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PC Connection (CNXN)
NASDAQ:CNXN
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PC Connection (CNXN) AI Stock Analysis

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CNXN

PC Connection

(NASDAQ:CNXN)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(25.19% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is led by strong financial quality—especially the very low leverage and solid free-cash-flow profile—supported by a constructive technical trend. Valuation is reasonable but not exceptionally cheap, while the earnings outlook is positive overall but tempered by working-capital/inventory build risks, Public Sector weakness, and management’s caution about potential second-half 2026 softening.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility, lowering solvency risk and enabling continued capital returns, opportunistic M&A or supply commitments. This foundation cushions cyclical IT demand and supports multi-quarter strategic initiatives without financing strain.
Negative Factors
Public Sector volatility
A 31% pullback highlights reliance on lumpy, contract-driven Public Sector revenue. Large, nonrecurring awards can materially swing quarterly results, reducing predictability and making year‑over‑year comparables volatile for the next 2–6 months as prior-year contract timing normalizes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility, lowering solvency risk and enabling continued capital returns, opportunistic M&A or supply commitments. This foundation cushions cyclical IT demand and supports multi-quarter strategic initiatives without financing strain.
Read all positive factors

PC Connection (CNXN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PC Connection Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN) is a leading technology solutions provider that specializes in delivering a wide range of IT products and services to businesses, educational institutions, and government agencies. Founded in 1982, the company operates p...
How the Company Makes Money
Connection primarily makes money by reselling third-party IT products and bundling them with services. Its core revenue stream is product revenue from the sale of computer hardware (e.g., desktops, laptops, servers, networking equipment, periphera...

PC Connection Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive operational and financial beat: consolidated sales, gross profit, operating income, net income and EPS all improved year-over-year, Enterprise and Business Solutions delivered strong growth, backlog is at a multi-year high, liquidity is robust, and the company received notable partner recognitions. Offsetting risks include a significant decline in Public Sector sales tied to a nonrecurring prior-year contract, ongoing supply-chain and memory-driven price volatility, a sizeable inventory build and working-capital absorption, a $3.1M severance charge, and management's caution about potential softening in the back half of 2026. Overall, the positive execution, margin expansion, cash position and capital returns outweigh the near-term operational headwinds and uncertainties.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue and Profit Growth
Gross billings grew 4.3% to $1.0 billion (from $978.9M). Total net sales were $721.9 million, up 3.0% year-over-year. Gross profit increased 4.3% to $132.7 million and consolidated gross margin expanded 20 basis points to 18.4%.
Negative Updates
Public Sector Revenue Decline
Public Sector net sales declined 31% to $99.8 million and gross billings fell 21.2% to $135.7 million, largely driven by the absence of a large non-recurring federal contract that affected prior-year results.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue and Profit Growth
Gross billings grew 4.3% to $1.0 billion (from $978.9M). Total net sales were $721.9 million, up 3.0% year-over-year. Gross profit increased 4.3% to $132.7 million and consolidated gross margin expanded 20 basis points to 18.4%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking guidance emphasized that Connection expects to outperform the U.S. IT market by 200 basis points in 2026, with a backlog at its highest level since mid‑2022 that management expects to convert largely through Q2–Q3 (Q1 enterprise pull‑ins contributed a low‑to‑mid single‑digit revenue boost), Public Sector trends should improve through the balance of 2026, and the PC refresh cycle will continue through 2026; they cautioned memory‑driven price inflation (prices up while unit counts down) may persist into 2026 or beyond and could cause modest softening in the back half of the year. Management also reiterated capital return and liquidity positions—a $0.20 quarterly dividend payable May 29, ~42,000 shares repurchased in Q1 at an average $57.70 (~$2.4M) with $81.2M remaining authorization, and $411.4M in cash/short‑term investments—while noting planned inventory build (+$50.7M) to secure supply.

PC Connection Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (near-zero leverage, growing equity) and solid TTM free-cash-flow generation with good earnings-to-FCF conversion. Offsetting factors are a choppy multi-year revenue trend and volatility in operating/free cash flow, plus some near-term margin pressure versus 2025.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.89B2.87B2.80B2.85B3.12B2.89B
Gross Profit544.76M539.33M519.79M511.74M526.18M464.58M
EBITDA130.92M128.33M110.46M118.22M132.58M108.68M
Net Income87.46M83.72M87.09M83.27M89.22M69.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B1.35B1.30B1.19B1.10B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments411.45M406.68M442.61M297.19M122.93M108.31M
Total Debt6.43M996.00K3.36M4.91M8.16M10.21M
Total Liabilities503.33M440.80M388.36M347.61M333.65M400.91M
Stockholders Equity921.69M910.13M910.99M840.77M766.17M682.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow124.43M58.05M166.29M188.36M25.81M47.45M
Operating Cash Flow132.09M65.44M173.87M197.95M34.89M57.75M
Investing Cash Flow-64.90M42.83M-115.29M-160.20M-9.08M-8.73M
Financing Cash Flow-53.39M-93.37M-25.22M-15.73M-11.19M-36.37M

PC Connection Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.31
Price Trends
50DMA
61.19
Positive
100DMA
59.83
Positive
200DMA
60.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
64.89
Neutral
STOCH
77.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNXN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.56, below the 50-day MA of 61.19, and below the 200-day MA of 60.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNXN.

PC Connection Risk Analysis

PC Connection disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PC Connection reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PC Connection Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.62B21.389.67%1.02%0.78%3.87%
72
Outperform
$348.59M27.0719.67%0.63%36.31%7.03%
67
Neutral
$883.92M12.958.14%0.07%27.46%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$9.43B9.999.05%10.49%50.30%
59
Neutral
$6.59B12.983.02%2.77%12.68%-27.94%
59
Neutral
$2.19B16.319.79%-5.22%-35.00%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNXN
PC Connection
64.30
-3.41
-5.03%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
184.52
67.95
58.29%
AVT
Avnet
80.53
31.75
65.08%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
72.77
-60.91
-45.56%
SCSC
ScanSource
41.15
6.82
19.87%
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions
18.89
-6.47
-25.51%

PC Connection Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
PC Connection Posts Strong Q1 Results, Declares Dividend
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
On April 29, 2026, Connection reported first-quarter 2026 results showing net sales up 3% year on year to $721.9 million and gross billings up 4.3% to $1.0 billion, while net income jumped 27.8% to $17.2 million and diluted EPS rose to $0.68. The ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
PC Connection boosts capital returns after Q4 performance
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Connection reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, showing modest top-line pressure but improved profitability metrics. Fourth-quarter 2025 net sales edged down 0.8% to $702.9 million, while gross billings rose...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026