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Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD)
NASDAQ:SKWD
US Market
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Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD) AI Stock Analysis

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SKWD

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SKWD)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(11.65% Upside)
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. exhibits strong financial performance and a positive earnings call outlook, contributing to a robust overall score. However, weak technical indicators and challenges in investment income slightly offset these strengths. The stock's reasonable valuation supports its position in the market.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Skyward produced operating EPS of $0.89, beating the Street’s estimate of $0.84, showcasing strong financial performance.
Growth Potential
Skyward is a fast-growing, technology-enabled specialty insurer focusing on niche markets with complex risks, positioning it for future success.
Technology Utilization
By leveraging technology across all aspects of its business, Skyward enhances risk selection and claim management, boosting efficiency and returns.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
Despite better-than-expected 2025 guidance, there is limited room for incremental upside due to decelerating top-line growth.
Risk-Reward Outlook
The risk-reward outlook is largely in balance, leading to a downgrade from Outperform to Peer Perform.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation appears full given growth outlook, making it difficult to support further multiple expansion.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD) is a specialty insurance company that provides a range of property and casualty insurance products. The company focuses on offering customized insurance solutions in niche markets, catering to sectors such as construction, energy, healthcare, professional services, and transportation. With a commitment to innovation and client-centric service, Skyward Specialty aims to deliver tailored risk management solutions to meet the unique needs of its diverse clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneySkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the underwriting and sale of insurance policies. The company's key revenue streams include premiums collected from policyholders in exchange for coverage against specified risks. Additionally, Skyward Specialty earns income from investment activities, where it invests the premiums collected into various financial instruments to generate returns. The company may also engage in reinsurance agreements to manage risk exposure and optimize capital efficiency. Significant partnerships with brokers and agents, who distribute Skyward's specialized insurance products, contribute to the company's market reach and revenue generation.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Skyward Specialty's strong financial performance with record adjusted operating income and significant growth in premiums. There were challenges related to the reduction in investment income due to alternative investments and softening conditions in global property. Despite these challenges, the company's diversified portfolio and strategic growth in key areas such as agriculture and credit markets contributed to an overall positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted Operating Income
Skyward Specialty achieved adjusted operating income of $37.1 million or $0.89 per diluted share, driven by $31.2 million of pretax underwriting income, marking the best in company history.
Strong Growth in Premiums
Gross written premiums grew by 18% for the quarter, with significant contributions from agriculture, credit, accident and health, captives, and specialty programs.
Excellent Return on Equity
Year-to-date annualized return on equity was reported at an excellent 19.1%.
Improvement in Combined Ratio
The combined ratio improved to 89.4%, including 1.4 points of cat losses, which is the best in company history.
Growth in Agriculture and Credit Markets
Significant growth was noted in agriculture and credit markets, with opportunities for profitable growth highlighted.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Investment Income
Investment income was reduced to $18.6 million due to the underperformance of the alternative asset portfolio, primarily affecting oil, gas, and real estate holdings.
Negative Impact from Alternative Investments
The alternative asset portfolio, which comprises less than 5% of the total investment portfolio, continued to experience volatility, impacting net investment income.
Softening Conditions in Global Property
The company observed increasingly competitive market conditions in global property, resulting in a reduction of the property book.
Company Guidance
During the Second Quarter 2025 Skyward Specialty Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance underpinned by strong financial metrics and strategic adjustments. Skyward reported an adjusted operating income of $37.1 million, which translates to $0.89 per diluted share, bolstered by a record pretax underwriting income of $31.2 million. The company posted a combined ratio of 89.4%, marking its best performance to date, and achieved an annualized return on equity of 19.1%. Gross written premiums increased by 18%, with notable contributions from agriculture, credit, accident and health, and specialty programs. The company maintained a net written premium retention rate of 60.9%, slightly down from 61.2% the previous year. Skyward's financial leverage remains modest at a 12% debt-to-capital ratio, providing ample flexibility for future financing. The company continues to navigate market conditions with precision, adapting its portfolio to capitalize on profitable growth opportunities while mitigating exposure to areas impacted by loss inflation and softening market conditions.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient equity utilization, and robust cash flow generation. While operational efficiency has shown some volatility, the company's conservative leverage and strong cash position provide a cushion against potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 28.5% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. Net profit margin improved to 10.3%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the lack of EBIT in the previous year indicates potential volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity has improved to 14.96%, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 21.29%, suggesting a moderate reliance on liabilities to finance assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Skyward shows a solid cash flow position with a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.53, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.57 suggests the need for careful management of operating activities to sustain cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.15B895.40M636.40M535.82M447.89M
Gross Profit533.61M327.89M895.40M636.40M535.82M447.89M
EBITDA169.11M165.59M124.02M60.29M58.05M-84.01M
Net Income124.10M118.83M85.98M39.40M38.32M-74.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.03B3.73B2.95B2.36B2.12B1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24B1.18B863.92M774.17M664.74M299.41M
Total Debt119.55M119.54M128.69M128.61M128.53M128.45M
Total Liabilities3.18B2.94B1.51B1.94B1.69B1.65B
Stockholders Equity850.72M794.00M661.03M421.66M426.08M393.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow303.44M300.89M335.03M206.61M173.13M42.64M
Operating Cash Flow307.61M305.12M338.19M208.94M175.28M44.71M
Investing Cash Flow-274.61M-243.69M-493.81M-193.38M-183.01M-74.93M
Financing Cash Flow5.23M-4.23M130.95M2.18M1.38M56.30M

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price49.26
Price Trends
50DMA
55.10
Negative
100DMA
55.57
Negative
200DMA
52.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.78
Negative
RSI
37.85
Neutral
STOCH
28.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 49.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.90, below the 50-day MA of 55.10, and below the 200-day MA of 52.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SKWD.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Risk Analysis

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over information technology general controls ("ITGCs"). If we fail to remediate the material weakness, or if we fail to establish and maintain effective internal control over ITGCs, the market price of our common stock could be adversely affected. Q4, 2024
2.
We have experienced rapid growth in recent years, and our recent growth rates may not be indicative of our future growth. Q4, 2024
3.
Changes to the U.S. tax laws and implementation of new tax policies could have a significant negative impact on the overall economy and our business. Q4, 2024

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.99B15.5516.20%22.20%5.78%
72
Outperform
$2.00B13.6823.90%1.02%9.62%-18.69%
70
Outperform
$1.03B21.4213.23%41.00%61.54%
68
Neutral
$1.25B18.9427.52%59.76%
68
Neutral
$17.46B11.6510.44%3.86%10.36%1.15%
64
Neutral
$1.09B12.8410.08%4.91%18.52%65.66%
59
Neutral
$4.03B-35.10%22.91%4.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKWD
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
49.26
12.53
34.11%
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
73.35
-3.27
-4.27%
HCI
HCI Group
156.29
62.93
67.41%
LMND
Lemonade
54.59
38.76
244.85%
ROOT
Root
90.04
43.41
93.09%
BOW
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
31.49
4.41
16.29%

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Skyward Specialty Elects Directors and Approves Compensation
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders. During the meeting, Marcia Dall and Anthony J. Kuczinski were elected as directors, and the compensation of named executive officers was approved. The company decided to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation until 2031. Additionally, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKWD) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. stock, see the SKWD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025