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JFrog (FROG)
NASDAQ:FROG
US Market

JFrog (FROG) AI Stock Analysis

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FROG

JFrog

(NASDAQ:FROG)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(7.77% Upside)
JFrog's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights, including robust revenue growth and strategic investments in AI. However, the negative P/E ratio and lack of profitability weigh down the valuation score, presenting a risk. The company's financial performance shows potential for future stability, but current profitability challenges remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth indicates JFrog's successful market penetration and product adoption, which supports long-term business expansion.
Enterprise Customer Expansion
The expansion in enterprise customers reflects JFrog's ability to scale its solutions for larger clients, enhancing revenue stability and growth potential.
Innovation in AI and Machine Learning
Investments in AI and ML enhance JFrog's product offerings, positioning it to capitalize on emerging technology trends and drive future growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges may limit JFrog's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation, affecting long-term financial health.
Longer Sales Cycles for Security Solutions
Extended sales cycles could delay revenue realization and impact cash flow, posing a risk to achieving projected growth targets.
Challenges in Cloud Adoption
Hesitancy in cloud adoption may slow JFrog's growth in the cloud segment, affecting its ability to capitalize on this strategic area.

JFrog (FROG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JFrog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJFrog Ltd. provides DevOps platform in the United States. The company's products include JFrog Artifactory, a package repository that allows teams and organizations to store, update, and manage their software packages at any scale; JFrog Pipelines, an integration/continuous delivery tool for automating and orchestrating the movement of software packages; JFrog Xray, which scan JFrog Artifactory; and JFrog Distribution that provides software package distribution with enterprise-grade performance. Its products include JFrog Artifactory Edge that utilizes and leverages metadata from JFrog Artifactory to facilitate the transfer of the incremental changes in software packages from their previous versions; JFrog Mission Control, a platform control panel that provides a view of moving pieces of an organization's software supply chain workflow; JFrog Insight, a DevOps intelligence tool; and JFrog Connect, a device management solution that allows companies to manage software updates and monitor performance across IoT device fleets from anywhere in the world. The company's products also comprise JFrog Pro, JFrog Pro Team, JFrog Pro X, JFrog Enterprise, JFrog Enterprise X, and JFrog Enterprise Plus products that offer ongoing updates, upgrades, and bug fixes, as well as cluster configuration, multi-site replication, and SLA support. It serves technology, financial services, retail, healthcare, and telecommunications organizations. JFrog Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyJFrog generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model for its software products, which are offered in various tiers to accommodate different organizational needs. Their key revenue streams include licenses for JFrog Artifactory, JFrog Pipelines, and JFrog Xray, as well as premium support services. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major cloud service providers, which enhance its visibility and integration capabilities, thereby attracting more customers. Additionally, JFrog may earn revenue through professional services and training for clients seeking to optimize their DevOps practices.

JFrog Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows profitability across various business segments, highlighting strengths and potential areas for cost management or improvement.
Chart InsightsJFrog's Subscription Self-Managed and SaaS segment shows consistent growth, reflecting the company's strategic focus on cloud services, which aligns with the 42% year-over-year cloud revenue increase. The License Self-Managed segment, while more volatile, has recently rebounded, suggesting renewed interest or strategic shifts. The earnings call highlights robust financial health, with a 22% revenue increase and strong cash flow, but also notes challenges like extended sales cycles due to macroeconomic uncertainties. The launch of JFrog ML and partnerships like the one with Hugging Face could drive future growth despite these headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

JFrog Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
JFrog reported strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and enterprise customer expansion. The company has seen success in cloud and security segments, supported by innovative AI and ML offerings. However, there are challenges in cloud adoption for AI workloads and longer sales cycles for security solutions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
JFrog's total revenue was $136.9 million, representing a 26% year-over-year increase. Cloud revenue was $63.4 million, up 50% year-over-year.
Enterprise Customer Expansion
Customers spending more than $1 million grew to 71, a 54% increase from the prior year. Customers spending more than $100,000 annually grew to 1,121, a 16% year-over-year growth.
High Net Dollar Retention
The net dollar retention rate was 118%, demonstrating strong customer retention and expansion.
Success in Security Segment
JFrog's security solutions, including JFrog Curation and Advanced Security, contributed to significant customer wins such as a $9 million deal with the UK Customs and Revenue Agency.
Innovation in AI and Machine Learning
JFrog announced new AI and ML capabilities, including JFrog Fly and AI catalog, expanding their platform offerings and addressing emerging trends in AI software package volume.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Cloud Adoption
Customers remain hesitant to fully commit to cloud adoption for AI workloads due to unpredictable compute costs and security concerns.
Longer Sales Cycles for Security Solutions
Sales cycles for security solutions are lengthening, as customers need time to displace existing solutions and adopt new security measures.
Company Guidance
In the JFrog Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance with total revenue reaching $136.9 million, marking a 26% year-over-year increase. The operating margin was 18.7%, and cloud revenue saw a significant 50% year-over-year growth to $63.4 million. The company highlighted a strong enterprise adoption with customers spending over $1 million annually increasing by 54% to 71, and those spending more than $100,000 annually growing by 16% to 1,121. JFrog's net dollar retention remained steady at 118%, driven by increased cloud usage and the adoption of their security offerings. The company also emphasized its strategic investments in AI and machine learning, with new developments like JFrog Fly and AppTrust, and a focus on holistic security solutions, which contributed to significant multiyear contracts in various verticals. Looking forward, JFrog anticipates full-year 2025 revenue to be between $523 million and $525 million, with a cloud growth estimate of 40% to 42%.

JFrog Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JFrog demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, as seen in its high gross profit margin. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, though profitability remains a concern with negative net income and return on equity. Cash flow metrics are improving, indicating potential for future financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
JFrog's revenue growth has been consistent, with a TTM growth rate of 5.87%. However, the company is still operating at a loss, with a negative net profit margin of -15.88% and a negative EBIT margin of -11.24%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 75.42%, indicating efficient cost management in production.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.013, reflecting minimal leverage and a strong equity position. However, the return on equity is negative at -9.79%, indicating challenges in generating profits from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
JFrog shows a positive trend in cash flow, with a free cash flow growth rate of 1.52% and a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.98. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, suggesting that the company is generating cash effectively despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue502.61M428.49M349.89M280.04M206.68M150.83M
Gross Profit380.29M330.19M272.84M216.95M164.86M122.38M
EBITDA-51.44M-69.64M-60.24M-62.73M-59.62M-10.53M
Net Income-79.81M-69.24M-61.26M-90.18M-64.20M-9.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.13B972.56M871.22M852.53M689.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments651.06M522.01M545.01M443.20M421.13M598.06M
Total Debt11.15M13.98M22.23M23.96M27.31M0.00
Total Liabilities406.11M356.38M293.43M246.45M213.95M135.34M
Stockholders Equity859.42M773.53M679.12M624.77M638.58M553.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.90M107.78M72.17M16.80M23.67M25.94M
Operating Cash Flow144.15M110.92M74.16M21.43M27.90M29.46M
Investing Cash Flow-162.41M-165.36M-53.48M-53.34M-125.55M-311.80M
Financing Cash Flow33.59M21.23M18.37M11.03M1.44M406.13M

JFrog Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.81
Price Trends
50DMA
57.28
Positive
100DMA
52.16
Positive
200DMA
45.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.66
Positive
RSI
63.93
Neutral
STOCH
50.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FROG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.62, above the 50-day MA of 57.28, and above the 200-day MA of 45.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FROG.

JFrog Risk Analysis

JFrog disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JFrog reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JFrog Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.51B14.5432.91%50.91%54812.50%
74
Outperform
$5.61B0.30%11.63%50.72%
73
Outperform
$7.90B-95.66-9.88%22.69%-32.47%
67
Neutral
$4.33B-154.95-3.92%35.87%85.20%
62
Neutral
$6.40B-146.38-5.17%27.35%18.18%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$5.95B-93.71-9.39%24.27%73.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FROG
JFrog
66.81
36.64
121.45%
BILL
Bill.com Holdings
56.13
-33.32
-37.25%
COMP
Compass
10.58
4.55
75.46%
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp
17.99
-0.74
-3.95%
CWAN
Clearwater Analytics Holdings
24.06
-4.13
-14.65%
GTLB
Gitlab
38.38
-21.63
-36.04%

JFrog Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
JFrog Appoints Sigal Zarmi to Board of Directors
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 19, 2025, JFrog Ltd. announced the appointment of Sigal Zarmi to its Board of Directors, effective November 1, 2025. Zarmi, a seasoned CIO and digital transformation executive with experience at companies like Morgan Stanley and PwC, is expected to drive strategic enterprise growth in the areas of DevOps, DevSecOps, and MLOps. Her appointment comes amid significant shifts in the enterprise software market, and her expertise is anticipated to bolster JFrog’s position as a leader in the software and AI-driven world.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025