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Alight (ALIT)
NYSE:ALIT
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Alight (ALIT) AI Stock Analysis

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ALIT

Alight

(NYSE:ALIT)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(22.95% Upside)
Alight's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows significant challenges in profitability and declining revenues. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the score. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings, though the dividend yield provides a minor positive. The earnings call offers some optimism with strategic initiatives and partnerships, but immediate financial outlook remains cautious. Overall, the stock faces several headwinds, with some potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
ALIT reported solid 2Q results, beating estimates on revenue and earnings driven by better recurring revenue growth and operating expense control.
Market Position
Recent new logo wins like US Foods, Markel, and Delek show that ALIT's offerings resonate with enterprise clients looking for modern HR services.
Partnerships
A new partnership was announced with Goldman Sachs Asset Management, which will serve as sub-advisor for Defined Contribution and IRA solutions on the Alight Worklife platform.
Negative Factors
Price Target
Analyst is lowering the price target for Alight to $7 from $10.
Revenue Guidance
Management lowered their total revenue guidance for 2025 due to delayed closing on new deals and a continuation of lower non-recurring project revenue.
Sector Challenges
Some renewal losses in 2023 and what is a sector-wide lull in project based revenue are headwinds to the top line.

Alight (ALIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alight Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlight, Inc. operates as a cloud-based provider of integrated digital human capital and business solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Employer Solutions, Professional Services, and Hosted Business. The company's solutions enable employees to enrich their health, wealth, and wellbeing, which helps organizations achieve a high-performance culture. It offers employer solutions comprising integrated benefits administration, healthcare navigation, financial health, employee wellbeing, and payroll; and professional services, including cloud deployment and consulting offerings that provides human capital and financial platforms, as well as cloud advisory and deployment, and optimization services for cloud platforms, such as Workday, SAP SuccessFactors, Oracle, and Cornerstone OnDemand. Alight, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Lincolnshire, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlight Solutions generates revenue primarily through a subscription and services-based model. The company's key revenue streams include fees from outsourcing services, such as human resources and payroll administration, which are typically structured around long-term contracts with clients. Additionally, Alight earns revenue from its cloud-based solutions, where clients pay subscription fees for access to its platforms and software. Significant partnerships with technology providers and strategic acquisitions also bolster Alight's offerings, enabling the company to expand its capabilities and reach within the human capital solutions market.

Alight Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -28.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented both positive developments in revenue growth, strategic advancements, and notable partnerships, but also highlighted significant challenges such as delays in deal closures, project revenue declines, and a substantial goodwill impairment charge. While there is a strong pipeline and strategic initiatives are underway, the immediate financial outlook is cautious.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Revenue for the quarter was $528 million and adjusted EBITDA was $127 million, representing an 80 basis point margin increase over the prior year.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Free cash flow for the first half was up over 30%, with a target of $250 million to $285 million for the year.
Strategic AI and Technology Advancements
Significant advancements in AI, including partnerships with Microsoft and IBM, and a 17% reduction in call volumes with enhancements to the Alight Worklife platform.
Partnership with Goldman Sachs
Announced partnership with Goldman Sachs Asset Management to expand wealth offerings, viewed as a significant revenue growth opportunity.
Notable Client Renewals
Renewals with major clients such as Target, Johnson & Johnson, Hyatt, and others, with some leading to an expansion of services.
Negative Updates
Delayed Client Deals
New deals are taking longer to close, impacting expected second half 2025 revenue.
Project Revenue Decline
Nonrecurring project revenues were down $9 million, or 20%, with expectations for continued decline.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
Noncash goodwill impairment charge of $983 million due to current market valuation and macroeconomic conditions.
Flat Participant Counts
Participant counts were flat versus expectations of moderate growth, affecting revenue projections.
Company Guidance
During Alight's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Dave Guilmette outlined the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives. Revenue for the quarter was $528 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $127 million, reflecting an 80 basis point margin increase over the previous year. Free cash flow for the first half of the year rose by over 30%. The company updated its 2025 revenue outlook, citing longer deal closure times and commercial execution challenges as reasons for the adjustment. Alight is focusing on improving client management and delivery through AI and strategic partnerships, such as with Goldman Sachs Asset Management, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth in future years. Notable client renewals included Target and Johnson & Johnson, with many leading to expanded services. Despite a revised revenue forecast, the company reaffirmed other key financial metrics, including an adjusted EBITDA range of $620 million to $645 million and free cash flow of $250 million to $285 million for 2025.

Alight Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alight's financials show consistent net losses and fluctuating revenues, indicating profitability challenges. Despite a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage, operational inefficiencies are evident from negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Cash flow is positive but volatile, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Alight's income statement reveals challenges with profitability, as indicated by consistent negative net income over recent years. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 33.74%, suggesting the company has a reasonable ability to cover its direct costs. However, the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins of -2.50% and 13.53% respectively, highlight operational inefficiencies or significant overhead costs. Revenue has shown fluctuations, with a notable decline in 2023, indicating potential volatility in sales.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet demonstrates a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47 in the latest TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 53.44%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity remains negative due to net losses, signaling a need for improved profitability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture. The TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the impact of losses on cash generation. Free cash flow has been positive but volatile, with a recent decline in growth rate. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some capacity to generate cash despite net losses. Overall, cash management appears adequate but requires attention to maintain stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.31B2.33B3.41B3.13B2.92B2.73B
Gross Profit792.00M794.00M1.14B996.00M693.00M834.00M
EBITDA-684.00M350.00M186.00M476.00M481.00M431.00M
Net Income-1.16B-157.00M-345.00M-62.00M-60.00M-103.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.78B8.19B10.78B11.23B10.99B6.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments227.00M343.00M358.00M250.00M372.00M506.00M
Total Debt2.14B2.16B2.92B3.00B3.11B4.36B
Total Liabilities3.66B3.88B6.04B6.15B6.06B6.27B
Stockholders Equity3.12B4.31B4.46B4.44B4.14B683.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow142.00M131.00M226.00M138.00M1.00M143.00M
Operating Cash Flow253.00M252.00M386.00M286.00M115.00M233.00M
Investing Cash Flow857.00M836.00M-159.00M-235.00M-1.91B-142.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.09B-1.07B-231.00M54.00M2.34B463.00M

Alight Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.66
Price Trends
50DMA
5.29
Negative
100DMA
5.34
Negative
200DMA
6.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
20.16
Positive
STOCH
2.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALIT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.87, below the 50-day MA of 5.29, and below the 200-day MA of 6.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALIT.

Alight Risk Analysis

Alight disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alight reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alight Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$3.71B-3.52%-8.80%-657.91%
63
Neutral
$2.68B-22.82%22.66%21.20%
61
Neutral
$36.26B7.13-7.27%1.97%7.78%-8.61%
61
Neutral
$3.69B-4.72%3.61%-44.99%
60
Neutral
$2.26B-11.47%29.63%29.87%
55
Neutral
$3.03B78.53-85.12%0.11%-817.49%
47
Neutral
$1.97B-29.09%3.28%-19.48%-398.43%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALIT
Alight
3.66
-3.14
-46.18%
BLKB
Blackbaud
62.54
-15.56
-19.92%
CALX
Calix
56.78
19.34
51.66%
GBTG
Global Business Travel Group
7.82
0.79
11.24%
ALKT
Alkami Technology
22.65
-8.64
-27.61%
BRZE
Braze
24.54
-17.62
-41.79%

Alight Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Alight Announces Director Elections and Auditor Ratification
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 4, Alight, Inc. announced the election of its Class I directors, with terms expiring at the 2028 Annual Meeting. The stockholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the 2024 compensation for named executive officers on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALIT) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alight stock, see the ALIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Alight Increases Credit Facility by $30 Million
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Alight, Inc.’s subsidiary, Tempo Acquisition, LLC, amended its credit agreement to establish a new incremental revolving credit facility, increasing commitments by $30 million to a total of $330 million. This amendment replaces previous commitments and extends the maturity date to May 31, 2030, with specific refinancing conditions by June 1, 2028. The interest rates for the facility are tied to the Borrower’s consolidated first lien net leverage ratio, and certain fees are required in connection with the amendment.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALIT) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alight stock, see the ALIT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alight Announces New Restructuring Program Post-Divestiture
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Alight‘s Audit Committee approved a fifteen-month restructuring program, the Post-Separation Plan (PSP), aimed at optimizing operations after divesting its Payroll and Professional Services business in July 2024. The PSP involves simplifying operations, rationalizing technology spending, and expanding AI and automation, with expected restructuring costs of $65 million and annual savings of over $75 million. In its first quarter 2025 results, Alight reported a 2.0% revenue decrease to $548 million, improved net loss, and reaffirmed its full-year financial outlook, highlighting strong client relationships and a resilient business model with 92% of projected revenue under contract.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025