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Avnet (AVT)
NASDAQ:AVT
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Avnet (AVT) AI Stock Analysis

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AVT

Avnet

(NASDAQ:AVT)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(15.22%Upside)
Avnet's overall stock score reflects a balance of strengths and challenges. Strong cash flow and a solid equity position are significant positives. However, declining revenue and margin pressures, combined with overbought technical indicators, present risks. The company's fair valuation and mixed earnings call results further contribute to the moderate score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AVT recently reported F3Q results at or slightly above Street/BofA estimates on better than expected results in Asia and Farnell.
Negative Factors
Guidance
For the upcoming quarter, revenue and earnings per share guidance are both below Street and BofA estimates.
Market Conditions
The CEO described the current period as one of the most challenging and uncertain times in his 40-plus years in distribution.

Avnet (AVT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avnet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvnet, Inc., a technology solutions company, markets, sells, and distributes electronic components. The company operates through two segments, Electronic Components and Farnell. The Electronic Components segment markets, sells, and distributes semiconductors; interconnect, passive, and electromechanical devices; and other integrated components from electronic component manufacturers. It also offers design chain support that provides engineers with technical design solutions; engineering and technical resources to support product design, bill of materials development, and technical education and training; and supply chain solutions that provide support and logistical services to original equipment manufacturers, electronic manufacturing service providers, and electronic component manufacturers. In addition, this segment provides integrated solutions, such as technical design, integration, and assembly of embedded products, and systems and solutions primarily for industrial applications, as well as for intelligent and innovative embedded display solutions comprising touch and passive displays. Further, it develops and manufactures standard board and industrial subsystems, and application-specific devices that enable it to produce systems tailored to specific customer requirements. This segment serves various markets, such as automotive, medical, defense, aerospace, telecommunications, industrial, and digital editing. The Farnell segment distributes kits, tools, and electronic and industrial automation components, as well as test and measurement products to engineers and entrepreneurs. It has operations in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Avnet, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvnet generates revenue primarily through the distribution of electronic components and embedded solutions. The company procures products from a vast network of suppliers and manufacturers, which are then sold to a diverse customer base including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), electronic manufacturing services (EMS) providers, and small to medium-sized businesses. Avnet's revenue streams are augmented by value-added services such as supply chain management, logistics, and technical support, which help differentiate its offerings. Key partnerships with leading technology companies and component manufacturers bolster Avnet's extensive product portfolio, enhancing its ability to meet customer needs and maintain a steady stream of income.

Avnet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there were notable achievements such as exceeding revenue and EPS expectations, strong cash flow, and growth in Asia, there were also significant challenges like declines in EMEA and Americas, overall revenue decline, and gross margin pressures. The company is actively working on mitigating tariffs and improving its inventory situation, but these challenges remain considerable.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EPS Achievement
Avnet achieved sales of $5.3 billion, near the high end of guidance, and adjusted EPS of $0.84, exceeding expectations.
Improved Cash Flow
Generated $141 million of cash flow from operations in the quarter, showing strong financial management.
Growth in Asia
Sales in Asia increased by 13% year-over-year, marking the third consecutive quarter of growth in this region.
Farnell's Positive Performance
Farnell's sales increased 6% sequentially and operating income rose by 3%, indicating a stabilization and slight improvement.
Tariff Mitigation Strategies
Developed strategies to mitigate the impact of tariffs, including leveraging global logistics and offering alternative products.
Negative Updates
Decline in EMEA and Americas
Sales declined 24% in EMEA and 9% in the Americas, indicating weak demand in these regions.
Overall Revenue Decline
Total sales were down 6% both year-over-year and sequentially, reflecting challenging market conditions.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin of 11.1% was 78 basis points lower year-over-year, indicating margin pressure.
Inventory Challenges
Despite efforts to reduce inventory, it only decreased by $57 million in constant currency, showing slower progress than desired.
Company Guidance
During Avnet's third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported financial results that exceeded expectations, with sales reaching $5.3 billion and an adjusted EPS of $0.84, both at or above the high end of guidance. The company also generated $141 million in cash flow from operations. The results were driven by improved performance in Asia and Farnell, despite ongoing weaknesses in Western markets, particularly Europe. The global book-to-bill ratio improved, with Asia achieving parity, and IP&E book-to-bill ratios surpassing parity across the company. Avnet highlighted challenges in the semiconductor and IP&E sectors, maintaining stable lead times and pricing. The company noted that the aerospace and defense vertical showed year-over-year growth, while other sectors faced sequential declines. Avnet's guidance for the fourth quarter anticipates sales between $5.15 billion and $5.45 billion, with an EPS range of $0.65 to $0.75, factoring in a flat sales outlook compared to the prior quarter.

Avnet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avnet's financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows declining revenue and margins, which is concerning. However, the balance sheet reflects a strong equity position despite increased leverage, and the cash flow statement highlights robust cash generation, indicating efficient cash management.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Avnet's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue over recent periods, with TTM revenue at $22.1B compared to $26.5B in 2023. Gross profit margin for TTM is 11.0%, and net profit margin is 1.4%. The EBIT margin is 2.9%, indicating modest operational efficiency. Despite the declining revenue trend, the company maintains some profitability, although at reduced levels.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with stockholders' equity at $11.7B in TTM, resulting in a favorable equity ratio of 100%. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.24, reflecting moderate leverage. While the company has improved its equity base, the increase in debt could pose long-term risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Avnet's cash flow statement shows healthy cash flow generation with operating cash flow at $859M and free cash flow at $745M for TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is a strong 2.71, highlighting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow has grown significantly from previous periods, indicating robust cash management capabilities.
BreakdownJun 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.76B26.54B24.31B19.53B17.63B
Gross Profit2.77B3.18B2.97B2.24B2.06B
EBITDA1.06B1.38B1.09B451.10M237.53M
Net Income498.70M770.83M692.38M193.11M-29.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.21B12.48B10.39B8.93B8.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments310.94M288.23M153.69M199.69M477.04M
Total Debt3.13B3.30B1.87B1.51B1.73B
Total Liabilities7.28B7.73B6.20B4.84B4.38B
Stockholders Equity4.93B4.75B4.19B4.08B3.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow463.51M-908.38M-268.21M40.59M656.67M
Operating Cash Flow689.98M-713.70M-219.31M90.95M730.18M
Investing Cash Flow-225.48M-211.55M51.30M-61.20M-135.02M
Financing Cash Flow-433.80M1.05B156.06M-314.01M-644.55M

Avnet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.94
Price Trends
50DMA
52.76
Positive
100DMA
50.39
Positive
200DMA
51.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Positive
RSI
57.79
Neutral
STOCH
63.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.22, above the 50-day MA of 52.76, and above the 200-day MA of 51.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVT.

Avnet Risk Analysis

Avnet disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avnet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avnet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.43B24.8111.58%5.87%20.66%
78
Outperform
$12.26B17.378.83%1.19%6.60%19.93%
69
Neutral
$923.71M14.437.32%-14.07%-9.65%
69
Neutral
$4.68B28.938.67%-7.61%-50.01%
69
Neutral
¥233.55B14.967.55%2.59%9.31%6.17%
68
Neutral
$4.61B15.416.42%2.39%-10.52%-42.40%
65
Neutral
$6.75B17.867.74%-3.95%-16.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVT
Avnet
52.94
3.48
7.04%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
116.00
-9.76
-7.76%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
118.58
-62.94
-34.67%
SANM
Sanmina-Sci
116.04
51.03
78.50%
SCSC
ScanSource
38.84
-8.62
-18.16%
SNX
SYNNEX
144.39
32.47
29.01%

Avnet Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Avnet Secures $150M and €100M Loan Agreement
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Avnet Europe, a subsidiary of Avnet, Inc., entered into a Credit Agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, securing $150 million in U.S. Dollar loans and €100 million in Euro loans. These loans, divided into tranches, will mature between 2026 and 2028, with interest rates tied to various benchmarks. Avnet, Inc. guarantees these loans, and the agreement includes covenants that, if breached, could accelerate repayment obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVT) stock is a Sell with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avnet stock, see the AVT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025