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Blend Labs (BLND)
NYSE:BLND
US Market

Blend Labs (BLND) AI Stock Analysis

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BLND

Blend Labs

(NYSE:BLND)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-3.85% Downside)
BLND scores in the low-50s mainly due to improving fundamentals (narrowing losses, strong gross margin, and positive operating cash flow) but held back by declining revenue and still-negative free cash flow. Technicals are broadly neutral with a weak longer-term trend, while valuation is pressured by a negative P/E. The latest earnings call adds support via continued non-GAAP operating profitability and strong pipeline growth, tempered by mortgage weakness and 2026 headwinds.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margin
A ~64% gross margin indicates SaaS-like unit economics and strong product pricing power. High gross margins support scalable profitability as revenue grows, provide room for reinvestment in product and sales, and help the company absorb demand cyclicality in lending volumes.
Improving Cash Generation
Return to positive operating cash flow signals improving underlying cash conversion and operational discipline. Sustained positive OCF reduces reliance on external financing, underpins reinvestment in product and sales, and increases resilience across lending-cycle volatility.
Product & GTM Momentum
Hiring an experienced fintech sales leader, combined with a ~60% YoY pipeline build and growth in Consumer Banking share, structurally strengthens go-to-market execution. This improves odds of accelerating adoption of AI-driven origination products across banks and credit unions.
Negative Factors
Shrinking Revenues
Trailing revenue declines undermine operating leverage and make sustained profitability dependent on recovering origination volumes or expanding subscription/consumer banking revenue. When usage-based fees fall with mortgage cycles, topline weakness pressures long-term margin expansion.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Despite positive operating cash flow, ongoing negative free cash flow indicates investment or working-capital needs still outstrip cash generation. Persistent FCF deficits can limit strategic flexibility, force slower product rollouts, or necessitate external funding if trends don't continue improving.
Mortgage Suite Pressure
An 18% YoY drop in mortgage revenue and an anticipated market-share headwind from third-party customer changes are structural risks. Given Blend's exposure to mortgage origination volumes, prolonged weakness erodes a core revenue base and requires successful diversification to consumer banking.

Blend Labs (BLND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blend Labs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlend Labs, Inc. provides cloud-based software platform solutions for financial services firms in the United States. It operates in two segments, Blend Platform and Title365. The company offers a suite of white-label products for mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, vehicle loans, personal loans, credit cards, and deposit accounts. It also provides a suite of mortgage products that facilitates homeownership journey for consumers comprising close, income verification for mortgage, homeowners insurance, and realty. In addition, the company offers title search procedures for title insurance policies, escrow, and other closing and settlement services, as well as other trustee services; and professional and consulting services. It serves banks, credit unions, financial technology companies, and non-bank mortgage lenders. Blend Labs, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlend Labs generates revenue through a subscription-based model, charging financial institutions for access to its software platform. Key revenue streams include licensing fees, transaction fees associated with loan origination volume, and professional services such as implementation and consulting. Additionally, Blend has established significant partnerships with major banks and lenders, which not only boosts its credibility in the market but also provides a steady stream of customers and recurring revenue. The company's ability to integrate with existing banking systems and offer customizable solutions further enhances its earning potential.

Blend Labs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Blend's consistent profitability and strong pipeline growth, particularly in consumer banking, but was balanced by challenges in the mortgage segment and expected market share headwinds due to the Mr. Cooper acquisition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Non-GAAP Profitability
Achieved fifth consecutive quarter of non-GAAP operating profitability, with operating income exceeding the high end of guidance.
Strong Pipeline Growth
Pipeline activity up approximately 60% year-over-year, with multiple 7-figure consumer banking deals in progress.
Consumer Banking Revenue Increase
Consumer Banking Suite revenue up 11% quarter-over-quarter, now representing 39% of total revenue, compared to 29% a year ago.
New Customer Wins and Expansions
Signed 14 new deals and expansions, including a 7-figure expansion with a top 20 US bank for solar home equity lending.
Negative Updates
Mortgage Suite Revenue Decline
Mortgage Suite revenue down 18% year-over-year due to transition to lower revenue, higher-margin partnership models, and prior customer churn.
Expected Market Share Headwinds
Anticipates market share headwinds in 2026, primarily due to lower volume from Mr. Cooper following their acquisition by Rocket.
Economic Value Per Funded Loan Pressure
evPFL expected to decrease to approximately $83 to $84 in Q4, driven by strategic transitions and market conditions.
Company Guidance
During the Blend Labs, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. They reported total revenue of $32.9 million, which was slightly above the midpoint of their guidance, and a non-GAAP operating income that exceeded the high end of expectations. This marked their fifth consecutive quarter of non-GAAP operating profitability. The company experienced an 18% year-over-year decline in Mortgage Suite revenue due to strategic transitions, but Consumer Banking Suite revenue increased by 11% quarter-over-quarter, now representing 39% of total revenue. Blend's market share in mortgage was noted at 18.6% for 2024, with expectations of a 100 basis point headwind in 2026 primarily due to lower volume from Mr. Cooper. However, the company highlighted a strong pipeline, with activity up approximately 60% year-over-year, and emphasized its focus on expanding its Consumer Banking Suite and integrating AI solutions, which are seen as significant growth opportunities. For the fourth quarter of 2025, Blend anticipates total revenue between $31.0 million and $32.5 million, with non-GAAP operating income projected between $2.5 million and $3.5 million.

Blend Labs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blend Labs is facing significant financial challenges, with negative equity and ongoing operating losses. Despite some improvements in cash flow management, the company struggles with profitability and financial stability.
Income Statement
Blend Labs has shown a decrease in total revenue over the years, with a significant drop from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin remains decent at around 55.7% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), but the company is struggling with negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating continued operating losses. The net profit margin for TTM is -34.8%, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a concerning financial position with negative stockholders' equity for the TTM period, highlighting financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not applicable due to negative equity. With liabilities exceeding assets, the equity ratio is negative, posing a significant risk. The company's financial structure requires restructuring to support sustainability.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows some improvement in free cash flow, with the TTM free cash flow less negative compared to the previous year, indicating better cash management. However, the operating cash flow remains negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is less meaningful due to negative net income. The overall cash flow situation requires careful management to avoid liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue132.56M162.02M156.85M235.20M234.50M96.03M
Gross Profit91.45M90.54M81.14M89.65M115.99M61.74M
EBITDA3.53M-31.74M-143.21M-726.85M-182.94M-68.24M
Net Income-6.93M-49.60M-185.32M-768.61M-171.34M-74.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets189.57M178.01M206.06M432.76M1.11B215.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.25M98.48M136.92M354.15M547.23M151.72M
Total Debt1.61M3.83M149.69M231.98M232.31M16.58M
Total Liabilities47.25M181.99M179.12M268.84M301.89M52.41M
Stockholders Equity142.31M-56.36M-19.24M123.17M774.64M163.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.23M-22.89M-128.21M-192.49M-129.39M-66.33M
Operating Cash Flow5.95M-13.04M-127.62M-190.42M-127.50M-65.01M
Investing Cash Flow17.90M45.40M127.31M99.43M-633.91M-7.92M
Financing Cash Flow-21.35M-21.06M-90.96M2.22M933.57M90.76M

Blend Labs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.12
Price Trends
50DMA
3.11
Positive
100DMA
3.37
Negative
200DMA
3.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.78
Neutral
STOCH
60.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.09, above the 50-day MA of 3.11, and below the 200-day MA of 3.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLND.

Blend Labs Risk Analysis

Blend Labs disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blend Labs reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blend Labs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.80B-387.30-1.68%19.87%-136.93%
67
Neutral
$881.76M-13.479.19%9.63%-112.71%
66
Neutral
$646.78M98.736.53%3.62%-20.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$651.89M-13.15-26.69%13.09%32.34%
52
Neutral
$810.41M-31.79-15.41%71.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLND
Blend Labs
3.16
-0.20
-5.95%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.64
-19.86
-65.11%
OPFI
OppFi
10.38
1.09
11.73%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
11.89
0.39
3.39%
VTEX
VTEX
3.67
-2.22
-37.69%

Blend Labs Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Blend Labs Appoints Matt Thomson as New Head of Revenue
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Blend Labs announced that fintech sales veteran Matt Thomson has joined the company as Head of Revenue, succeeding outgoing revenue chief Brian Kneafsey, who will move into an advisory role to support continuity. Thomson, who previously scaled sales and customer bases at Alkami Technology and ACI Worldwide across community banks, credit unions, and regional institutions, will lead Blend’s sales organization and revenue strategy as the company seeks to deepen its penetration among financial institutions. The appointment comes after a period of commercial momentum for Blend, which in the third quarter of 2025 added new customers, expanded existing relationships, and reported an approximately 60% year-over-year increase in its sales pipeline, following the early-2025 launch of its Intelligent Origination AI-powered lending platform—developments that position the firm to capitalize on banks’ and credit unions’ growing demand for digital partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLND) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blend Labs stock, see the BLND Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Blend Labs Reports Q3 Results with Profitability Gains
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Blend Labs announced its third quarter financial results, highlighting a significant increase in non-GAAP operating income year-over-year. Despite a slight decrease in total revenue compared to the previous year, the company reported improved profitability and expanded customer relationships, including a notable expansion with a top 20 bank. The company also provided guidance for the fourth quarter, reflecting expectations for the U.S. mortgage market and acknowledging ongoing economic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLND) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blend Labs stock, see the BLND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026