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Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD)
NASDAQ:SKWD
US Market

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD) AI Stock Analysis

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SKWD

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SKWD)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(1.96% Upside)
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. exhibits strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly through the Apollo acquisition. While technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, the company's robust earnings and strategic positioning provide a favorable outlook. The valuation is reasonable, and recent corporate events further bolster the company's growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market presence and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Apollo Acquisition
The Apollo acquisition is set to enhance market position and financial performance, providing strategic growth opportunities and increased leverage.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation supports financial stability and flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Increased Competition
Rising competition in the P&C market may pressure margins and growth, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain competitive advantage.
Volatility in Investment Income
Volatile investment income can impact financial predictability and profitability, necessitating careful portfolio management to mitigate risks.
Operational Efficiency Volatility
Operational efficiency volatility can affect profitability and resource allocation, requiring consistent management focus to stabilize operations.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, engages in underwriting commercial property and casualty insurance coverages in the United States. The company offers general liability, excess liability, professional liability, commercial auto, group accident and health, property, surety, and workers' compensation insurance products. Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneySkyward Specialty Insurance Group generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies. The company collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for coverage against specific risks. Key revenue streams include premiums from property and casualty insurance, specialty insurance products, and risk management services. Additionally, SKWD may earn investment income from its reserves and surplus funds, which are allocated in various investment instruments. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agents also enhance their distribution channels, facilitating wider reach and penetration into niche markets, contributing to overall revenue growth.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call for Skyward Specialty indicates strong financial performance and strategic growth, particularly in the Agriculture unit and through innovation and technology. However, challenges such as increased competition, auto liability severity inflation, and investment income volatility suggest a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Growth
Skyward Specialty achieved $44 million in operating income, $38 million in underwriting income, and a combined ratio of 89.2%. Gross written premiums grew by 52%, with earnings growing over 40% and an annualized return on equity of 19.7%.
Agriculture Unit Performance
The Agriculture unit significantly contributed to growth, particularly in the U.S. dairy and livestock industry, with gross written premiums growing over 25% in 5 of 9 divisions.
Successful Financial Strategy
Skyward Specialty's financial leverage is modest, with a debt-to-capital ratio under 11%. The company completed the monetization of its equity portfolio, realized gains of $16.3 million, and redeployed proceeds into fixed income securities.
Innovation and Technology Advancement
Skyward Specialty emphasized the use of technology like SkyView to enhance underwriting capabilities and maintain a competitive edge.
Negative Updates
Increased Competition in P&C Market
Market conditions across much of the P&C market are showing increased competition, prompting Skyward Specialty to step back from writing business that doesn't meet high return thresholds.
Auto Liability Severity Inflation
Increased auto liability severity inflation, particularly in the construction unit, was observed, causing concern over loss inflation severity.
Volatility in Investment Income
Net investment income faced volatility due to underlying marks on private credit holdings and alternative asset portfolios.
Challenges in Global Property
Skyward Specialty reduced writings in Global Property and parts of the Professional Lines division due to challenging business opportunities.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Skyward Specialty, the company reported impressive financial metrics, showcasing strong growth and profitability. The highlights included $44 million in operating income, $38 million in underwriting income, an 89.2% combined ratio, and 52% growth in gross written premiums. Earnings grew by over 40%, with an annualized return on equity of 19.7%. Five of the company's nine divisions grew by over 25%, with the Agriculture unit being the largest contributor. Net written premiums increased by 64%, and the net retention rate rose to 65.1% from 62.9% in the previous year. The non-catastrophe loss ratio improved to 60.2%, and the expense ratio decreased to 28.4%. The company also completed the monetization of its equity portfolio, realizing gains of $16.3 million and redeploying proceeds into fixed income securities. Additionally, Skyward Specialty is preparing for the Apollo acquisition, expected to close in early Q1 2026, which will increase leverage to approximately 28%.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient equity utilization, and robust cash flow generation. While operational efficiency has shown volatility, the company's conservative leverage and strong cash position provide a cushion against potential risks, positioning it well in the insurance industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 28.5% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100% due to the nature of the insurance industry. Net profit margin improved to 10.3%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the lack of EBIT in the previous year indicates potential volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity has improved to 14.96%, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 21.29%, suggesting a moderate reliance on liabilities to finance assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Skyward shows a solid cash flow position with a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.53, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.57 suggests the need for careful management of operating activities to sustain cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.34B1.15B895.40M636.40M535.82M447.89M
Gross Profit376.23M327.89M271.65M168.20M134.35M48.73M
EBITDA190.12M165.59M124.02M60.29M58.53M-83.02M
Net Income141.20M118.83M85.98M39.40M38.32M-74.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.59B3.73B2.95B2.36B2.12B487.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B1.18B1.35B774.17M664.74M74.85M
Total Debt119.56M119.54M128.69M128.61M128.53M128.45M
Total Liabilities3.63B2.94B2.29B1.94B1.69B411.35M
Stockholders Equity961.42M794.00M661.03M421.66M426.08M75.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow371.38M300.89M335.03M206.61M173.13M42.64M
Operating Cash Flow378.21M305.12M338.19M208.94M175.28M44.71M
Investing Cash Flow-331.30M-243.69M-493.81M-193.38M-183.01M-74.93M
Financing Cash Flow1.00K-4.23M130.95M2.18M1.38M56.30M

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.98
Price Trends
50DMA
47.79
Positive
100DMA
48.00
Positive
200DMA
51.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.13
Negative
RSI
62.84
Neutral
STOCH
80.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKWD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.92, above the 50-day MA of 47.79, and above the 200-day MA of 51.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKWD.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Risk Analysis

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.09B15.3116.06%22.51%2.19%
75
Outperform
$1.18B13.449.97%4.59%13.35%16.56%
74
Outperform
$2.15B19.987.08%2.88%16.22%69.80%
73
Outperform
$2.52B12.4231.94%0.82%8.71%17.26%
73
Outperform
$2.43B1.7952.29%
70
Neutral
$1.15B23.8217.02%38.50%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKWD
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
51.72
0.92
1.81%
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group
79.13
0.98
1.25%
STC
Stewart Information Services
71.79
4.73
7.05%
HCI
HCI Group
194.54
78.37
67.46%
ROOT
Root
74.29
1.29
1.77%
SLDE
Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.
19.54
-3.76
-16.14%

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Skyward Specialty Gets Approval for Apollo Acquisition
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. announced it has received regulatory and minority shareholder approvals for its acquisition of Apollo Group Holdings Limited, with the transaction expected to close in early 2026. The company also provided its 2026 financial guidance, projecting significant growth in gross written premiums, net income, and adjusted operating income, reflecting the anticipated impact of the Apollo acquisition and its commitment to delivering top quartile results.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Skyward Specialty Enters New $150M Credit Agreement
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with a revolving loan facility initially set at $150 million, which will increase to $250 million upon the closing of its acquisition of Apollo Group Holdings Limited. The agreement includes provisions for letters of credit and an uncommitted accordion feature for additional financing, with interest rates tied to the company’s debt to capitalization ratio. Concurrently, the company terminated its previous credit agreement from March 28, 2023, fully repaying all outstanding amounts.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Skyward Specialty Appoints Christopher Peirce to Board
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Christopher Peirce to its Board of Directors, effective February 1, 2026. Peirce, with 30 years of experience at Liberty Mutual Insurance, is expected to bring significant financial and strategic expertise to the board, particularly as the company anticipates the closure of the Apollo acquisition in early 2026. Additionally, Peirce is set to become the Chair of the Audit Committee after the 2025 financial year, succeeding Robert Creager, who will not seek re-election after his term ends in May.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025