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Global-e Online (GLBE)
NASDAQ:GLBE
US Market

Global-e Online (GLBE) AI Stock Analysis

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GLBE

Global-e Online

(NASDAQ:GLBE)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(7.21% Upside)
The score is supported primarily by strong cash generation and a low-leverage balance sheet, reinforced by a bullish earnings call with raised guidance and significant free cash flow. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (downtrend with bearish MACD) and a very unattractive valuation (extremely high P/E with no dividend support).
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
A large, sustained jump in free cash flow provides durable capital for reinvestment, product development, strategic M&A or shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion reduces reliance on external funding and gives management flexibility to fund growth initiatives and absorb cyclical shocks.
Low Financial Leverage
Very low leverage and a healthy equity ratio create a resilient capital structure that supports multi-year investments and buybacks without straining liquidity. Low debt lowers default risk, preserves borrowing capacity, and enables strategic flexibility across expansion and product roadmap execution.
Strong GMV and Revenue Growth
Sustained double-digit GMV and revenue growth plus new merchant wins demonstrate durable market traction and platform demand. Persistent top-line expansion supports scale benefits, strengthens network effects with merchants, and underpins long-term take-rate and upsell opportunities.
Negative Factors
Negative EBIT and Net Income
Continued negative EBIT and net income indicate the company has yet to fully translate growth into operating profitability. Over the medium term this pressures return on equity and requires sustained margin expansion or structural cost reductions to reach self-sustaining earnings.
Take-Rate and Fulfillment Pressure
Structural declines in take rates and fulfillment fees reduce revenue per GMV and compress unit economics. If enterprise mix and multi-local fulfillment trends persist, sustaining margins will require higher volume, new value-added fees, or improved operational leverage to offset lost fee income.
Tariff and Trade Policy Risk
Shifts in tariffs and trade policy create structural uncertainty for cross-border flows, potentially altering demand, increasing landed costs, and pressuring margins for merchants and the platform. Persistent policy volatility can reshape corridor economics and complicate long-term planning.

Global-e Online (GLBE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global-e Online Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal-E Online Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides a platform to enable and accelerate direct-to-consumer cross-border e-commerce in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. Its platform enables international shoppers to buy online and merchants to sell from, and to, worldwide. Global-E Online Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal-e generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees charged to its e-commerce partners for each cross-border sale facilitated through its platform. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the sales made via its services, which includes fees for currency conversion and payment processing. Additionally, Global-e may charge setup and subscription fees for its platform services, providing a steady revenue stream from merchants looking to expand globally. Strategic partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and payment processors further enhance its earnings potential, enabling the company to tap into a broader customer base and drive higher transaction volumes.

Global-e Online Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsGlobal-e Online's revenue growth is robust across the United States and EU, with significant gains in the U.S. driven by strategic partnerships and acquisitions. Despite challenges in the UK, exacerbated by a cyberattack on a major merchant, the company remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The recent acquisition of ReturnGo and an extended partnership with DHL are expected to enhance service offerings and drive further revenue. However, uncertainties around duty tariffs and changes to the U.S. de minimis exemption could pose risks to future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Global-e Online Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in revenue growth, cash flow, and strategic initiatives in AI and agentic commerce. However, challenges from tariff changes and pressures on take rates were noted. The company's strong guidance and share repurchase program reflect a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth
Global-E achieved revenue of $221 million, up 25.5% year-over-year, and GMV of $1.51 billion, up 33% year-over-year. The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $952.1 million and $192.8 million, representing growth rates of 26.5% and 37% respectively.
Significant Increase in Free Cash Flow
The company generated $73.6 million in free cash flow, an increase of almost 250% compared to the previous year.
Successful New Merchant Launches
Global-E launched several new merchants across geographies, including Everlane, Ashford, and Marks & Spencer, contributing to strong market traction.
AI and Agentic Commerce Initiatives
Global-E is strategically positioning itself in AI and agentic commerce, already seeing traffic from ChatGPT and agent-assisted checkout transactions.
Share Repurchase Program
The company announced a $200 million share repurchase program, indicating strong cash generation and confidence in long-term value creation.
Negative Updates
Challenges Due to Tariff Changes
Some impact on same-store sales was noted, particularly on the inbound U.S. corridor and between the U.S. and Canada, due to global tariff changes.
Service Fee and Fulfillment Take Rate Pressures
Service fee take rates were slightly lower due to a higher share of larger enterprise merchants and fulfillment take rates decreased due to shifts to multi-local business models.
No Material Change from Shopify Partnership
The transition to a preferred status with Shopify has not yet resulted in a notable change in competitive dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the Global-E Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company announced impressive results, surpassing the top end of its guidance for Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), which reached $1.51 billion, marking a 33% year-over-year increase. Revenue for the quarter was $221 million, reflecting a 25.5% increase, while the adjusted EBITDA rose to $41.3 million, a 33% increase, resulting in an 18.7% margin. For the full year of 2025, Global-E raised its GMV guidance to approximately $6.46 billion, anticipating a 33% annual growth rate. The revenue forecast was also increased to $952.1 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $192.8 million, representing growth rates of 26.5% and 37%, respectively. The company also highlighted significant free cash flow generation, reaching $73.6 million for the quarter, a 250% increase from the previous year. These strong financial metrics demonstrate Global-E's continued success and robust market positioning, setting a positive outlook for future growth and profitability.

Global-e Online Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.027) and strong cash generation (positive free cash flow and robust cash flow ratios). Offsetting this, profitability remains weak with negative net income and EBIT margins despite stable ~45% gross margin and improving EBITDA margin.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Global-e Online has shown consistent revenue growth with a 5.88% increase in the TTM period. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains stable around 45%, suggesting efficient cost management in production. The EBITDA margin has improved, reflecting better operational efficiency, but the negative EBIT margin highlights ongoing challenges in covering operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.027, indicating low financial leverage and risk. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics are positive, with a slight growth in free cash flow and a strong free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash from operations despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue843.64M752.76M569.95M409.05M245.27M136.38M
Gross Profit380.47M339.43M233.60M158.18M91.43M43.47M
EBITDA180.90M101.61M35.61M-159.91M-65.33M8.65M
Net Income-28.42M-75.55M-133.81M-195.41M-74.93M3.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.22B1.26B1.20B1.16B846.13M347.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments515.48M474.44M317.42M228.20M509.07M91.97M
Total Debt24.65M24.86M23.32M19.82M21.32M4.43M
Total Liabilities306.71M370.05M300.38M234.48M150.38M205.81M
Stockholders Equity909.09M893.43M901.98M928.12M695.75M141.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.58M167.06M106.48M73.13M12.87M28.89M
Operating Cash Flow152.45M169.39M108.22M81.48M15.75M29.35M
Investing Cash Flow-202.08M-105.12M-55.04M-330.10M-40.49M-24.05M
Financing Cash Flow2.62M3.28M1.99M1.24M398.61M59.36M

Global-e Online Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.58
Price Trends
50DMA
38.84
Negative
100DMA
37.20
Negative
200DMA
35.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
29.22
Positive
STOCH
16.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLBE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.86, below the 50-day MA of 38.84, and below the 200-day MA of 35.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLBE.

Global-e Online Risk Analysis

Global-e Online disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global-e Online reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global-e Online Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$1.90B34.6112.19%9.24%35.68%
63
Neutral
$5.69B841.600.81%31.57%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$11.85B3.35%42.99%
57
Neutral
$5.24B37.121.98%-20.98%
51
Neutral
$598.18M-15.35-35.37%-4.90%50.77%
45
Neutral
$1.40B-102.27%-4.62%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLBE
Global-e Online
33.58
-26.28
-43.90%
W
Wayfair
90.90
43.53
91.89%
ETSY
Etsy
53.09
-2.37
-4.27%
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
11.41
7.38
183.13%
RVLV
Revolve Group
26.65
-4.32
-13.95%
TDUP
thredUP
4.78
2.33
95.10%

Global-e Online Corporate Events

Global-e Online Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Significant Growth
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Global-e Online Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth across key metrics. The company achieved a 33% increase in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), a 25% rise in revenue, and a 33% growth in Adjusted EBITDA. Notably, the company’s free cash flow surged by 246% year-over-year to $73.6 million. The results were driven by the expansion of services to new and existing merchants, as well as the introduction of value-added services and solutions. Global-e also announced a $200 million share repurchase program and provided an optimistic outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, raising its guidance for both periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLBE) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global-e Online stock, see the GLBE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026