Q2 Holdings (QTWO)
:QTWO
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Q2 Holdings (QTWO) AI Stock Analysis

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QTWO

Q2 Holdings

(NYSE:QTWO)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(22.98% Upside)
Q2 Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its score, reflecting robust revenue growth and strategic expansions. However, high valuation and technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock is currently trading below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth, surpassing guidance, indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust free cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, crucial for sustainable growth.
Subscription Revenue Growth
The shift towards subscription-based revenue provides a stable, recurring income stream, enhancing predictability and profitability over time.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limiting flexibility in downturns and potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Negative EBIT Margins
Persistent negative EBIT margins highlight operational inefficiencies, which could hinder profitability and competitiveness if not addressed.
Decline in Professional Services Revenue
A decline in professional services revenue may indicate reduced demand or competitive pressures, impacting overall revenue diversification and growth potential.

Q2 Holdings (QTWO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Q2 Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQ2 Holdings (QTWO) is a leading provider of digital banking solutions, primarily serving financial institutions such as banks and credit unions. The company operates in the fintech sector, offering a comprehensive suite of cloud-based software applications designed to enhance the digital experience for financial institutions and their customers. Q2's core products include digital banking platforms, customer experience management tools, and integrated payment solutions, enabling institutions to deliver seamless, secure, and innovative banking services.
How the Company Makes MoneyQ2 Holdings generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where financial institutions pay recurring fees for access to its software and services. Key revenue streams include software licensing fees, transaction fees, and professional services related to implementation and ongoing support. Additionally, the company benefits from partnerships with various financial institutions and technology providers, allowing it to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The increasing demand for digital banking solutions and the ongoing transition of financial services to online platforms contribute significantly to Q2's earnings.

Q2 Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by successful expansions and renewals. Despite some challenges in professional services revenue and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company's positive outlook and raised guidance indicate confidence in sustained growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Exceeds Expectations
Q2 Holdings reported a first-quarter revenue of $189.7 million, up 15% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of previous guidance.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $40.7 million, representing 21.5% of revenue, up 61% from the prior year.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was $37.8 million, indicating strong cash conversion and operational efficiency.
Significant Expansion and Renewals
The company signed major expansion deals with existing customers, including a top 50 U.S. bank, and achieved strong renewal activity with three of its top 10 largest customers.
Growth in Subscription Revenue
Subscription revenue increased by 18% year-over-year, making up 81% of total revenue, highlighting a shift towards higher-margin revenue streams.
Positive Outlook and Raised Guidance
The guidance for full-year 2025 revenue was raised to $776 million to $783 million, with subscription revenue growth expected to exceed 15.5%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Professional Services Revenue
Services and other revenues declined by 7% year-over-year, primarily due to a reduction in professional services, which are more discretionary.
Seasonal Cash Flow Variability
Although cash flow performance exceeded expectations, the company noted that seasonal patterns might affect future quarters.
Ongoing Macroeconomic Uncertainties
The company acknowledged macroeconomic uncertainties, which could impact customer behavior and discretionary spending.
Company Guidance
In the Q2 Holdings' first quarter 2025 financial results conference call, the company reported revenue of $189.7 million, a 15% increase year-over-year, surpassing the high end of their guidance. Adjusted EBITDA was $40.7 million, making up 21.5% of revenue, and free cash flow totaled $37.8 million. The quarter was marked by strong sales, including five significant Enterprise and Tier 1 deals, and notable expansion within their existing customer base. The company highlighted a Tier 1 relationship pricing deal with a bank to enhance commercial relationship profitability and a notable expansion deal with a top 50 U.S. bank for risk and fraud solutions. Subscription-based revenues grew by 18% year-over-year, constituting 81% of total revenue, while services and other revenues saw a 7% decline. Total annualized recurring revenue (ARR) increased to $847 million, up 11% from the previous year. Gross margins improved to 57.9%, with operating expenses at 40.7% of revenue. The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, forecasting revenue between $776 million and $783 million and adjusted EBITDA of $170 million to $175 million, anticipating continued strong performance in subscription revenue growth and free cash flow conversion.

Q2 Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Q2 Holdings shows strong revenue and cash flow growth, with improvements in net profit margin and return on equity. However, challenges remain in achieving consistent profitability due to negative EBIT margins and high leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Q2 Holdings has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a steady increase from $402.8 million in 2020 to $742.9 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, reflecting a solid growth trajectory. The gross profit margin improved, but EBIT and EBITDA margins show challenges in achieving operational profitability, as EBIT remains negative. Net profit margin turned positive in the TTM period, indicating potential improvements in cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strengthening equity position with stockholders' equity increasing over time, supporting an improved equity ratio. However, the debt-to-equity ratio remains high, indicating reliance on debt financing. Return on equity turned positive in the TTM period, showing potential for improved shareholder value.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
There is strong growth in operating cash flow and free cash flow, demonstrating improved cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting efficient cash management. The improvement in operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects enhanced operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue769.63M696.46M624.62M565.67M498.72M402.75M
Gross Profit410.74M354.48M302.65M256.35M225.03M174.60M
EBITDA92.59M42.89M29.02M-37.74M-23.20M-55.72M
Net Income31.73M-38.54M-65.38M-108.98M-112.75M-137.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B1.29B1.20B1.35B1.39B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments570.87M446.63M324.01M433.35M427.73M539.05M
Total Debt539.08M542.99M548.92M733.34M621.97M601.05M
Total Liabilities803.82M777.00M752.95M930.70M814.75M773.34M
Stockholders Equity622.88M517.80M448.48M419.02M570.30M643.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.80M129.06M39.65M6.50M5.31M-27.56M
Operating Cash Flow180.80M135.75M70.29M36.56M30.93M-2.89M
Investing Cash Flow-34.79M-21.08M113.27M-165.56M-65.13M-124.16M
Financing Cash Flow7.03M13.32M-152.01M5.88M-51.16M434.68M

Q2 Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price62.61
Price Trends
50DMA
69.64
Positive
100DMA
76.73
Negative
200DMA
80.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.57
Negative
RSI
63.83
Neutral
STOCH
85.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QTWO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 62.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.34, below the 50-day MA of 69.64, and below the 200-day MA of 80.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for QTWO.

Q2 Holdings Risk Analysis

Q2 Holdings disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Q2 Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Q2 Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$5.63B12.5832.91%50.91%54812.50%
70
Outperform
$4.53B149.575.68%13.93%
69
Neutral
$5.04B-184.770.30%11.63%50.72%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$2.96B-3.15%13.24%-12.97%
61
Neutral
$4.44B-3.92%35.87%85.20%
56
Neutral
$5.11B19.86%8.58%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
72.45
-23.93
-24.83%
WK
Workiva
91.03
0.23
0.25%
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
50.35
-34.29
-40.51%
NCNO
nCino
25.52
-14.48
-36.20%
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp
18.44
-1.14
-5.82%
CWAN
Clearwater Analytics Holdings
19.25
-10.73
-35.79%

Q2 Holdings Corporate Events

Q2 Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Q2 Holdings, Inc. is a prominent provider of digital transformation solutions for financial services, catering to banks, credit unions, and fintech companies globally. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, the company is publicly traded on the NYSE under the symbol QTWO.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Q2 Holdings Announces $150 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Q2 Holdings announced a $150 million share repurchase program, which allows the company to buy back its common stock through various transactions. This move, funded by existing cash balances, is part of Q2’s strategy to leverage its strong financial position. In its third quarter of 2025, Q2 reported a 15% year-over-year revenue increase to $201.7 million and a GAAP net income of $15.0 million, reversing a loss from the previous year. The company also highlighted significant contract wins and leadership changes aimed at aligning with its long-term strategy, focusing on AI innovation and digital banking solutions. These developments are expected to strengthen Q2’s market position and drive sustained growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (QTWO) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Q2 Holdings stock, see the QTWO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Q2 Holdings Announces Executive Leadership Changes
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Q2 Holdings, Inc. announced significant changes in its executive leadership. Himagiri Mukkamala, previously the Chief Development Officer, was appointed as the Chief Operating Officer, effective November 6, 2025, to oversee engineering, service delivery, and customer experience. Concurrently, Kirk L. Coleman, the current President, was named Chief Business Officer to lead sales, customer success, marketing, and product organizations. Matthew P. Flake was appointed as President in addition to his roles as Chairman and CEO. Michael A. Volanoski, the Chief Revenue Officer, will depart the company but will remain in his role until December 12, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (QTWO) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Q2 Holdings stock, see the QTWO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025