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VTEX (VTEX) AI Stock Analysis

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VTEX

VTEX

(NYSE:VTEX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-3.61% Downside)
VTEX's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in AI-driven efficiency and global expansion. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and technical indicators point to a bearish trend. Challenges in Latin America also pose risks.
Positive Factors
AI-Driven Efficiency Gains
The integration of AI enhances operational efficiency, leading to higher margins and profitability, which supports long-term growth and competitiveness.
Global Expansion
Expanding globally, especially with major brands, strengthens VTEX's market position and diversifies revenue streams, ensuring sustainable growth.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Strong cash flow generation provides VTEX with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Argentina
Macroeconomic issues in Argentina may hinder VTEX's growth in the region, affecting overall revenue and expansion plans.
Slower Growth in Latin America
Economic conditions in Latin America could slow VTEX's growth, impacting sales and market penetration in a key region.
Deceleration in GMV Growth
Slowing GMV growth in Brazil may indicate market saturation or increased competition, potentially limiting future revenue expansion.

VTEX (VTEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VTEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVTEX provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. Its platform enables customers to execute their commerce strategy, including building online stores, integrating, and managing orders across channels, and creating marketplaces to sell products from third-party vendors. It has operations in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, France, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Romania, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. VTEX was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVTEX generates revenue through a combination of subscription fees and transaction fees. The company operates a SaaS (Software as a Service) model, where merchants pay a recurring fee for access to its platform, which varies based on usage and service tiers. Additionally, VTEX earns revenue from transaction fees applied to sales processed through its platform. Significant partnerships with major brands and retailers enhance its market presence and contribute to revenue growth. The company's focus on providing integrated solutions that cover the entire e-commerce ecosystem also helps attract new customers and retain existing ones, bolstering its earnings.

VTEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in AI-driven efficiency gains, global expansion, and strategic partnerships, especially in the U.S. and Europe. However, challenges in Argentina and slower growth in Latin America due to macroeconomic factors present ongoing concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AI-Powered Efficiency Gains
AI-powered support automations have driven non-GAAP subscription gross margins above 80% for the first time, alongside a 16% non-GAAP operating margin, resulting in a 41% growth in non-GAAP net income year-over-year.
Global Expansion and New Wins
VTEX expanded its enterprise footprint in Brazil with wins like H&M, Itau, and Picpay. In other regions, VTEX saw significant go-lives with new customers such as Etihad Arena in the UAE and a leading German home improvement retailer expanding into Austria.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the quarter was $7.5 million, reaching a free cash flow margin of 13%. VTEX ended the quarter with approximately $200 million in cash, representing about 25% of its market capitalization.
Retail Media and Strategic Partnerships
VTEX's retail media continues to grow, with a new milestone achieved through a partnership with Electrolux and Globo. This move positions VTEX as a central orchestrator of Brazil's first retail media ecosystem at scale.
Continued Growth in U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and EMEA continue to grow roughly twice as fast as the company overall, driven by migration from legacy platforms and a focused go-to-market strategy.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Argentina
Argentina's performance was weaker than expected due to macroeconomic challenges, including high interest rates and limited credit access, resulting in no signs of short-term recovery.
Slower Growth in Latin America
High interest rates in Latin America, particularly in Brazil, have led to longer sales cycles and slower top-of-funnel activities, impacting overall bookings.
Deceleration in GMV Growth
GMV growth in Brazil decelerated to the high teens, a modest decline from the low 20s in the previous quarter, with expectations of further slight deceleration.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, VTEX reported significant progress in its financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company's non-GAAP subscription gross margins exceeded 80% for the first time, driven by AI-powered support automations. VTEX achieved a 16% non-GAAP operating margin and a non-GAAP net income of $10.6 million, marking a 41% year-over-year growth. The company continues to expand its global footprint, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, with B2B commerce becoming a major growth driver. Additionally, VTEX is leveraging AI to transform its operations and product offerings, contributing to sustainable efficiency gains. Retail media emerged as a key revenue stream, with new initiatives in collaboration with partners like Globo. VTEX's strategy is centered on innovation, execution, and profitable growth, with a continued focus on AI transformation, B2B expansion, and enhancing its commerce platform.

VTEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VTEX has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, improved profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains a low leverage position, enhancing financial stability. While past challenges in profitability have been addressed, continued focus on operational efficiency and cash flow generation will be key to sustaining this positive trajectory.
Income Statement
78
Positive
VTEX has shown a strong improvement in its income statement metrics over the years. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is high at 76.21%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin has turned positive to 7.03% in TTM, reflecting improved profitability. Revenue growth has been consistent, with a notable increase of 1.57% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.014 in TTM, indicating low leverage and financial risk. The Return on Equity has improved to 6.63% in TTM, showing better returns on shareholders' investments. The Equity Ratio stands at 68.27%, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics have shown significant improvement. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is robust at 118.3% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.40, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.96, both suggesting efficient cash flow management relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue234.09M226.71M201.52M157.62M125.77M98.68M
Gross Profit178.41M167.29M140.57M104.79M76.18M63.83M
EBITDA20.50M14.40M-4.99M-51.09M-65.12M6.86M
Net Income16.47M12.00M-13.69M-52.42M-60.51M-914.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets354.39M366.78M341.14M357.67M414.97M140.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments202.53M214.81M209.41M238.56M298.20M76.95M
Total Debt3.43M3.31M4.10M6.79M9.27M12.51M
Total Liabilities112.43M110.98M100.81M83.00M87.78M64.26M
Stockholders Equity241.91M255.75M240.29M274.66M327.18M75.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.65M25.19M3.79M-29.56M-54.74M9.52M
Operating Cash Flow34.88M27.26M4.26M-29.22M-52.99M11.16M
Investing Cash Flow16.45M-20.01M38.42M-43.38M-166.78M-6.10M
Financing Cash Flow-53.05M-14.03M-38.43M-19.58M283.68M24.96M

VTEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.15
Price Trends
50DMA
4.26
Negative
100DMA
4.61
Negative
200DMA
5.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
52.28
Neutral
STOCH
93.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTEX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.04, below the 50-day MA of 4.26, and below the 200-day MA of 5.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VTEX.

VTEX Risk Analysis

VTEX disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VTEX reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VTEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$763.86M70.4011.58%22.27%117.93%
66
Neutral
$754.52M111.656.53%3.62%-20.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$592.09M-26.69%13.09%32.34%
51
Neutral
$796.73M-10.54%6.54%-19.17%
51
Neutral
$413.75M-25.34%-7.43%61.36%
50
Neutral
$456.84M>-0.01%9.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTEX
VTEX
4.15
-2.21
-34.75%
RDVT
Red Violet
54.22
16.36
43.21%
DOMO
Domo
11.08
1.10
11.02%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.27
-21.73
-67.91%
BMBL
Bumble
3.67
-5.15
-58.39%
RSKD
Riskified
4.85
-0.14
-2.81%

VTEX Corporate Events

VTEX Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with AI-Driven Growth
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, VTEX announced its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 13.1% year-over-year increase in GMV to $5.0 billion and an 8.4% rise in subscription revenue to $58.4 million. The company reported a 41% increase in non-GAAP net income to $10.6 million, reflecting its strategic focus on AI-driven platform enhancements and global expansion. VTEX’s operational highlights include partnerships with major brands like H&M and Itaú Shop, and innovations such as a headless mobile commerce platform for Etihad Arena, showcasing its commitment to scaling AI-powered solutions and expanding its market footprint.

VTEX Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Increased Subscription Revenue
Nov 6, 2025

VTEX’s financial results for the third quarter of 2025 show a steady increase in subscription revenue, reaching $58.4 million, compared to $53.9 million in the same period last year. The company reported a total revenue of $59.6 million for the quarter, with a gross profit of $46.1 million, indicating a strong operational performance despite a slight decrease in service revenue.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025