio
Root achieved a gross accident period loss ratio of 60% and a net combined ratio of 95%, reflecting strong underwriting discipline and capital management.
Negative Updates
Increased Competitive Pressure in Direct Channel
The direct channel faced increased competition, leading to reduced marketing spend and a slight deceleration in policies in force growth.
Expected Near-term Profitability Pressure
Investments in strategic areas and typical seasonal loss ratio pressure are expected to impact net income profitability in the latter half of 2025.
Potential Warrant Expense Impact
Assuming Carvana short-term warrants expire unexercised, Root expects to incur approximately $16 million to $18 million in noncash expenses in Q3, leading to a net loss for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 second quarter earnings call for Root Inc., the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. Root achieved a record $371 million in gross earned premiums and reported a net income of $22 million, marking a $30 million improvement year-over-year. The company also generated $27 million in operating income and $38 million in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting year-over-year improvements of $24 million and $26 million, respectively. Root highlighted a gross accident period loss ratio of 60% and a net combined ratio of 95%, showcasing disciplined management and capital deployment. The company is focusing on expanding its national footprint and enhancing its product suite, with strategic investments expected to impact near-term profitability. Additionally, an anticipated $16 million to $18 million noncash expense related to Carvana warrants is expected in Q3, which will result in a net loss for the quarter but maintain positive adjusted EBITDA. Root's long-term strategy includes leveraging AI and machine learning for pricing, with a new model improving customer lifetime values by 20% on average. While competition increased in the direct channel, Root plans to continue investing in partnerships, which have seen nearly triple the quarterly new writing year-over-year.

Root Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Root has shown commendable revenue and profit growth, with strong cash flow metrics. However, the balance sheet indicates higher leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed well. Operational efficiency and debt management are areas for improvement.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Root has demonstrated strong revenue growth, increasing from $455M in 2023 to $931M TTM. Gross profit margin is high at 99.43%, showing excellent cost management. The net profit margin improved to 5.84% TTM, a significant turnaround from prior losses. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 9.83% and 10.45% respectively, indicating room for improvement in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87, which is manageable. Return on equity improved to 23.78% TTM, suggesting effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is low at 14.42%, indicating higher leverage, which could pose financial risks if not managed well.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Operating cash flow improved significantly, and the free cash flow growth is strong at 7.94% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 3.82, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.65, indicating a healthy conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B1.18B455.00M310.80M345.40M346.80M
Gross Profit206.50M337.10M455.00M310.80M345.40M346.80M
EBITDA119.60M88.00M-93.50M-249.30M-484.50M-269.70M
Net Income84.20M30.90M-147.40M6.20M-521.10M-363.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.59B1.50B1.35B1.31B1.32B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments641.40M906.10M678.70M890.90M835.90M1.34B
Total Debt200.10M200.10M299.00M295.40M14.10M178.00M
Total Liabilities1.23B1.29B1.07B1.04B130.70M729.90M
Stockholders Equity244.50M203.70M277.70M277.10M536.40M1.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow190.60M183.90M-43.00M-220.70M-414.60M-303.30M
Operating Cash Flow197.40M195.70M-33.60M-210.60M-403.40M-287.20M
Investing Cash Flow-97.70M-154.40M-45.70M-16.60M76.90M-114.10M
Financing Cash Flow-125.40M-120.70M-4.10M283.30M-80.30M1.10B

Root Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price92.52
Price Trends
50DMA
124.54
Negative
100DMA
130.29
Negative
200DMA
113.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.62
Positive
RSI
32.17
Neutral
STOCH
13.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROOT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 92.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.16, below the 50-day MA of 124.54, and below the 200-day MA of 113.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ROOT.

Root Risk Analysis

Root disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Root reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Root Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.99B15.7116.20%22.20%5.78%
72
Outperform
$2.03B13.8523.90%1.02%9.62%-18.69%
70
Outperform
$1.03B21.2513.23%41.00%61.54%
68
Neutral
$1.38B18.8427.52%59.76%
64
Neutral
$1.11B13.0210.08%4.84%18.52%65.66%
58
Neutral
HK$111.71B6.60-4.20%3.95%9.04%-46.99%
55
Neutral
$4.03B-35.10%22.91%4.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROOT
Root
89.56
44.17
97.31%
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
74.39
-3.45
-4.43%
HCI
HCI Group
157.63
63.81
68.01%
LMND
Lemonade
58.52
42.05
255.31%
SKWD
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
48.54
11.33
30.45%
BOW
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
30.79
3.89
14.46%

Root Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Root Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

In Q2 2025, Root achieved significant financial growth, with gross earned premium increasing by 21% to $371 million and net income improving by $30 million year-over-year to $22 million. The company launched a new pricing model in several states, enhancing risk selection and customer lifetime values, while expanding its distribution through partnerships and state approvals. Root’s strategic focus on pricing, automation, and customer experience aims to drive future growth and profitability, positioning it as a competitive player in the auto insurance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROOT) stock is a Hold with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Root stock, see the ROOT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Root Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Root Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made regarding its governance and financial oversight. The stockholders elected Jerri DeVard and Nancy Kramer as Class II directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025, and the executive officer compensation was approved on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROOT) stock is a Hold with a $142.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Root stock, see the ROOT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025