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Corpay Inc (CPAY)
NYSE:CPAY
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Corpay Inc (CPAY) AI Stock Analysis

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CPAY

Corpay Inc

(NYSE:CPAY)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$361.00
▲(18.44% Upside)
Corpay Inc's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. While technical analysis shows mixed signals, the company's strategic initiatives and valuation provide a balanced outlook. The high debt-to-equity ratio and challenges in specific segments are areas to monitor.

Corpay Inc (CPAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Corpay Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCorpay, Inc. operates as a payments company that helps businesses and consumers manage vehicle-related expenses, lodging expenses, and corporate payments in the United States, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers vehicle payment solutions, which include fuel, tolls, parking, fleet maintenance, and long-haul transportation services, as well as prepaid food and transportation vouchers and cards. It also provides corporate payment solutions consisting of accounts payable automation; virtual cards, cross-border solutions; and purchasing and travel and entertainment card products, as well as lodging payments solutions for employees who travel overnight for work purposes; traveling crews and stranded passengers from airlines and cruise lines; and insurance policyholders displaced from their homes due to damage or catastrophe. In addition, the company offers gifts and payroll cards. It serves business, merchant, consumer, and payment network customers. The company was formerly known as FLEETCOR Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to Corpay, Inc. in March 2024. Corpay, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCorpay generates revenue through various streams, primarily by charging fees for its payment processing services, which include transaction fees based on the volume and value of payments processed. Additionally, the company earns income from foreign exchange transactions, where it facilitates currency conversion for businesses engaged in international trade, often taking a margin on the exchange rate. Corpay also monetizes its spend management solutions through subscription fees and value-added services that help businesses manage their expenses and cash flow more efficiently. Key partnerships with banks and financial institutions enhance Corpay's service offerings, allowing the company to expand its market reach and increase its earnings potential.

Corpay Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment with strong organic growth, increased full-year guidance, and successful integration of acquisitions. However, challenges in the Lodging segment and fewer gift card shipments slightly offset the positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Revenue Growth
The company reported a Q2 organic revenue growth of 11%, up 2% from Q1, with significant growth in Corporate Payments (18%) and Vehicle Payments (9%).
Increased Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Full-year 2025 revenue guidance was increased by $25 million to $4.445 billion, with an expected cash EPS of $21.06.
Successful Integration and Growth in Acquisitions
Acquisitions like Paymerang and GPS are performing well, with Paymerang on track to double EBITDA and GPS seeing doubled sales bookings.
High Retention Rates
Retention rates improved to 92.3%, the highest level in recent times, contributing to stable growth.
Launch of New Products
Launch of the new MCA multicurrency account product is successful, with 10,000 accounts live and reaching $1 billion in deposits.
Negative Updates
Lodging Segment Decline
The Lodging segment saw a 2% decline in organic revenue year-over-year, with expectations of continued softness in the second half.
Fewer Gift Card Shipments
The company experienced fewer gift card shipments than planned, impacting revenue expectations.
Uncertain Macroeconomic Environment
The macro environment remains uncertain, particularly affecting the cross-border business in North America.
Company Guidance
During the Corpay Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics. For the full year 2025, Corpay updated its revenue guidance to $4.445 billion, representing a 12% increase, and adjusted cash EPS guidance to $21.06, reflecting an 11% growth. The company's organic revenue growth is expected to be 9% to 11%, slightly adjusted due to anticipated weaker performance in the Lodging segment. In Q2, Corpay reported print revenue of $1.102 billion, up 13%, and cash EPS of $5.13, also up 13%. Organic revenue growth was 11%, with the Vehicle Payments segment growing by 9%, Corporate Payments by 18%, and the Lodging segment declining by 2% year-over-year. Retention rates improved to 92.3%, the highest in recent years. Looking forward, Corpay expects the Vehicle Payments segment to achieve a 10% growth rate in the second half of the year, while the Corporate Payments segment is projected to maintain high-teens organic revenue growth. The company also highlighted its strategic priorities, including simplifying the portfolio and focusing on Corporate Payments, with plans to achieve $2 billion in revenue in this segment by next year.

Corpay Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Corpay Inc demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and robust cash flow generation. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio remains a concern despite improvements.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Corpay Inc has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 3.12% and strong profitability metrics. The gross profit margin remains robust at 75.93%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 25.17%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin compared to previous periods suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65, indicating significant leverage, although it has improved from previous periods. Return on equity is strong at 30.89%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Corpay Inc's cash flow performance is solid, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 44.17% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.15%, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow coverage ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential constraints in covering liabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.17B3.97B3.76B3.43B2.83B2.39B
Gross Profit3.26B3.11B2.94B2.66B2.27B1.79B
EBITDA2.22B2.12B2.01B1.76B1.51B1.27B
Net Income1.05B1.00B981.89M954.33M839.50M704.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.44B17.96B15.48B14.09B13.40B11.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.19B1.55B1.39B1.44B1.52B934.90M
Total Debt8.12B8.00B6.72B7.04B5.98B4.30B
Total Liabilities16.47B14.81B12.19B11.55B10.54B7.84B
Stockholders Equity3.93B3.12B3.28B2.54B2.87B3.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.93B1.77B1.95B603.37M1.09B1.39B
Operating Cash Flow2.12B1.94B2.10B754.80M1.20B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow-883.50M-807.48M-380.72M-368.35M-715.93M-106.25M
Financing Cash Flow722.58M404.99M-898.21M-311.23M343.93M-1.42B

Corpay Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price304.80
Price Trends
50DMA
323.69
Negative
100DMA
326.62
Negative
200DMA
340.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.72
Positive
RSI
36.73
Neutral
STOCH
15.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 304.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 319.20, below the 50-day MA of 323.69, and below the 200-day MA of 340.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPAY.

Corpay Inc Risk Analysis

Corpay Inc disclosed 3 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Corpay Inc reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Corpay Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$22.00B21.2831.43%9.22%6.60%
77
Outperform
$5.91B21.8122.19%-1.62%36.57%
75
Outperform
$2.44B25.8613.86%13.02%-2.57%
73
Outperform
$7.72B32.3319.00%23.86%79.35%
73
Outperform
$23.76B119.3414.51%26.11%
68
Neutral
$3.71B12.4925.94%8.71%25.75%
61
Neutral
$35.83B9.00-10.39%1.87%8.46%-7.85%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPAY
Corpay Inc
304.80
-1.01
-0.33%
EEFT
Euronet Worldwide
91.34
-5.61
-5.79%
WEX
WEX
169.57
-24.16
-12.47%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments
85.60
5.20
6.47%
PAYO
Payoneer
6.81
-0.67
-8.96%
TOST
Toast Inc
39.90
13.81
52.93%

Corpay Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Corpay Inc Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Corpay, Inc. reported a 13% increase in revenue and adjusted EPS growth for the second quarter of 2025, with significant contributions from its Corporate Payments segment. The company announced the acquisition of Alpha Group and partnerships in the stablecoin sector, indicating strategic expansion and positioning in the digital currency market. The financial results surpassed expectations, prompting an upward revision of the fiscal year 2025 outlook, highlighting strong sales performance and improved foreign currency rates.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Corpay Inc Announces Acquisition of Alpha Group
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Corpay, Inc. announced its intention to acquire Alpha Group International plc, a leading provider of B2B cross-border FX solutions in the UK and Europe, for approximately £1.6 billion. The acquisition, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, will be executed through a court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement and is anticipated to enhance Corpay’s relationships with investment managers and expand its customer segments. The transaction is expected to be accretive to Corpay’s earnings per share by 2026 and will be financed through a combination of cash, debt, and other financial strategies.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Corpay Inc Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Corpay Inc held its Annual Meeting where shareholders voted on several key matters. The election of eleven directors saw varying levels of support, with Jeffrey S. Sloan receiving the highest number of votes in favor. Additionally, Ernst & Young LLP was reappointed as the independent public accounting firm for 2025. A shareholder proposal for an independent Board chair was rejected, and the advisory vote on executive compensation showed a divided opinion among shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Corpay Inc Appoints Peter Walker as New CFO
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Corpay, Inc. announced the appointment of Peter Walker as Chief Financial Officer, effective July 21, 2025. Peter Walker, who previously served as CFO at Instructure Holdings, brings a wealth of experience from various financial leadership roles. His appointment is expected to enhance Corpay’s business operations and strategic financial management. Interim CFO Alissa Vickery will return to her role as Chief Accounting Officer following Walker’s appointment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025