Yalla Group Limited (YALA)
:YALA
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Yalla Group (YALA) AI Stock Analysis

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YALA

Yalla Group

(NYSE:YALA)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(26.76% Upside)
Yalla Group's strong financial performance and undervaluation are the primary drivers of its high score. The company's strategic initiatives and market potential in the MENA region further bolster its prospects, despite challenges in revenue growth and increased expenses.

Yalla Group (YALA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Yalla Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYalla Group (YALA) is a leading voice-centric social networking and entertainment platform based in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. The company operates primarily in the digital communication and entertainment sectors, offering services such as voice chat rooms, gaming, and social networking features that cater to the preferences of Arabic-speaking users. Yalla Group’s core products include its Yalla app, which facilitates real-time voice interaction, and Yalla Ludo, a popular gaming platform that engages users through competitive play and social features.
How the Company Makes MoneyYalla Group generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company monetizes its user base by offering in-app purchases and virtual goods, particularly within its gaming platform, Yalla Ludo. Additionally, the company earns revenue through advertising, leveraging its growing user engagement to provide targeted ad placements. Yalla Group also benefits from partnerships with various game developers and advertisers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its revenue opportunities. The combination of these revenue streams, along with the increasing popularity of its platforms in the MENA region, contributes significantly to its earnings.

Yalla Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong revenue performance, strategic game launches, and efficient AI initiatives contributing to operational success. However, the minimal revenue growth and increased marketing and R&D expenses present challenges. The company's robust share repurchase program and strategic focus on the MENA gaming market potential are positive indicators.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue grew to USD 89.6 million, exceeding the high end of guidance.
Net Margin Improvement
Net margin increased to 45.4%, up 1.4 percentage points year-over-year.
Middle East Gaming Market Potential
The MENA region's gaming market is expected to reach USD 7.1 billion in 2025 with 75% year-over-year growth.
Successful Game Launches
Soft-launched Turbo Match with positive user acquisition and retention metrics; expected launch of Boom Survivor and other titles.
AI Initiatives Boost Efficiency
AI tools enhanced advertising and user acquisition efficiency and doubled event campaign frequency.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased over 7.7 million shares totaling USD 51.9 million, achieving the full year 2025 repurchase commitment ahead of schedule.
Negative Updates
Minimal Revenue Growth
Revenues increased by only 0.8% from USD 88.9 million in the same period last year.
Increased Marketing Expenses
Selling and marketing expenses increased by 30.3% year-over-year, primarily due to higher advertising costs.
R&D and Product Development Costs
Technology and product development expenses increased by 21.4%, driven by increased salaries and headcount.
Company Guidance
During Yalla Group Limited's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a total revenue of USD 89.6 million, exceeding guidance, and a net margin of 45.4%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-over-year. The call highlighted the significant growth potential in the Middle East's gaming market, projected to reach USD 7.1 billion in 2025 with a 75% year-over-year increase. Yalla soft launched a new game, Turbo Match, with promising initial user acquisition and retention metrics. The company also advanced its AI initiatives, improving content moderation and advertising efficiency. Yalla continued its USD 150 million shareholder return program, repurchasing over 7.7 million ADS for USD 51.9 million by November 7, 2025, and plans to maintain similar repurchase levels in 2026. Looking ahead, Yalla expects Q4 2025 revenues between USD 78 million and USD 85 million, with a full-year net margin target of about 40%.

Yalla Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Yalla Group shows strong financial health with high profit margins and minimal leverage. However, the lack of current cash flow data in 2024 poses a risk to liquidity, necessitating careful cash management.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Yalla Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase of 6.52% from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 64.55% and a robust net profit margin of 39.94% in 2024. The EBIT margin of 35.74% and EBITDA margin of 36.34% also reflect operational efficiency and profitability. These metrics indicate a solid financial performance and growth trajectory in the competitive software industry.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Yalla Group shows a very strong position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0015, indicating minimal leverage. The company has a high return on equity (ROE) of 19.26%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 87.85%, showcasing Yalla's strong capitalization and low reliance on debt. This stability provides a solid foundation for future growth and resilience against market fluctuations.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Yalla Group's cash flow statement reveals a lack of positive operating and free cash flow in 2024, posing potential risks to liquidity. The company has historically shown strong free cash flow growth, but the lack of current data prevents a complete analysis. While past performance shows effective cash generation, the absence of current cash flow metrics suggests a need for careful monitoring of cash reserves and operational cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue348.19M339.68M318.88M303.60M273.13M134.93M
Gross Profit228.17M219.21M204.35M189.80M177.99M73.66M
EBITDA126.74M123.55M98.37M82.77M85.30M4.34M
Net Income146.31M135.68M117.34M79.76M82.60M3.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets832.92M801.63M638.95M506.34M380.81M254.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments702.52M654.30M535.27M453.05M354.39M237.65M
Total Debt1.06M1.03M2.10M1.60M668.33K0.00
Total Liabilities96.82M103.82M76.29M66.47M44.93M21.08M
Stockholders Equity743.63M704.35M567.69M440.59M335.89M233.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00171.97M137.67M103.22M142.75M63.76M
Operating Cash Flow0.00172.82M139.32M119.55M144.24M64.79M
Investing Cash Flow0.0018.58M-226.12M-62.57M-5.36M2.48M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-12.82M-7.55M371.00K-24.56M123.77M

Yalla Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.10
Price Trends
50DMA
7.36
Negative
100DMA
7.53
Negative
200DMA
6.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
40.54
Neutral
STOCH
13.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YALA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.25, below the 50-day MA of 7.36, and above the 200-day MA of 6.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for YALA.

Yalla Group Risk Analysis

Yalla Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Yalla Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Yalla Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.09B8.4820.19%5.80%12.20%
66
Neutral
$729.07M107.886.53%3.62%-20.45%
64
Neutral
$595.05M-26.69%13.09%32.34%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.31B1,044.000.35%-0.67%-95.68%
60
Neutral
$1.44B-98.78-8.04%8.20%82.75%
53
Neutral
$1.42B-37.47%12.78%-20.47%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
YALA
Yalla Group
6.88
2.48
56.36%
PD
PagerDuty
15.44
-3.04
-16.45%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.05
-18.56
-64.87%
VMEO
Vimeo
7.83
1.52
24.09%
VTEX
VTEX
4.01
-2.21
-35.53%
AMPL
Amplitude
10.73
0.97
9.94%

Yalla Group Corporate Events

Yalla Group Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Revenue Growth
Nov 12, 2025

Yalla Group Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a revenue increase of 0.8% to $89.6 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company reported a net income of $40.7 million, a 3.9% increase year-over-year, driven by enhanced operational efficiency and a broadened user base. Despite a decrease in the number of paying users, average monthly active users grew by 8.1%. Yalla Group continues to invest in its gaming pipeline, with new game launches aimed at penetrating the MENA’s mid- and hard-core game market. The company also celebrated the fifth anniversary of its IPO and remains committed to shareholder returns through a share repurchase program.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025