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Avnet (AVT)
NASDAQ:AVT

Avnet (AVT) AI Stock Analysis

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AVT

Avnet

(NASDAQ:AVT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(4.78% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (notably low leverage) and a positive earnings update with a beat and constructive guidance, while thin margins and weaker recent free-cash-flow growth cap the financial profile. Technically, the trend is strong, but overbought momentum signals increase near-term risk, and valuation looks only moderately attractive given the profitability profile.
Positive Factors
Low Financial Leverage
A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.26) and high equity financing provide durable financial flexibility. This conservatism supports investment in supply-chain capabilities, selective M&A, dividends, and the ability to withstand cyclical downturns without compromising operations or liquidity over the next 2–6 months.
Regional Revenue Diversification — Asia Strength
Sustained, record Asia growth (now >50% of sales) reflects structural exposure to high-growth end markets and strengthens global revenue diversification. Persistent demand in Asia supports longer-term top-line resilience and expands customer pipelines across compute, industrial, and telecom segments.
Improving Cash Conversion and Inventory Control
Material operating cash generation (> $200M) and sequential working-capital reductions signal improving cash conversion. Better inventory days and tighter working-capital management enhance free cash flow potential and provide capacity for dividends, deleveraging, or strategic reinvestment over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin Profitability Margins
Very low net and operating margins characterize the distribution model and limit earnings resilience. Thin margins reduce the firm's ability to absorb input cost, pricing pressure, or SG&A increases, constraining internal reinvestment and long-term return-on-capital unless structural margin improvements occur.
Free Cash Flow Weakness
A steep drop in free cash flow growth (-42% TTM) weakens durable cash-generation capacity. Even with operating cash flow positives, declining FCF growth limits sustained dividend increases, buybacks, or accelerated deleveraging and raises sensitivity to cyclical revenue swings over the medium term.
Supply-Chain & Inventory Profile Risks
High inventory days at Farnell and broader supply-chain mismatch reduce working-capital efficiency and tie up cash. Combined with emerging pricing pressure in memory/storage and regional mix shifts, this structural mismatch can depress gross margins and slow margin recovery absent improved supply visibility or inventory normalization.

Avnet (AVT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avnet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvnet, Inc., a technology solutions company, markets, sells, and distributes electronic components. The company operates through two segments, Electronic Components and Farnell. The Electronic Components segment markets, sells, and distributes semiconductors; interconnect, passive, and electromechanical devices; and other integrated components from electronic component manufacturers. It also offers design chain support that provides engineers with technical design solutions; engineering and technical resources to support product design, bill of materials development, and technical education and training; and supply chain solutions that provide support and logistical services to original equipment manufacturers, electronic manufacturing service providers, and electronic component manufacturers. In addition, this segment provides integrated solutions, such as technical design, integration, and assembly of embedded products, and systems and solutions primarily for industrial applications, as well as for intelligent and innovative embedded display solutions comprising touch and passive displays. Further, it develops and manufactures standard board and industrial subsystems, and application-specific devices that enable it to produce systems tailored to specific customer requirements. This segment serves various markets, such as automotive, medical, defense, aerospace, telecommunications, industrial, and digital editing. The Farnell segment distributes kits, tools, and electronic and industrial automation components, as well as test and measurement products to engineers and entrepreneurs. It has operations in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Avnet, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvnet generates revenue primarily through the distribution of electronic components, which includes semiconductors, interconnects, passive components, and electromechanical devices. The company operates on a commission-based model where it earns margins on the products it sells to manufacturers and integrators. Additionally, Avnet provides value-added services, such as design support and supply chain management, which contribute to its revenue. Key partnerships with major technology manufacturers enable Avnet to offer a wide range of products and solutions, further enhancing its earning potential. The company also benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to negotiate better pricing and terms with suppliers, thereby increasing its profitability.

Avnet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid operational and financial momentum: revenue and EPS beat expectations, strong cash flow, sequential and year-over-year growth across regions (notably record Asia revenues and robust Farnell growth), inventory and working capital improvements, and positive guidance for the next quarter. Challenges were acknowledged, including emerging spot pricing pressure in memory/storage and select components, higher SG&A versus prior year, regional mix pressure on gross margins, elevated Farnell inventory days, and ongoing supply-chain mismatches and limited customer long-term visibility. On balance, the positives (top-line beats, cash generation, margin improvement initiatives, and constructive guidance) outweigh the noted risks and execution items.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Above Guidance and Strong Top-Line Growth
Sales of $6.3 billion in the quarter, which exceeded the high end of guidance and represented +12% year-over-year and +7% sequential growth.
Regional Strength — Asia Record Quarter
Asia sales reached a record high of over $3.0 billion, grew +17% year-over-year, and now represent over 50% of total sales (up from ~48% last quarter); sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth in the region.
Farnell Outperformance
Farnell sales increased +24% year-over-year and +7% sequentially (constant currency +20% YoY); Farnell gross margins improved >100 basis points year-over-year.
Electronic Components Business Momentum
Electronic Components sales rose +11% year-over-year and +7% sequentially (constant currency +9% YoY); EC operating margin of 3.2% contributed to consolidated margin expansion efforts.
Operating Margin Progress and EPS Beat
Reported operating margins: 3.2% for Electronic Components and 4.7% for Farnell; adjusted diluted EPS of $1.05 exceeded the high end of guidance and was described as nearly 4x versus the prior quarter.
Cash Flow and Working Capital Improvement
Generated over $200 million of cash flow from operations; working capital decreased $42 million sequentially and working capital days decreased by 7 days to 88 days.
Inventory Reduction and Management
Total inventory reduced by $126 million (2.3%) sequentially; ended quarter at 86 days of inventory company-wide with EC inventory <80 days and Farnell inventory <230 days; management targeting below 80 days overall.
Demand Indicators and Product Wins
Double-digit year-over-year sales growth led by strong demand in compute and aerospace & defense; demand creation revenues increased sequentially by +7%; design registrations and wins increased sequentially, supporting future revenue pipeline.
Prudent Capital Allocation
Paid quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share (~$28 million) and signaled intent to reduce leverage to ~3x over the next year while deploying cash selectively for long-term returns.
Near-Term Guidance and Positive Outlook
Management guided Q3 sales in a $6.2B–$6.5B range with EPS $1.20–$1.30, implying ~1% sequential sales increase at the midpoint and expecting growth in the Americas and EMEA with a less-than-seasonal decline in Asia.
Negative Updates
Pricing Pressure Emerging in Key Categories
Spot price increases and potential upward pricing pressure noted across multiple technologies; specific areas called out include memory and storage (controllers), high-end networking parts, certain capacitors and antennas.
Gross Margin Impacted by Regional Mix
Overall gross margin was 10.5% (flattish year-over-year, slight sequential uptick) with EC gross margins being pressured by a higher mix of lower-margin Asia sales growing faster than Western regions.
SG&A and Expense Increases
SG&A expenses were $492 million, up $55 million year-over-year and $27 million sequentially, in part due to higher sales volume and increased stock-based compensation, though SG&A as a percent of gross profit improved to 74% from 76%.
Farnell Margin Sequental Pressure and Inventory Model
Although Farnell improved YoY gross margin, its gross margins were down 25 basis points sequentially; Farnell carries a much higher inventory-days profile (~<230 days) which constrains margin improvement until mix shifts to higher-margin on-board components.
Supply-Chain Mismatch and Visibility Constraints
Longer supplier lead times and increasing instances of deliveries beyond requested dates have created mismatches between customer request dates and supplier delivery dates; customer visibility is improving but remains below desired levels.
Quarter-End High-Demand Inventory Receipt
EC received approximately $150 million of high-demand memory and storage inventory at quarter-end, which partially offset broader inventory reductions (though company stated much of that inventory was shipped in January).
Interest Expense and Leverage
Interest expense remained meaningful at $61 million for the quarter; management reiterated a target to reduce leverage to approximately three times over the next year.
Company Guidance
Avnet's guidance for the upcoming period calls for sales of $6.2 billion to $6.5 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.20 to $1.30, with the midpoint implying roughly a 1% sequential sales increase; the company expects growth in the Americas and EMEA, a smaller-than-normal seasonal decline in Asia due to Lunar New Year, assumes interest expense roughly in line with Q2 (~$61M), an effective tax rate of 21%–25%, and about 83 million diluted shares outstanding.

Avnet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable revenue growth (1.33% TTM) and a strong balance sheet with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) support the score, but profitability is thin (net margin 1.04%; EBIT/EBITDA margins 2.01%/2.64%) and free cash flow growth declined sharply (-42.24% TTM), limiting upside.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Avnet's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 1.33% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 10.63% and net profit margin of 1.04% reflect moderate profitability, typical for the industry. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 2.01% and 2.64% respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 TTM, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is modest at 3.43%, suggesting moderate profitability. The equity ratio is high, reflecting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 42.24% TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.11 indicates limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 suggests that a reasonable portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.20B23.76B26.54B24.31B19.53B
Gross Profit2.38B2.77B3.18B2.97B2.24B
EBITDA622.17M1.06B1.38B1.09B451.10M
Net Income240.22M498.70M770.83M692.38M193.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.12B12.21B12.48B10.39B8.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.43M310.94M288.23M153.69M199.69M
Total Debt2.88B3.18B3.30B1.87B1.51B
Total Liabilities7.11B7.28B7.73B6.20B4.84B
Stockholders Equity5.01B4.93B4.75B4.19B4.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow577.03M463.51M-908.38M-268.21M40.59M
Operating Cash Flow724.50M689.98M-713.70M-219.31M90.95M
Investing Cash Flow-137.13M-225.48M-211.55M51.30M-61.20M
Financing Cash Flow-693.53M-433.80M1.05B156.06M-314.01M

Avnet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.99
Price Trends
50DMA
50.85
Positive
100DMA
50.39
Positive
200DMA
51.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.68
Negative
RSI
83.43
Negative
STOCH
94.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.10, above the 50-day MA of 50.85, and above the 200-day MA of 51.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVT.

Avnet Risk Analysis

Avnet disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avnet reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avnet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$553.01M25.8621.27%0.63%51.09%25.86%
71
Outperform
$5.24B25.804.71%2.77%-2.30%-29.75%
64
Neutral
$7.11B15.237.70%3.16%1.09%
64
Neutral
$972.71M13.828.11%-4.88%2.57%
62
Neutral
$2.53B19.048.51%-6.69%-51.74%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$12.62M9.857.76%5.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVT
Avnet
63.99
14.76
29.98%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
137.99
23.08
20.09%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
81.65
-92.35
-53.07%
SCSC
ScanSource
44.33
4.56
11.47%
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions
119.87
-6.07
-4.82%
IZM
ICZOOM Group, Inc. Class A
1.05
-0.22
-17.32%

Avnet Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Avnet Shareholders Approve 2025 Executive Compensation Plan
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

At Avnet‘s 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, ten board nominees were elected to serve until the next annual meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the executive compensation plan, the 2025 Stock Compensation and Incentive Plan, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 27, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVT) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avnet stock, see the AVT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026