tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Q2 Holdings (QTWO)
:QTWO
Advertisement

Q2 Holdings (QTWO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
415 Followers

Top Page

QTWO

Q2 Holdings

(NYSE:QTWO)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(7.14%Upside)
Q2 Holdings' overall score is driven largely by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, this is offset by technical analysis indicating bearish trends and a high P/E ratio suggesting overvaluation. The company's positive trajectory in revenue and subscription growth is a promising sign, but high leverage and challenges in achieving consistent profitability present ongoing risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
June-quarter revenue was at the high end of guidance, while adjusted EBITDA exceeded the high end by 4%, and management raised 2025 guidance.
Market Position
QTWO signed 6 Tier-1/Enterprise customers and grew backlog by 21%, reinforcing the view that QTWO remains a market leader and continues to gain share in the digital banking software space.
Revenue Growth
High-margin subscription revenue now represents 81% of the business and grew 16% in the June quarter.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
QTWO has an addressable opportunity to displace legacy competition, with an estimated 60% of the market as an opportunity.
Valuation Concerns
Trimming the price target to $110 to reflect lower valuations for financial SaaS stocks.

Q2 Holdings (QTWO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Q2 Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQ2 Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based digital banking solutions to regional and community financial institutions (RCFIs) in the United States. The company offers Q2 Consumer Banking, a browser-based digital banking solution and comprehensive financial institution branded digital banking capabilities; Q2 Small Business and Commercial, a mobile and tablet digital banking solution; Q2mobile Remote Deposit Capture, a partnered solution that allows remote check deposit capture. It also provides Q2 Sentinel, a security analytics solution; Q2 Patrol, an event-driven validation product; Q2 SMART, a targeting and messaging platform; and Q2 CardSwap that allows account holders receiving newly issued cards to automatically change their payment information. In addition, the company offers Q2 Gro, a digital account opening, and digital sales and marketing platform; Q2 Biller Direct, a bill payment solution; ClickSWITCH allows financial institutions to direct deposits to the end user. Centrix Dispute Tracking System, an electronic transaction dispute management solution; Centrix Payments I.Q. System, an ACH file monitoring and risk reporting solution; Centrix Exact/Transaction Management System, a fraud prevention tool; and Q2 Caliper Software Development Kit. Futher, it provides Q2 Contextual PFM, which allows end users to add external accounts and view them together with internal accounts on digital banking home page; Q2 Goals that enables end users to establish and save towards specific savings goals; Q2 Cloud Lending, a digital lending and leasing platform; PrecisionLender platform, a cloud-based, data-driven sales enablement, pricing, and portfolio management solution; and Q2 BaaS, a portfolio of open API financial services. The company was formerly known as CBG Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Q2 Holdings, Inc. in March 2013. Q2 Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyQ2 Holdings generates revenue primarily through subscription fees and usage-based fees for its digital banking solutions. The company operates using a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, where financial institutions pay recurring fees to access Q2’s platform and services. Additionally, Q2 earns money from professional services fees, which include implementation, training, and consulting services to help customers integrate and optimize the use of their digital platforms. Key partnerships with technology providers and financial institutions further enhance Q2’s product offerings and contribute to its revenue growth by expanding its market reach and customer base.

Q2 Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance across key financial metrics, with significant revenue and subscription growth, improved profitability, and strong renewal and expansion activity. The only notable challenge was a decline in professional services revenue. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights, showcasing a robust financial outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q2 Holdings delivered revenue of $189.7 million, up 15% year-over-year and 4% sequentially, exceeding the high end of their guidance.
Strong Subscription Revenue
Subscription-based revenues grew 18% year-over-year and represented 81% of total revenue, highlighting a shift towards higher-margin revenue streams.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Q2 Holdings reported adjusted EBITDA of $40.7 million, representing a 61% increase from the prior year period, and 21.5% of total revenue.
Free Cash Flow Performance
The company generated free cash flow of $37.8 million, exceeding typical seasonal patterns, driven by improved profitability and favorable timing with customer invoicing.
Strong Renewal Activity
Renewals included three of the top 10 largest customers, demonstrating confidence in Q2 Holdings' solutions and partnerships.
Fraud Management Expansion
Significant expansion activity within the existing customer base, including a top 50 U.S. bank signing an expansion deal for risk and fraud solutions.
Increased Guidance for FY 2025
The company raised full-year revenue guidance to $776 million to $783 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $170 million to $175 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Professional Services Revenue
Services and other revenues declined by 7% year-over-year, primarily driven by a reduction in professional service revenues.
Company Guidance
In the recent Q2 Holdings First Quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the year, fueled by stronger-than-anticipated performance across key financial metrics. The company reported a revenue of $189.7 million, marking a 15% year-over-year increase. Additionally, the company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $40.7 million, equating to 21.5% of revenue, and generated a free cash flow of $37.8 million. Subscription-based revenues were a significant growth driver, increasing by 18% year-over-year, contributing to a total annualized recurring revenue (ARR) of $847 million, a rise of 11% compared to the previous year. The company's gross margins improved to 57.9%, attributed to a shift towards higher-margin subscription revenues. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $776 million to $783 million and increased its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $170 million and $175 million. Subscription revenue growth expectations for the full year were also raised to at least 15.5%, underscoring the company's confidence in its profitability growth strategy amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.

Q2 Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Q2 Holdings displays strong revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, but faces ongoing profitability challenges and a reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Q2 Holdings has shown consistent revenue growth over the years with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $720.7M, up from $402.8M in 2020, indicating a strong expansion trajectory. However, the company faces challenges in profitability, with negative net income and EBIT margins in the TTM period, although EBITDA margins have improved. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 51.1%, suggesting effective cost management at the gross level.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, with total debt at $539.0M and stockholders' equity at $545.5M in the TTM period. The equity ratio is 40.4%, indicating a balanced capital structure. The return on equity remains negative due to ongoing net losses, which is a concern for investors looking for profitability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Q2 Holdings has demonstrated significant improvement in operating cash flow, with TTM operating cash flow of $165.8M, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. Free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, supported by positive free cash flow growth. However, the reliance on external financing in the past could pose risks if cash flows do not sustain their growth trajectory.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue742.95M696.46M624.62M565.67M498.72M402.75M
Gross Profit390.96M354.48M302.65M256.35M225.03M174.60M
EBITDA53.05M42.89M29.02M-37.74M-23.20M-55.72M
Net Income4.88M-38.54M-65.38M-108.98M-112.75M-137.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.39B1.29B1.20B1.35B1.39B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments414.27M446.63M324.01M433.35M427.73M539.05M
Total Debt539.32M541.12M546.49M731.09M621.97M601.05M
Total Liabilities801.08M777.00M752.95M930.70M814.75M773.34M
Stockholders Equity584.34M517.80M448.48M419.02M570.30M643.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow179.61M129.06M39.65M6.50M5.31M-27.56M
Operating Cash Flow178.46M135.75M70.29M36.56M30.93M-2.89M
Investing Cash Flow-74.75M-21.08M113.27M-165.56M-65.13M-124.16M
Financing Cash Flow6.09M13.32M-152.01M5.88M-51.16M434.68M

Q2 Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price81.20
Price Trends
50DMA
89.84
Negative
100DMA
84.86
Negative
200DMA
89.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.81
Positive
RSI
24.50
Positive
STOCH
12.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QTWO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 81.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.71, below the 50-day MA of 89.84, and below the 200-day MA of 89.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.50 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QTWO.

Q2 Holdings Risk Analysis

Q2 Holdings disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Q2 Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Q2 Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.72B23.1017.27%6.72%43.44%
74
Outperform
$4.41B482.280.97%14.52%
65
Neutral
$5.07B1,324.630.92%13.34%
63
Neutral
$3.45B-2.75%13.39%16.12%
50
Neutral
AU$1.67B2.51-31.66%3.50%16.55%-7.79%
50
Neutral
$3.24B-4.16%17.70%61.98%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
76.53
9.83
14.74%
ALRM
Alarm
54.05
-11.90
-18.04%
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
42.85
-3.92
-8.38%
NCNO
nCino
27.92
-3.53
-11.22%
INTA
Intapp
39.03
5.30
15.71%

Q2 Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Q2 Holdings Concludes Annual Stockholders’ Meeting Successfully
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Q2 Holdings held its annual stockholders’ meeting where 94.35% of eligible shares were represented. During the meeting, all director nominees were elected, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and the compensation for the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (QTWO) stock is a Hold with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Q2 Holdings stock, see the QTWO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025