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Blackbaud (BLKB)
NASDAQ:BLKB
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Blackbaud (BLKB) AI Stock Analysis

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BLKB

Blackbaud

(NASDAQ:BLKB)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(4.54% Upside)
Blackbaud's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call that highlights strong growth and improved guidance, which offsets some of the financial challenges and valuation concerns. Technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while the lack of dividend yield and negative P/E ratio weigh on the valuation score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The business delivered a Rule-of-40 profile on an organic revenue basis, which is its near-term target.
Market Demand
Management is confident the business is not seeing any disruptions in demand due to macroeconomic factors or Federal budget scrutiny affecting its target end-markets.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
The 1Q25 outperformance did not flow through as the 2025 guidance was reaffirmed, which could be interpreted as a guide down and could weigh on sentiment.
Market Competition
Shares could underperform its other vertical software peers that grow faster or generate higher free cash flow margins.
Transactional Revenue Risk
There could be some risk with its transactional revenue stream, as a significant portion is generated through donations, which could be impacted in a recessionary environment.

Blackbaud (BLKB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackbaud Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackbaud, Inc. provides cloud software solutions to higher education institutions, K–12 schools, healthcare organizations, faith communities, arts and cultural organizations, foundations, companies, and individual change agents in the United States and internationally. The company offers fundraising and relationship management solutions, such as Blackbaud Raiser's Edge NXT and Blackbaud CRM, Blackbaud eTapestry, Blackbaud TeamRaiser, JustGiving, and Blackbaud Guided Fundraising and Blackbaud Volunteer Network Fundraising; marketing and engagement solutions, including Blackbaud Luminate Online, Blackbaud Online Express, and Blackbaud School Website System; and financial management solutions comprising Blackbaud Financial Edge NXT, Blackbaud Tuition Management, and Blackbaud Financial Aid Management. It also provides grant and award management solutions, consisting of Blackbaud Grantmaking and Blackbaud Award Management; organizational and program management, such as Blackbaud Student Information System, Blackbaud Learning Management System, Blackbaud Enrollment Management System, Blackbaud Altru, and Blackbaud Church Management; social responsibility solutions, which includes YourCause GrantsConnect and YourCause CSRconnect; Blackbaud Merchant Services and Blackbaud Purchase Cards payment services; and Blackbaud's Intelligence for Good solutions, as well as donor acquisition, prospect research, data enrichment, and benchmarking and performance management solutions and services. It sells its solutions and related services through its direct sales force. Blackbaud, Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackbaud generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model for its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, which provide clients with access to its suite of cloud-based solutions. The company also earns revenue from professional services, which include consulting, training, and implementation support to help organizations maximize the value of their software investments. Additionally, Blackbaud benefits from transaction-based fees associated with its payment processing services. Key revenue streams include subscriptions to its various software solutions, professional services, and transaction fees. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a role in expanding its product offerings and customer base, contributing to Blackbaud's overall earnings.

Blackbaud Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue by Type
Annual Recurring Revenue by Type
Measures the predictable income from subscription-based services, indicating the company's stability and potential for sustained growth.
Chart InsightsBlackbaud's contractual revenue showed consistent growth until a sharp decline in early 2025, possibly due to macroeconomic factors or strategic shifts. Meanwhile, transactional revenue has been volatile but generally rising, with recent overperformance. The earnings call highlights the company's strong financial performance and strategic innovations, despite challenges in forecasting transactional revenue. This suggests that while Blackbaud is innovating and maintaining growth, investors should be cautious of potential revenue volatility and macroeconomic impacts.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blackbaud Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a very positive outlook for Blackbaud, with strong growth in revenue, profitability, and customer acquisition, alongside strategic investments in innovation. Although there are some concerns about transactional revenue volatility and the impact of the Everfi divestiture, the company has demonstrated resilience and strategic foresight by raising its guidance for the full year.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Rule of 45 Performance
Achieved the highest quarterly Rule of 45 in the company's history, demonstrating strong growth and profitability.
Strong Revenue Growth
Generated $281 million in revenue, representing 6.8% organic growth year-over-year.
Increased EBITDA Margin
Reported an adjusted EBITDA margin of 38.5%, up nearly 300 basis points year-over-year.
Successful New Customer Acquisitions
Secured new customers including a large youth development organization, SunnyBrook Foundation, and California Polytechnic State University, highlighting momentum in various verticals.
AI and Innovation Investments
Continued investment in AI and innovation with new product developments like predictive AI and Blackbaud copilot, aiming to enhance customer effectiveness.
Raising Guidance
Increased full-year guidance across all metrics, including revenue, EBITDA, EPS, and free cash flow.
Negative Updates
Everfi Divestiture Impact
The divestiture of Everfi is expected to result in a $10-$15 million impact on EBITDA for 2024.
Transactional Revenue Volatility
Transactional revenues are difficult to predict due to their volatile nature, despite a strong first half.
Company Guidance
During Blackbaud's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a robust financial outlook, highlighting their significant growth and profitability improvements since 2020. They achieved a record Rule of 45 in Q2, driven by a revenue of $281 million, marking a 6.8% organic growth year-over-year. Their adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 38.5%, reflecting a 300 basis point improvement, while non-GAAP diluted EPS rose by 12% to $1.21. Despite the absence of EVERFI adjustments, Blackbaud's strategic focus on acquiring new customers, innovation, and operational efficiency has reinforced their market leadership in the social impact sector. The company has increased its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $1.120 billion and $1.130 billion, with EBITDA margins expected to range between 35.4% and 36.2%. They also anticipate non-GAAP EPS of $4.30 to $4.50 and adjusted free cash flow guidance of $190 million to $200 million. Blackbaud aims for mid-single-digit organic revenue growth, with EBITDA growth exceeding revenue growth, and continues to prioritize AI investments and operational discipline to drive shareholder value.

Blackbaud Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackbaud's financial position is strained with persistent losses and high leverage, posing significant risks. While the company shows stable cash flows, the negative profitability and diminishing equity are major concerns that need to be addressed for long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Blackbaud's income statement reveals a challenging financial scenario. The TTM data shows continued negative EBIT and net income, indicating ongoing operational challenges and a lack of profitability. While gross profit margin remains relatively stable, the significant decline in net profit margin due to sustained losses is concerning. Revenue growth has been modest but insufficient to offset the high operating costs and declining profit margins.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a precarious financial position with high leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerningly high, reflecting significant financial risk. Stockholders' equity has drastically declined, leading to a low equity ratio. The substantial liabilities compared to assets highlight potential liquidity risks. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a reasonable level of total assets, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement provides a mixed view. Operating cash flow remains positive and relatively stable, demonstrating some resilience in cash generation ability. However, the free cash flow has declined, and the ratio of operating cash flow to net income is distorted by the negative net income. The cash flow from investing and financing activities shows consistent outflows, indicating ongoing investments but also potential cash constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.16B1.11B1.06B927.74M913.22M
Gross Profit647.17M639.20M600.11M552.72M484.55M485.15M
EBITDA-130.63M-134.29M167.05M88.12M103.78M127.81M
Net Income-279.38M-283.17M1.82M-45.41M5.70M7.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.63B2.50B2.91B2.99B2.97B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.26M67.63M31.25M31.69M55.15M35.75M
Total Debt28.09M1.11B819.75M903.96M1.01B548.39M
Total Liabilities2.54B2.35B2.10B2.25B2.25B1.62B
Stockholders Equity87.95M141.99M808.71M744.03M717.06M426.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow228.74M288.52M135.51M132.83M161.51M76.11M
Operating Cash Flow245.86M295.97M199.63M203.89M213.66M147.96M
Investing Cash Flow-74.02M-73.41M-64.39M-85.55M-471.27M-71.85M
Financing Cash Flow-96.91M-139.35M-142.97M-25.69M264.11M-10.68M

Blackbaud Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price64.09
Price Trends
50DMA
64.03
Positive
100DMA
63.25
Positive
200DMA
70.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
48.06
Neutral
STOCH
13.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLKB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.88, above the 50-day MA of 64.03, and below the 200-day MA of 70.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLKB.

Blackbaud Risk Analysis

Blackbaud disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackbaud reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackbaud Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.09B-1.66%15.72%74.59%
72
Outperform
$2.10B19.7917.50%6.75%97.06%
68
Neutral
¥233.81B14.237.64%2.58%9.24%4.42%
66
Neutral
$3.88B-5.23%19.78%47.51%
65
Neutral
$4.60B1,201.140.92%13.34%
64
Neutral
$2.99B38.9023.79%7.99%-28.47%
55
Neutral
$3.11B78.53-85.12%0.11%-817.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLKB
Blackbaud
64.09
-11.39
-15.09%
QTWO
Q2 Holdings
73.63
6.43
9.57%
BL
BlackLine
48.35
-2.71
-5.31%
CXM
Sprinklr
8.12
-0.72
-8.14%
PYCR
Paycor HCM
22.49
10.32
84.80%
FRSH
Freshworks
12.63
1.47
13.17%

Blackbaud Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Blackbaud Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Blackbaud held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. Stockholders elected three Class C directors to the Board for terms expiring in 2028, approved executive compensation for 2024, amended the 2016 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLKB) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackbaud stock, see the BLKB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025