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VTEX (VTEX)
NYSE:VTEX
US Market

VTEX (VTEX) AI Stock Analysis

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VTEX

VTEX

(NYSE:VTEX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(11.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by improved fundamentals—profitability, free cash flow generation, and a very low-debt balance sheet—reinforced by 2026 margin and cash flow guidance. This is tempered by a demanding valuation and a weaker longer-term technical trend, alongside management’s cautious outlook for only modest near-term subscription revenue growth.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and substantial equity give VTEX financial flexibility to fund buybacks, R&D and absorb cyclical shocks. This reduces refinancing risk, supports strategic investments across markets, and preserves optionality as the company scales its enterprise footprint globally.
Negative Factors
Growth below long-term targets
A sustained growth deceleration shifts the company’s return profile toward margin and efficiency plays rather than top-line leverage. If subscription reacceleration fails, margins alone may not deliver meaningful shareholder value; scaling profitably requires renewed traction in bookings and ARR growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and substantial equity give VTEX financial flexibility to fund buybacks, R&D and absorb cyclical shocks. This reduces refinancing risk, supports strategic investments across markets, and preserves optionality as the company scales its enterprise footprint globally.
Read all positive factors

VTEX (VTEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VTEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
VTEX provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. Its platform enables customers to execute their commerce strategy, including building online stores, integrating, and managing orders across channel...
How the Company Makes Money
VTEX primarily makes money by selling access to its cloud commerce platform under subscription-based, software-as-a-service (SaaS) arrangements, typically priced and contracted for business customers that run their online commerce on VTEX. A key d...

VTEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and profitability progress (GMV growth, margin expansion, AI-driven productivity, strong cash generation, and strategic initiatives in global expansion, B2B and retail media) against near-term top-line challenges (elongated sales cycles, softer same-store sales, regional weakness in Brazil/Argentina, and modest subscription growth). Management emphasized that growth headwinds are largely cyclical and detailed a plan to reaccelerate by reallocating efficiency gains into R&D and prioritizing four growth levers, while providing cautious but improved profitability guidance for 2026.
Positive Updates
Strong GMV Growth
Fourth-quarter GMV reached $6.3 billion, up 17.2% year-over-year in USD and 10.0% FX-neutral; full-year GMV was $20.5 billion, up 12.1% in USD and 12.9% FX-neutral.
Negative Updates
Growth Below Long-Term Ambition
Management acknowledged that recent growth is below its long-term targets and described the 2025 slowdown as largely cyclical, driven by macro weakness and elongated enterprise decision cycles.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong GMV Growth
Fourth-quarter GMV reached $6.3 billion, up 17.2% year-over-year in USD and 10.0% FX-neutral; full-year GMV was $20.5 billion, up 12.1% in USD and 12.9% FX-neutral.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
VTEX guided Q1 2026 to FX‑neutral subscription revenue growth of mid‑single digits, FX‑neutral gross profit growth of high‑single digits, non‑GAAP income from operations margin in the mid‑teens, and free cash flow margin in the high‑teens; for full‑year 2026 it targets FX‑neutral subscription revenue growth of mid‑ to high‑single digits, gross profit growth of high‑single digits to low‑teens, non‑GAAP income from operations in the low‑20s percentage margin and free cash flow in the low‑20s percentage margin. Management cautioned that Q1 is the lowest GMV quarter with the toughest YoY comp, noted that January 2026 FX rates would add ~8.4 percentage points to reported USD subscription growth in Q1 and ~4.5 points for the full year, and announced a $50 million 12‑month share repurchase program alongside roughly $200 million of year‑end 2025 cash.

VTEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround: multi-year revenue expansion, return to consistent profitability in 2024–2025, and positive free cash flow with solid gross margins and minimal leverage. The main constraint is the sharp 2025 growth deceleration and slightly weaker free cash flow growth, making forward results more dependent on continued efficiency and margin execution than rapid topline growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue240.52M226.71M201.52M157.62M125.77M
Gross Profit186.34M167.29M140.57M104.79M76.18M
EBITDA25.75M14.40M-4.99M-51.09M-65.12M
Net Income20.01M12.00M-13.69M-52.42M-60.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets346.63M366.78M341.14M357.67M414.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.10M214.81M209.41M238.56M298.20M
Total Debt2.88M3.31M4.10M6.79M9.27M
Total Liabilities113.07M110.98M100.81M83.00M87.78M
Stockholders Equity233.50M255.75M240.29M274.66M327.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.33M25.19M3.79M-29.56M-54.74M
Operating Cash Flow33.37M27.26M4.26M-29.22M-52.99M
Investing Cash Flow24.80M-20.01M38.42M-43.38M-166.78M
Financing Cash Flow-61.59M-14.03M-38.43M-19.58M283.68M

VTEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.02
Price Trends
50DMA
3.55
Positive
100DMA
3.65
Positive
200DMA
4.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
59.66
Neutral
STOCH
55.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.92, above the 50-day MA of 3.55, and below the 200-day MA of 4.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTEX.

VTEX Risk Analysis

VTEX disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VTEX reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VTEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$529.97M70.9913.47%22.27%117.93%
69
Neutral
$695.43M17.458.24%3.62%-20.45%
64
Neutral
$588.37M-28.39-8.42%6.54%-19.17%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$319.67M-15.25-22.88%13.09%32.34%
57
Neutral
$447.86M-0.53-106.91%-7.43%61.36%
46
Neutral
$110.77M-4.0531.73%-0.14%21.60%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTEX
VTEX
4.02
-0.73
-15.37%
RDVT
Red Violet
37.56
1.52
4.22%
DOMO
Domo
2.65
-5.61
-67.92%
SPT
Sprout Social
5.36
-14.48
-72.98%
BMBL
Bumble
3.45
-0.41
-10.62%
RSKD
Riskified
3.97
-0.30
-7.03%

VTEX Corporate Events

VTEX Posts Record Q4 2025 Profit, Expands Enterprise and Global Commerce Footprint
Feb 26, 2026
VTEX reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 26, 2026, highlighting its evolution into a multi-product, AI-driven commerce platform and a deliberate push upmarket toward large enterprises. The company grew its cohort of cust...
VTEX Posts Higher 2025 Subscription Revenue and Narrows Accumulated Losses
Feb 26, 2026
For the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, VTEX reported total revenue of $240.5 million, up from $226.7 million a year earlier, driven by an increase in subscription revenue to $234.9 million while services revenue declined to $5.6 million. T...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026