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Lyft (LYFT)
NASDAQ:LYFT

Lyft (LYFT) AI Stock Analysis

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LYFT

Lyft

(NASDAQ:LYFT)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(8.58% Upside)
Lyft's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators. Financial performance shows improvement, but valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained, large positive free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility: supports reinvestment in growth initiatives, funds partnerships and AV pilots without immediate equity raises, and reduces refinancing risk, improving long-term capital allocation optionality.
High gross profit margin
A 42% gross margin indicates Lyft captures healthy unit economics on rides after direct costs. Persistent gross margin strength supports operating leverage as volume grows, enabling sustainable investment in marketing, driver incentives, and tech while improving operating-profit potential.
Strategic partnerships and network expansion
Partnerships like United MileagePlus and AV alliances expand customer loyalty, diversify demand drivers, and accelerate technology access without full in‑house capex. These collaborations create long-term network effects and multiple revenue channels beyond core ride commissions.
Negative Factors
Low net profit margin
A ~2.4% net margin leaves limited buffer for cost shocks and constrains retained earnings for reinvestment. Over time this can hinder ability to fund strategic initiatives internally, making Lyft more sensitive to rising costs or revenue mix shifts that compress profitability.
Low equity ratio / reliance on financing
Even with improved debt metrics, a low equity ratio indicates continued dependence on external financing. That raises long-term funding risk if credit conditions tighten, increases interest/coverage pressure, and can limit strategic flexibility during downturns.
Uncertain AV economics and rising insurance costs
Unproven autonomous-vehicle economics and higher per-ride insurance are structural risks: AV partnerships may not be accretive and require ongoing subsidies or capital, while persistent insurance cost inflation can compress margins and reduce long-term returns on mobility investments.

Lyft (LYFT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lyft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLyft, Inc. operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the United States and Canada. The company operates multimodal transportation networks that offer riders personalized and on-demand access to various mobility options. It provides Ridesharing Marketplace, which connects drivers with riders; Express Drive, a flexible car rentals program for drivers; Lyft Rentals that provides vehicles for long-distance trips; and a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for short trips. The company also integrates third-party public transit data into the Lyft app to offer riders various transportation options. In addition, it offers access to autonomous vehicles; centralized tools and enterprise transportation solutions, such as concierge transportation solutions for organizations; Lyft Pink subscription plans; Lyft Pass commuter programs; first-mile and last-mile services; and university safe rides programs. The company was formerly known as Zimride, Inc. and changed its name to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Lyft, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLyft generates revenue primarily through ride-hailing services, where it charges a commission on each fare paid by passengers. This commission typically ranges from 15% to 30% of the total fare, depending on the service type and market dynamics. Additionally, Lyft earns revenue from its bike and scooter rental services, where users pay for the duration of the rental. The company also engages in partnerships with various organizations and municipalities to provide transportation solutions, which can include incentivized rides or integrated services. Furthermore, Lyft is exploring additional revenue opportunities through the development of autonomous vehicles and potential collaborations in the freight and logistics sectors.

Lyft Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Riders
Active Riders
Monitors the number of users taking rides, indicating market penetration, user engagement, and overall demand for Lyft's services.
Chart InsightsLyft's active riders have rebounded impressively since the pandemic lows, reaching record numbers in 2025. This growth is fueled by strategic partnerships and innovations like Lyft Silver, alongside a 40% surge in driver activity. The recent earnings call highlights a pivotal moment for Lyft, with strong financial performance and expansion into autonomous vehicles, setting the stage for transformative growth. However, regulatory challenges and seasonal impacts from the FREENOW acquisition could pose risks. Overall, Lyft's strategic advancements and operational excellence suggest a promising trajectory for continued expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lyft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Lyft's earnings call highlighted strong financial growth, successful strategic partnerships, and significant advancements in customer engagement initiatives. However, the company faces challenges with rising insurance costs and uncertainties in AV economics. Overall, the positive developments significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA grew 29% year-over-year, and free cash flow generation was over $1 billion for the first time in Lyft's history.
Strong Growth in Active Riders and Gross Bookings
Active Riders grew 18% year-over-year, reaching an all-time high. Gross bookings increased by 16% year-over-year, also achieving an all-time high.
Expansion and Partnership with United Airlines
Lyft's partnership with United Airlines is now live, allowing users to earn miles on all eligible rides, marking a significant achievement in enhancing customer loyalty programs.
Successful Autonomous Vehicle Partnerships
Lyft announced partnerships with Waymo and Tensor powered by NVIDIA, positioning itself across the AV value chain and demonstrating strong strategic growth.
Negative Updates
Rising Insurance Costs
Insurance costs increased by mid-single digits on a per-ride basis, though the impact was mitigated by strategic policy reforms.
Challenges in Implementing AV Economics
Questions arose about how the Waymo deal could be accretive when others in the industry are losing money on AVs, highlighting potential economic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During Lyft's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. Lyft reported a record quarter with significant growth across various areas, including driver hours, Active Riders, and gross bookings. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 29% year-over-year, and free cash flow generation surpassed $1 billion for the first time in the company's history. Looking ahead to 2026, Lyft anticipates rides to be up in the mid- to high teens and gross bookings to increase by 17% to 20% in the fourth quarter, with multiple growth catalysts expected to drive momentum. The company also highlighted its strategic partnership with United Airlines, which allows customers to earn United MileagePlus miles on Lyft rides, and its focus on expanding its autonomous vehicle (AV) partnerships, notably with Waymo and Tensor powered by NVIDIA. Additionally, Lyft is optimistic about the impact of California's insurance reform, SB 371, which is expected to reduce insurance costs and stimulate demand in 2026.

Lyft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lyft's financial performance is on a positive trajectory with improvements in revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The company has reduced its leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, challenges remain in achieving higher net profit margins and maintaining a strong equity position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Lyft has shown a positive trend in revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.66%. The gross profit margin is strong at 42.61%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.40%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over time, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.31 in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage and financial risk. Return on equity has increased to 20.71%, showing enhanced profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Lyft's free cash flow growth rate is positive at 3.52%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 95.64%, reflecting robust cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.27B5.79B4.40B4.10B3.21B2.36B
Gross Profit2.67B2.45B1.86B1.66B1.51B917.16M
EBITDA309.24M203.16M-188.97M-1.40B-859.94M-1.61B
Net Income150.69M22.78M-340.32M-1.58B-1.06B-1.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.94B5.44B4.56B4.56B4.77B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B1.98B1.69B1.80B2.25B2.25B
Total Debt1.27B1.17B1.04B1.06B975.43M995.09M
Total Liabilities5.37B4.67B4.02B4.17B3.43B3.00B
Stockholders Equity573.03M767.02M541.52M388.67M1.34B1.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B766.27M-248.06M-352.25M-180.90M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow1.08B849.74M-98.24M-237.28M-101.72M-1.38B
Investing Cash Flow122.36M-517.98M599.75M186.04M267.01M740.43M
Financing Cash Flow-564.94M-155.87M-122.08M-87.50M-72.47M512.57M

Lyft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.88
Price Trends
50DMA
20.62
Negative
100DMA
20.29
Negative
200DMA
17.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
41.10
Neutral
STOCH
17.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYFT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.45, below the 50-day MA of 20.62, and above the 200-day MA of 17.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LYFT.

Lyft Risk Analysis

Lyft disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lyft reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lyft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.73B21.8615.33%10.16%18.29%
76
Outperform
$91.86B106.6010.11%24.46%
76
Outperform
$1.40B25.4834.42%2.66%18.30%22.19%
74
Outperform
$175.89B10.8377.55%18.25%277.10%
69
Neutral
$7.56B52.3424.53%14.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$18.92B145.851.92%20.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LYFT
Lyft
18.88
5.21
38.11%
UBER
Uber Technologies
84.38
16.64
24.56%
DASH
DoorDash
210.11
32.01
17.97%
GRAB
Grab
4.39
-0.22
-4.77%
KARO
Karooooo
46.05
2.07
4.71%
CART
Maplebear
39.81
-6.62
-14.26%

Lyft Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lyft Reports Record-Breaking Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Lyft announced its record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant increase in gross bookings, revenue, and net income compared to the previous year. The company reported $4.8 billion in gross bookings and $1.7 billion in revenue, with a net income of $46.1 million. Lyft’s strategy includes partnerships with autonomous vehicle companies and the acquisition of a luxury chauffeuring company, positioning it for accelerated growth through the end of 2025 and into 2026. These developments suggest a strong operational performance and a positive outlook for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LYFT) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lyft stock, see the LYFT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025