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Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW)
NYSE:ARW
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Arrow Electronics (ARW) AI Stock Analysis

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ARW

Arrow Electronics

(NYSE:ARW)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$227.00
▲(29.74% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and balance-sheet trend, plus strong technical uptrend. A low P/E supports valuation, while the earnings call reinforced momentum and constructive guidance; the main constraints are thin structural margins, inconsistent cash-flow conversion from working-capital swings, and stretched momentum signals (RSI/Stoch) that increase pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Value‑Added Services
A large, persistent contribution from value‑added services (supply chain, engineering, integration) increases customer stickiness and yields higher margin dollars than pure distribution. This structural mix supports more durable operating margin expansion and revenue resiliency through cycles over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Structurally Thin Margins
Gross and net margins are structurally narrow for a distribution business, limiting the firm's ability to absorb cost inflation or sustain large SG&A increases without pressuring profitability. Thin margins heighten sensitivity to product mix, pricing, and regional mix shifts over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Value‑Added Services
A large, persistent contribution from value‑added services (supply chain, engineering, integration) increases customer stickiness and yields higher margin dollars than pure distribution. This structural mix supports more durable operating margin expansion and revenue resiliency through cycles over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Arrow Electronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Arrow Electronics (ARW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Electronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arrow Electronics, Inc. provides products, services, and solutions to industrial and commercial users of electronic components and enterprise computing solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company o...
How the Company Makes Money
Arrow primarily makes money by selling products it sources from technology manufacturers to OEMs, contract manufacturers, and other business customers, earning a gross margin on distribution at scale. A major revenue stream is its Global Component...

Arrow Electronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong, broad-based operational momentum and meaningful financial improvement: high revenue growth (+39% YoY), substantial EPS and margin expansion, improved returns on capital, and healthy Q2 guidance. Management flagged several transitory and structural risks — including an ECS one-time charge, the benefit of four extra shipping days in Q1 (creating timing-related volatility), inventory build related to AI/data-center projects, compensation-driven OpEx increases, and exposure to memory pricing — but these were framed as manageable or temporary. Given the weight and magnitude of the positive operational and financial results and constructive guidance relative to the identified lowlights, the tone of the call is overall favorable.
Positive Updates
Robust Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $9.5 billion, up 39% year-over-year (34% on a constant currency basis); Q2 sales guidance $9.15B–$9.75B (midpoint +25% YoY).
Negative Updates
ECS Margin Pressure and One-Time Items
ECS non-GAAP operating margins declined modestly by 10 bps YoY, driven in part by pockets of constrained supply and a charge related to one underperforming multiyear contract; management is adjusting contract economics.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Robust Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $9.5 billion, up 39% year-over-year (34% on a constant currency basis); Q2 sales guidance $9.15B–$9.75B (midpoint +25% YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Arrow guided Q2 sales of $9.15–$9.75 billion (midpoint ~+25% YoY), with Global Components expected at $6.8–$7.2 billion (≈+5% sequential at the midpoint) and Enterprise Computing Solutions at $2.35–$2.55 billion (≈+7% YoY at the midpoint); non‑GAAP diluted EPS was guided to $4.32–$4.52, with an estimated tax rate of 23–25% and interest expense of roughly $60 million. Management also said Global Components should perform at or above seasonal trends across regions for the remainder of the year, Asia will be seasonally strong in Q2 but at lower margin, Supply Chain Services’ profit should normalize versus the Q1 spike, and Q2 will reflect the timing of annual compensation increases—while reiterating confidence in sustained backlog coverage into Q3–Q4 and continued operating leverage.

Arrow Electronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving with TTM revenue up 8.62% and net income recovering, and leverage has trended better (debt-to-equity ~0.37). Offsetting this, distribution economics remain thin (≈11.2% gross margin, ≈2.2% net margin) and cash conversion is uneven due to working-capital swings despite positive TTM free cash flow (~$378M).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.51B30.85B27.92B33.11B37.12B34.48B
Gross Profit3.75B3.47B3.29B4.15B4.84B4.20B
EBITDA1.32B1.07B1.12B1.67B2.26B1.76B
Net Income726.65M571.27M392.07M903.50M1.43B1.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.95B29.08B21.76B21.73B21.76B19.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments286.51M306.47M188.81M218.05M176.91M222.19M
Total Debt2.47B3.09B3.39B3.81B3.77B2.63B
Total Liabilities29.14B22.42B15.93B15.85B16.15B14.19B
Stockholders Equity6.74B6.58B5.76B5.81B5.55B5.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow377.61M-37.20M1.04B622.16M-111.91M335.93M
Operating Cash Flow412.12M64.05M1.13B705.45M-33.08M418.98M
Investing Cash Flow16.48M23.60M-94.44M-72.32M-57.71M-60.12M
Financing Cash Flow-512.69M-206.14M-956.83M-666.22M109.78M-463.30M

Arrow Electronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price174.97
Price Trends
50DMA
172.80
Positive
100DMA
153.93
Positive
200DMA
135.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.71
Negative
RSI
74.80
Negative
STOCH
91.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 174.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 198.73, above the 50-day MA of 172.80, and above the 200-day MA of 135.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARW.

Arrow Electronics Risk Analysis

Arrow Electronics disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Electronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Electronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$11.11B7.9611.15%20.49%92.31%
75
Outperform
$19.08B9.5911.60%1.15%10.39%50.26%
74
Outperform
$1.68B21.389.67%1.02%0.78%3.87%
69
Neutral
$896.11M11.458.07%3.76%18.30%
64
Neutral
$2.95B17.1911.17%-1.83%-2.39%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$7.05B12.984.33%2.77%12.68%-27.94%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARW
Arrow Electronics
217.33
100.20
85.55%
AVT
Avnet
85.91
37.46
77.31%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
97.73
-34.35
-26.01%
CNXN
PC Connection
66.44
1.49
2.30%
SCSC
ScanSource
44.09
4.82
12.27%
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
237.34
117.30
97.71%

Arrow Electronics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Arrow Electronics Shareholders Approve Governance and Voting Changes
Positive
May 13, 2026
At its annual meeting held on May 12, 2026, Arrow Electronics shareholders elected eight directors to one‑year terms, ratified Ernst Young as the independent auditor for 2026 and approved, on an advisory basis, the compensation of the compa...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026