tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Clear Secure (YOU)
NYSE:YOU
US Market

Clear Secure (YOU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
538 Followers

Top Page

YO

Clear Secure

(NYSE:YOU)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(10.84%Upside)
Clear Secure's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. The technical analysis indicates potential short-term bearish trends, while valuation remains attractive. Attention to balance sheet improvements and monitoring macro risks are advisable.
Positive Factors
Member Experience
The company is positioning for a stronger member experience with new workflows and the EnVe pod system rolled out to their 59 airport locations.
Revenue Generation
Clear Secure, Inc. has started charging United Premier 1K members for CLEAR+, which is expected to generate additional revenue.
Negative Factors
Bookings Guidance
Shares are trading lower post the print as consensus bookings is likely re-set modestly lower for FY25.
Leadership Changes
Ken Cornick, President and CFO, announced his resignation in conjunction with the Q4 call.

Clear Secure (YOU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clear Secure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClear Secure, Inc. provides a member-centric secure identity platform in the United States. The company's secure identity platform is a multi-layered infrastructure consisting of front-end, including enrollment, verification, and linking. It also offers CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, which enables access to predictable entry lanes in airport security checkpoints, as well as access to broader network; and CLEAR app, a consumer-facing digital product that facilitates new user enrollment and member engagement from their mobile device. In addition, the company provides Reserve powered by CLEAR, a virtual queuing technology that provides users with the choice of how they queue either at home or on the move; and Atlas Certified, an automated solution to verify professional licenses and certification data across industries by communicating with certifying organizations for on-demand, current, and trusted data. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyClear Secure, Inc. generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based model. Individuals pay a recurring fee for membership, which grants them expedited entry at airports and other venues using the company's biometric identity verification platform. Additional revenue streams include partnerships with airports, airlines, and event operators who integrate Clear's technology to improve their customer experience. The company may also earn from corporate memberships and collaborations with government entities for identity management solutions.

Clear Secure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant membership growth, innovations, and strategic partnerships, with positive financial performance in terms of revenue and free cash flow. However, there are concerns about retention impacts from pricing changes and potential risks from macroeconomic factors and Real ID implementation.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Membership Growth
CLEAR ended the quarter with 31.2 million total members, up 42.3% year-over-year, indicating strong traction for CLEAR1.
Revenue and Free Cash Flow Growth
Total bookings were $207 million and free cash flow was $91 million, representing 14.8% and 17.6% growth respectively year-over-year.
Expansion of TSA PreCheck Enrollment
165 locations are now live, expanding the reach and availability of TSA PreCheck enrollment and enhancing member acquisitions.
New Product Innovations
Introduction of EnVe Pods and ePassport, which enhance member experience through automation and faster verification.
Partnership with DocuSign
A significant partnership with DocuSign will integrate CLEAR's identity verification for secure digital agreements.
Operating Income and EBITDA Margins
Generated $37 million of operating income with a 17.7% margin and $52 million of adjusted EBITDA with a 24.7% margin.
Negative Updates
Gross Dollar Retention Decline
Gross dollar retention was 87.1%, down 140 basis points sequentially due to previous pricing increases.
Potential Macro and Real ID Implementation Risks
There is uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment and potential disruptions from the Real ID implementation.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal first quarter of 2025, CLEAR provided robust guidance, reflecting strong growth and strategic initiatives. The company reported 31.2 million total members, marking a 42.3% year-over-year increase. Total bookings reached $207 million, with a 14.8% growth rate, and free cash flow stood at $91 million, up by 17.6%. Active CLEAR+ members grew by 9.1% to 7.4 million, while gross dollar retention was 87.1%, down slightly due to prior pricing increases. CLEAR reaffirmed its full-year 2025 free cash flow guidance of at least $310 million and projected Q2 revenue of $214 million to $216 million, with bookings anticipated to grow between 10.4% to 15.1% at the midpoint. The company highlighted its strategic focus on enhancing member experience, expanding its network, and leveraging new technologies like ePassport and eGates to drive future growth.

Clear Secure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Clear Secure demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient cash management. The company faces potential risks due to moderate leverage and declining equity ratios, but overall maintains a solid financial position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Clear Secure has demonstrated impressive revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory from $230.8M in 2020 to $802.8M in TTM 2025. The company has also shown strong profitability with a net profit margin of 21.9% in TTM 2025, improving from negative margins in previous years. The gross profit margin has remained robust, at 62.2% in TTM 2025, indicating efficient cost management. The EBITDA margin of 20.4% in TTM 2025 reflects healthy operational performance. Overall, the income statement indicates strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Clear Secure maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02 in TTM 2025, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio has decreased to 10.5% in TTM 2025, suggesting a potential risk in financial stability due to a decline in equity value. However, the company has managed to maintain a positive return on equity of 151.1% in TTM 2025, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Clear Secure has shown robust operating cash flow, increasing to $313.7M in TTM 2025. The free cash flow has also grown significantly to $297.6M in TTM 2025, reflecting efficient cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.78 indicates strong cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69 further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its profits. These metrics suggest a healthy cash flow situation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
802.81M770.49M613.58M437.43M253.95M230.80M
Gross Profit
499.56M489.34M382.11M276.38M149.02M157.08M
EBIT
136.91M123.19M20.14M-129.06M-114.93M-18.93M
EBITDA
163.83M149.67M41.79M-94.94M-102.58M-9.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
176.28M169.68M28.11M-115.44M-115.17M-9.31M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
529.88M609.50M723.10M704.75M615.34M154.04M
Total Assets
1.11B1.19B1.05B1.04B812.75M232.27M
Total Debt
119.57M121.25M127.38M130.11M0.000.00
Net Debt
32.01M54.36M69.48M91.17M-280.11M-116.23M
Total Liabilities
985.35M956.99M675.78M526.60M273.28M149.91M
Stockholders Equity
116.69M198.35M233.33M291.06M277.61M82.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
297.57M283.67M198.90M136.40M40.74M-29.26M
Operating Cash Flow
313.68M295.68M225.03M168.31M69.71M-12.34M
Investing Cash Flow
180.83M113.78M-15.51M-359.59M-403.20M-21.58M
Financing Cash Flow
-471.56M-401.55M-216.01M-48.87M503.40M-63.05M

Clear Secure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.36
Price Trends
50DMA
25.19
Negative
100DMA
24.71
Negative
200DMA
26.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
44.16
Neutral
STOCH
9.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YOU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.07, below the 50-day MA of 25.19, and below the 200-day MA of 26.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for YOU.

Clear Secure Risk Analysis

Clear Secure disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clear Secure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clear Secure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
YOYOU
75
Outperform
$3.24B13.07124.77%2.05%21.59%223.84%
74
Outperform
$4.56B-6.85%20.46%39.37%
73
Outperform
$4.60B-63.52%30.08%-196.62%
68
Neutral
$4.75B-10.47%21.66%-50.24%
62
Neutral
$11.96B10.09-7.50%3.10%7.33%-8.11%
59
Neutral
$2.84B-0.82%3.04%-26.04%85.84%
58
Neutral
$2.95B-3.84%4.82%73.90%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
YOU
Clear Secure
24.54
6.27
34.32%
FROG
JFrog
41.44
8.68
26.50%
ALIT
Alight
5.24
-2.16
-29.19%
GBTG
Global Business Travel Group
6.02
-0.41
-6.38%
GRND
Grindr
23.02
13.32
137.32%
FRSH
Freshworks
15.32
3.14
25.78%

Clear Secure Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Clear Secure Announces Leadership Changes Amid Strong Growth
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 20, 2025, Clear Secure announced the resignation of Kenneth Cornick as President and CFO, effective March 31, 2025, with Michael Barkin and Jennifer Hsu appointed as his successors. The company reported strong financial performance in Q4 2024, with a 20.7% increase in revenue and significant growth in member enrollments, positioning itself for continued expansion in 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.