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DoorDash (DASH)
NASDAQ:DASH

DoorDash (DASH) AI Stock Analysis

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DASH

DoorDash

(NASDAQ:DASH)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$187.00
▲(6.14% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and strong cash generation, reinforced by generally constructive earnings-call guidance and strategic momentum. Offsetting these positives are weak technicals (clear downtrend) and a demanding valuation (high P/E), which raise the bar for continued execution.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for growth, tech replatforming, autonomy pilots, and M&A without relying solely on external capital. Strong cash conversion supports sustainability of operations and cushions execution risk over coming quarters.
Diversified, expanding revenue mix
Growing non-restaurant orders, recurring DashPass subscribers, and accelerating ad monetization reduce dependence on restaurant delivery. This structural diversification increases high-margin revenue exposure and raises resilience, supporting steady top-line growth and margin improvement over the medium term.
Tech consolidation & autonomy build durable moat
Consolidating tech stacks should materially improve developer velocity and lower duplicate operating costs long-term, while autonomy pilots and AV deliveries can reduce last‑mile cost per order and extend reach. Both initiatives strengthen operational moat if executed successfully.
Negative Factors
Notable debt increase in 2025
A sharp increase in debt reduces financial flexibility and raises fixed obligations. If growth or margins slow, higher leverage could strain cash allocation choices, limit optionality for opportunistic investments, or increase refinancing risk over the next several quarters.
Profitability still relatively thin
Despite clear progress, mid-single-digit net margins leave limited buffers against competitive pressure or elevated investment loads. Sustained margin expansion is required to fund long-term initiatives; otherwise profitability could be sensitive to cost or demand shocks.
Elevated 2026 investment load and short-term inefficiency
Concentrated replatform and autonomy investments create a multi-quarter drag on margins and cash flow. Execution delays or higher-than-expected costs would defer expected efficiency gains and increase the risk that anticipated unit‑economic improvements materialize later than planned.

DoorDash (DASH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DoorDash Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDoorDash, Inc. operates a logistics platform that connects merchants, consumers, and dashers in the United States and internationally. It operates DoorDash and Wolt marketplaces, which provides an array of services that enable merchants to solve mission-critical challenges, such as customer acquisition, delivery, insights and analytics, merchandising, payment processing, and customer support; DashPass and Wolt+, a membership products; and offers DoorDash Drive and Wolt Drive, a white-label delivery fulfillment services; DoorDash Storefront that enables merchants to offer consumers on-demand access to e-commerce; and Bbot, which offers merchants digital ordering and payment solutions for in-store and online channels. The company was formerly known as Palo Alto Delivery Inc. and changed its name to DoorDash, Inc. in 2015. DoorDash, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDoorDash generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from delivery fees, service fees, and commissions charged to restaurants. When a customer places an order, DoorDash typically charges a delivery fee, which varies based on distance and the size of the order. Additionally, the company imposes a service fee that helps cover operational costs. Restaurants partnering with DoorDash pay a commission on each order fulfilled through the platform, which can range from 15% to 30% depending on various factors, including promotional agreements and the services used. DoorDash also offers subscription services, such as DashPass, which provides customers with free delivery on eligible orders for a monthly fee. Partnerships with major restaurant chains and grocery retailers further enhance revenue, as does the expansion into new markets and the introduction of innovative services like DashMart, which delivers convenience store items. Overall, DoorDash's diversified revenue model and strategic partnerships are key contributors to its earnings.

DoorDash Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Order Volume
Gross Order Volume
Represents the total value of all orders placed through DoorDash, indicating the scale of the platform and its ability to attract customers and merchants.
Chart InsightsGross order volume is accelerating sustainably—driven by stronger core demand, record subscription adoption and a fast-growing advertising business—and is being amplified by European expansion (Deliveroo/Wolt). Management’s plan to invest heavily in a unified tech platform, DashMart fulfillment and autonomous delivery should improve long‑term unit economics, but integration risks and loss-making new verticals mean near-term spend will compress operating leverage. Watch whether improving unit economics convert GOV growth into higher per-order profit as investments peak in 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

DoorDash Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strategic growth vectors (Deliveroo integration, rapid expansion of new verticals, DashPass momentum, accelerating Ads and autonomy pilots) and reiterated unchanged full-year EBITDA expectations with ROO contributing ~$200M. Management acknowledged near-term costs and phasing headwinds — notably 2026 investment load, Q1 ROO phasing, winter-storm impacts (~$20M) and temporary redundancy from running multiple tech stacks — but presented concrete paths to margin improvement (unit economics turning positive in new verticals, contribution positivity in international ex-ROO in H2, and long-term efficiency gains from replatforming). Overall, the positives — broad user engagement, accelerating non-restaurant adoption (30% of MAUs), ad monetization gains (Symbiosis doubled advertisers and tripled spend), and tangible progress on autonomy and tech consolidation — materially outweigh the short-term execution and investment headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Deliveroo Acquisition Off to a Strong Start
Deliveroo integration is accelerating: Deliveroo is growing faster post-close at the same profit contribution expected pre-acquisition, gaining share in its largest markets, and total orders accelerated in the December quarter.
Clear EBITDA Guidance and ROO Contribution
Full-year 2026 EBITDA margin expected to be slightly up versus 2025 (excluding ROO); ROO (new initiative) forecasted to produce approximately $200 million of EBITDA for the full year.
New Verticals (Retail & Grocery) Rapid Growth and Improving Unit Economics
New verticals had a very strong quarter and year — DoorDash is the fastest-growing third‑party player in the U.S. grocery/retail category; roughly 30% of MAUs in the U.S. already order outside restaurants. Company expects retail & grocery to be unit-economic positive in the second half of 2026.
Large and Engaged User Base; DashPass Momentum
MAUs cited at ~56 million (and over 100 million annual customers); DashPass had a record year and quarter, driving higher retention, increased order frequency and strong profit-dollar production from subscribers.
Ads Business Expansion — Symbiosis Early Success
Ads business grew quickly in 2025. Symbiosis integration shows strong early results: number of advertisers doubled and advertiser spend tripled for that product. Smart Campaigns (always-ROI-positive ads) gaining traction as well.
Tech Replatform Will Improve Velocity and Efficiency
DoorDash plans to consolidate multiple tech stacks into a global stack with the majority of work expected to be completed in 2026. Management expects faster feature rollout, reduced duplication across markets, and improved developer efficiency once consolidated.
Autonomy Progress and Live AV Deliveries
Active live autonomous vehicle (AV) deliveries are underway; Dot is purpose-built to serve suburbs and other AV/drone projects target more rural and longer-distance deliveries. Management emphasizes an orchestration platform for mixed deliveries (AVs + Dashers).
Storefront and SevenRooms Integration Driving Merchant Value
SevenRooms integration has accelerated venue onboarding (management cited ~50% faster post-acquisition), demonstrating merchant-software synergies and improved CRM/retention tools for restaurants.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Incremental Investment and Expense Load
2026 includes elevated investments across the global tech stack, autonomy and merchant services. Running multiple tech stacks in parallel creates redundant spend concentrated in 2026 with some residual spend into 2027 (management said the bulk is in 2026 and the remainder is smaller).
Q1 Headwinds to EBITDA (ROO Phasing, Weather, Seasonality)
Q1 EBITDA faces several one-time/seasonal headwinds: ROO-related phasing that makes Q1 ROO EBITDA ~ $25 million lower versus Q4, approximately $20 million of impact from January winter storms, and normal Dasher seasonality — collectively pressuring near-term margin/cashflow.
Short-Term Inefficiency from Multiple Tech Stacks
Prior to consolidation, operating three similar tech stacks slows feature development (need to ship features multiple times) and is an efficiency drag until replatforming completes.
Higher Effort / Longer-Distance Deliveries May Increase Dasher Costs
Investments to support longer‑distance and more complex grocery/retail orders require adjustments to Dasher pay models and app experience to reflect complexity, implying potential upward pressure on Dasher costs for those order types.
Adoption and Product Maturity Still Early in Grocery/ Retail Ads
While Ads overall grew strongly and restaurant ad products matured, grocery and retail ad monetization is earlier-stage — management noted substantial upside opportunity but current advertising dollars in those categories remain less developed than restaurant advertising.
Company Guidance
Management reiterated that full‑year 2026 EBITDA guidance is unchanged from the last call, with 2026 EBITDA margin expected to be up slightly versus 2025 (ex‑ROO) and ROO (Deliveroo) forecast to produce about $200M of EBITDA for the year; they reiterated the usual seasonality with second‑half EBITDA higher than first half, but flagged Q1 headwinds including front‑loaded ROO spend (Q1 ROO EBITDA ~ $25M lower than Q4), roughly $20M of winter‑storm impact in January and normal Dasher seasonality (though Dasher costs as a % of GOV showed YoY leverage in Q4). Investment cadence remains similar to prior expectations with the majority of tech replatform spend in 2026 and a smaller carryover into 2027, three priority buckets (tech stack, autonomy, merchant services), OpEx targeted at roughly ~2% of GOV, and operational milestones that new verticals (retail/grocery) should be unit‑economic/gross‑profit positive in H2 and international ex‑ROO contribution‑profit positive in H2; management also noted ~30% of U.S. MAUs already order outside restaurants and DashPass additions were a record.

DoorDash Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear profitability inflection (2024 profit, much stronger 2025 net income) alongside standout operating cash flow and free cash flow. Gross margin is stable-to-improving and contribution profit is accelerating, supporting improving unit economics. Main risks are still-thin net margins and a sharp 2025 debt increase that reduces flexibility if growth or margins soften.
Income Statement
74
Positive
DoorDash shows a clear profitability inflection: net income improved from sizable losses in 2021–2023 to a profit in 2024 ($123M) and a much stronger 2025 ($935M), with net margin rising to ~6.8%. Revenue growth remains solid (2025: ~8.6%) and gross margin has been stable-to-improving (~50.9% in 2025). The key weakness is that profitability is still relatively thin versus revenue scale (net margin still mid-single digits) and 2024 operating profit was near breakeven, highlighting that earnings power is still building.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet is generally healthy, supported by a sizable equity base (2025 equity: ~$10.0B) and moderate leverage (2025 debt-to-equity ~0.33). Returns are improving alongside profitability (2025 return on equity ~9.3% vs. low/negative in prior years). The main watch-out is the notable jump in total debt in 2025 (~$3.29B vs. roughly ~$0.5B previously), which reduces financial flexibility if operating performance were to soften.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout: operating cash flow has scaled materially (2025: ~$2.43B) and free cash flow is strong (2025: ~$2.17B), with positive growth in 2025 (~9.1%). Free cash flow tracks earnings well (2025 free cash flow is ~89% of net income), suggesting earnings quality is supported by cash. A minor weakness is that cash conversion has not been consistently high across all years (notably weaker in 2022), though the recent trajectory is decisively positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.63B13.72B10.72B8.63B6.58B4.89B
Gross Profit6.38B6.98B5.18B4.05B3.00B2.55B
EBITDA1.30B1.69B523.00M-68.00M-663.00M-296.00M
Net Income863.00M935.00M123.00M-558.00M-1.36B-468.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.97B19.66B12.85B10.84B9.79B6.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.24B5.51B5.34B4.08B3.52B3.76B
Total Debt3.26B3.29B536.00M522.00M511.00M399.00M
Total Liabilities8.46B9.61B5.04B4.03B3.02B2.14B
Stockholders Equity9.49B10.03B7.80B6.81B6.75B4.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.99B2.17B1.80B1.35B21.00M455.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.53B2.43B2.13B1.67B367.00M692.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.44B-4.39B-444.00M-342.00M-300.00M-2.05B
Financing Cash Flow2.39B2.36B-204.00M-752.00M-375.00M-483.00M

DoorDash Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price176.19
Price Trends
50DMA
210.21
Negative
100DMA
224.41
Negative
200DMA
229.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.31
Positive
RSI
36.93
Neutral
STOCH
35.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DASH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 176.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 190.16, below the 50-day MA of 210.21, and below the 200-day MA of 229.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DASH.

DoorDash Risk Analysis

DoorDash disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DoorDash reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DoorDash Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$149.77B15.4541.37%18.25%277.10%
72
Outperform
$9.53B22.2810.16%18.29%
71
Outperform
$1.33B9.5220.02%5.35%33.74%
66
Neutral
$74.73B82.8910.11%24.46%
64
Neutral
$5.46B1.96140.78%14.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
$646.98M-12.36-14.07%6.65%50.32%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DASH
DoorDash
176.19
-26.06
-12.89%
YELP
Yelp
21.48
-15.11
-41.30%
LYFT
Lyft
13.90
0.44
3.27%
UBER
Uber Technologies
72.94
-8.32
-10.24%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
1.74
-1.01
-36.73%
CART
Maplebear
35.57
-16.99
-32.32%

DoorDash Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DoorDash Reports Strong Q4 2025 Growth and Profitability
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

DoorDash on February 18, 2026 reported strong growth for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with Q4 total orders up 32% year over year to 903 million, marketplace gross order value rising 39% to $29.7 billion, and revenue climbing 38% to $4.0 billion, while GAAP net income grew 51% to $213 million and adjusted EBITDA increased 38% to $780 million. For 2025, management highlighted accelerated U.S. restaurant growth, record DashPass signups, rising engagement in grocery and retail, nearly $75 billion in sales generated for local merchants and over $20 billion in Dasher earnings across 40-plus countries, and strategic advances including acquisitions, international expansion, an autonomous delivery platform, and improving unit economics that position its grocery and retail operations to turn profitable in the second half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (DASH) stock is a Buy with a $330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DoorDash stock, see the DASH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
DoorDash Adds AI-Focused Director to Strengthen Tech Strategy
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 16, 2026, DoorDash expanded its board of directors to eleven members and appointed Milan Kovac, a former senior engineering leader at Tesla and current director at robotics firm Boston Dynamics, as a Class III director and member of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, with his term running until the 2026 annual meeting. Kovac’s deep background in AI, autonomy, and robotics—built through years overseeing Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robot program and Autopilot engineering—aligns with DoorDash’s ongoing investments in logistics technology and emerging delivery modalities, signaling a strategic push to strengthen its technology leadership and innovation capabilities in local commerce and last-mile delivery, while also modestly increasing outside director compensation to reflect the value placed on high-caliber board talent.

The most recent analyst rating on (DASH) stock is a Buy with a $275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DoorDash stock, see the DASH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026