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Calix Inc (CALX)
NYSE:CALX

Calix (CALX) AI Stock Analysis

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CALX

Calix

(NYSE:CALX)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(6.05% Upside)
Calix's overall stock score is driven by strong financial stability and positive earnings call insights, despite technical and valuation challenges. The company's growth potential is promising, but profitability issues and bearish technical indicators weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Record revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful strategic initiatives, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Generation
Consistent free cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility and supports ongoing investments in growth and innovation.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnership with Google for AI integration strengthens Calix's platform, potentially increasing competitive advantage and market reach.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder reinvestment capabilities and affect long-term financial health if not addressed.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses could pressure margins, requiring careful management to ensure investments translate into future growth.
International Segment Volatility
Volatility in international operations may impact revenue stability and requires strategic adjustments to mitigate risks.

Calix (CALX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Calix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalix, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud and software platforms, and systems and services in the United States, rest of Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company's cloud and software platforms, and systems and services enable broadband service providers (BSPs) to provide a range of services. It provides Calix Cloud platform, a role-based analytics platform comprising Calix Marketing Cloud, Calix Support Cloud, and Calix Operations Cloud, which are configurable to display role-based insights and enable BSPs to anticipate and target new revenue-generating services and applications through mobile application. The company also offers EXOS, a carrier class premises operating system and fully integrated with its GigaSpire family of systems to be ready for deployment as a complete subscriber experience solutions for BSP's residential and business subscribers; and AXOS, a software platform to access edge of the network by its architecture and operations. It offers its products through its direct sales force and resellers. Calix, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalix generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around its software and hardware products. The company sells access systems, including optical network terminals and fiber management solutions, which are critical for deploying high-speed broadband networks. In addition to hardware sales, Calix offers subscription-based software platforms that help operators manage their networks and enhance customer experience. These software solutions often involve recurring revenue models, providing a steady income stream. Significant partnerships with various telecommunications providers also contribute to its earnings, as these relationships facilitate the adoption of Calix's technology and solutions across a wider customer base, driving overall growth and sustained revenue.

Calix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record revenue and gross margin improvements, driven by strategic customer acquisitions and robust platform innovations. However, challenges remain with increased operating expenses due to strategic investments and reduced BEAD funding impacting expected growth. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook with ongoing demand and strategic positioning in AI and platform services.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Calix achieved record revenue of $265 million, reflecting a sequential quarterly growth of 10% and guiding higher for the fourth quarter.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin reached a record of 57.7%, representing a 90 basis point sequential quarterly increase.
New Customer Acquisitions
Calix added 20 new customers this quarter, indicating strong market demand and adoption of its platform.
RPO Growth
RPOs grew 2% sequentially to a record $355 million and increased 20% year-over-year, with current RPOs up 5% sequentially and 28% year-over-year.
Free Cash Flow and Cash Reserves
Calix achieved its 10th consecutive quarter of 8-figure free cash flow, ending the quarter with record cash and investments of $340 million, an increase of $41 million sequentially.
AI and Platform Innovation
Calix launched the Calix Agent Workforce, integrating Agentic AI across its platform in partnership with Google, aiming to simplify operations and enhance customer growth.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to increase sequentially due to investments in AI and platform development, with a return to the target financial model expected by the end of 2026.
Lower than Expected BEAD Program Funds
The total BEAD program funds have been reduced by about 50%, now estimated at $20 billion, with a combined total of $30 billion including matching funds.
International Segment Volatility
The international segment experienced some volatility, attributed to a single customer in Europe, and is expected to stabilize by later 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Calix Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming quarter, forecasting revenue between $267 million and $273 million, which at the midpoint would represent a 2% sequential increase and a 20% growth for the fiscal year compared to 2024. Calix also reported record revenue of $265 million for Q3, a sequential growth of 10%, and a non-GAAP gross margin of 57.7%, up 90 basis points from the previous quarter. Additionally, they achieved a record $355 million in RPOs, which grew 2% sequentially and 20% year-over-year. Calix expects their non-GAAP gross margin to slightly increase in Q4, with continued investment in AI and managed services to accelerate growth, while maintaining a focus on operational performance. The company also mentioned their expansion plans into international markets and large Tier 1 customers, facilitated by their partnership with Google and the launch of their third-generation platform.

Calix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Calix shows moderate revenue growth and strong gross profitability but faces operational and earnings challenges with negative EBIT and net margins. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and a strong equity position, though profitability metrics are impacted by recent losses. Cash flow generation shows improvement, indicating potential for future recovery.
Income Statement
65
Positive
For TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), Calix shows a gross profit margin of 55.54% and a net profit margin of -3.09%, indicating strong gross profitability but negative net profitability. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 4.53%, suggesting moderate growth. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, -4.07% and -2.12% respectively, reflecting operational and earnings challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Calix has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, indicating low leverage and strong equity backing. The return on equity (ROE) is -3.48%, impacted by negative net income. The equity ratio stands at 83.87%, showing a solid equity base. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability with minor profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is 42.06%, reflecting strong cash generation improvements. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -3.27, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -2.66, suggesting efficient cash management despite negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue933.68M831.52M1.04B867.83M679.39M541.24M
Gross Profit524.38M453.59M518.32M435.43M356.59M267.02M
EBITDA13.95M-23.48M42.22M66.92M88.07M49.59M
Net Income-7.25M-29.75M29.32M41.01M238.38M33.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets976.37M939.27M941.87M884.84M742.03M427.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments339.62M297.09M220.35M241.72M204.34M133.79M
Total Debt11.32M8.02M11.56M19.60M20.70M18.86M
Total Liabilities153.86M158.33M222.88M205.27M173.60M147.03M
Stockholders Equity822.51M780.94M718.98M679.57M568.43M280.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.45M50.35M38.40M13.12M46.33M43.59M
Operating Cash Flow104.27M68.40M56.25M27.18M56.79M51.41M
Investing Cash Flow-34.50M-109.53M-6.25M-24.08M-110.66M-60.80M
Financing Cash Flow-36.99M20.90M-65.93M25.06M24.38M42.15M

Calix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.69
Price Trends
50DMA
58.56
Negative
100DMA
59.11
Negative
200DMA
51.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.26
Negative
RSI
44.32
Neutral
STOCH
29.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CALX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.65, below the 50-day MA of 58.56, and above the 200-day MA of 51.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CALX.

Calix Risk Analysis

Calix disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Calix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Calix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.44B52.8121.85%7.36%-40.62%
71
Outperform
$3.20B32.426.51%1.47%1077.70%
70
Outperform
$3.04B-12.23-78.53%-1.17%-597.89%
61
Neutral
$3.62B-451.24-0.91%4.89%55.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$2.95B-135.94-2.04%12.14%-19.29%
57
Neutral
$3.43B-15.53-102.48%9.47%16.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CALX
Calix
54.69
19.33
54.67%
BLKB
Blackbaud
63.63
-12.68
-16.62%
BL
BlackLine
57.84
-5.59
-8.81%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
10.27
-0.52
-4.82%
NCNO
nCino
25.68
-9.54
-27.09%
ASAN
Asana
14.48
-7.20
-33.21%

Calix Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Calix Appoints John Durocher as Chief Operating Officer
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Calix, Inc. appointed John Durocher as Chief Operating Officer, effective November 16, 2025. Durocher, who joined Calix in 2023 as Chief Customer Officer, has a strong background in customer success and operational excellence from his previous roles at Salesforce and Accenture. His appointment is aimed at advancing Calix’s operational strategies and enhancing its position in the rapidly evolving broadband industry. Jonathan Lindsell will succeed Durocher as Chief Customer Officer, continuing to report to him. This leadership transition is expected to strengthen Calix’s mission of enabling customers to simplify their business and innovate, thereby growing value for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025