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Amplitude (AMPL)
NASDAQ:AMPL
US Market

Amplitude (AMPL) AI Stock Analysis

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Amplitude

(NASDAQ:AMPL)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(5.09%Upside)
Amplitude's overall score reflects strong growth in revenue and ARR, supported by strategic innovations and customer expansions. However, profitability challenges and valuation concerns weigh on the score. Positive technical momentum provides some optimism, but macroeconomic uncertainties and continued operating losses remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Being chosen as a key part of the gen-AI tech stack positions the company as a leader in the AI space.
Product Development
New AI Agent products look promising and give the company a competing edge.
Negative Factors
Growth Strategy
While new products are gaining traction, growth acceleration relies heavily on enterprise and multiproduct adoption.
Revenue Growth
There is a need for a faster pace of revenue reacceleration and visibility into near-term margin expansion.

Amplitude (AMPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amplitude Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmplitude, Inc. provides a digital optimization system to analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude analytics for insights of customer behavior; Amplitude Recommend, a no-code personalization solution that helps to increase customer engagement by adapting digital products and campaigns to every user based on behavior; Amplitude Experiment, an integrated solution that enables teams to determine and deliver the product experiences for their customers through A/B tests and controlled feature releases; Amplitude Behavioral Graph, a proprietary database for deep, real-time interactive behavioral analysis, and behavior-driven personalization – instantly joining, analyzing, and correlating any customer actions to outcomes, such as engagement, growth, and loyalty; and data management, a real-time data layer for planning, integrating, and managing data sources to create a foundation with identity resolution, enterprise-level security, and privacy solutions. The company also provides customer support services related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. The company was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed its name to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. Amplitude, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmplitude makes money through a subscription-based revenue model. The company charges businesses for access to its digital analytics platform, which is typically offered in various pricing tiers based on the scale and features required by the client. Key revenue streams include subscriptions to its core analytics software, premium features, and enterprise-level solutions that cater to larger organizations. Amplitude also generates revenue through professional services such as training and consulting, which help clients maximize the value of their analytics capabilities. Significant partnerships with technology companies and integrations with other business tools further enhance its offerings and contribute to its earnings.

Amplitude Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 31.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Amplitude's earnings call highlighted strong revenue and ARR growth, driven by enterprise customer expansion and successful product innovation, particularly with the new Guides and Surveys. Improved retention metrics and strategic partnerships with Twilio also contributed to positive momentum. However, challenges remain with continued operating losses and negative free cash flow, alongside macroeconomic uncertainties that may impact future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and ARR Growth
Q1 revenue was $80 million, up 10% year-over-year. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $320 million, up 12% year-over-year and increased by $8 million from last quarter.
Enterprise Customer Expansion
Customers with more than $100,000 in ARR grew to 617, an increase of 18% year-over-year. Two-thirds of ARR base comes from enterprise customers.
Product Innovation and Adoption
Introduction of Guides and Surveys product led to faster adoption and more incremental ARR than any previous product. Multi-product customers now represent 30% of the installed base and 64% of total ARR.
Improved Retention
Dollar-based net retention reached 101% in Q1, up 5 points from its lowest level in Q2 of the previous year.
Strategic Partnerships
Amplitude announced a partnership with Twilio, becoming Segment's recommended analytics platform.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss
Non-GAAP operating loss was $2.1 million for Q1.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Free cash flow in the quarter was negative $9.2 million, down from negative $1.1 million a year ago.
Macro Environment Uncertainty
Management noted ongoing macroeconomic challenges and buyer scrutiny, which may continue to affect new customer acquisitions and expansions.
Company Guidance
In Amplitude's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The first quarter revenue was reported at $80 million, marking a 10% increase year-over-year, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) reaching $320 million, up 12% from the previous year and $8 million from the last quarter. Notably, customers with more than $100,000 in ARR increased by 18% year-over-year to 617. The non-GAAP operating loss was $2.1 million. The company emphasized its strategy to reaccelerate growth through platform deals and enterprise focus, with multi-product customers now comprising 30% of the installed base and 64% of total ARR. Amplitude's dollar-based net retention rate improved to 101% in Q1. Looking ahead, the company raised its full-year revenue outlook to between $329 million and $333 million, reflecting a 10.5% growth at the midpoint, alongside a strategic focus on expanding enterprise customer relationships and product innovations.

Amplitude Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amplitude shows robust revenue growth but suffers from ongoing losses and negative cash flow ratios. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but profitability remains a significant challenge.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Amplitude has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $238.1 million in 2022 to $306.6 million in TTM. However, the company is not yet profitable, as indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively strong, but the net profit margin remains negative due to high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with a good equity ratio. The company maintains low levels of debt, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio, which is a positive indicator of financial stability. However, return on equity is negative due to ongoing losses, which is a risk factor.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Amplitude's cash flow is improving, with a positive operating cash flow in TTM. However, free cash flow has decreased, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting the company's ongoing challenges in generating cash relative to its net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue306.60M299.27M276.28M238.07M167.26M102.46M
Gross Profit228.32M222.35M204.36M167.63M115.50M71.98M
EBITDA-99.93M-101.28M-88.76M-91.90M-71.06M-22.31M
Net Income-95.09M-94.32M-90.36M-93.38M-74.98M-24.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets445.79M445.91M433.68M413.75M400.39M175.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.04M241.10M322.40M230.47M307.44M117.78M
Total Debt5.37M5.58M8.18M11.09M0.000.00
Total Liabilities156.33M149.35M138.93M118.79M93.84M242.20M
Stockholders Equity289.46M296.56M294.75M294.97M306.55M-67.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.18M16.78M22.45M-11.19M-34.94M-12.60M
Operating Cash Flow10.53M18.51M25.63M-5.38M-31.71M-10.39M
Investing Cash Flow-124.81M-75.37M9.32M-89.39M-1.50M-5.91M
Financing Cash Flow-20.24M-19.94M-4.94M5.83M222.64M54.24M

Amplitude Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.37
Price Trends
50DMA
11.08
Positive
100DMA
11.32
Positive
200DMA
10.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
56.14
Neutral
STOCH
75.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.27, above the 50-day MA of 11.08, and above the 200-day MA of 10.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMPL.

Amplitude Risk Analysis

Amplitude disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amplitude reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amplitude Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.02B66.8732.09%39.29%
MLML
69
Neutral
$972.40M114.793.34%28.92%
SPSPT
66
Neutral
$1.18B-36.95%17.79%16.49%
63
Neutral
$1.58B-32.87%8.56%-4.21%
63
Neutral
$1.31B189.892.81%22.75%-47.45%
63
Neutral
$1.24B-6.49%5.15%28.27%
62
Neutral
£570.90M24.23-6.00%2.32%3.52%-29.29%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMPL
Amplitude
12.37
3.47
38.99%
SPT
Sprout Social
20.32
-15.36
-43.05%
ML
MoneyLion
85.90
12.36
16.81%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
9.08
-4.31
-32.19%
DAVE
Dave
243.03
212.73
702.08%
MLNK
MeridianLink
16.26
-5.10
-23.88%

Amplitude Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Amplitude Announces Board Changes at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

Amplitude, Inc. held its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders on June 12, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. The stockholders elected Class I directors, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers on an advisory basis. Additionally, Eric Vishria announced his resignation from the Board of Directors effective June 16, 2025, after over a decade of service.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMPL) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amplitude stock, see the AMPL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2025