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On24, Inc. (ONTF)
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ON24 (ONTF) AI Stock Analysis

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ONTF

ON24

(NYSE:ONTF)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(10.09% Upside)
ON24's overall stock score reflects financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues, despite strong gross margins and low leverage. Technical indicators are mixed, and valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio. However, positive earnings call guidance and strategic growth initiatives provide some optimism for future performance.
Positive Factors
AI Product Expansion
The growth in AI product adoption signifies ON24's ability to innovate and meet evolving customer needs, enhancing its competitive edge.
Major Partnership with LinkedIn
The LinkedIn partnership enhances ON24's digital event marketing capabilities, potentially expanding its customer base and market reach.
Positive Cash Flow
Consistent positive cash flow indicates strong cash management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Ongoing revenue decline challenges ON24's growth prospects and may impact its ability to invest in future opportunities.
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins highlight profitability issues, which could hinder ON24's ability to sustain operations without external funding.
Pressure in Life Sciences Vertical
Macroeconomic pressures in key verticals like life sciences may limit ON24's growth in these sectors, affecting overall revenue.

ON24 (ONTF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ON24 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionON24, Inc. provides a cloud-based digital experience platform that enables businesses to convert customer engagement into revenue through interactive webinar, virtual event, and multimedia content experiences worldwide. The company provides ON24 Experience products, such as ON24 Elite, a live and interactive webinar experience; ON24 Breakouts, a live breakout room experience that facilitates networking, collaboration and interactivity between users; ON24 Go Live, a live, interactive video event experience that enables presenters and attendees to engage face-to-face in real-time; ON24 Virtual Confrence, a live and large scale virtual event experience; ON24 Engagement Hub, a rich multimedia content experience; and ON24 Target, a personalized and curated rich multimedia content experience, as well as solutions; ON24 Intelligence, an analytics backbone that captures first-person data to power the insights, benchmarking, reporting, and artificial intelligence and machine learning engine; and ON24 Connect, an ecosystem of third-party application integrations. It also offers professional services, such as experience management, monitoring, premium support, and implementation and other services. The company sells its products through direct sales. It serves technology, financial services, healthcare, industrial and manufacturing, professional services, and business-to-business information service industries. The company was formerly known as NewsDirect, Inc. and changed its name to ON24, Inc. in December 1998. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyON24 generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models, where clients pay for access to its webinar and digital engagement platforms. The company offers various pricing tiers based on the features and volume of usage, which can include options for large-scale events and additional analytics capabilities. Key revenue streams include subscription fees from existing customers and new client acquisitions. Additionally, ON24 may engage in partnerships with other technology and marketing firms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base, which in turn contributes to its earnings. The company also benefits from upselling and cross-selling opportunities within its existing client accounts.

ON24 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
ON24 demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic growth through partnerships and AI product expansion. However, there were challenges in ARR performance and pressures in specific verticals like life sciences. The company's positive cash flow and focus on operational efficiency highlight a strong outlook for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q3 Financial Performance
ON24 delivered a strong Q3 with revenue and profitability above guidance. Total revenue was $34.6 million and ARR ended at $124.5 million.
Major LinkedIn Partnership
ON24 signed a major new partnership with LinkedIn to enhance digital event marketing, with seamless integration for event promotion on LinkedIn.
AI Product Growth
Close to 20% of customers are paying for AI solutions, with new packages like AI Translate and AI Propel Plus expected to drive further growth.
Positive Cash Flow and Efficiency
ON24 generated positive free cash flow for the seventh consecutive quarter and is leveraging AI to increase operational efficiency.
Enterprise Customer Focus
Average core ARR per customer reached over $80,000, with a high percentage of ARR in multiyear contracts.
Negative Updates
Q3 ARR Performance Below Expectations
Q3 ARR was impacted by slower new growth bookings and deal slippage, particularly in the life sciences vertical.
Deal Slippage
There was $6.7 million worth of deals that slipped into Q4, though many have since closed.
Pressure in Life Sciences Vertical
Life Sciences, while historically strong, faced macroeconomic pressures impacting performance.
Company Guidance
During ON24's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance suggesting a strong performance in Q4, buoyed by a significant partnership with LinkedIn and an expansion of AI offerings. ON24 reported a total ARR of $124.5 million in Q3, with expectations for improved ARR performance in Q4. The average core ARR per customer exceeded $80,000, with multiyear contract ARR at an all-time high. They highlighted their focus on regulated industries, with financial services and professional services sectors growing mid-single digits year-over-year. The company's AI-driven products, such as AI Translate and AI Propel Plus, are gaining traction, with nearly 20% of customers paying for AI solutions. ON24 is also using AI internally to improve operational efficiency, aiming to reduce sales and marketing expenses from the low forties to the mid-thirties in the next year and further to the low thirties in two years. The company is targeting adjusted EBITDA positivity in Q4 and for the full year 2025, with a forecasted total revenue of $138.6 million to $139.2 million for the year.

ON24 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ON24 is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and persistent losses. Despite a strong gross profit margin and low leverage, the negative net profit margin and return on equity highlight profitability issues. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, but operational inefficiencies need addressing for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
ON24's income statement reveals a challenging financial situation. The company has experienced declining revenues over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.20% in the TTM period. Gross profit margins remain relatively strong at around 74%, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0136 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and a conservative capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, but the company's overall financial health is impacted by its inability to generate profits.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates some positive trends, with a significant improvement in free cash flow growth of 44.07% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash generation from operations relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue141.35M148.08M163.71M190.87M203.61M156.94M
Gross Profit105.35M110.07M117.44M138.09M156.25M123.61M
EBITDA-26.20M-36.66M-45.34M-49.69M-19.48M24.89M
Net Income-31.23M-42.16M-51.79M-58.21M-24.26M20.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets224.79M250.95M280.30M425.47M480.49M156.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments175.17M182.74M198.71M328.12M382.56M61.24M
Total Debt1.37M3.39M5.39M9.24M7.41M28.09M
Total Liabilities80.46M91.54M100.08M117.51M125.40M146.52M
Stockholders Equity144.32M159.41M180.22M307.96M355.09M10.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.60M2.56M-14.38M-24.16M1.63M36.51M
Operating Cash Flow9.50M4.81M-12.20M-20.46M5.19M37.54M
Investing Cash Flow48.52M-19.45M162.31M-88.98M-219.19M970.00K
Financing Cash Flow-21.40M-23.27M-124.18M-28.62M320.51M804.00K

ON24 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.45
Price Trends
50DMA
5.53
Positive
100DMA
5.40
Positive
200DMA
5.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.38
Neutral
STOCH
64.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONTF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.38, below the 50-day MA of 5.53, and above the 200-day MA of 5.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ONTF.

ON24 Risk Analysis

ON24 disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ON24 reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ON24 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$842.90M9.19%9.63%-112.71%
62
Neutral
$329.21M-25.48%-24.30%-181.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$235.94M-20.20%-6.23%28.57%
54
Neutral
$253.80M-11.81%-11.54%-54.32%
53
Neutral
$369.83M-41.00%6.33%-66.34%
48
Neutral
$234.17M-120.79%-9.86%0.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONTF
ON24
5.58
-1.03
-15.58%
EB
Eventbrite
2.46
-1.06
-30.11%
OPFI
OppFi
9.76
1.60
19.61%
NRDY
Nerdy
1.25
-0.33
-20.89%
SMRT
SmartRent
1.74
-0.03
-1.69%
LAW
CS Disco
7.21
1.29
21.79%

ON24 Corporate Events

ON24’s Earnings Call: Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 12, 2025

ON24’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth and Challenges

ON24 Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 11, 2025

ON24, Inc. is a prominent player in the B2B marketing sector, offering an intelligent engagement platform that aids marketing, sales, and customer-facing teams in enhancing their outreach and engagement strategies. The company has recently announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing a total revenue of $34.6 million and marking the seventh consecutive quarter of positive operating and free cash flow. ON24 is also raising its full-year 2025 revenue and bottom-line guidance, highlighting its strategic advancements, including a new collaboration with LinkedIn aimed at revolutionizing event marketing.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ON24 Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Progress
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

ON24 announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a total revenue of $34.6 million and a significant improvement in operating and net losses compared to the previous year. The company highlighted its strategic progress in AI-driven initiatives, collaboration with LinkedIn for event marketing, and achieving positive cash flows for the seventh consecutive quarter, reinforcing its leadership in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONTF) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ON24 stock, see the ONTF Stock Forecast page.

On24, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings with Positive Outlook
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for On24, Inc. painted a generally positive picture, highlighting strong revenue performance and customer growth, alongside positive cash flow and EBITDA. While the company acknowledged some challenges in ARR performance, which was slightly negative, they also noted expectations of a seasonal decline in Q3. Nevertheless, positive developments in AI adoption and enterprise metrics, coupled with strategic initiatives, are setting a solid foundation for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025