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Pros Holdings (PRO)
NYSE:PRO

PROS Holdings (PRO) AI Stock Analysis

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PROS Holdings

(NYSE:PRO)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(14.58%Upside)
PROS Holdings' stock score is primarily influenced by its positive earnings call and cash flow management, offset by its bearish technical indicators and valuation challenges. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic steps suggest potential for long-term improvement, although immediate financial restructuring and market conditions pose risks.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
The new Agentic strategy was compelling due to real work value, ease of use, and a new PLG GTM strategy simplifying the purchasing process.
Financial Performance
PROS reported good 1Q results with modest beats across the board.
Market Demand
Solid recovery in its Travel segment supports positive outlook for the company.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
The company is currently operating with a new CEO and no Chief Revenue Officer, which adds risk.
Long-term Targets
There is skepticism around the company's long-term targets, as they require significant improvements in revenue growth and free cash flow margin.
Valuation Trends
Price target reduced from $30 to $25 to reflect current valuation trends.

PROS Holdings (PRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PROS Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPROS Holdings, Inc. provides solutions that optimize the processes of selling and shopping in the digital economy worldwide. The company offers PROS Smart Configure Price Quote that improves sales productivity and accelerate deal velocity by automating common sales tasks; and PROS Smart Price Optimization and Management that enables businesses to optimize, personalize and harmonize pricing across the complexity of their go-to-market channels in the context of dynamic market and competitive conditions. It offers PROS Airline Revenue Optimization; PROS Airline Revenue Management solution that delivers algorithmic forecasting and network optimization for the travel industry; PROS Airline Real-Time Dynamic Pricing that offers accurate booking class availability and seat prices; and PROS Airline Group Sales Optimizer which enables airlines and their travel agent partners to create and manage group bookings, contracts, and policies. Further, it provides PROS Digital Retail, a configurable end-to-end solution for airlines to optimize the traveler experience from inspiration to post-trip; and PROS digital offer marketing solutions provide performance content management and search engine marketing tools that enable businesses in the travel industry. Additionally, the company offers software-related services, such as implementation, configuration, consulting, training, and maintenance and support services. It sells its software solutions to customers in various industries, including automotive and industrial manufacturing, transportation and logistics, chemicals and energy, food and beverage, healthcare, high tech, and travel. The company markets and sells its software solutions through its sales force, as well as through partners, resellers, and systems integrators. PROS Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPROS Holdings makes money primarily through the sale of its software as a service (SaaS) solutions, which include subscription fees for access to its cloud-based platforms. Key revenue streams include software subscriptions, professional services such as implementation and consulting, and customer support services. The company's revenue model is further enhanced by strategic partnerships with other technology providers and system integrators that help expand the reach and adoption of its solutions. PROS leverages its expertise in AI and data analytics to offer solutions that drive pricing optimization, configure-price-quote (CPQ) processes, and revenue management, which are critical for its clients to improve profitability and operational efficiency.

PROS Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.54%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong start to 2025 for PROS Holdings, with exceeded guidance, significant improvement in key financial metrics, and strong demand in both B2B and travel segments. Industry recognition and new customer wins further underscore the company's positive momentum. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and expected high spending in the upcoming quarter present challenges. Despite these, the overall sentiment is positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025 with Exceeded Guidance
PROS Holdings exceeded the high end of their guidance ranges across all metrics with sales performing ahead of expectations in both B2B and travel segments. The trailing 12-month recurring calculated billings grew 14% year-over-year, marking the strongest performance in 10 quarters.
Significant Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow improved by 123% year-over-year, with a positive free cash flow of $1.1 million in the first quarter, marking an improvement of $6 million despite Q1 typically being a seasonally high cash use quarter.
Industry Recognition and New Customer Wins
PROS was named a leader in the Forrester Wave for configure price quote solutions, and received leader rankings in the Gartner Magic Quadrant and IDC MarketScape for CPQ. Notable customer wins include a Fortune 500 chemicals company, Softcat, and Grundfos.
Strong Demand in Travel Segment
The travel segment saw strong demand in Q1, including wins at two of the top seven US carriers by domestic market share, with Southwest Airlines selecting PROS offer marketing to amplify brand visibility and capture more demand.
Improved Non-GAAP Gross Margins
Non-GAAP subscription gross margin improved to 81%, a year-over-year improvement of over 160 basis points, and overall non-GAAP gross margin increased to 70%, marking an improvement of over 270 basis points.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Broader macroeconomic uncertainty has contributed to a complex selling environment, though PROS has managed to execute well through it.
High Spend Quarter Expected
The second quarter is expected to be a high spend quarter due to the Outperform conference, impacting adjusted EBITDA despite an overall increase in revenue.
Company Guidance
During the PROS Holdings First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company exceeded its guidance ranges across all metrics, with a 14% year-over-year increase in trailing 12-month recurring calculated billings, marking the strongest performance on this metric in 10 quarters. Free cash flow improved by 123% year-over-year, and subscription revenue rose by 10% to $70.8 million. Total revenue increased by 7% to $86.3 million, with 85% of it being recurring revenue, up from 84% the previous year. The non-GAAP subscription gross margin improved by over 160 basis points year-over-year to 81%. For the second quarter, PROS expects subscription revenue between $72 million to $72.5 million and total revenue ranging from $87 million to $88 million. For the full year, guidance remains at $360 million to $362 million in total revenue, representing 9% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA for the year is projected to be between $42 million and $44 million, with a free cash flow improvement of $15.8 million year-over-year.

PROS Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PROS Holdings shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, but faces challenges with net losses and high financial leverage. Positive signs include a high gross profit margin and liquidity comfort from cash reserves.
Income Statement
68
Positive
PROS Holdings has shown consistent revenue growth over the analyzed period, with a 5.4% increase in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM is strong at 66.55%, indicating effective cost management. However, profitability metrics remain concerning as the company continues to operate at a net loss, with a TTM net profit margin of -3.81% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Despite these challenges, the steady revenue growth and high gross profit margin suggest potential for future profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with the company exhibiting a negative stockholders' equity of -$65.81 million in TTM, highlighting a high debt-to-equity ratio. This presents substantial financial risk. The equity ratio is negative due to the company's liabilities exceeding its assets, which underscores the need for strategic financial restructuring. However, the company's ability to maintain cash and short-term investments at $160.02 million offers some liquidity comfort.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flows indicate positive trends, with a strong free cash flow growth rate in TTM. Operating cash flow exceeds net income, reflecting efficient cash generation from operations despite ongoing losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, driven by controlled capital expenditure, suggesting the company is managing its cash resources effectively to support operations and potential growth opportunities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
336.01M330.37M303.71M276.14M251.42M252.42M
Gross Profit
223.58M217.04M188.40M166.06M146.50M147.79M
EBIT
-12.54M-19.02M-50.60M-76.54M-71.96M-66.08M
EBITDA
1.70M-5.76M-39.57M-61.53M-60.77M-51.58M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-12.81M-20.48M-56.35M-82.25M-81.21M-76.98M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
160.02M161.98M168.75M203.63M227.55M329.13M
Total Assets
427.16M419.90M421.83M452.95M494.48M539.97M
Total Debt
303.80M300.89M324.76M325.63M334.78M268.06M
Net Debt
143.77M138.91M156.02M122.00M107.22M-61.07M
Total Liabilities
492.97M488.61M499.71M488.43M490.90M422.93M
Stockholders Equity
-65.81M-68.70M-77.87M-35.47M3.58M117.04M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
32.21M26.22M7.29M-24.77M-21.35M-79.57M
Operating Cash Flow
33.24M27.38M9.88M-23.91M-18.55M-49.39M
Investing Cash Flow
-851.00K-1.22M-2.70M-1.14M-85.17M-30.46M
Financing Cash Flow
-28.16M-32.34M-32.36M1.07M2.47M102.91M

PROS Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.40
Price Trends
50DMA
17.27
Negative
100DMA
20.15
Negative
200DMA
20.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
30.06
Neutral
STOCH
4.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.59, below the 50-day MA of 17.27, and below the 200-day MA of 20.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRO.

PROS Holdings Risk Analysis

PROS Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PROS Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PROS Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OLOLO
74
Outperform
$1.42B486.860.49%23.31%
71
Outperform
$1.17B77.146.26%7.71%
DSDSP
65
Neutral
$817.75M434.224.15%30.64%
64
Neutral
$1.06B-55.90%12.76%16.97%
62
Neutral
$11.95B9.93-7.21%4.85%7.32%-8.25%
PRPRO
58
Neutral
$689.08M29.80%7.97%74.22%
57
Neutral
$832.44M-93.00%-0.40%63.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRO
PROS Holdings
14.40
-14.18
-49.62%
DSP
Viant Technology
13.07
3.84
41.60%
OLO
Olo
8.52
4.06
91.03%
BLND
Blend Labs
3.22
0.93
40.61%
BASE
Couchbase
18.93
2.16
12.88%
VTEX
VTEX
6.38
-0.37
-5.48%

PROS Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
PROS Holdings Swaps Convertible Notes in Strategic Move
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, PROS Holdings, Inc. entered into exchange agreements with institutional buyers to swap $186.9 million of its 2027 Convertible Senior Notes for $185 million of newly issued 2030 Notes, alongside cash for accrued interest. The 2030 Notes, maturing in July 2030, offer a 2.50% interest rate and are convertible into cash or stock. Additionally, PROS entered a Securities Purchase Agreement to sell $50 million of 2030 Notes to investors, with proceeds intended for capped calls and general corporate purposes. These financial maneuvers, including capped call transactions, aim to manage stock dilution and stabilize market impacts, potentially affecting the company’s stock price and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRO) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PROS Holdings stock, see the PRO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
PROS Holdings Announces CRO Todd McNabb’s Departure
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, PROS Holdings, Inc. announced that Chief Revenue Officer Todd McNabb will step down from his position effective July 1, 2025, and will remain with the company until July 19, 2025. The responsibilities of Mr. McNabb will be distributed among the senior leadership team, indicating a shift in the company’s management structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRO) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PROS Holdings stock, see the PRO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
PROS Holdings Announces Key Decisions at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, PROS Holdings, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key decisions were made. Stockholders elected Catherine Lesjak and John Strosahl as Class III directors and Andres Reiner as a Class I director. They approved executive officer compensation and amendments to the 2017 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing authorized shares by three million. Additionally, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
PROS Holdings Announces New CEO Appointment
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, PROS Holdings announced the appointment of Jeffrey B. Cotten as the new President and CEO, effective June 2, 2025, succeeding Andres Reiner who is retiring. The company also reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with a 10% increase in subscription revenue and a significant improvement in operating cash flow, highlighting the growing adoption of its AI-driven solutions and its recognition as a leader in the CPQ solutions market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.