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Alight (ALIT)
NYSE:ALIT

Alight (ALIT) AI Stock Analysis

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AL

Alight

(NYSE:ALIT)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(8.70%Upside)
Alight's overall stock score reflects a mix of positive strategic initiatives and financial challenges. Strong earnings call performance and strategic advancements boost confidence, but profitability issues and valuation concerns weigh heavily. Technical indicators suggest potential short-term overvaluation risks.
Positive Factors
Client Relationships
Management remains laser-focused on rebuilding relationships with clients, consultants, and third-party evaluators.
Financial Performance
ALIT posted healthy 1Q results, beating estimates on both the top and bottom line due to better recurring revenue growth and good expense discipline.
Valuation
The shares are trading at an EV/FY26 EBITDA multiple of just 7x, making the risk-reward favorable for GARP investors.
Negative Factors
Project Revenue
Project revenue continues to face some headwinds.
Revenue Estimates
The result of these assumptions is a fine-tune down in 2025 revenue and NG EBITDA estimates of ~3-4% and <1%, respectively.
Revenue Headwinds
Some renewal losses in 2023 and what is a sector-wide lull in project based revenue are headwinds to the top line.

Alight (ALIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alight Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlight, Inc. operates as a cloud-based provider of integrated digital human capital and business solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Employer Solutions, Professional Services, and Hosted Business. The company's solutions enable employees to enrich their health, wealth, and wellbeing, which helps organizations achieve a high-performance culture. It offers employer solutions comprising integrated benefits administration, healthcare navigation, financial health, employee wellbeing, and payroll; and professional services, including cloud deployment and consulting offerings that provides human capital and financial platforms, as well as cloud advisory and deployment, and optimization services for cloud platforms, such as Workday, SAP SuccessFactors, Oracle, and Cornerstone OnDemand. Alight, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Lincolnshire, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlight Solutions generates revenue primarily through a subscription and services-based model. The company's key revenue streams include fees from outsourcing services, such as human resources and payroll administration, which are typically structured around long-term contracts with clients. Additionally, Alight earns revenue from its cloud-based solutions, where clients pay subscription fees for access to its platforms and software. Significant partnerships with technology providers and strategic acquisitions also bolster Alight's offerings, enabling the company to expand its capabilities and reach within the human capital solutions market.

Alight Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a predominantly positive outlook with strong starts in revenue and EBITDA, successful renewals, technological advancements, and improved customer care. However, the company faced challenges with declining nonrecurring project revenues and market volatility concerns. Overall, the positive highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Alight began 2025 with first quarter results reflecting continued progress, achieving total revenue of $548 million and adjusted EBITDA of $118 million. The company reaffirmed its financial outlook for the year.
Renewal Success
Alight successfully renewed several top clients, including Starbucks, Baxter, US Foods, and Otis Elevator Company, indicating strong client confidence in their services and vision.
Technological Advancements
Launched self-service leaves administration reporting platform coupled with AI insights, significantly simplifying absence management. 80% of clients are leveraging AI in some capacity.
Improved Customer Care
Service levels improved with an increase in the Net Promoter Score (NPS) by 12 points related to annual enrollment.
Strong Recurring Revenue
Recurring revenue comprised nearly 95% of total revenue in the quarter, showing stability and predictability in earnings.
Pipeline Growth
Strong pipeline up roughly 30%, particularly in core admin space, leaves solution, and navigation solution, indicating potential future growth.
Debt Management and Share Buybacks
Repriced term loan lowering interest rate by 50 basis points, saving $10 million annually, and returned $41 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.
Negative Updates
Decline in Nonrecurring Project Revenues
Nonrecurring project revenues were down $10 million or 26%, which aligned with expectations but indicates softness in discretionary projects.
Caution Due to Market Volatility
Company expressed caution due to increasing market volatility, which may elongate client decision-making processes for project and ARR deals.
Exposure to Market Downturns
Assets managed through financial advisers generate fees that vary with financial market performance, potentially impacting revenue if a protracted market downturn occurs.
Company Guidance
During the Alight First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided financial guidance and updates on strategic initiatives. Alight reported total revenue of $548 million and adjusted EBITDA of $118 million for the first quarter, aligning with their expectations. They reaffirmed their financial outlook for 2025, projecting full-year revenue between $2.32 billion and $2.39 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $620 million to $645 million, adjusted EPS of $0.58 to $0.64, and free cash flow of $250 million to $285 million. The company highlighted a strong pipeline, with a 30% increase, and noted that they have 92% of projected 2025 revenue under contract. Alight emphasized their focus on technology transformation and service excellence, launching initiatives like a self-service leaves administration platform. Despite economic uncertainties, the company remains committed to executing its strategy and supporting its clients.

Alight Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alight's financial statements show consistent net losses, with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicating operational inefficiencies. However, the balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. Cash flows are positive but volatile, requiring attention to maintain stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Alight's income statement reveals challenges with profitability, as indicated by consistent negative net income over recent years. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 33.74%, suggesting the company has a reasonable ability to cover its direct costs. However, the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins of -2.50% and 13.53% respectively, highlight operational inefficiencies or significant overhead costs. Revenue has shown fluctuations, with a notable decline in 2023, indicating potential volatility in sales.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet demonstrates a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47 in the latest TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 53.44%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity remains negative due to net losses, signaling a need for improved profitability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture. The TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the impact of losses on cash generation. Free cash flow has been positive but volatile, with a recent decline in growth rate. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some capacity to generate cash despite net losses. Overall, cash management appears adequate but requires attention to maintain stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.33B3.41B3.13B2.92B2.73B
Gross Profit783.00M794.00M1.14B996.00M693.00M834.00M
EBITDA314.00M350.00M186.00M476.00M481.00M431.00M
Net Income-47.00M-157.00M-345.00M-62.00M-60.00M-103.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.91B8.19B10.78B11.23B10.99B6.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.00M343.00M358.00M250.00M372.00M506.00M
Total Debt20.00M2.16B2.92B3.00B3.11B4.36B
Total Liabilities3.68B3.88B6.04B6.15B6.06B6.27B
Stockholders Equity4.23B4.31B4.46B4.44B4.14B683.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.00M131.00M226.00M138.00M1.00M143.00M
Operating Cash Flow166.00M252.00M386.00M286.00M115.00M233.00M
Investing Cash Flow843.00M836.00M-159.00M-235.00M-1.91B-142.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.18B-1.07B-231.00M54.00M2.34B463.00M

Alight Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.98
Price Trends
50DMA
5.44
Positive
100DMA
5.71
Positive
200DMA
6.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
69.20
Neutral
STOCH
92.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALIT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.49, above the 50-day MA of 5.44, and below the 200-day MA of 6.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALIT.

Alight Risk Analysis

Alight disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alight reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alight Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.09B-1.66%15.72%74.59%
BLBL
74
Outperform
$3.55B26.2444.83%8.93%102.77%
73
Outperform
$3.65B15.695.59%2.34%11.31%-16.02%
PAPAY
70
Neutral
$3.89B78.3610.80%47.78%74.61%
63
Neutral
$34.04B6.14-11.52%1.82%5.53%-18.79%
61
Neutral
$3.22B-0.82%2.70%-26.04%85.84%
43
Neutral
$2.71B-32.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALIT
Alight
5.98
-0.96
-13.83%
BL
BlackLine
57.81
9.03
18.51%
CNXC
Concentrix
57.16
-7.24
-11.24%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
31.04
11.92
62.34%
PYCR
Paycor HCM
22.49
9.48
72.87%
BTDR
Bitdeer Technologies
13.77
1.35
10.87%

Alight Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Alight Announces Director Elections and Auditor Ratification
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 4, Alight, Inc. announced the election of its Class I directors, with terms expiring at the 2028 Annual Meeting. The stockholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the 2024 compensation for named executive officers on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALIT) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alight stock, see the ALIT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Alight Increases Credit Facility by $30 Million
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Alight, Inc.’s subsidiary, Tempo Acquisition, LLC, amended its credit agreement to establish a new incremental revolving credit facility, increasing commitments by $30 million to a total of $330 million. This amendment replaces previous commitments and extends the maturity date to May 31, 2030, with specific refinancing conditions by June 1, 2028. The interest rates for the facility are tied to the Borrower’s consolidated first lien net leverage ratio, and certain fees are required in connection with the amendment.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALIT) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alight stock, see the ALIT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alight Announces New Restructuring Program Post-Divestiture
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Alight‘s Audit Committee approved a fifteen-month restructuring program, the Post-Separation Plan (PSP), aimed at optimizing operations after divesting its Payroll and Professional Services business in July 2024. The PSP involves simplifying operations, rationalizing technology spending, and expanding AI and automation, with expected restructuring costs of $65 million and annual savings of over $75 million. In its first quarter 2025 results, Alight reported a 2.0% revenue decrease to $548 million, improved net loss, and reaffirmed its full-year financial outlook, highlighting strong client relationships and a resilient business model with 92% of projected revenue under contract.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025