Grindr (GRND) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.16B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.96M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.53
• Revenue Growth: 28.35%
• EPS Growth: 24.57%
• Country: US
• Employees: 142
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 94
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 191,977,660
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,757,354
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,961,965
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.49
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 12.21
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 16.43
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -677.58
• 1Y Price Target: $21.50
• Price Target Upside: 31.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: $16.50 ▲(1.04% Upside)

Grindr's overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unfavorable due to negative profitability.

Positive Factors

Advertising Revenue

Indirect revenue, largely from advertising, grew approximately 85% year-over-year, significantly outperforming management's expectations.

Revenue Growth

Grindr reported a 35% year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter, driven by strong user engagement and rising payer conversion.

Share Buyback Program

GRND announced a buyback program of up to $500MM, indicating confidence in their business.

Negative Factors

EBITDA Performance

Fourth quarter EBITDA was below estimates, affected by investments into advertising, product, and AI.

Share Dilution

The redemption of warrants resulted in a 17% dilution of Grindr's share count, impacting shareholders.

Grindr Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Grindr Inc. (GRND) is a leading social networking platform tailored primarily for the LGBTQ+ community, with a particular focus on gay, bi, trans, and queer individuals. Founded in 2009, Grindr has become one of the most popular dating and social networking apps worldwide, offering users a safe space to connect and interact based on their location. The company's core product is its mobile application, which facilitates real-time communication and location-based matchmaking.

How the Company Makes Money

Grindr generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based model and in-app advertising. The app offers a premium service known as Grindr XTRA, which provides users with additional features such as ad-free browsing, unlimited blocks and favorites, and advanced filters for a monthly fee. Additionally, Grindr offers another premium tier called Grindr Unlimited, which includes even more exclusive features such as incognito browsing and the ability to unsend messages. Alongside subscriptions, Grindr monetizes its large user base through targeted advertising, partnering with brands to deliver ads that resonate with its audience. These revenue streams are further supported by strategic partnerships with companies and organizations that align with its brand values and community focus.

Grindr Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Grindr shows strong revenue growth and cash generation capabilities, with a robust gross profit margin. However, challenges with profitability and leverage, as indicated by negative net income and a high debt-to-equity ratio, present risks. While cash flow metrics are favorable, financial instability reflected in negative equity and high leverage needs addressing for long-term sustainability.

Income Statement

Grindr demonstrates positive revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $363.2 million, up from $344.6 million in the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong at 73.4% for TTM. However, the company struggles with profitability, showing a negative net profit margin of -26.0% and a declining EBITDA margin. The consistent revenue growth is a positive indicator, but the lack of net profitability is a significant concern.

Balance Sheet

The company shows a moderate equity ratio of 47.0%, indicating a balanced approach to using its equity to finance assets. However, it has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant total debt, reflecting potential leverage risk. Return on equity is not meaningful due to negative equity in recent periods, highlighting financial instability. While asset levels have grown, the company's leverage and negative equity are challenges.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is positive and growing, reaching $98.1 million TTM. Free cash flow is also strong at $93.3 million, showing a 2.4% growth from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating effective cash generation despite net losses. The company's ability to generate cash is a positive aspect, though continued cash flow growth is essential to support overall financial health.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	385.10M	344.64M	259.69M	195.01M	145.83M	104.46M
Gross Profit	286.19M	257.06M	192.23M	143.74M	108.47M	73.04M
EBITDA	-6.94M	-75.76M	21.30M	70.09M	68.23M	27.01M
Net Income	-55.51M	-131.00M	-55.77M	852.00K	5.06M	-20.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	547.62M	479.09M	444.60M	438.83M	449.73M	503.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	120.83M	59.15M	27.61M	8.72M	15.78M	41.39M
Total Debt	15.00M	293.91M	344.25M	365.34M	137.12M	193.93M
Total Liabilities	359.93M	610.66M	462.89M	434.78M	186.49M	247.45M
Stockholders Equity	187.69M	-131.57M	-18.29M	4.05M	263.24M	-10.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	117.15M	94.01M	31.92M	45.06M	30.63M	-812.36K
Operating Cash Flow	119.97M	94.96M	36.15M	50.64M	34.43M	-345.36K
Investing Cash Flow	-4.04M	-5.34M	-4.23M	-5.58M	-3.80M	-278.76M
Financing Cash Flow	-11.45M	-58.85M	-13.04M	-52.11M	-56.25M	280.25M

Grindr Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 16.33
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.89, below the 50-day MA of 20.58, and below the 200-day MA of 18.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRND.

Grindr Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
YALA	81 Outperform	$1.23B	9.79	21.16%	―	6.79%	12.97%
ZETA	66 Neutral	$4.41B	―	-8.21%	―	40.60%	79.56%
LYFT	65 Neutral	$5.94B	66.79	14.07%	―	19.94%	―
GTLB	62 Neutral	$6.48B	416.55	2.53%	―	29.31%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$36.26B	7.13	-7.27%	1.97%	7.78%	-8.61%
GRND	50 Neutral	$3.16B	―	-76.08%	―	28.35%	24.57%
BMBL	50 Neutral	$631.34M	―	-75.71%	―	-5.06%	-2318.18%

Grindr Corporate Events

Grindr Reports 27% Revenue Growth in Q2 2025

On August 7, 2025, Grindr Inc. reported a 27% revenue growth for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $104 million, with a net income of $17 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $45 million. The company emphasizes its strong performance and strategic focus on AI-native consumer platforms, which are expected to sustain its competitive advantage and long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRND) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grindr stock, see the GRND Stock Forecast page.

Grindr Announces CFO Transition on July 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Grindr Inc. announced the planned transition of its Chief Financial Officer, Vanna Krantz, who will remain in her role until a successor is appointed. Krantz, who has been instrumental in Grindr’s public market entry and financial planning, will assist with the transition and is set to receive severance benefits upon her resignation. Additionally, Grindr held its 2025 annual stockholder meeting on July 30, where key decisions included the election of directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm. A stockholder proposal on freedom of association was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRND) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grindr stock, see the GRND Stock Forecast page.

Grindr Announces Board Changes and New Audit Chair

On June 3, 2025, Grindr Inc. announced the resignation of Gary Horowitz from its Board of Directors, with Chad Cohen appointed as his replacement and as Chair of the Audit Committee. Cohen, a seasoned finance executive, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Zillow, Adaptive Biotechnologies, and Capella Space, and is expected to contribute significantly to Grindr’s growth and strategic direction. The company also revised its Non-Employee Director Compensation Policy, adjusting annual cash retainers and equity awards for board members.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRND) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grindr stock, see the GRND Stock Forecast page.