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Uber Technologies (UBER)
NYSE:UBER

Uber Technologies (UBER) AI Stock Analysis

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UBER

Uber Technologies

(NYSE:UBER)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(16.93% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability and ~$9.8B TTM free cash flow) and a constructive earnings call pointing to continued operational momentum and disciplined capital returns. Offsetting these positives, technical indicators show a clear downtrend (price below major moving averages with negative MACD), and while valuation looks reasonable at ~15.8x earnings, it is not supported by a dividend.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF near $10B with double‑digit growth provides durable internal funding for buybacks, strategic investments (AVs, delivery expansion), and working capital. Strong cash conversion reduces reliance on external funding and supports capital returns and long-term execution flexibility.
Negative Factors
Top-line growth slowdown
Revenue momentum has materially decelerated, forcing reliance on efficiency and mix to drive profit gains. If top-line growth remains muted, sustaining margin-led improvements becomes harder long term and constrains market share expansion and TAM capture across delivery and mobility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF near $10B with double‑digit growth provides durable internal funding for buybacks, strategic investments (AVs, delivery expansion), and working capital. Strong cash conversion reduces reliance on external funding and supports capital returns and long-term execution flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Uber Technologies (UBER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uber Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services...
How the Company Makes Money
Uber generates revenue primarily through its ride-hailing and delivery services. In the ride-hailing segment, the company charges a commission on each fare, typically ranging from 15% to 30%, depending on the city and type of service. For Uber Eat...

Uber Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Uber is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsUber's revenue growth across all regions is robust, with the US and Canada leading the charge. The latest earnings call highlights a 22% increase in trips, the fastest since 2023, and record financial performance, which aligns with the upward trend in revenue. Strategic initiatives, such as partnerships with Nvidia for autonomous vehicles and a focus on cross-platform engagement, are expected to sustain momentum. However, challenges in profitability for new ventures like autonomous vehicles and Uber One membership could pose risks to future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Uber Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong financial and operational momentum: double-digit gross bookings growth (22% YoY), significant EBITDA (+35%) and free cash flow (+42%), accelerating MAPC growth (14% to 18% YoY), robust membership growth (50%+ YoY), and multiple growth levers in delivery and advertising. Management also highlighted an active, data-driven AV strategy with early utilization advantages and plans for 15-city deployments. The primary negatives are execution and timing risks around AV scale (capital, OEM ramp, regulatory and safety hurdles), remaining marketplace selection gaps in delivery, historical U.S. insurance cost pressures, and a CFO transition—issues that management is addressing but which introduce uncertainty. Overall, the positives around growth, profitability, cash generation and diversified product momentum materially outweigh the development and execution risks noted on the call.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth in Q4 and Full Year 2025
Gross bookings rose 22% year-over-year in Q4; 2025 marked the fifth consecutive year of annual gross bookings growth above 20%.
Negative Updates
Autonomy Remains Capital- and Execution-Intensive with Uncertainties
Management acknowledged AVs are not yet scaled industry-wide, require substantial capital, OEM production ramps, depot/charging infrastructure, regulatory approval and large real-world data sets; timeline for majority AV supply in markets described as 'far, far away' and vehicle platform costs must decline to expand TAM.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth in Q4 and Full Year 2025
Gross bookings rose 22% year-over-year in Q4; 2025 marked the fifth consecutive year of annual gross bookings growth above 20%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guidance emphasized continued momentum and disciplined capital allocation: Uber plans to scale AV deployments to about 15 cities by year‑end while making targeted, growth‑oriented investments across six strategic areas and remaining an “aggressive” buyer of stock (continuing a ~50% free‑cash‑flow return philosophy). The guidance is supported by Q4/2025 results and operating trends — trips at a ~15 billion annual run rate, MAPCs >202 million (annual actives >450 million) with MAPC growth accelerating from ~14% to ~18% YoY, gross bookings +22% YoY (fifth consecutive year of >20% annual growth), adjusted EBITDA $8.7B (+35%), and free cash flow $9.8B (+42%) — alongside product momentum (40% of consumers used >1 Uber product in Q4, ~46M members growing >50% YoY, delivery ad penetration now >2%, grocery partnerships with 5 of the top 10 U.S. grocers). Management also highlighted structural advantages for AVs (AVs on Uber show ~30% higher trips per vehicle per day vs. standalone 1P deployments), reiterated that 60% of mobility gross bookings are international, and said these trends support both continued reinvestment and meaningful capital returns (on track to reduce share count).

Uber Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation: TTM EBIT margin ~14.6%, net margin ~19.3%, and free cash flow ~$9.8B with ~12.7% TTM growth. Balance sheet leverage has improved materially versus prior years, supporting the shift to a more durable, cash-generative model. The main constraint is the recent revenue-growth slowdown (2024 ~0.2%, TTM ~4.9%), increasing reliance on continued efficiency/mix gains.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.02B43.98B37.28B31.88B17.45B
Gross Profit20.68B17.33B14.82B12.22B8.10B
EBITDA6.99B5.38B3.78B-7.91B360.00M
Net Income10.05B9.86B1.89B-9.14B-496.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.80B51.24B38.70B32.11B38.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.26B7.52B6.21B4.99B4.93B
Total Debt13.47B11.44B11.83B11.72B11.60B
Total Liabilities33.72B28.77B26.02B23.61B23.43B
Stockholders Equity27.04B21.56B11.25B7.34B14.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.76B6.89B3.36B390.00M-743.00M
Operating Cash Flow10.10B7.14B3.58B642.00M-445.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.67B-4.03B-3.23B-1.64B-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow-5.60B-1.24B-95.00M15.00M1.78B

Uber Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price71.84
Price Trends
50DMA
74.76
Negative
100DMA
80.30
Negative
200DMA
86.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.12
Positive
RSI
45.12
Neutral
STOCH
42.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 71.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.33, below the 50-day MA of 74.76, and below the 200-day MA of 86.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UBER.

Uber Technologies Risk Analysis

Uber Technologies disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uber Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uber Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$147.86B16.9540.31%18.25%277.10%
72
Outperform
$9.33B26.3014.36%10.16%18.29%
71
Outperform
$8.53B18.2311.21%0.73%19.01%28.26%
66
Neutral
$67.97B103.4410.15%24.46%
64
Neutral
$5.31B2.80209.99%14.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$14.84B76.194.10%20.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBER
Uber Technologies
71.84
6.20
9.45%
LYFT
Lyft
13.34
2.87
27.41%
DASH
DoorDash
156.45
-9.85
-5.92%
GRAB
Grab
3.62
0.14
4.02%
YMM
Full Truck Alliance
8.21
-2.23
-21.36%
CART
Maplebear
38.77
1.36
3.64%

Uber Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Uber Acquires Getir’s Türkiye Food Delivery Portfolio
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
On February 8, 2026, Uber Technologies agreed with Mubadala Investment Company to acquire Getir’s delivery portfolio in Türkiye, starting with 100% of Getir’s food delivery business for $335 million in cash, after the unit generat...
Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Uber announces CFO transition alongside strong year-end results
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
Uber said on February 4, 2026 that Chief Financial Officer Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah will step down on February 16, 2026, staying on as senior finance advisor through July 1 while Strategic Finance VP Balaji Krishnamurthy becomes CFO under a new co...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Uber Updates Performance Metrics to Emphasize Non-GAAP Income
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026
Uber Technologies said it will overhaul its key performance metrics beginning in the first quarter of 2026, replacing Adjusted EBITDA with new non-GAAP measures—Non-GAAP Operating Income, Non-GAAP Net Income and Non-GAAP EPS—that move ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 09, 2026