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Compass (COMP)
NYSE:COMP

Compass (COMP) AI Stock Analysis

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COMP

Compass

(NYSE:COMP)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(1.10% Upside)
Compass's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, including a significant merger and credit agreement. However, the score is tempered by ongoing profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio, indicating valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Agent Recruitment
Successful agent recruitment enhances service capacity and market presence, contributing to sustained competitive advantage.
Merger with Anywhere
The merger is expected to diversify revenue streams and achieve operational synergies, strengthening market position.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder reinvestment and growth, posing risks to long-term financial stability.
Increasing Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure margins and profitability, affecting the company's ability to sustain growth.
Legal Expenses
Continued legal expenses may drain resources and distract management, impacting operational efficiency and profitability.

Compass (COMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compass Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompass, Inc. provides real estate brokerage services in the United States. It operates a cloud-based platform that provides an integrated suite of software for customer relationship management, marketing, client service, operations, and other functionality, as well as brokerage and adjacent services in the real estate industry. The company offers mobile apps that allow agents to manage their business anywhere as well as designs consumer-grade interfaces, an automated workflows for agent-client interactions. The company was formerly known as Urban Compass, Inc. and changed its name to Compass, Inc. in January 2021.Compass, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompass generates revenue primarily through commissions earned on real estate transactions facilitated by its agents. Typically, the company takes a percentage of the commission paid by sellers to agents, which can vary based on the market and specific agreements. Additionally, Compass provides premium tools and services to its agents, which may include marketing support, technology platforms, and training resources, for which agents may pay fees or commission splits. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with various tech firms and real estate platforms to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, contributing further to its revenue streams.

Compass Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted record-breaking financial performance, strong agent recruitment, and successful integration of acquisitions. The company is making significant strides in AI to enhance agent productivity. However, there are concerns with increasing operating expenses and ongoing legal costs.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Q3 Revenue and Growth
Compass delivered record third quarter market share, revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, and free cash flow. Q3 revenue increased by 23.6% year-over-year, with organic revenue up 11%.
Strong Agent Recruitment and Retention
Compass achieved the best organic principal agent recruiting quarter in company history, adding 851 principal agents, with a retention rate of 97.3%.
Successful Integration and Synergies from Christie's Acquisition
The Christie's International Real Estate business outperformed expectations with a 1,000 basis point lift in attach rate and improved mortgage JV profitability.
AI Initiatives and Agent Productivity
Compass AI 2.0 testing showed promise in enhancing agent productivity and is expected to launch to all agents before the next earnings call.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated $73.6 million in free cash flow in Q3, a record level for any third quarter period.
Negative Updates
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses Increase
Non-GAAP OpEx increased to $252 million in Q3, driven by M&A and higher organic OpEx by about 3.5%.
Legal Expenses and Pending Litigation
Ongoing legal expenses related to various litigation matters were included in the non-GAAP SG&A.
Company Guidance
During the Compass, Inc. 2025 Q3 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, highlighting expectations for financial results, operating expenses, and free cash flow. Compass anticipates Q4 revenue between $1.59 billion to $1.69 billion and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $35 million to $49 million. The company reduced its full-year OpEx guidance to $1 billion to $1.005 billion, reflecting disciplined cost management. They reported record Q3 results, including a 23.6% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.85 billion, a 22% rise in total transactions, and an adjusted EBITDA of $93.6 million, up 80% from the previous year. Looking ahead, Compass expects to organically add 800 principal agents in Q4 and maintains a long-term range of 700-800 gross agent additions. Additionally, they announced an increase in the Anywhere transaction synergy target to more than $300 million in net cost synergies, with $150 million expected in the first year post-close.

Compass Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Compass shows moderate revenue growth and improved cash flow generation, but profitability remains a concern with negative margins. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, yet profitability metrics like ROE are negative. Overall, the company is on a path of gradual improvement but faces challenges in achieving consistent profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Compass shows a modest revenue growth of 5.6% in the TTM, indicating a positive trend. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 16.6%, suggesting challenges in cost management.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.65 in the TTM, reflecting better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the negative return on equity indicates ongoing profitability issues. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall balance sheet shows moderate stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company has achieved a significant free cash flow growth of 27.8% in the TTM, which is a positive sign. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.35, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.90, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.64B5.63B4.88B6.02B6.42B3.72B
Gross Profit1.07B994.50M878.00M1.08B1.11B663.90M
EBITDA52.10M-65.60M-216.40M-500.30M-428.50M-220.10M
Net Income-56.40M-154.40M-321.30M-601.50M-494.10M-270.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.18B1.16B1.53B1.80B1.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments170.30M223.80M166.90M361.90M618.30M440.10M
Total Debt481.00M497.60M533.90M763.00M580.70M512.40M
Total Liabilities775.10M765.60M728.30M1.01B953.00M2.23B
Stockholders Equity773.30M409.40M428.70M517.10M843.80M-862.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.80M105.80M-37.10M-362.40M-78.70M-101.40M
Operating Cash Flow201.90M121.50M-25.90M-292.30M-28.60M-58.10M
Investing Cash Flow-195.60M-36.60M-11.70M-100.10M-192.50M-13.40M
Financing Cash Flow-47.20M-28.00M-157.40M136.00M399.30M19.90M

Compass Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.88
Price Trends
50DMA
9.00
Positive
100DMA
8.79
Positive
200DMA
8.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
58.03
Neutral
STOCH
52.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.40, above the 50-day MA of 9.00, and above the 200-day MA of 8.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COMP.

Compass Risk Analysis

Compass disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compass reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compass Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.22B20.57130.93%1.96%17.83%118.70%
75
Outperform
$4.56B152.445.68%13.93%
74
Outperform
$5.43B-195.490.30%11.63%50.72%
73
Outperform
$7.73B-91.62-9.88%22.69%-32.47%
67
Neutral
$4.36B-149.78-3.92%35.87%85.20%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$6.12B-93.27-9.39%24.27%73.11%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COMP
Compass
10.53
4.53
75.50%
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
73.84
-28.50
-27.85%
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
53.27
-30.42
-36.35%
FROG
JFrog
63.99
33.53
110.08%
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp
17.39
-1.95
-10.08%
YOU
Clear Secure
39.25
13.97
55.26%

Compass Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Compass Secures $250M Revolving Credit Agreement
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Compass, Inc. entered into a Revolving Credit and Guaranty Agreement with Morgan Stanley Senior Funding, Inc. and other lenders, securing an initial $250 million revolving credit facility. This facility could increase to $500 million if Compass’s merger with Anywhere Real Estate Inc. is completed. The agreement includes a letter of credit sublimit and is secured by a first priority interest in Compass’s assets. The credit facility has a maturity date of November 17, 2030, with potential earlier maturity linked to Anywhere’s financial obligations. The agreement outlines various financial covenants and conditions, including maintaining certain liquidity and revenue levels before the merger and adjusting leverage ratios post-merger.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Compass Announces $10 Billion Merger with Anywhere
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Compass, Inc. announced a merger with Anywhere Real Estate Inc. in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $10 billion, including debt. This merger is set to create a premier real estate platform by combining Compass’ technology and marketing expertise with Anywhere’s established brands and global reach. The transaction is expected to diversify Compass’ revenue streams and achieve significant operational synergies, enhancing the company’s financial profile and market positioning. The merger is anticipated to close in the second half of 2026, pending shareholder and regulatory approvals.

Executive/Board Changes
Compass Appoints Ethan Glass as Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

Compass has announced a significant leadership change with the appointment of Mr. Ethan Glass as Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary, effective September 8, 2025. This transition follows the announcement on September 9, 2025, that Brad Serwin will step down as General Counsel by the end of the year to start his private practice. Mr. Serwin will remain with the company until December 31, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition and will continue to provide consulting services until March 16, 2026. His departure package includes extended stock option exercise periods, additional health benefits, and continued equity award vesting. The company has also waived repayment obligations under his bonus agreement, acknowledging his contributions over the past five years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025