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Grab (GRAB)
NASDAQ:GRAB
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Grab (GRAB) AI Stock Analysis

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GRAB

Grab

(NASDAQ:GRAB)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(10.54% Upside)
Grab's overall stock score of 69 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driven by significant user growth and profitability improvements. The technical analysis supports a bullish trend, although the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation concerns. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield limits the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and profitability.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, which supports sustainable growth.
Autonomous Vehicle Partnership
The partnership in autonomous vehicles positions Grab at the forefront of innovation, potentially reducing operational costs and enhancing service offerings.
Negative Factors
Margin Expansion Challenges
Challenges in margin expansion could limit profitability, affecting the company's ability to reinvest in growth and compete effectively.
Increased Credit Loss Provisions
Higher credit loss provisions may strain financial performance, impacting profitability and potentially limiting growth in the financial services sector.
Higher Driver Incentives
Increased driver incentives can erode margins, affecting overall profitability and potentially necessitating further cost management measures.

Grab (GRAB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrab Holdings Limited provides superapps that allows access to mobility, delivery, financial services, and enterprise offerings through its mobile application in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The company is headquartered in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrab generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, it earns money from its ride-hailing services by taking a percentage of each fare charged to passengers. In addition to transport, its food delivery service, GrabFood, contributes significantly to its revenue by charging restaurants a commission on orders placed through the app. Furthermore, Grab has ventured into financial services, offering digital payments and lending products through GrabPay, which also generates transaction fees. Partnerships with local and international businesses enhance its service offerings and drive customer engagement, while strategic collaborations with financial institutions allow Grab to expand its fintech capabilities. Other revenue sources include advertising services within the app and logistics services through GrabExpress.

Grab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in user growth, profitability, and cash flow improvement, driven by product-led innovations and strong market performance. However, challenges remain in margin expansion and increased credit loss provisions. The company's strategic initiatives in financial services and quick commerce are promising, but operational costs and competitive pressures continue to be areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Growth in Monthly Transacting Users and GMV
Achieved a 6 million year-over-year increase in monthly transacting users to 48 million, driving a 24% year-on-year increase in on-demand GMV.
Strong Profitability Improvement
Group adjusted EBITDA rose 51% year-on-year to a record $136 million, marking the 15th consecutive quarter of sequential profitability improvement.
Significant Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow improved by $185 million year-on-year to $283 million on a trailing 12-month basis.
Positive Outlook for Financial Services
On track for the financial services loan portfolio to exceed $1 billion by year-end, with loan dispersals up 56% year-over-year.
Expansion of GrabMart and Quick Commerce Initiatives
GrabMart is growing at 1.5x the rate of food delivery, with experiments in quick commerce in Malaysia and Indonesia showing promising results.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Margin Expansion
Although margins are improving, the Mart business is still underpenetrated and has lower margins than food delivery due to rapid growth and scale challenges.
Increased Expected Credit Loss Provisions
An increase in expected credit losses due to accelerated loan growth, impacting the financial services segment's bottom line.
Higher Driver Incentives
An increase in driver incentives was necessary to maintain service reliability, offsetting some gains from lower consumer incentives.
Company Guidance
During Grab's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a significant increase in monthly transacting users, reaching 48 million, a 6 million year-over-year rise. This growth contributed to a 24% year-on-year increase in on-demand gross merchandise value (GMV), or 20% on a constant currency basis. The company's adjusted EBITDA soared 51% year-on-year to a record $136 million, marking the 15th consecutive quarter of sequential profitability improvement. Adjusted free cash flow rose by $185 million year-on-year to $283 million on a trailing 12-month basis. Looking forward, Grab expects its financial services loan portfolio to exceed $1 billion by year-end and anticipates its full-year on-demand GMV growth will accelerate from 2024 levels. Consequently, the Mobility and Delivery segments are on track to achieve record GMV levels by the end of 2025. The company remains confident in driving sustainable long-term value, with a focus on accessibility, affordability, and reliability. Adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year 2025 has been raised to between $490 million and $500 million, despite Q1 2026 traditionally being a softer season.

Grab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grab shows a promising turnaround with strong revenue growth, improved gross margins, and a positive shift in profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid, with strong equity and low debt levels. Cash flows have significantly improved, showcasing effective financial management. While challenges remain in achieving sustainable profitability, the overall financial health is on an improving trajectory, positioning the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement reflects a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a 23.67% increase from 2023 to 2024 and a 4.28% increase from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins have improved significantly, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, consistent net losses over the years highlight ongoing profitability challenges, although the TTM period shows a positive net income, which is an encouraging sign. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but remain negative, indicating ongoing operational difficulties.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Grab's balance sheet is robust with a high equity ratio of 67.25% in the TTM, suggesting strong financial stability and low leverage risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is modest at 0.06, indicating conservative debt management. Return on equity has turned positive in the TTM, reflecting improved profitability. The company maintains a strong cash position, reinforcing its ability to meet short-term obligations and invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics indicate a solid improvement, with a substantial increase in free cash flow from 2023 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting effective cash management and operational efficiency. The positive trend in free cash flow growth indicates an enhanced ability to generate cash surplus, which can be used for strategic investments or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.23B2.80B2.36B1.43B675.00M469.00M
Gross Profit1.39B1.17B860.00M77.00M-395.00M-494.00M
EBITDA295.00M-7.00M-222.00M-1.42B-1.51B-923.00M
Net Income123.00M-105.00M-434.00M-1.68B-3.45B-2.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.36B9.29B8.79B9.17B11.18B5.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.93B5.63B5.04B5.09B8.08B3.30B
Total Debt2.14B364.00M793.00M1.36B2.17B251.00M
Total Liabilities4.84B2.94B2.32B2.51B3.16B11.74B
Stockholders Equity6.47B6.40B6.45B6.60B7.73B-6.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow220.00M775.00M15.00M-856.00M-1.03B-683.00M
Operating Cash Flow307.00M852.00M86.00M-798.00M-954.00M-643.00M
Investing Cash Flow-942.00M-231.00M1.87B-1.06B-2.76B-318.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.10B-771.00M-770.00M-1.12B6.57B1.58B

Grab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.88
Price Trends
50DMA
5.89
Negative
100DMA
5.46
Positive
200DMA
5.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
51.05
Neutral
STOCH
51.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.81, below the 50-day MA of 5.89, and above the 200-day MA of 5.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRAB.

Grab Risk Analysis

Grab disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our growing use of artificial intelligence and machine learning may present additional risks, including risks associated with algorithm development or use, the data sets used, and/or a complex, developing regulatory environment. Q4, 2024

Grab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.17B22.9311.14%0.76%25.36%61.25%
69
Neutral
$24.04B195.351.92%20.22%
68
Neutral
$9.47B67.0424.53%14.90%
66
Neutral
$7.06B64.639.79%18.99%66.43%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$629.99M-26.69%13.09%32.34%
48
Neutral
$3.60B-10.29-31.02%20.42%-9.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRAB
Grab
5.88
0.99
20.25%
LYFT
Lyft
24.18
6.40
36.00%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.34
-18.63
-64.31%
KC
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
11.59
7.14
160.45%
YMM
Full Truck Alliance
12.63
4.32
51.99%
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
22.88
5.71
33.26%

Grab Corporate Events

Grab Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting for Shareholder Engagement
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Grab Holdings Limited announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting of shareholders, scheduled for December 5, 2025, at its Global Headquarters in Singapore. The meeting will serve as an open forum for shareholders to discuss company affairs with management, with no proposals submitted for approval. Shareholders of record as of November 14, 2025, are entitled to attend, and must register their interest by November 19, 2025. This meeting underscores Grab’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, reflecting its strategic focus on maintaining strong stakeholder relations.

Grab Announces Strategic Investment in Remote Driving Tech Firm Vay
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Grab Holdings Limited announced a strategic investment of $60 million in Vay Technology GmbH, a company specializing in automotive-grade remote driving technology. This investment, subject to regulatory approval, is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025 and will grant Grab a minority equity interest in Vay. The deal includes potential for Grab to increase its stake by an additional $350 million, contingent on Vay meeting specific financial and operational milestones. This move positions Grab to potentially own a majority stake in Vay within three years, enhancing its technological capabilities and market presence in the remote driving sector.

Grab Announces Strategic Investment in Remote Driving Company Vay
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Grab Holdings Limited announced a strategic investment in Vay Technology GmbH, a remote driving technology company. The initial investment of $60 million, with a potential additional $350 million, aims to enhance Grab’s mobility offerings and accelerate its expertise in autonomous and remote driving. This investment will support Vay’s expansion in the U.S. and create synergies with Grab’s long-term mobility strategy. The collaboration is expected to reduce private car ownership by promoting on-demand, shared vehicle services, aligning with Grab’s vision for future mobility in Southeast Asia.

Grab Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

Grab Holdings Limited reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a 22% year-over-year revenue increase to $873 million, driven by growth in its On-Demand and Financial Services segments. The company achieved a profit of $17 million for the quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA of $136 million, marking a 51% year-over-year improvement. The On-Demand GMV grew by 24% year-over-year to $5.8 billion, supported by a rise in monthly transacting users and transactions. Grab’s deliveries segment also saw a 23% revenue growth, bolstered by increased GMV and advertising revenue. The company’s financial health remains robust with a gross cash liquidity of $7.4 billion, although net cash used in operating activities increased due to higher cash outflows in its banking and lending businesses.

Grab Holdings Reports Robust Q3 2025 Financial Growth
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Grab Holdings Limited reported its third-quarter financial results, showcasing significant growth and profitability. The company achieved a 22% year-over-year revenue increase to $873 million, driven by its On-Demand and Financial Services segments. On-Demand GMV rose by 24% year-over-year to $5.8 billion, and the company recorded a profit of $17 million for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 51% to $136 million, marking the fifteenth consecutive quarter of growth. Grab’s strategic focus on innovation and disciplined investments in core and emerging areas like Autonomous Vehicles and Remote Driving is expected to continue driving its growth trajectory.

Grab Holdings Announces Key Leadership Changes Effective October 2025
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Grab Holdings Limited announced significant updates to its senior leadership team, effective October 1, 2025. John Pierantoni, with a robust background in finance leadership at major US-listed companies and entertainment giants, will assume the role of Chief Accounting Officer. Meanwhile, Liam Barker, who has been instrumental in leading Grab’s fintech and digital banking legal operations, will take on the position of Group General Counsel. These leadership changes are expected to strengthen Grab’s strategic positioning in the competitive Southeast Asian market.

Grab Holdings Releases Interim Report for First Half of 2025
Aug 18, 2025

On August 15, 2025, Grab Holdings Limited released its interim report for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The report highlights the company’s financial performance and operational metrics, showcasing its continued focus on digital banking and financial services expansion in Southeast Asia. The interim report is incorporated into Grab’s registration statements, reflecting its strategic positioning in the digital economy and its potential implications for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025