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Grab (GRAB)
NASDAQ:GRAB
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Grab (GRAB) AI Stock Analysis

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GRAB

Grab

(NASDAQ:GRAB)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(3.77% Upside)
Grab's overall stock score reflects a promising financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved cash flows, bolstered by positive earnings call sentiment. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation concerns, and technical indicators show only moderate bullish signals. The company's strategic growth initiatives and financial stability position it well for future growth, but profitability challenges and valuation concerns temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth in on-demand GMV indicates robust market demand and effective service offerings, supporting long-term business expansion.
Financial Services Expansion
Expansion in financial services with significant loan disbursals enhances revenue streams and diversifies business operations, boosting long-term growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow indicates effective financial management, providing resources for strategic investments and enhancing financial stability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges could hinder sustainable growth, requiring strategic focus on cost management and revenue optimization.
Increased Corporate Costs
Rising corporate costs may pressure margins and reduce operational efficiency, necessitating cost control measures for long-term sustainability.
Deliveries Margin Pressure
Margin pressure in the Deliveries segment could impact profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain competitive advantage and growth.

Grab (GRAB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrab Holdings Inc. is a Southeast Asian technology company that specializes in mobile technology-based services. Established in 2012, Grab operates in various sectors including transportation, food delivery, and digital payments. The company's core services include ride-hailing, on-demand food delivery through GrabFood, and digital payment solutions via GrabPay. Grab has expanded its offerings to include logistics, financial services, and enterprise solutions, making it a comprehensive platform serving both consumers and businesses across the region.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrab makes money through multiple revenue streams, primarily driven by its diverse platform of services. The company's core revenue comes from ride-hailing services, where Grab charges a commission fee from drivers for every ride completed through its platform. GrabFood generates income by taking a percentage of each food order placed through its app, along with delivery fees. Additionally, GrabPay, the company's digital wallet, contributes to revenue through transaction fees from merchants and users. Grab also earns from its financial services, which include lending, insurance, and investment products. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with businesses and governments in Southeast Asia further bolster its revenue generation, as does its expanding enterprise solutions portfolio, which offers logistics and other business services.

Grab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in several areas, including MTUs, GMV, and financial services, alongside strategic investments in Mobility and Deliveries. However, there were challenges with slower Mobility GMV growth and increased costs. The sentiment leans positive due to significant achievements and strategic growth plans.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Group MTUs and On-demand GMV Growth
Grab reported another strong quarter with group MTUs reaching an all-time high. On-demand GMV accelerated to a 21% year-on-year growth in U.S. dollars, or an 18% growth on a constant currency basis.
14th Consecutive Quarter of Adjusted EBITDA Growth
The company achieved its 14th consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA growth, with trailing 12 months adjusted free cash flow expanding to $229 million.
Significant Growth in Financial Services
Grab's financial services business saw total loan disbursals reaching close to $3 billion on an annualized run rate basis in Q2, with credit risks remaining within acceptable levels.
Mobility Transactions Growth
Mobility transactions grew 23% year-on-year, driven by reinvestment into broader accessibility and platform usage, with EBITDA profitability growing year-on-year.
Strong Deliveries GMV Growth
Deliveries GMV accelerated to 19% year-on-year growth on a constant currency basis, driven by product-led initiatives and viral products like Dine Out and Group Orders.
Advertising Revenue Upsurge
Advertising revenue reached a $236 million run rate with a 45% growth, indicating strong future potential for this revenue stream.
Negative Updates
Mobility GMV Growth Slower Than Expected
Mobility GMV growth was slower than expected in Q2 compared to Q1, with trip fares down about 4%, although this was a strategic decision rather than market-driven.
Challenges in Deliveries Margin
Despite growth, the Deliveries segment experienced margin pressure due to new product launches and focus on driving user engagement, with consumer incentives remaining high at 7% of GMV.
Increased Regional Corporate Costs
Regional corporate costs increased by 9.5% quarter-on-quarter, driven by variable costs such as cloud and software expenses, though still slower than top-line growth.
Company Guidance
During Grab's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong performance metrics, highlighting a 21% year-on-year increase in on-demand GMV in U.S. dollars, or 18% on a constant currency basis. The group achieved record MTUs and realized its 14th consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA growth, while trailing 12 months adjusted free cash flow expanded to $229 million. Grab's financial services arm exhibited robust growth, with total loan disbursals reaching nearly $3 billion on an annualized run rate. The company emphasized its commitment to maintaining cost discipline and expected to accelerate on-demand GMV growth rates compared to 2024. Additionally, the Mobility segment saw a 23% increase in transactions, while the Deliveries segment achieved a 19% constant currency growth in GMV, driven by product-led initiatives. Grab also anticipated further improvements in its advertising revenue, which had reached 1.7% GMV penetration. Looking ahead, Grab aimed to sustain its growth momentum and drive profitable growth and free cash flow generation.

Grab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grab shows a promising turnaround with strong revenue growth, improved gross margins, and a positive shift in profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid, with strong equity and low debt levels. Cash flows have significantly improved, showcasing effective financial management. While challenges remain in achieving sustainable profitability, the overall financial health is on an improving trajectory, positioning the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement reflects a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a 23.67% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a 4.28% increase from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins have improved significantly, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, consistent net losses over the years highlight ongoing profitability challenges, although the TTM period shows a positive net income, which is an encouraging sign. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but remain negative, indicating ongoing operational difficulties.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Grab's balance sheet is robust with a high equity ratio of 67.25% in the TTM, suggesting strong financial stability and low leverage risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is modest at 0.06, indicating conservative debt management. Return on equity has turned positive in the TTM, reflecting improved profitability. The company maintains a strong cash position, reinforcing its ability to meet short-term obligations and invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics indicate a solid improvement, with a substantial increase in free cash flow from 2023 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting effective cash management and operational efficiency. The positive trend in free cash flow growth indicates an enhanced ability to generate cash surplus, which can be used for strategic investments or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.07B2.80B2.36B1.43B675.00M469.00M
Gross Profit1.32B1.17B860.00M77.00M-395.00M-494.00M
EBITDA267.00M-7.00M-215.00M-1.41B-1.50B-923.00M
Net Income112.00M-105.00M-434.00M-1.74B-3.56B-2.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.14B9.29B8.79B9.17B11.18B5.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.16B5.63B5.04B5.09B8.08B3.30B
Total Debt1.91B364.00M793.00M1.36B2.17B251.00M
Total Liabilities4.78B2.94B2.32B2.51B3.16B11.74B
Stockholders Equity6.36B6.40B6.45B6.60B7.73B-6.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow671.00M775.00M-6.00M-893.00M-1.02B-683.00M
Operating Cash Flow766.00M852.00M86.00M-819.00M-938.00M-643.00M
Investing Cash Flow-397.00M-231.00M1.87B-1.06B-2.76B-318.00M
Financing Cash Flow992.00M-771.00M-770.00M-1.12B6.57B1.58B

Grab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.30
Price Trends
50DMA
5.08
Positive
100DMA
4.95
Positive
200DMA
4.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
70.90
Negative
STOCH
94.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.09, above the 50-day MA of 5.08, and above the 200-day MA of 4.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.90 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRAB.

Grab Risk Analysis

Grab disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our growing use of artificial intelligence and machine learning may present additional risks, including risks associated with algorithm development or use, the data sets used, and/or a complex, developing regulatory environment. Q4, 2024

Grab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$9.64B77.4311.80%20.14%335.82%
75
Outperform
$13.91B24.2211.14%0.70%25.36%61.25%
68
Neutral
$7.71B86.6114.07%19.94%
65
Neutral
$21.60B192.731.77%18.84%
62
Neutral
$816.32M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
61
Neutral
$36.70B12.21-10.39%1.84%8.50%-7.32%
61
Neutral
$4.04B-31.02%20.42%-9.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRAB
Grab
5.53
2.08
60.29%
LYFT
Lyft
18.32
6.70
57.66%
SPT
Sprout Social
14.42
-12.38
-46.19%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
16.77
14.57
662.27%
YMM
Full Truck Alliance
13.79
6.66
93.41%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
30.00
18.39
158.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025