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Blackbaud (BLKB)
NASDAQ:BLKB
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Blackbaud (BLKB) AI Stock Analysis

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BLKB

Blackbaud

(NASDAQ:BLKB)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(1.75% Upside)
Blackbaud's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong financial performance, which is offset by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum and valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided positive guidance, but the technical and valuation challenges weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective customer retention, which supports long-term business sustainability.
Innovation and AI Advancements
Investments in AI technology enhance product offerings, potentially increasing competitive advantage and customer engagement over the long term.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation provides financial flexibility for strategic investments and debt management, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and may limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Revenue Reclassification and Tax Restatement
Errors in financial reporting can undermine investor confidence and indicate potential weaknesses in financial controls, affecting long-term credibility.
Volatile Net Profit Margins
Volatility in profit margins can signal inconsistent cost management or pricing power, potentially impacting long-term profitability.

Blackbaud (BLKB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackbaud Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackbaud, Inc. (BLKB) is a leading provider of software and services designed specifically for the nonprofit sector, higher education institutions, and charitable organizations. The company operates primarily in the cloud computing sector, offering solutions that include fundraising, donor management, financial management, and analytics. Blackbaud's core products empower organizations to manage their operations, engage with constituents, and maximize their impact through innovative technology.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackbaud generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, which includes recurring software licenses for its cloud solutions and services. Key revenue streams include software subscriptions, transaction fees from payment processing, and professional services such as consulting and training. The company also earns revenue from strategic partnerships with organizations that enhance its product offerings or extend its market reach. Additionally, Blackbaud benefits from a strong customer retention rate, which contributes to stable and predictable revenue growth.

Blackbaud Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue by Type
Annual Recurring Revenue by Type
Measures the predictable income from subscription-based services, indicating the company's stability and potential for sustained growth.
Chart InsightsBlackbaud's contractual revenue showed a steady increase until a sharp decline in early 2025, while transactional revenue displayed volatility but ended on a positive note. The earnings call highlights robust financial health, with a record Rule of 45 and increased guidance, despite concerns about transactional revenue volatility and the Everfi divestiture. Strategic customer acquisitions and investments in AI are expected to bolster future growth, suggesting that Blackbaud is well-positioned to navigate these challenges and maintain its market leadership.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blackbaud Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Blackbaud reported strong financial performance with increased revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow, alongside significant advancements in AI technology. Although there was a minor issue with tax and revenue reclassification, the company's overall results and future prospects are positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth Metrics
Blackbaud generated revenue of $281 million, reflecting a 5.2% organic growth year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by over 200 basis points to 35.4%, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share rose 11% year-over-year to $1.10.
Innovation and AI Advancements
Blackbaud showcased significant innovation at bbcon 2025, with new AI capabilities such as predictive AI and generative AI-powered acknowledgments. The introduction of the agentic AI suite, Agents for Good, aims to expand customer teams with virtual members.
Successful Stock Repurchase Program
Blackbaud repurchased nearly 2 million shares year-to-date, representing approximately 5.2% of the company's common stock outstanding. The company plans to increase its stock repurchase target from 5% to 7% for 2025.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow was $125 million, up 28% year-over-year from $98 million. The company has raised its free cash flow guidance for 2025 due to anticipated cash tax savings.
Negative Updates
Revenue Reclassification and Tax Restatement
The company identified a noncash error related to the year-end 2024 calculation of the valuation allowance in accounting for income taxes, resulting in revenue reclassification and a correction of prior period errors.
Company Guidance
During Blackbaud's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a robust set of metrics that highlighted their strong financial performance and future guidance. Blackbaud reported revenue of $281 million for Q3, reflecting a 5.2% year-over-year organic growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by more than 200 basis points to 35.4%, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 11% to $1.10. Additionally, the company reported a particularly strong free cash flow of $125 million. For full-year 2025, Blackbaud reiterated its guidance, expecting revenue between $1.120 billion to $1.130 billion, with an organic growth rate of approximately 5% and EBITDA margins ranging from 35.4% to 36.2%. The company also increased its adjusted free cash flow guidance to $195 million to $205 million, factoring in anticipated tax savings. Looking ahead, Blackbaud plans to remain an active purchaser of its stock, increasing its stock repurchase target to 5.2% to 7% for 2025. These figures underline Blackbaud's focus on achieving mid-single-digit revenue growth, higher EBITDA growth, double-digit EPS growth, and strong free cash flow, all contributing to their strategic capital allocation plans.

Blackbaud Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackbaud demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability in the TTM period, supported by efficient cost management and operational improvements. However, the high leverage poses a financial risk, which is partially mitigated by the company's ability to generate substantial returns on equity. Cash flow metrics are positive, indicating healthy cash generation relative to income.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Blackbaud's income statement shows strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period, with a remarkable 24614.88% increase. The company has maintained a healthy gross profit margin around 55-59% over the years, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margins have been volatile, with significant improvement in the TTM period to 16.73% from negative margins in previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, peaking at 9.84 in the TTM period, which indicates high leverage and potential financial risk. Despite this, the return on equity has surged to 508.39% in the TTM period, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio has been relatively low, reflecting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a 20.71% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio and free cash flow to net income ratio indicate that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income, although these ratios have fluctuated over the years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.16B1.11B1.06B927.74M913.22M
Gross Profit655.75M639.20M604.04M552.72M484.55M486.05M
EBITDA322.40M253.72M178.72M99.01M83.69M103.88M
Net Income-252.43M-283.17M1.82M-45.41M5.70M7.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.10B2.50B2.91B2.99B2.97B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.25M67.63M31.25M31.69M55.15M35.75M
Total Debt27.64M1.11B819.75M903.96M1.01B548.39M
Total Liabilities2.00B2.35B2.10B2.25B2.25B1.62B
Stockholders Equity108.19M141.99M808.71M744.03M717.06M426.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow259.20M288.52M135.51M132.83M161.51M76.11M
Operating Cash Flow231.02M295.97M199.63M203.89M213.66M147.96M
Investing Cash Flow-74.39M-73.41M-64.39M-85.55M-471.27M-71.85M
Financing Cash Flow-212.31M-139.35M-142.97M-25.69M264.11M-10.68M

Blackbaud Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price57.00
Price Trends
50DMA
65.05
Negative
100DMA
64.75
Negative
200DMA
65.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
29.28
Positive
STOCH
3.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLKB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.64, below the 50-day MA of 65.05, and below the 200-day MA of 65.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.28 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLKB.

Blackbaud Risk Analysis

Blackbaud disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackbaud reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackbaud Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.64B35.426.51%1.47%1077.70%
76
Outperform
$3.42B146.838.74%17.77%-76.05%
67
Neutral
$3.49B45.7923.79%7.99%-28.47%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
52
Neutral
$2.97B-78.53%-1.17%-597.89%
52
Neutral
$3.11B-14.65-80.55%9.74%22.36%
45
Neutral
$2.63B-118.83%32.45%-125.99%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLKB
Blackbaud
57.00
-26.98
-32.13%
AGYS
Agilysys
126.19
7.38
6.21%
BL
BlackLine
56.82
-3.55
-5.88%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
10.70
-1.29
-10.76%
ASAN
Asana
13.10
-0.89
-6.36%
RUM
Rumble
5.89
-0.22
-3.60%

Blackbaud Corporate Events

Blackbaud Reports Q3 2025 Results and AI Innovations
Oct 30, 2025

Blackbaud, a leading software provider for social impact, serves the nonprofit and education sectors by offering solutions that enhance fundraising, financial management, and corporate social responsibility. In its third quarter of 2025, Blackbaud reported a slight decline in GAAP total revenue to $281.1 million, primarily due to the divestiture of EVERFI, while non-GAAP organic revenue saw a 5.2% increase. The company also highlighted significant advancements in AI technology at its annual bbcon conference, aiming to empower clients with deeper constituent relationships and improved operational efficiency.

Blackbaud’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Innovation
Oct 30, 2025

Blackbaud’s recent earnings call painted a positive picture of the company’s financial health and future prospects. The sentiment expressed during the call was overwhelmingly optimistic, with strong financial performance indicators such as increased revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow. Despite a minor hiccup involving tax and revenue reclassification, the company’s overall results and outlook remain robust.

Executive/Board Changes
Blackbaud Director Yogesh K. Gupta Resigns
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Yogesh K. Gupta announced his resignation as a director of Blackbaud, Inc., effective September 11, 2025, to focus on other professional commitments. Following his resignation, the Board of Directors reduced its size from eight to seven members.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLKB) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackbaud stock, see the BLKB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025