tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Lyft (LYFT)
NASDAQ:LYFT
Advertisement

Lyft (LYFT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
5,908 Followers

Top Page

LYFT

Lyft

(NASDAQ:LYFT)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
Lyft's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, offset by high valuation concerns and ongoing profitability challenges. The company's strategic partnerships and expansion into autonomous vehicles are promising, but regulatory hurdles and valuation risks remain significant.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Lyft's operating profit and EPS exceeded analyst estimates, indicating strong financial performance.
Market Expansion
The acquisition of FREENOW represents Lyft's foray into Europe, expanding its market reach.
Strategic Partnerships
Lyft announced a strategic partnership with Baidu to deploy autonomous vehicles across key European markets.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Lyft continues to face a powerful competitor and the burgeoning autonomous rideshare industry is ramping quickly.
Market Position
Shares remain a show-me story with sound execution required ahead, and category position and scale lag those of its peer Uber.
Uncertainty in Scaling
There remains a high degree of uncertainty on the ability to scale margins in the US as the #2 operator.

Lyft (LYFT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lyft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLyft, Inc. is a leading transportation network company based in San Francisco, California. Founded in 2012, Lyft operates in the ride-hailing sector, offering a platform that connects passengers with drivers through a mobile app. The company primarily provides ride-sharing services, including standard rides, shared rides, and premium options, as well as other transportation services like bike and scooter rentals. Lyft aims to be a comprehensive mobility solution, focusing on reducing reliance on personal vehicles and enhancing urban transportation efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyLyft generates revenue primarily through its ride-hailing services, which involve taking a commission from each ride booked through its platform. The company typically charges drivers a percentage of the fare, which varies based on factors such as ride type, distance, and surge pricing during peak demand times. In addition to ride-sharing, Lyft also earns revenue from its partnerships with public transportation systems and other mobility services, offering integrated transit solutions. The company has explored additional revenue streams, including bike and scooter rentals, as well as potential ventures in autonomous vehicle technology. Lyft's financial performance is influenced by user growth, driver supply, and market competition, as well as regulatory factors in different regions.

Lyft Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Riders
Active Riders
Monitors the number of users taking rides, indicating market penetration, user engagement, and overall demand for Lyft's services.
Chart InsightsLyft's active riders have shown a strong recovery post-pandemic, reaching record levels in 2024 and continuing into 2025. The company's strategic expansion into Europe and new demographics, along with innovative offerings like Lyft Silver and Price Lock, are driving this growth. Despite minor pricing challenges and the end of the Delta partnership, Lyft's robust financial performance and increased share repurchase program underscore its confidence in sustained growth and market positioning.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lyft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong performance with record financial metrics and strategic expansion through partnerships and autonomous vehicle initiatives. However, there are some challenges in the regulatory space and initial performance from the FREENOW acquisition.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Quarter
Lyft achieved all-time highs across gross bookings, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flows for the first time in company history.
Significant Stock Repurchase
Lyft reduced share count by repurchasing $200 million worth of stock.
Driver and Rider Engagement
Over 1 million drivers spent a record number of hours with Lyft, driving 40% more on average compared to pre-COVID levels. Active riders increased by 10% and frequency by mid-single digits.
Strategic Partnerships
Lyft announced impactful partnerships with United Airlines, Chase, DoorDash, and others, expected to drive growth with integrated loyalty programs and incentives.
Autonomous Vehicle Expansion
Lyft's partnership with Baidu aims to introduce autonomous vehicles in Europe, expanding market potential and enhancing service offerings.
Negative Updates
FREENOW Acquisition Initial Performance
The FREENOW acquisition, while promising, is expected to be relatively neutral on EBITDA in the near term, with a slightly lighter run rate than initially projected.
Regulatory Challenges
Navigating regulatory processes in Europe for autonomous vehicles and managing state regulations in the U.S. that impact pricing and insurance costs.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Lyft achieved record-breaking all-time highs in several key metrics: gross bookings, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flows. The company also reduced its share count for the first time in its history by repurchasing $200 million worth of stock. The quarter saw a record number of active riders, with new riders increasing by double digits year-over-year for the second consecutive quarter, leading to all-time high rides of nearly 235 million. Average driver engagement increased by 40% compared to pre-COVID levels. Lyft's partnerships with major brands like Chase, DoorDash, and United Airlines are expected to drive growth, with partnerships now contributing to 25% of rides. The company is also expanding into Europe through its acquisition of FREENOW and exploring autonomous vehicle opportunities with Baidu. Overall, Lyft is positioning itself for accelerated growth in Q3 and remains on track to meet its long-term targets.

Lyft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lyft shows positive revenue growth and cash flow generation, with improved profitability metrics. However, challenges remain in achieving consistent operational profitability and maintaining a strong equity base. The company has made significant strides in reducing leverage, enhancing financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Lyft has shown a positive trend in revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.56%, indicating recovery and expansion. Gross profit margins have improved to 45.3% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.51%, and EBIT and EBITDA margins are still negative, suggesting ongoing challenges in achieving operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 0.23 in TTM, indicating reduced leverage and better financial stability. Return on equity has increased to 12.32%, showing improved profitability. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting potential risks in asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Lyft's free cash flow has grown by 7.94% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, showing efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.95, reflecting robust cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.11B5.79B4.40B4.10B3.21B2.36B
Gross Profit2.55B2.45B1.86B1.66B1.51B917.16M
EBITDA265.96M203.16M-188.97M-1.40B-859.94M-1.61B
Net Income92.19M22.78M-340.32M-1.58B-1.06B-1.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.37B5.44B4.56B4.56B4.77B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.25B1.98B1.69B1.80B2.25B2.25B
Total Debt167.34M1.17B1.13B1.03B919.17M959.33M
Total Liabilities4.64B4.67B4.02B4.17B3.38B3.00B
Stockholders Equity732.68M767.02M541.52M388.67M1.39B1.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow992.97M766.27M-248.06M-352.25M-180.90M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow1.05B849.74M-98.24M-237.28M-101.72M-1.38B
Investing Cash Flow295.44M-517.98M599.75M186.04M267.01M740.43M
Financing Cash Flow-788.26M-155.87M-122.08M-87.50M-72.47M512.57M

Lyft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.66
Price Trends
50DMA
15.26
Positive
100DMA
14.83
Positive
200DMA
14.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
61.06
Neutral
STOCH
46.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYFT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.77, above the 50-day MA of 15.26, and above the 200-day MA of 14.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LYFT.

Lyft Risk Analysis

Lyft disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lyft reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lyft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.64B30.9429.66%2.36%14.21%23.74%
68
Neutral
$6.77B76.1114.07%19.94%
67
Neutral
$2.63B-11.47%29.63%29.87%
62
Neutral
$891.66M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
61
Neutral
$35.55B8.91-10.55%1.87%8.47%-8.26%
59
Neutral
$648.40M306.555.20%30.92%
56
Neutral
$231.84M-22.60%-6.88%15.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LYFT
Lyft
16.66
5.86
54.26%
SPT
Sprout Social
15.15
-10.96
-41.98%
ONTF
ON24
5.48
-0.36
-6.16%
DSP
Viant Technology
10.30
0.37
3.73%
KARO
Karooooo
52.98
15.97
43.15%
ALKT
Alkami Technology
25.23
-4.41
-14.88%

Lyft Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lyft Announces $450M Convertible Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Lyft announced a private offering of $450 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, with an additional $50 million option exercised by initial purchasers on September 3, 2025. The proceeds, totaling approximately $487.7 million, are intended for capped call transactions, repurchasing Class A common stock, and general corporate purposes. The notes, issued under an Indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company, are senior unsecured obligations, convertible under specific conditions, and expected to impact Lyft’s financial strategy by potentially reducing stock dilution and supporting future acquisitions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lyft Co-Founders Resign, Sean Aggarwal Becomes Chair
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Lyft announced the resignation of its co-founders, Logan Green and John Zimmer, from the Board of Directors, completing a two-year transition plan. They converted all Class B shares to Class A shares, establishing a one-share, one-vote standard, which enhances governance and reflects confidence in Lyft’s future. Sean Aggarwal was elected as the new Chair of the Board, maintaining board leadership and independence. These changes are expected to strengthen Lyft’s market position and governance structure, with the company poised for continued growth under CEO David Risher’s leadership.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lyft Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Lyft announced record financial results for Q2 2025, with significant increases in gross bookings, revenue, and net income compared to the previous year. The company highlighted its strategic partnerships with Baidu and United Airlines and its acquisition of Freenow, which are expected to drive further growth and strengthen its market position.

Business Operations and Strategy
Lyft Approves New Employee Incentive Compensation Plan
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Lyft‘s Board of Directors approved an Employee Incentive Compensation Plan designed to motivate employees by offering incentive awards based on performance goals. This plan allows for flexibility in selecting participants and setting performance targets, aiming to enhance employee engagement and drive company performance.

Executive/Board Changes
Lyft Appoints Stephen Hope as Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Lyft announced the appointment of Stephen Hope as the new Chief Accounting Officer, effective July 7, 2025. Hope, who previously held significant roles at Autodesk, will take over from Erin Brewer, who remains the CFO. His compensation includes a base salary, bonus opportunities, and stock awards, reflecting Lyft’s strategic move to strengthen its financial leadership.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Lyft Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Lyft, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where four proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected three Class III directors to serve until the 2028 meeting, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers. However, a stockholder proposal regarding an assessment of Lyft’s use of artificial intelligence was not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025