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Blackbaud (BLKB)
NASDAQ:BLKB

Blackbaud (BLKB) AI Stock Analysis

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BLKB

Blackbaud

(NASDAQ:BLKB)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(10.01% Upside)
Blackbaud's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance, which are offset by high leverage and valuation concerns. The technical analysis suggests potential resistance, while corporate events positively impact shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth highlights Blackbaud's ability to expand its market presence and enhance its product adoption, ensuring long-term business stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports Blackbaud's operational flexibility and ability to invest in growth initiatives, underpinning future financial health.
Innovation and AI Advancements
AI advancements position Blackbaud as a leader in tech innovation, enhancing its competitive edge and potential for long-term growth in the nonprofit sector.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting Blackbaud's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns effectively.
Revenue Reclassification and Tax Restatement
Revenue reclassification and tax restatement issues could undermine investor confidence and indicate potential weaknesses in financial controls.
Volatile Profit Margins
Volatile profit margins suggest potential instability in earnings, which could impact Blackbaud's ability to sustain long-term profitability.

Blackbaud (BLKB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackbaud Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackbaud, Inc. provides cloud software solutions to higher education institutions, K–12 schools, healthcare organizations, faith communities, arts and cultural organizations, foundations, companies, and individual change agents in the United States and internationally. The company offers fundraising and relationship management solutions, such as Blackbaud Raiser's Edge NXT and Blackbaud CRM, Blackbaud eTapestry, Blackbaud TeamRaiser, JustGiving, and Blackbaud Guided Fundraising and Blackbaud Volunteer Network Fundraising; marketing and engagement solutions, including Blackbaud Luminate Online, Blackbaud Online Express, and Blackbaud School Website System; and financial management solutions comprising Blackbaud Financial Edge NXT, Blackbaud Tuition Management, and Blackbaud Financial Aid Management. It also provides grant and award management solutions, consisting of Blackbaud Grantmaking and Blackbaud Award Management; organizational and program management, such as Blackbaud Student Information System, Blackbaud Learning Management System, Blackbaud Enrollment Management System, Blackbaud Altru, and Blackbaud Church Management; social responsibility solutions, which includes YourCause GrantsConnect and YourCause CSRconnect; Blackbaud Merchant Services and Blackbaud Purchase Cards payment services; and Blackbaud's Intelligence for Good solutions, as well as donor acquisition, prospect research, data enrichment, and benchmarking and performance management solutions and services. It sells its solutions and related services through its direct sales force. Blackbaud, Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackbaud generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its cloud-based software solutions, which provide organizations with tools to enhance fundraising and operational efficiency. The company's revenue model includes a combination of recurring subscription revenue from its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, transaction fees for payment processing services, and professional services such as implementation, training, and consulting. Key revenue streams include donations and fundraising management software, donor engagement solutions, and financial management systems. Additionally, Blackbaud has established significant partnerships with various organizations, including integration with payment processors and collaboration with industry leaders, further enhancing its service offerings and driving revenue growth.

Blackbaud Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue by Type
Annual Recurring Revenue by Type
Measures the predictable income from subscription-based services, indicating the company's stability and potential for sustained growth.
Chart InsightsBlackbaud's contractual revenue showed a steady increase until a sharp decline in early 2025, while transactional revenue displayed volatility but ended on a positive note. The earnings call highlights robust financial health, with a record Rule of 45 and increased guidance, despite concerns about transactional revenue volatility and the Everfi divestiture. Strategic customer acquisitions and investments in AI are expected to bolster future growth, suggesting that Blackbaud is well-positioned to navigate these challenges and maintain its market leadership.
Data provided by:The Fly

Blackbaud Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Blackbaud reported strong financial performance with increased revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow, alongside significant advancements in AI technology. Although there was a minor issue with tax and revenue reclassification, the company's overall results and future prospects are positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth Metrics
Blackbaud generated revenue of $281 million, reflecting a 5.2% organic growth year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by over 200 basis points to 35.4%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share rose 11% year-over-year to $1.10.
Innovation and AI Advancements
Blackbaud showcased significant innovation at bbcon 2025, with new AI capabilities such as predictive AI and generative AI-powered acknowledgments. The introduction of the agentic AI suite, Agents for Good, aims to expand customer teams with virtual members.
Successful Stock Repurchase Program
Blackbaud repurchased nearly 2 million shares year-to-date, representing approximately 5.2% of the company's common stock outstanding. The company plans to increase its stock repurchase target from 5% to 7% for 2025.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow was $125 million, up 28% year-over-year from $98 million. The company has raised its free cash flow guidance for 2025 due to anticipated cash tax savings.
Negative Updates
Revenue Reclassification and Tax Restatement
The company identified a noncash error related to the year-end 2024 calculation of the valuation allowance in accounting for income taxes, resulting in revenue reclassification and a correction of prior period errors.
Company Guidance
During Blackbaud's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a robust set of metrics that highlighted their strong financial performance and future guidance. Blackbaud reported revenue of $281 million for Q3, reflecting a 5.2% year-over-year organic growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by more than 200 basis points to 35.4%, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 11% to $1.10. Additionally, the company reported a particularly strong free cash flow of $125 million. For full-year 2025, Blackbaud reiterated its guidance, expecting revenue between $1.120 billion to $1.130 billion, with an organic growth rate of approximately 5% and EBITDA margins ranging from 35.4% to 36.2%. The company also increased its adjusted free cash flow guidance to $195 million to $205 million, factoring in anticipated tax savings. Looking ahead, Blackbaud plans to remain an active purchaser of its stock, increasing its stock repurchase target to 5.2% to 7% for 2025. These figures underline Blackbaud's focus on achieving mid-single-digit revenue growth, higher EBITDA growth, double-digit EPS growth, and strong free cash flow, all contributing to their strategic capital allocation plans.

Blackbaud Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackbaud demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by efficient cost management and operational improvements. However, the high leverage poses a financial risk, partially mitigated by substantial returns on equity. Cash flow metrics are positive, indicating healthy cash generation relative to income.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Blackbaud's income statement shows strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period, with a remarkable 24614.88% increase. The company has maintained a healthy gross profit margin around 55-59% over the years, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margins have been volatile, with significant improvement in the TTM period to 16.73% from negative margins in previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, peaking at 9.84 in the TTM period, which indicates high leverage and potential financial risk. Despite this, the return on equity has surged to 508.39% in the TTM period, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio has been relatively low, reflecting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a 20.71% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio and free cash flow to net income ratio indicate that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income, although these ratios have fluctuated over the years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.16B1.11B1.06B927.74M913.22M
Gross Profit655.75M639.20M604.04M552.72M484.55M486.05M
EBITDA17.08B253.72M178.72M99.01M83.69M103.88M
Net Income-252.43M-283.17M1.82M-45.41M5.70M7.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.10B2.50B2.91B2.99B2.97B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.26M67.63M31.25M31.69M55.15M35.75M
Total Debt1.07B1.11B826.45M903.96M1.01B548.39M
Total Liabilities2.00B2.35B2.10B2.25B2.25B1.62B
Stockholders Equity108.19M141.99M808.71M744.03M717.06M426.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow261.29M288.52M135.51M132.83M161.51M76.11M
Operating Cash Flow281.12M295.97M199.63M203.89M213.66M147.96M
Investing Cash Flow-74.39M-73.41M-64.39M-85.55M-471.27M-71.85M
Financing Cash Flow-212.31M-139.35M-142.97M-25.69M264.11M-10.68M

Blackbaud Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.63
Price Trends
50DMA
61.41
Positive
100DMA
63.38
Positive
200DMA
63.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Negative
RSI
58.75
Neutral
STOCH
75.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLKB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.64, above the 50-day MA of 61.41, and above the 200-day MA of 63.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLKB.

Blackbaud Risk Analysis

Blackbaud disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackbaud reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackbaud Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.41B141.388.74%17.77%-76.05%
71
Outperform
$3.44B52.8121.85%7.36%-40.62%
71
Outperform
$3.20B32.426.51%1.47%1077.70%
70
Outperform
$3.04B-12.23-78.53%-1.17%-597.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$3.43B-15.53-102.48%9.47%16.97%
44
Neutral
$3.00B-5.14-122.08%21.17%-108.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLKB
Blackbaud
63.63
-12.68
-16.62%
AGYS
Agilysys
121.49
-17.18
-12.39%
BL
BlackLine
57.84
-5.59
-8.81%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
10.27
-0.52
-4.82%
ASAN
Asana
14.48
-7.20
-33.21%
RUM
Rumble
6.90
-0.29
-4.03%

Blackbaud Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Blackbaud Updates Retirement Program for 2026
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Blackbaud‘s Board of Directors approved updates to their retirement program, effective January 1, 2026, to enhance the long-term incentive equity awards for eligible employees. The changes aim to attract and retain talent, align employee interests with shareholders, and support succession planning by adjusting eligibility criteria and vesting conditions for retirement, impacting future awards but not existing ones.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Blackbaud Expands Stock Repurchase Program to $1 Billion
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Blackbaud‘s Board of Directors reauthorized, expanded, and replenished its stock repurchase program, increasing its capacity from $800 million to $1 billion. This strategic move reflects the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value, with expectations to repurchase between 7.0% and 8.5% of its outstanding common stock by the end of 2025. The program, which has no expiration date, allows for stock repurchases through various transactions, subject to market conditions and available liquidity. Blackbaud’s decision underscores its long-term capital allocation strategy aimed at achieving consistent revenue and earnings growth.

Executive/Board Changes
Blackbaud Director Yogesh K. Gupta Resigns
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Yogesh K. Gupta announced his resignation as a director of Blackbaud, Inc., effective September 11, 2025, to focus on other professional commitments. Following his resignation, the Board of Directors reduced its size from eight to seven members.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025