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SEMrush Holdings (SEMR)
NYSE:SEMR
US Market

SEMrush Holdings (SEMR) AI Stock Analysis

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SEMR

SEMrush Holdings

(NYSE:SEMR)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(9.43% Upside)
SEMrush Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, notably the merger with Adobe. While financial performance shows solid revenue growth and cash flow, profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio weigh on the valuation. The strategic focus on AI and enterprise solutions, as highlighted in the earnings call, supports future growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust market demand and effective business strategy, supporting long-term financial health and expansion.
AI Product Expansion
The rapid growth of AI products enhances SEMrush's competitive edge and positions it well in the evolving digital marketing landscape.
Enterprise Segment Growth
Strong growth in the enterprise segment indicates successful penetration into high-value markets, boosting revenue stability and customer retention.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could limit reinvestment and shareholder returns, necessitating strategic adjustments to improve financial outcomes.
Decrease in Paying Customers
A decline in customer numbers may impact revenue diversity and growth potential, highlighting the need to balance high-value focus with customer base expansion.
Exchange Rate Impacts
Exchange rate volatility introduces financial unpredictability, potentially affecting margins and necessitating effective currency risk management strategies.

SEMrush Holdings (SEMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SEMrush Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSemrush Holdings, Inc. develops an online visibility management software-as-a-service platform worldwide. The company enables companies to identify and reach the right audience for their content through the right channels. Its platform enables the company's customers to understand trends and act upon insights to enhance the online visibility, and drive traffic to their websites and social media pages, as well as online listings, distribute targeted content to their customers, and measure the digital marketing campaigns. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneySEMrush generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models, offering various tiers of service with different features and capabilities. The company has multiple pricing plans tailored to meet the needs of freelancers, small businesses, and large enterprises. Key revenue streams include monthly and annual subscriptions, with a significant portion of income derived from its Pro, Guru, and Business plans. Additionally, SEMrush may earn revenue from value-added services, such as training and consultancy. Strategic partnerships with digital marketing agencies and other tech platforms also contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and enhancing its service offerings.

SEMrush Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Measures revenue growth from existing customers over time, indicating customer satisfaction and the company’s ability to upsell and retain clients.
Chart InsightsSEMrush Holdings' Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate has been declining since mid-2022, stabilizing at 106% by early 2025. Despite strong revenue growth and enterprise expansion, challenges in the lower market segment and macroeconomic pressures have impacted retention rates. The company's focus on enterprise customers and product innovation, including AI solutions, may help counterbalance these pressures, but the softness in smaller customer cohorts remains a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

SEMrush Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Semrush's strong revenue growth driven by the success of its AI and enterprise products. Despite a slight decrease in customer numbers and exchange rate impacts on margins, the company's performance and strategic direction towards AI and enterprise solutions indicate strong future prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Semrush reported a strong quarter with revenue of $112.1 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) to $455.4 million.
AI Products Momentum
AI products added $10 million in ARR in Q3, more than doubling from Q2, with expected total AI product ARR to approach $30 million by year-end.
Enterprise Segment Expansion
Enterprise segment ARR grew by 33% year-over-year, with the number of customers paying over $50,000 annually increasing by 72%.
High Cash Flow and Operating Margin
Non-GAAP operating margin was 12.6% and cash flow from operations was $21.9 million, with free cash flow margin at 15.2%.
Launch of Semrush One
Introduction of Semrush One, combining SEO and AI capabilities into a single product, aimed to cater to both large and small marketing teams.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Paying Customers
The paying customer count decreased to approximately 114,000, reflecting a strategic focus on higher-value customers.
Exchange Rate Impacts on Margins
Non-GAAP operating margin guidance was affected by a $10 million expense headwind due to exchange rate movements.
Company Guidance
During the Semrush Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for both the fourth quarter and the full year of 2025. For Q4 2025, Semrush expects revenue between $117.5 million and $119.5 million, reflecting a 15.5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, along with a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 12.5%. For the full year, revenue is anticipated to range from $443.5 million to $445.5 million, representing approximately 18% growth at the midpoint. The company maintains its previous full-year guidance of approximately 12% for both non-GAAP operating margin and free cash flow margin. Currency exchange rate fluctuations have been noted as introducing a $10 million expense headwind, but despite this, Semrush underscores its strong cash flow and balance sheet, with cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaling $275.7 million.

SEMrush Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SEMrush Holdings demonstrates solid revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, profitability remains a challenge with negative net income margins and return on equity. The company's low leverage and strong equity position provide financial stability, but improving profitability will be key to enhancing shareholder value.
Income Statement
65
Positive
SEMrush Holdings shows a positive revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.54%. However, profitability is a concern as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -0.31% and a negative EBIT margin. The gross profit margin remains strong at 81.43%, suggesting efficient cost management at the gross level.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.046, indicating low leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.49%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 41.28% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.87, showing efficient conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue428.63M376.81M307.68M254.32M188.00M124.88M
Gross Profit346.61M311.34M255.35M205.76M146.07M94.94M
EBITDA9.68M18.38M415.00K-18.46M1.05M-4.66M
Net Income-4.51M8.24M950.00K-33.85M-3.29M-7.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets450.41M390.94M331.49M298.69M300.07M54.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.70M235.57M238.57M237.54M269.67M35.53M
Total Debt13.94M12.27M14.61M12.62M0.000.00
Total Liabilities151.86M124.59M107.17M98.79M74.53M61.80M
Stockholders Equity289.68M256.60M219.15M199.90M225.54M-6.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.03M43.19M335.00K-15.56M19.98M3.48M
Operating Cash Flow56.62M47.00M7.99M-9.62M23.76M5.85M
Investing Cash Flow-19.30M-58.22M-29.07M-179.83M-4.63M-6.08M
Financing Cash Flow-1.74M1.87M-19.00K-345.00K215.32M-1.67M

SEMrush Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.88
Price Trends
50DMA
10.74
Positive
100DMA
9.11
Positive
200DMA
9.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Positive
RSI
75.93
Negative
STOCH
26.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEMR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.88, above the 50-day MA of 10.74, and above the 200-day MA of 9.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 75.93 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEMR.

SEMrush Holdings Risk Analysis

SEMrush Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SEMrush Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SEMrush Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.80B-386.97-1.68%19.87%-136.93%
63
Neutral
$1.10B7.4670.46%7.01%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$603.94M-12.61-26.69%13.09%32.34%
54
Neutral
$419.94M-6.69-41.00%6.33%-66.34%
52
Neutral
$1.37B-37.47%12.78%-20.47%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
11.88
-3.27
-21.58%
PD
PagerDuty
11.94
-6.72
-36.01%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.20
-22.07
-68.39%
LAW
CS Disco
6.72
1.79
36.31%
AMPL
Amplitude
10.23
-0.41
-3.85%

SEMrush Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
SEMrush Holdings Updates Executive Employment Agreement
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Semrush Holdings, Inc. entered into an executive employment agreement with Eugene Levin, offering severance benefits but no new compensation changes. Levin’s base salary remains at $395,000 with eligibility for a bonus plan, and the agreement outlines severance terms in case of termination or change of control, including salary continuation and equity award acceleration.

The most recent analyst rating on (SEMR) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEMrush Holdings stock, see the SEMR Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
SEMrush Holdings Announces Merger with Adobe Inc.
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, SEMrush Holdings entered into a merger agreement with Adobe Inc., where SEMrush will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Adobe. The merger agreement includes a cash consideration for SEMrush’s common stock and outlines the treatment of equity awards. The completion of the merger is subject to customary closing conditions, including stockholder approval and regulatory clearances. The merger is expected to strengthen Adobe’s position in the digital marketing space, with significant support from SEMrush’s stockholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SEMR) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SEMrush Holdings stock, see the SEMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025