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Lyft (LYFT)
NASDAQ:LYFT

Lyft (LYFT) AI Stock Analysis

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LYFT

Lyft

(NASDAQ:LYFT)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(27.74% Upside)
Lyft's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators. Financial performance shows improvement, but valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with leading AV companies position Lyft well in the autonomous vehicle space, enhancing competitive advantage and growth potential.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and debt reduction.
Negative Factors
Low Net Profit Margin
A low net profit margin indicates limited profitability, which could hinder long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Rising Insurance Costs
Rising insurance costs can pressure margins and reduce profitability, posing a challenge to sustaining financial performance.
Equity Ratio Concerns
A low equity ratio indicates potential financial risk, as reliance on debt can limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns.

Lyft (LYFT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lyft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLyft, Inc. is a leading transportation network company based in the United States, primarily operating in the ride-hailing sector. Founded in 2012, Lyft provides a platform that connects passengers with drivers through a mobile app, offering various services such as standard rides, shared rides, and Lyft XL for larger groups. The company has expanded its offerings to include bike and scooter rentals, and it is actively engaged in developing autonomous vehicle technologies. Lyft operates in a competitive landscape, primarily against other ride-hailing services like Uber, and is focused on enhancing urban mobility solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLyft generates revenue primarily through ride-hailing services, where it charges a commission on each fare paid by passengers. This commission typically ranges from 15% to 30% of the total fare, depending on the service type and market dynamics. Additionally, Lyft earns revenue from its bike and scooter rental services, where users pay for the duration of the rental. The company also engages in partnerships with various organizations and municipalities to provide transportation solutions, which can include incentivized rides or integrated services. Furthermore, Lyft is exploring additional revenue opportunities through the development of autonomous vehicles and potential collaborations in the freight and logistics sectors.

Lyft Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Riders
Active Riders
Monitors the number of users taking rides, indicating market penetration, user engagement, and overall demand for Lyft's services.
Chart InsightsLyft's active riders have shown a strong recovery post-pandemic, reaching record levels in 2024 and continuing into 2025. The company's strategic expansion into Europe and new demographics, along with innovative offerings like Lyft Silver and Price Lock, are driving this growth. Despite minor pricing challenges and the end of the Delta partnership, Lyft's robust financial performance and increased share repurchase program underscore its confidence in sustained growth and market positioning.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lyft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Lyft's earnings call highlighted strong financial growth, successful strategic partnerships, and significant advancements in customer engagement initiatives. However, the company faces challenges with rising insurance costs and uncertainties in AV economics. Overall, the positive developments significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA grew 29% year-over-year, and free cash flow generation was over $1 billion for the first time in Lyft's history.
Strong Growth in Active Riders and Gross Bookings
Active Riders grew 18% year-over-year, reaching an all-time high. Gross bookings increased by 16% year-over-year, also achieving an all-time high.
Expansion and Partnership with United Airlines
Lyft's partnership with United Airlines is now live, allowing users to earn miles on all eligible rides, marking a significant achievement in enhancing customer loyalty programs.
Successful Autonomous Vehicle Partnerships
Lyft announced partnerships with Waymo and Tensor powered by NVIDIA, positioning itself across the AV value chain and demonstrating strong strategic growth.
Negative Updates
Rising Insurance Costs
Insurance costs increased by mid-single digits on a per-ride basis, though the impact was mitigated by strategic policy reforms.
Challenges in Implementing AV Economics
Questions arose about how the Waymo deal could be accretive when others in the industry are losing money on AVs, highlighting potential economic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During Lyft's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. Lyft reported a record quarter with significant growth across various areas, including driver hours, Active Riders, and gross bookings. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 29% year-over-year, and free cash flow generation surpassed $1 billion for the first time in the company's history. Looking ahead to 2026, Lyft anticipates rides to be up in the mid- to high teens and gross bookings to increase by 17% to 20% in the fourth quarter, with multiple growth catalysts expected to drive momentum. The company also highlighted its strategic partnership with United Airlines, which allows customers to earn United MileagePlus miles on Lyft rides, and its focus on expanding its autonomous vehicle (AV) partnerships, notably with Waymo and Tensor powered by NVIDIA. Additionally, Lyft is optimistic about the impact of California's insurance reform, SB 371, which is expected to reduce insurance costs and stimulate demand in 2026.

Lyft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lyft's financial performance is on a positive trajectory with improvements in revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The company has reduced its leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, challenges remain in achieving higher net profit margins and maintaining a strong equity position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Lyft has shown a positive trend in revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.66%. The gross profit margin is strong at 42.61%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.40%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over time, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.31 in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage and financial risk. Return on equity has increased to 20.71%, showing enhanced profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Lyft's free cash flow growth rate is positive at 3.52%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 95.64%, reflecting robust cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.27B5.79B4.40B4.10B3.21B2.36B
Gross Profit2.67B2.45B1.86B1.66B1.51B917.16M
EBITDA309.24M203.16M-188.97M-1.40B-859.94M-1.61B
Net Income150.69M22.78M-340.32M-1.58B-1.06B-1.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.94B5.44B4.56B4.56B4.77B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B1.98B1.69B1.80B2.25B2.25B
Total Debt1.27B1.17B1.04B1.06B975.43M995.09M
Total Liabilities5.37B4.67B4.02B4.17B3.43B3.00B
Stockholders Equity573.03M767.02M541.52M388.67M1.34B1.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B766.27M-248.06M-352.25M-180.90M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow1.08B849.74M-98.24M-237.28M-101.72M-1.38B
Investing Cash Flow122.36M-517.98M599.75M186.04M267.01M740.43M
Financing Cash Flow-564.94M-155.87M-122.08M-87.50M-72.47M512.57M

Lyft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.18
Price Trends
50DMA
20.87
Negative
100DMA
19.43
Positive
200DMA
16.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Positive
RSI
43.31
Neutral
STOCH
17.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYFT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.73, below the 50-day MA of 20.87, and above the 200-day MA of 16.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LYFT.

Lyft Risk Analysis

Lyft disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lyft reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lyft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$11.98B24.6915.33%10.16%18.29%
76
Outperform
$95.38B117.1610.11%24.46%
76
Outperform
$1.45B26.3934.42%2.67%18.30%22.19%
74
Outperform
$168.14B10.1577.55%18.25%277.10%
69
Neutral
$7.66B55.0624.53%14.90%
64
Neutral
$19.90B163.461.92%20.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LYFT
Lyft
19.86
6.29
46.35%
UBER
Uber Technologies
79.69
18.96
31.22%
DASH
DoorDash
230.94
59.94
35.05%
GRAB
Grab
4.92
0.02
0.41%
KARO
Karooooo
46.99
1.41
3.09%
CART
Maplebear
44.95
2.93
6.97%

Lyft Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lyft Reports Record-Breaking Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Lyft announced its record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant increase in gross bookings, revenue, and net income compared to the previous year. The company reported $4.8 billion in gross bookings and $1.7 billion in revenue, with a net income of $46.1 million. Lyft’s strategy includes partnerships with autonomous vehicle companies and the acquisition of a luxury chauffeuring company, positioning it for accelerated growth through the end of 2025 and into 2026. These developments suggest a strong operational performance and a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025