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Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW)
NYSE:ARW
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Arrow Electronics (ARW) AI Stock Analysis

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ARW

Arrow Electronics

(NYSE:ARW)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$222.00
▲(4.58% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/11/26
ARW scores well on improving fundamentals and balance-sheet/cash-flow strength, reinforced by a strong and upbeat earnings update with constructive guidance. The main constraints are thin structural margins and historically volatile working-capital-driven cash flows, while technicals are currently soft in the near term (below 20/50-day averages with muted momentum). Valuation appears reasonable at ~12.8x earnings.
Positive Factors
Broad demand and backlog growth
Strong growth across components and enterprise solutions, combined with record ECS backlog, supports sustained demand visibility. Exposure to hybrid cloud, AI, cybersecurity and infrastructure software provides multiple structural growth drivers.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin profitability
Distribution remains a low-margin business, leaving limited room for execution errors, supplier disruptions or pricing pressure. Cyclical product mix and normalized service profitability may constrain the durability of recent earnings expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad demand and backlog growth
Strong growth across components and enterprise solutions, combined with record ECS backlog, supports sustained demand visibility. Exposure to hybrid cloud, AI, cybersecurity and infrastructure software provides multiple structural growth drivers.
Read all positive factors

Arrow Electronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Arrow Electronics (ARW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Electronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arrow Electronics, Inc. provides a wide array of products, services, and strategic solutions to industrial and commercial clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific who depend on electronic components and sophis...
How the Company Makes Money
Arrow primarily makes money by selling products and services through two main businesses. (1) Global Components: Arrow purchases electronic components—such as semiconductors and other interconnect, passive, and electromechanical products—from manu...

Arrow Electronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The quarter demonstrated robust, broad‑based revenue growth, substantial EPS and margin expansion, improved returns and balance sheet strength, driven by both components and ECS backlog growth and value‑added services. Notable strategic progress (new platforms, Gartner recognition, Microsoft distinctions) reinforces long‑term positioning. Near‑term negatives include a $27M ECS restructuring charge, partner agreement transitions with potential additional smaller charges, expected normalization of supply chain services profitability, and some inventory and technology lead‑time pressures. Overall, the positive operational and financial momentum and diversified growth drivers materially outweigh the manageable near‑term challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $10.0B in Q2 2026, up 32% year over year (30% on a constant currency basis), above guidance.
Negative Updates
ECS Contract Charge and Margin Impact
Took a charge of $27M in Q2 related to underperforming multiyear 'Beyond distribution' contracts with a strategic partner, which reduced ECS non‑GAAP operating margins by ~100 basis points YoY; company expects additional restructuring charges in H2 at a lower pace.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $10.0B in Q2 2026, up 32% year over year (30% on a constant currency basis), above guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q3 the company guided revenue of $9.6 billion to $10.2 billion (up about 28% year‑over‑year at the midpoint), with global components sales of $7.5 billion to $7.9 billion (roughly +5% sequential at the midpoint) and enterprise computing solutions sales of $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion (about +2% year‑over‑year at the midpoint, noting a comparison to a large partner addition last year); it expects a non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $4.83–$5.03, an effective tax rate of 23%–25%, interest expense of roughly $50 million, and cautioned that supply‑chain services profitability should normalize in Q3; the company also said components should perform at or above seasonal trends (Asia seasonally strong, EMEA typically weaker) and provided currency details in its earnings release.

Arrow Electronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving: TTM revenue is up 7.2% and net income rose to $812M, leverage is materially lower (debt down to ~$2.17B; debt/equity ~0.31), and TTM free cash flow is strong (~$1.57B) with solid earnings quality (~0.96x FCF/net income). Offsets are structurally thin margins (TTM net margin ~2.3%) and historically volatile cash flow driven by working-capital swings (including weak 2025 and negative 2022 operating/free cash flow).
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.92B30.85B27.92B33.11B37.12B34.48B
Gross Profit4.02B3.47B3.29B4.15B4.84B4.20B
EBITDA1.28B1.07B1.12B1.67B2.26B1.76B
Net Income811.61M571.27M392.07M903.50M1.43B1.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.38B29.08B21.76B21.73B21.76B19.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments244.63M306.47M188.81M218.05M176.91M222.19M
Total Debt2.17B3.09B3.39B3.81B3.77B2.63B
Total Liabilities31.30B22.42B15.93B15.85B16.15B14.19B
Stockholders Equity7.01B6.58B5.76B5.81B5.55B5.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow899.34M-37.20M1.04B622.16M-111.91M335.93M
Operating Cash Flow936.37M64.05M1.13B705.45M-33.08M418.98M
Investing Cash Flow-110.90M23.60M-94.44M-72.32M-57.71M-60.12M
Financing Cash Flow-770.97M-206.14M-956.83M-666.22M109.78M-463.30M

Arrow Electronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price212.27
Price Trends
50DMA
213.21
Negative
100DMA
203.35
Negative
200DMA
165.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.29
Positive
RSI
42.86
Neutral
STOCH
23.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 212.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.21, below the 50-day MA of 213.21, and above the 200-day MA of 165.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARW.

Arrow Electronics Risk Analysis

Arrow Electronics disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Electronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Electronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.94B20.2410.40%0.86%3.23%14.66%
69
Neutral
$10.27B12.7812.14%26.05%76.95%
69
Neutral
$4.26B21.2113.08%2.68%46.40%
66
Neutral
$19.48B17.3013.12%0.77%16.26%63.20%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$7.08B21.196.77%1.57%24.47%47.08%
56
Neutral
$1.09B14.678.66%6.09%21.23%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARW
Arrow Electronics
202.56
75.55
59.48%
AVT
Avnet
87.57
34.03
63.57%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
150.63
23.94
18.90%
CNXN
PC Connection
79.38
16.74
26.73%
SCSC
ScanSource
56.19
12.62
28.96%
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
251.39
105.08
71.82%

Arrow Electronics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Arrow Electronics Names New President and COO
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
Arrow Electronics announced on August 6, 2026, that Deidra (Dee) C. Merriwether will become president and chief operating officer effective September 8, 2026, bringing senior leadership experience from W.W. Grainger and Sears. Her compensation pac...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026