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Grindr (GRND)
NYSE:GRND
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Grindr (GRND) AI Stock Analysis

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GRND

Grindr

(NYSE:GRND)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(9.20% Upside)
Grindr's overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment. However, significant challenges in profitability, valuation concerns, and technical weakness weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Product Expansion
The expansion of Grindr Inc.'s product offerings is expected to drive significant growth, supported by new product initiatives and advertising revenue.
Revenue Growth
Grindr Inc. reported a 27% year-over-year revenue growth in the second quarter, reflecting strong advertising performance and robust engagement.
Share Buyback
Grindr Inc. announced a buyback program of up to $500 million, indicating confidence in their business and supporting stock value.
Negative Factors
Direct Revenue
Grindr Inc.'s direct revenue growth was lower than expected, despite robust advertising growth, potentially impacting overall financial performance.
Market Challenges
Grindr Inc. faces challenges in expanding further in direct revenue streams, as lower than expected growth could affect future revenue targets.

Grindr (GRND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grindr Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrindr Inc. operates social network platform for the LGBTQ community. Its platform enables gay, bi, trans, and queer people to engage with each other, share content and experiences, and express themselves. It offers a free, ad-supported service and a premium subscription version. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in West Hollywood, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrindr generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based model and in-app advertising. The app offers a premium service known as Grindr XTRA, which provides users with additional features such as ad-free browsing, unlimited blocks and favorites, and advanced filters for a monthly fee. Additionally, Grindr offers another premium tier called Grindr Unlimited, which includes even more exclusive features such as incognito browsing and the ability to unsend messages. Alongside subscriptions, Grindr monetizes its large user base through targeted advertising, partnering with brands to deliver ads that resonate with its audience. These revenue streams are further supported by strategic partnerships with companies and organizations that align with its brand values and community focus.

Grindr Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue growth, successful product launches, and positive net income. However, the company faces challenges with increased operating expenses and direct advertising growth. The leadership transition also adds uncertainty.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
In Q2, total revenue grew 27% year-over-year to $104 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 43% or $45 million.
Subscription and User Metrics
Direct revenue for the quarter was $87 million, up 24% year-over-year. Average monthly active users grew 6% year-over-year to 14.9 million, while average paying users increased 16% year-over-year to 1.2 million.
Successful Launch of New Features
Launched mobile mapping in 'Right Now' and 'Explore' features, with Explore Heatmaps showing the most active areas across 21 markets.
Indirect Revenue Surge
Indirect revenue was $17 million, up 39% year-over-year, driven by new third-party advertising partners and traction in international markets.
Positive Net Income and Cash Flow
Net income was $17 million, representing 16% of revenue compared to a net loss of $22 million in the same period last year. Free cash flow was $37 million.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses, excluding $27 million in cost of revenue, were $53 million, up 43% year-over-year, primarily driven by stock-based compensation.
Challenges in Direct Advertising
Despite growth in the indirect advertising business, the direct advertising segment faced challenges in expanding the categories and verticals of brand partnerships.
Leadership Transition
CFO Vandana Mehta-Krantz announced her transition, although she will remain in her role until a successor is found.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Grindr demonstrated robust financial performance, with total revenue increasing by 27% year-over-year to $104 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 43%, equivalent to $45 million. The company reported direct revenue of $87 million, up 24% year-over-year, with strong growth driven by subscription offerings and enhancements in recommendations. Average monthly active users (MAUs) grew by 6% year-over-year to 14.9 million, while average paying users increased by 16% to 1.2 million. The average direct revenue per paying user rose by 7% to $23.65. Indirect revenue surged by 39% year-over-year to $17 million due to new third-party advertising partners and international market traction. Operating expenses, excluding $27 million in cost of revenue, were $53 million, reflecting a 43% increase primarily due to stock-based compensation. Net income amounted to $17 million, translating to 16% of revenue, a significant improvement from a net loss of $22 million in the previous year. The company also generated free cash flow of $37 million and ended the quarter with $121 million in cash and cash equivalents. Grindr reaffirmed its full-year outlook, anticipating at least 26% revenue growth and a minimum adjusted EBITDA margin of 43%.

Grindr Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grindr shows strong revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, but struggles with profitability and balance sheet stability. Operational inefficiencies and leverage need addressing for better financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Grindr's revenue has shown consistent growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 6.02%. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the periods. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 74%, but the negative EBITDA margin suggests operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows improvement in the debt-to-equity ratio, now at 0.08 in the TTM period, reflecting reduced leverage. However, the company has faced challenges with negative equity in previous years, impacting return on equity, which is currently negative. The equity ratio is not favorable, indicating potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Grindr's cash flow position is improving, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 25.54% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.57, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly below 1, suggesting room for improvement in cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue385.10M344.64M259.69M195.01M145.83M104.46M
Gross Profit286.19M257.06M192.23M143.74M108.47M73.04M
EBITDA-6.94M-75.76M21.30M70.09M68.23M27.01M
Net Income-55.51M-131.00M-55.77M852.00K5.06M-20.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets547.62M479.09M444.60M438.83M449.73M503.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.83M59.15M27.61M8.72M15.78M41.39M
Total Debt15.00M293.91M344.25M365.34M137.12M193.93M
Total Liabilities359.93M610.66M462.89M434.78M186.49M247.45M
Stockholders Equity187.69M-131.57M-18.29M4.05M263.24M-10.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow117.15M94.01M31.92M45.06M30.63M-812.36K
Operating Cash Flow119.97M94.96M36.15M50.64M34.43M-345.36K
Investing Cash Flow-4.04M-5.34M-4.23M-5.58M-3.80M-278.76M
Financing Cash Flow-11.45M-58.85M-13.04M-52.11M-56.25M280.25M

Grindr Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.11
Price Trends
50DMA
18.70
Negative
100DMA
20.60
Negative
200DMA
18.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.93
Negative
RSI
30.26
Neutral
STOCH
12.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.17, below the 50-day MA of 18.70, and below the 200-day MA of 18.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRND.

Grindr Risk Analysis

Grindr disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grindr reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grindr Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.20B9.5521.16%6.79%12.97%
68
Neutral
$6.83B77.3014.07%19.94%
66
Neutral
$4.41B-8.21%40.60%79.56%
63
Neutral
$7.88B470.512.53%28.97%98.96%
61
Neutral
$35.09B8.26-10.58%1.90%8.56%-9.51%
52
Neutral
$634.46M-75.71%-5.06%-2318.18%
50
Neutral
$2.94B-76.08%28.35%24.57%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRND
Grindr
15.11
3.50
30.15%
LYFT
Lyft
16.92
5.86
52.98%
YALA
Yalla Group
7.60
3.51
85.82%
BMBL
Bumble
6.46
-0.32
-4.72%
ZETA
Zeta Global Holdings Corp
18.68
-6.38
-25.46%
GTLB
Gitlab
43.46
-9.63
-18.14%

Grindr Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Grindr Reports 27% Revenue Growth in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Grindr Inc. reported a 27% revenue growth for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $104 million, with a net income of $17 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $45 million. The company emphasizes its strong performance and strategic focus on AI-native consumer platforms, which are expected to sustain its competitive advantage and long-term shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Grindr Announces CFO Transition on July 31, 2025
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Grindr Inc. announced the planned transition of its Chief Financial Officer, Vanna Krantz, who will remain in her role until a successor is appointed. Krantz, who has been instrumental in Grindr’s public market entry and financial planning, will assist with the transition and is set to receive severance benefits upon her resignation. Additionally, Grindr held its 2025 annual stockholder meeting on July 30, where key decisions included the election of directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm. A stockholder proposal on freedom of association was not approved.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Grindr Announces Board Changes and New Audit Chair
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Grindr Inc. announced the resignation of Gary Horowitz from its Board of Directors, with Chad Cohen appointed as his replacement and as Chair of the Audit Committee. Cohen, a seasoned finance executive, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Zillow, Adaptive Biotechnologies, and Capella Space, and is expected to contribute significantly to Grindr’s growth and strategic direction. The company also revised its Non-Employee Director Compensation Policy, adjusting annual cash retainers and equity awards for board members.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025