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Oppfi Inc (OPFI)
:OPFI
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OppFi (OPFI) AI Stock Analysis

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OPFI

OppFi

(NYSE:OPFI)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(2.44% Upside)
OppFi's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and robust cash flow generation, but is weighed down by technical indicators showing bearish momentum and valuation concerns due to profitability challenges. Addressing net income and leverage issues is crucial for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Strong fourth-quarter performance and guidance for continued earnings growth have led to a significant increase in share price.
Financial Performance
The company demonstrated operating leverage and improved credit performance, resulting in strong bottom-line outperformance.
Shareholder Returns
Aggressive capital return to shareholders with expected further buybacks at the current valuation highlights shareholder-friendly policies.
Negative Factors
Comparable Valuation
OppFi shares are considered fairly valued with no premium warranted compared to its closest comparable company, Enova International.
Dilution Concerns
SPAC-era warrants are expected to increase the diluted share count, posing a valuation hurdle for the company.
Stock Valuation
Analyst downgrades shares from Market Outperform to Market Perform due to valuation concerns at current levels.

OppFi (OPFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OppFi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOppFi Inc. operates a financial technology platform that allows banks to offer lending products. Its platform facilitates the OppLoan, an installment loan product; SalaryTap, a payroll deduction secured installment loan product; and OppFi Card, a credit card product. The company is based in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyOppFi makes money primarily through the interest and fees associated with the installment loans it provides to consumers. The company utilizes its technology platform to underwrite and service these loans, generating revenue from the interest payments made by borrowers. Additionally, OppFi partners with banks to facilitate these loans, allowing them to reach a broader customer base while adhering to regulatory requirements. The company's revenue model relies on the volume of loans issued and the interest rates applied, which are typically higher than those offered by traditional banks due to the higher risk associated with their target customer base.

OppFi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial quarter for OppFi with record revenue and significant improvements in key metrics such as net charge-off rates and auto approval rates. The company demonstrated robust growth in originations and improved financial guidance, supported by strategic debt reduction and a special dividend. Despite these positives, there were concerns about macroeconomic uncertainties affecting small business lending and the need for continued operational efficiencies. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
OppFi achieved record quarterly revenue, adjusted net income, and operating margin. Revenue increased by 10% year-over-year to $140 million.
Strong Growth in Originations
Originations increased by 16%, with retained net originations growing by 11% year-over-year.
Improved Net Charge-off Rate
Net charge-off rate improved from 48% to 35% as a percentage of revenue, demonstrating better credit performance.
Increased Auto Approval Rate
Auto approval rate improved to 79% in Q1 2025, up from 73% in Q1 2024, enhancing operational efficiency.
Enhanced Financial Guidance
OppFi increased its full-year 2025 adjusted net income guidance to $106 million to $113 million, representing a 28% to 37% increase from 2024.
High Customer Satisfaction
OppLoans achieved an 80 NPS score and a CSAT score over 90%, maintaining high customer satisfaction levels.
Debt Reduction and Special Dividend
OppFi paid off corporate debt and issued a $21.7 million special dividend, reflecting strong financial health.
Negative Updates
Macro Uncertainty Impact on Small Business Lending
Concerns about tariffs and macroeconomic factors affecting small businesses were noted, particularly in sectors like transportation and retail.
Potential Challenges in Maintaining Growth
While growth was strong, potential risks related to macroeconomic conditions and the need for continuous operational improvements were acknowledged.
Company Guidance
During OppFi's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company announced a record quarter with significant improvements across various metrics. The business achieved a 16% increase in originations and a 10% increase in revenue year-over-year. Adjusted net income rose by 285% to $34 million, up from $9 million, and adjusted earnings per share increased to $0.38 from $0.10. The net charge-off rate improved to 35% of revenue, down from 48% the previous year. Operational efficiencies also played a role, with the auto approval rate rising to 79% from 73% in Q1 2024. OppFi's strong financial performance is reflected in its updated guidance for 2025, with adjusted net income now expected to be between $106 million and $113 million, up from prior guidance of $95 million to $97 million, and adjusted earnings per share anticipated to range from $1.18 to $1.26.

OppFi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OppFi demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive growth in revenue and profitability metrics, driven by efficient operations. The company's balance sheet is improving, though high leverage remains a concern. Cash flow management is a standout area, with substantial free cash flow generation enhancing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
OppFi shows strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend over the past few years, culminating in a significant increase in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin improved substantially from negative in 2023 to a healthy 15.94% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly, showing operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to substantial debt levels combined with limited equity, which poses a leverage risk. However, the increase in stockholders' equity from previous years is a positive sign. The equity ratio improved to 36.51% in 2024, indicating enhanced financial stability. Return on equity turned positive and reached 35.79% in 2024, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow statement is robust, with significant free cash flow growth from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, signaling healthy cash flow management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high, pointing towards efficient cash conversion and strong liquidity position.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue525.96M508.95M452.86M350.57M291.01M
Gross Profit420.78M388.98M344.67M251.34M239.19M
EBITDA308.60M46.35M55.32M118.20M103.53M
Net Income7.26M-1.00M7.10M25.55M77.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets641.17M601.54M579.84M502.11M285.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.34M31.79M16.24M25.06M25.60M
Total Debt332.05M349.18M363.62M274.02M158.10M
Total Liabilities406.96M407.51M420.69M344.23M186.51M
Stockholders Equity32.77M10.44M-494.00K-9.04M99.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow310.80M287.15M230.05M152.97M181.39M
Operating Cash Flow323.81M296.15M243.30M167.35M192.11M
Investing Cash Flow-243.44M-244.29M-317.24M-199.47M-98.31M
Financing Cash Flow-66.02M-27.58M61.26M48.83M-84.12M

OppFi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.25
Price Trends
50DMA
12.62
Negative
100DMA
11.20
Negative
200DMA
10.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Positive
RSI
26.09
Positive
STOCH
21.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPFI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.42, below the 50-day MA of 12.62, and above the 200-day MA of 10.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.09 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OPFI.

OppFi Risk Analysis

OppFi disclosed 94 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OppFi reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OppFi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.41B11.6521.03%6.40%9.72%
69
Neutral
$972.40M114.793.34%28.92%
67
Neutral
¥764.30B11.157.42%3.20%7.66%14.08%
64
Neutral
$823.35M-9.00%9.30%24.96%
59
Neutral
$867.21M50.49-28.35%3.82%-251.96%
59
Neutral
$779.85M-46.57%-2.39%-2961.26%
53
Neutral
$953.95M-93.00%-0.40%63.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPFI
OppFi
9.99
6.06
154.20%
YALA
Yalla Group
8.95
5.10
132.47%
ML
MoneyLion
85.90
38.52
81.30%
BMBL
Bumble
7.55
1.84
32.22%
BLND
Blend Labs
3.69
1.00
37.17%
RSKD
Riskified
5.14
-0.75
-12.73%

OppFi Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OppFi Reports Record Q2 Revenue and Adjusted Income
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, OppFi Inc. announced its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, reporting a record quarterly revenue of $142.4 million, a 12.8% increase year over year. Despite a decrease in GAAP net income by 58.5% to $11.5 million, the company achieved a record adjusted net income of $39.4 million, marking a 59.0% increase. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $578 million to $605 million and adjusted net income guidance to $125 million to $130 million, citing operational improvements and a strong customer satisfaction rate as key drivers for these positive results.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPFI) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OppFi stock, see the OPFI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
OppFi Holds Successful 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, OppFi Inc. conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where a quorum was achieved with 77,284,361 shares represented. During the meeting, all nominees for the Board of Directors were elected to serve until 2028, and the appointment of RSM US LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year was ratified, indicating continued stability and governance for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPFI) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OppFi stock, see the OPFI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OppFi Reports Record Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, OppFi Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showcasing record-breaking quarterly revenue and adjusted net income. The company reported a 101.3% increase in net income year-over-year to $20.4 million, despite an $11.4 million loss attributable to OppFi Inc. Adjusted net income rose by 285.1% to $33.8 million, marking a company record for any quarter. Total revenue increased by 10.1% year-over-year to $140.3 million, another company record. The company also improved its full-year adjusted net income guidance to a range of $106 million to $113 million, up from the previous range of $95 million to $97 million. These results reflect OppFi’s disciplined growth strategy, enhanced credit modeling, and operational efficiency, positioning it for sustained profitable growth in 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025