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Uber Technologies (UBER)
NYSE:UBER

Uber Technologies (UBER) AI Stock Analysis

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UBER

Uber Technologies

(NYSE:UBER)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(13.73% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability and ~$9.8B TTM free cash flow) and a constructive earnings call pointing to continued operational momentum and disciplined capital returns. Offsetting these positives, technical indicators show a clear downtrend (price below major moving averages with negative MACD), and while valuation looks reasonable at ~15.8x earnings, it is not supported by a dividend.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF near $10B with double‑digit growth provides durable internal funding for buybacks, strategic investments (AVs, delivery expansion), and working capital. Strong cash conversion reduces reliance on external funding and supports capital returns and long-term execution flexibility.
Improved and durable profitability
Material shift from prior losses to meaningful operating and net margins, with stable gross margins (~39–40%) indicating improved unit economics. This margin base supports reinvestment and resilience to cyclical pressures, making earnings less dependent on volatile top-line spikes.
Large scale and multi-product engagement
High active user counts, strong cross-product penetration and rapid membership growth create durable network effects, higher LTV and cross-sell levers (delivery, ads, grocery). Scale improves marketplace liquidity, ad monetization and potential AV utilization advantages over smaller rivals.
Negative Factors
Top-line growth slowdown
Revenue momentum has materially decelerated, forcing reliance on efficiency and mix to drive profit gains. If top-line growth remains muted, sustaining margin-led improvements becomes harder long term and constrains market share expansion and TAM capture across delivery and mobility.
Autonomy execution & capital intensity
AV strategy offers scale benefits but requires heavy capital, OEM ramps, depots/charging, and regulatory approvals. Upfront low margins and financing complexity mean AVs could be a multi-year drag on cash and management focus, adding execution risk to long-term profitability.
Rising litigation and liability risk
Large verdicts and thousands of pending cases create sustained legal, regulatory and insurance-cost pressure. Adverse rulings or higher insurance exposures can permanently raise operating costs, constrain marketplace rules and damage brand trust—structural risks to margins and growth.

Uber Technologies (UBER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uber Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services for ridesharing services; and connects riders and other consumers with restaurants, grocers, and other stores with delivery service providers for meal preparation, grocery, and other delivery services. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment provides products that connect consumers with mobility drivers who provide rides in a range of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. It also offers financial partnerships, transit, and vehicle solutions offerings. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered; and offers grocery, alcohol, and convenience store delivery, as well as select other goods. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on the company's platform and enable carriers upfront, transparent pricing, and the ability to book a shipment, as well as transportation management and other logistics services offerings. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUber generates revenue primarily through its ride-hailing and delivery services. In the ride-hailing segment, the company charges a commission on each fare, typically ranging from 15% to 30%, depending on the city and type of service. For Uber Eats, the company earns money by charging restaurants a commission on orders placed through the platform, as well as delivery fees from customers. Additionally, Uber has introduced subscription services like Uber Pass and Eats Pass, which provide users with benefits for a monthly fee. The company also generates revenue from freight services by charging shippers a fee for using the platform, which connects them with carriers. Strategic partnerships with various companies, including restaurants and automotive manufacturers, further enhance its revenue streams by expanding its service offerings and market reach.

Uber Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Uber is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsUber's revenue growth across all regions is robust, with the US and Canada leading the charge. The latest earnings call highlights a 22% increase in trips, the fastest since 2023, and record financial performance, which aligns with the upward trend in revenue. Strategic initiatives, such as partnerships with Nvidia for autonomous vehicles and a focus on cross-platform engagement, are expected to sustain momentum. However, challenges in profitability for new ventures like autonomous vehicles and Uber One membership could pose risks to future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Uber Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong financial and operational momentum: double-digit gross bookings growth (22% YoY), significant EBITDA (+35%) and free cash flow (+42%), accelerating MAPC growth (14% to 18% YoY), robust membership growth (50%+ YoY), and multiple growth levers in delivery and advertising. Management also highlighted an active, data-driven AV strategy with early utilization advantages and plans for 15-city deployments. The primary negatives are execution and timing risks around AV scale (capital, OEM ramp, regulatory and safety hurdles), remaining marketplace selection gaps in delivery, historical U.S. insurance cost pressures, and a CFO transition—issues that management is addressing but which introduce uncertainty. Overall, the positives around growth, profitability, cash generation and diversified product momentum materially outweigh the development and execution risks noted on the call.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth in Q4 and Full Year 2025
Gross bookings rose 22% year-over-year in Q4; 2025 marked the fifth consecutive year of annual gross bookings growth above 20%.
Large and Growing User Base
Monthly active users (MAPC) exceeded 200 million (202 million cited), with annual active base over 450 million; MAPC growth accelerated from ~14% YoY at the start of 2025 to 18% YoY by year-end.
Profitability and Cash Generation
Adjusted EBITDA reached $8.7 billion, up 35% year-over-year, and free cash flow was $9.8 billion (reported ~42% YoY growth); management reiterated strong free cash generation (~$10B cited) and capacity to both invest and return capital.
Significant Membership and Multi-Product Engagement
Membership count ~46 million and membership growth exceeding 50% year-over-year (55% growth cited); 40% of consumers in Q4 used more than one Uber product, supporting higher retention and LTV.
Delivery Momentum and Diversification
Delivery growth accelerated to multi-year highs driven by expanding selection (more merchants), growth in less-dense/suburban areas, grocery/retail product expansion, membership lift, and international launches; grocery and retail cited as large new TAM.
Advertising Upside
Delivery advertising penetration exceeded the prior 2% target and enterprise ad growth is outpacing SMBs, indicating a larger-than-expected long-term ad opportunity.
Autonomy Strategy Showing Early Operational Advantages
Uber reports AVs on its platform have ~30% higher trips-per-vehicle-per-day vs 1P stand-alone platforms; company added ~50x the AV trips on Uber vs the entire AV industry last year and expects AV deployments in ~15 cities by year-end.
Global and Non-top-Market Strength
60% of mobility gross bookings are international; management emphasized that a large portion of U.S. profitability comes from outside the top markets (citing ~75% of U.S. profits from non-top-20 markets), with faster growth in less-dense markets.
Negative Updates
Autonomy Remains Capital- and Execution-Intensive with Uncertainties
Management acknowledged AVs are not yet scaled industry-wide, require substantial capital, OEM production ramps, depot/charging infrastructure, regulatory approval and large real-world data sets; timeline for majority AV supply in markets described as 'far, far away' and vehicle platform costs must decline to expand TAM.
Regulatory, Safety and Operational Hurdles for AV Deployments
Scaling to the ~15-city target faces regulatory and safety reviews, the need for depots/real estate, charging and fleet operations, and potential real-world edge cases (e.g., blackout scenarios) that simulations cannot fully emulate.
Early-Stage AV Margins and Need for Financing
New products like AVs are introduced at lower margins initially; Uber expects to make capital commitments and partner with financiers and fleet operators to scale, implying near-term capital deployment and complexity in financialization of AV fleets.
Legacy Headwinds from U.S. Cost Pressures (Insurance)
Historically, U.S. insurance inflation weighed on demand and slowed growth; while management cites insurance reform and cost savings turning into leverage, this was a material headwind in recent years.
Delivery and Marketplace Gaps Remain
Delivery selection and category position remain below target in many countries and U.S. suburbs; management is still investing in merchant sales force and selection expansion to drive sustainable growth.
Leadership Transition Risk
CFO Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah will step down (Feb 16) and Balaji Krishnamurthy will assume the role; while management framed this positively, any CFO transition carries execution and communication risks during strategic initiatives.
Company Guidance
Management guidance emphasized continued momentum and disciplined capital allocation: Uber plans to scale AV deployments to about 15 cities by year‑end while making targeted, growth‑oriented investments across six strategic areas and remaining an “aggressive” buyer of stock (continuing a ~50% free‑cash‑flow return philosophy). The guidance is supported by Q4/2025 results and operating trends — trips at a ~15 billion annual run rate, MAPCs >202 million (annual actives >450 million) with MAPC growth accelerating from ~14% to ~18% YoY, gross bookings +22% YoY (fifth consecutive year of >20% annual growth), adjusted EBITDA $8.7B (+35%), and free cash flow $9.8B (+42%) — alongside product momentum (40% of consumers used >1 Uber product in Q4, ~46M members growing >50% YoY, delivery ad penetration now >2%, grocery partnerships with 5 of the top 10 U.S. grocers). Management also highlighted structural advantages for AVs (AVs on Uber show ~30% higher trips per vehicle per day vs. standalone 1P deployments), reiterated that 60% of mobility gross bookings are international, and said these trends support both continued reinvestment and meaningful capital returns (on track to reduce share count).

Uber Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation: TTM EBIT margin ~14.6%, net margin ~19.3%, and free cash flow ~$9.8B with ~12.7% TTM growth. Balance sheet leverage has improved materially versus prior years, supporting the shift to a more durable, cash-generative model. The main constraint is the recent revenue-growth slowdown (2024 ~0.2%, TTM ~4.9%), increasing reliance on continued efficiency/mix gains.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a clear profitability step-up: revenue reached ~$52.0B with solid operating profitability (EBIT margin ~14.6%) and strong net profitability (net margin ~19.3%). The multi-year trajectory is notable—moving from sizable losses in 2020–2022 to meaningful profits in 2023–TTM—while gross margin has remained relatively stable around ~39–40% in recent periods. The main offset is the sharp deceleration in revenue growth in 2024 (~0.2%) and a moderate TTM growth rate (~4.9%), which suggests the earnings improvement is coming more from efficiency and mix than from accelerating top-line expansion.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Leverage has improved materially versus prior years: TTM debt is ~$13.5B against ~$27.2B of equity, and the company’s debt-to-equity has compressed sharply versus 2022–2023 when leverage was meaningfully higher. Return on equity is very strong in 2024–TTM, reflecting the swing to sustained profitability. Key watchouts are that debt dollars have risen versus 2024 (even as equity rose faster), and the recent high return on equity may be aided by the relatively smaller equity base versus total assets, making the metric more sensitive to profit swings.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is a major strength: TTM operating cash flow is ~$10.1B and free cash flow is ~$9.8B, with double-digit TTM free-cash-flow growth (~12.7%). Free cash flow closely tracks net income (TTM ~0.97x), supporting earnings quality. A limitation is that operating cash flow is somewhat below net income (TTM ~0.82x), implying some working-capital or timing headwinds even as overall cash conversion remains strong and far improved versus 2020–2022 when cash flow was negative or weak.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.02B43.98B37.28B31.88B17.45B
Gross Profit20.68B17.33B14.82B12.22B8.10B
EBITDA6.96B5.38B3.78B-7.91B360.00M
Net Income10.05B9.86B1.89B-9.14B-496.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.80B51.24B38.70B32.11B38.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.26B7.52B6.21B4.99B4.93B
Total Debt13.47B11.44B11.83B11.72B11.60B
Total Liabilities33.72B28.77B26.02B23.61B23.43B
Stockholders Equity27.04B21.56B11.25B7.34B14.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.76B6.89B3.36B390.00M-743.00M
Operating Cash Flow10.10B7.14B3.58B642.00M-445.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.67B-4.03B-3.23B-1.64B-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow-5.60B-1.24B-95.00M15.00M1.78B

Uber Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price73.86
Price Trends
50DMA
80.34
Negative
100DMA
86.63
Negative
200DMA
88.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.87
Negative
RSI
40.59
Neutral
STOCH
61.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 73.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.97, below the 50-day MA of 80.34, and below the 200-day MA of 88.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UBER.

Uber Technologies Risk Analysis

Uber Technologies disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uber Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uber Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$149.77B15.4541.37%18.25%277.10%
72
Outperform
$9.53B22.2810.16%18.29%
71
Outperform
$9.98B18.6010.30%0.73%19.01%28.26%
66
Neutral
$74.73B82.8910.48%24.46%
64
Neutral
$5.46B1.96140.78%14.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$18.18B67.384.07%20.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBER
Uber Technologies
73.86
-2.56
-3.35%
LYFT
Lyft
13.95
1.23
9.67%
DASH
DoorDash
176.29
-19.58
-10.00%
GRAB
Grab
4.38
-0.44
-9.13%
YMM
Full Truck Alliance
9.61
-2.10
-17.93%
CART
Maplebear
36.25
-13.11
-26.56%

Uber Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Uber Acquires Getir’s Türkiye Food Delivery Portfolio
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

On February 8, 2026, Uber Technologies agreed with Mubadala Investment Company to acquire Getir’s delivery portfolio in Türkiye, starting with 100% of Getir’s food delivery business for $335 million in cash, after the unit generated more than $1 billion in gross bookings in 2025. Uber will also invest $100 million for a 15% stake in Getir’s grocery, retail and water delivery operations, with the remaining non-food assets to be acquired over the next few years subject to performance and regulatory approvals, deepening Uber’s commitment to Türkiye and integrating Getir and Trendyol Go to broaden choice for consumers and merchants while expanding courier opportunities.

Following completion, Uber plans to link Getir’s super app and Trendyol Go so users can access a wider restaurant base and grocery selection, aiming to build a more competitive on-demand ecosystem in a high-growth digital market. The transaction underscores Uber’s push to consolidate its position in Türkiye’s food and quick-commerce sectors, though its ultimate impact will depend on regulatory clearance, execution of planned synergies and the ability to manage operational risks and stakeholder relationships during the phased integration.

The most recent analyst rating on (UBER) stock is a Buy with a $103.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uber Technologies stock, see the UBER Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Uber announces CFO transition alongside strong year-end results
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

Uber said on February 4, 2026 that Chief Financial Officer Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah will step down on February 16, 2026, staying on as senior finance advisor through July 1 while Strategic Finance VP Balaji Krishnamurthy becomes CFO under a new compensation package that includes $600,000 salary and $17.5 million in equity awards, underscoring leadership stability after Mahendra-Rajah’s qualifying termination under the executive severance plan. The company simultaneously reported fourth-quarter 2025 results showing 22% growth in trips and gross bookings, record operating income of $1.8 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion and free cash flow of $2.8 billion, framing a robust finish to 2025 that supports management’s confidence in sustaining double-digit growth into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (UBER) stock is a Buy with a $109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uber Technologies stock, see the UBER Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Uber Updates Performance Metrics to Emphasize Non-GAAP Income
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

Uber Technologies said it will overhaul its key performance metrics beginning in the first quarter of 2026, replacing Adjusted EBITDA with new non-GAAP measures—Non-GAAP Operating Income, Non-GAAP Net Income and Non-GAAP EPS—that move its reporting closer to GAAP by incorporating depreciation, amortization (excluding acquired intangibles) and stock-based compensation, while excluding only select non-core items such as unrealized gains and losses on securities, foreign exchange effects and losses from equity method investments. The company will also shift its internal segment metric from Segment Adjusted EBITDA to Segment Operating Income and, starting with its 2025 annual report, will reclassify interest income as a separate line item in its income statement; together with the release of seven quarters of historical reconciliations through September 30, 2025, these changes are aimed at providing investors and management with a clearer, more comparable view of underlying operating performance across its Mobility, Delivery and Freight businesses without altering previously reported GAAP results.

The most recent analyst rating on (UBER) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Uber Technologies stock, see the UBER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 09, 2026