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Uber Technologies (UBER)
NYSE:UBER

Uber Technologies (UBER) AI Stock Analysis

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Uber Technologies

(NYSE:UBER)

Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
▲(29.43%Upside)
Uber Technologies demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability improvements. The strategic acquisitions and partnerships, combined with robust cash flow, support a positive outlook. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, the company's valuation remains moderate. Overall, Uber's strategic positioning and financial performance provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Advertising and Revenue
Uber's low advertising penetration is seen as an opportunity, with potential for significant revenue growth in the retail media sub-segment of digital ads.
Expansion and Growth
Uber is expected to meet or exceed its financial targets with continued expansion into non-urban areas and international markets, driven by initiatives like Uber One and affordability efforts.
Strategic Leadership
Andrew Macdonald's appointment as President and COO is expected to strengthen Uber’s strategic leadership and operational efficiency across Mobility, Delivery, and AV businesses.
Negative Factors
Autonomous Vehicle Trials
Uber and Wayve announced they will develop and launch public-road trials of autonomous vehicles in London in 2026, one year before the UK AV Act becomes law.
Competition from Autonomous Vehicles
Tesla plans to launch its robotaxi in Austin with deployment small to start before ramping to thousands in the coming months, posing competition.
Market Competition
Waymo now completing 250K+ paid trips per week, indicating continued demand for autonomous vehicle rides which Uber is involved in.

Uber Technologies (UBER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uber Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services for ridesharing services; and connects riders and other consumers with restaurants, grocers, and other stores with delivery service providers for meal preparation, grocery, and other delivery services. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment provides products that connect consumers with mobility drivers who provide rides in a range of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. It also offers financial partnerships, transit, and vehicle solutions offerings. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered; and offers grocery, alcohol, and convenience store delivery, as well as select other goods. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on the company's platform and enable carriers upfront, transparent pricing, and the ability to book a shipment, as well as transportation management and other logistics services offerings. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUber makes money primarily through three main segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment generates revenue by charging service fees to drivers for connecting them with riders, as well as through dynamic pricing models that adjust fares based on demand. The Delivery segment, primarily through Uber Eats, earns revenue by charging restaurants a service fee for order delivery and from delivery fees paid by consumers. The Freight segment generates revenue by providing shippers with a logistics platform to connect with carriers for freight transportation. Additionally, Uber engages in strategic partnerships and investments, such as in autonomous vehicle technology and partnerships with car rental companies, to expand its service offerings and customer base. These diversified streams contribute significantly to Uber's overall earnings.

Uber Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Monthly Active Platform Customers
Monthly Active Platform Customers
Measures the number of unique users engaging with Uber's platform each month, indicating user retention, platform popularity, and potential for revenue growth.
Chart InsightsUber's monthly active platform customers have shown a robust recovery and growth trajectory, reaching 170 million by early 2025, a 14% increase year-on-year. This aligns with Uber's strategic partnerships and international expansion efforts, as highlighted in their earnings call. The growth is supported by strong performance in both mobility and delivery sectors, despite competitive pressures and insurance cost challenges. Uber's focus on strategic alliances, like those with Waymo and Open Table, and the acquisition of Trendyol Go, are pivotal in sustaining this upward trend.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Uber Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Uber's first quarter 2025 earnings call reflected a strong performance with significant growth in audience, trips, and financial metrics like EBITDA and free cash flow. The successful launch of partnerships, particularly with Waymo, and the profitability in the delivery segment were significant positives. However, competitive pressures and ongoing challenges with insurance costs in the U.S. were notable concerns. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Key Metrics
Audience grew 14% to 170 million monthly active consumers, trips up 18%, retention rates at all-time highs globally, and gross bookings grew in line with trips. Record adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 billion, up 35% year-on-year, and free cash flow of $2.3 billion.
Waymo Partnership Success
Launch with Waymo in Austin with high utilization of nearly 100 cars. Waymos are busier than 99% of Austin drivers in terms of trips per day, with plans to increase vehicle count.
Delivery Business Profitability
Delivery margins at 3.7% EBITDA, up 70 basis points year-over-year, driven by advertising and operational leverage. Grocery and retail hit breakeven in Q4 of last year and now accretive.
International Expansion
Signed partnership with Open Table, Delta SkyMiles partnership, and announced acquisition of Trendyol Go for growth in Turkey.
Negative Updates
Competitive Intensity
Intense competition in global markets for both mobility and delivery, especially from Lyft in the U.S., Bolt in Europe, and DiDi in Latin America.
Insurance Costs Impact
Despite a favorable insurance cost environment, ongoing legal system abuse in the U.S. contributes to higher insurance costs compared to international markets.
Company Guidance
During Uber's first quarter 2025 earnings call, key guidance metrics highlighted include a 14% increase in monthly active consumers to 170 million and an 18% rise in trips, contributing to a record adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 billion, which marks a 35% year-on-year growth. Free cash flow also reached $2.3 billion. Gross bookings matched the 18% trip growth, with strength in both mobility and delivery sectors. The call emphasized Uber's strategic partnerships, including those with Waymo and Open Table, and the acquisition of Trendyol Go to boost future growth in Turkey. Looking ahead, Uber projected strong top-line growth and even stronger profitability growth for Q2, with expectations of significant performance in the seasonally stronger second half of the year.

Uber Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uber's financial performance is robust, characterized by strong revenue growth and improving profitability. The income statement highlights a net profit margin of 27.1%, indicating effective cost management. The balance sheet reflects a manageable debt-to-equity ratio and high return on equity, while cash flow statements show healthy cash generation and free cash flow growth, supporting operations and strategic initiatives.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Uber's income statement shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 37.7%, and the net profit margin is about 27.1%, indicating effective cost management. The revenue growth rate from the previous year to the TTM period is around 3.2%, showing consistent expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly over the years, highlighting the company's improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Uber maintains a moderate balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.51 in the TTM period, reflecting a manageable level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is an impressive 55.9%, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at around 41.6%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets, although there is room for improvement.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Uber's cash flow statement shows robust free cash flow growth, with free cash flow increasing by about 12.9% from the previous year to the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 0.66, indicating healthy cash generation relative to earnings. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.63 suggests that Uber is effectively converting earnings into cash, supporting its operational and strategic activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
45.38B43.98B37.28B31.88B17.45B11.14B
Gross Profit
17.96B17.33B14.82B12.22B8.10B5.99B
EBIT
3.85B2.80B1.11B-1.83B-3.83B-4.86B
EBITDA
7.37B5.38B1.93B-7.91B360.00M-5.91B
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.29B9.86B1.89B-9.24B-533.00M-6.75B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.03B6.98B5.41B4.31B4.29B6.83B
Total Assets
52.82B51.24B38.70B32.11B38.77B33.25B
Total Debt
11.12B11.13B11.83B11.14B11.11B9.28B
Net Debt
5.99B5.23B6.34B6.93B6.81B3.63B
Total Liabilities
29.92B28.77B26.02B23.61B23.43B19.50B
Stockholders Equity
21.98B21.56B11.25B7.34B14.46B12.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
7.79B6.89B3.36B390.00M-743.00M-3.36B
Operating Cash Flow
8.04B7.14B3.58B642.00M-445.00M-2.75B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.48B-3.18B-3.23B-1.64B-1.20B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow
-3.85B-2.09B-95.00M15.00M1.78B1.38B

Uber Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price83.44
Price Trends
50DMA
82.54
Positive
100DMA
78.00
Positive
200DMA
74.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
45.39
Neutral
STOCH
29.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBER, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 83.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.65, above the 50-day MA of 82.54, and above the 200-day MA of 74.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UBER.

Uber Technologies Risk Analysis

Uber Technologies disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uber Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uber Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$178.00B14.7874.39%17.60%758.07%
76
Outperform
$24.66B181.0711.06%26.72%
NENET
74
Outperform
$62.14B-7.35%27.79%56.19%
67
Neutral
$19.19B857.140.38%17.24%
66
Neutral
$19.41B105,214.296.85%16.11%
62
Neutral
$11.90B10.02-7.47%3.70%7.31%-8.19%
60
Neutral
$8.06B-34.18%24.11%21.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBER
Uber Technologies
83.44
13.14
18.69%
NTNX
Nutanix
73.59
21.19
40.44%
NET
Cloudflare
181.40
102.95
131.23%
GRAB
Grab
4.66
1.14
32.39%
CFLT
Confluent
23.93
-2.99
-11.11%
TOST
Toast Inc
42.58
17.06
66.85%

Uber Technologies Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uber Acquires Majority Stake in Trendyol GO
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Uber Technologies announced an agreement to acquire an 85% controlling stake in Trendyol GO, a leading online meal and grocery delivery service in Türkiye, for approximately $700 million. This acquisition, pending regulatory approval, is expected to enhance Uber’s growth and strengthen its delivery sector presence in Türkiye, benefiting consumers, couriers, and small businesses.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.