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Arrow Electronics (ARW)
NYSE:ARW
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Arrow Electronics (ARW) AI Stock Analysis

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ARW

Arrow Electronics

(NYSE:ARW)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$132.00
▲(9.94% Upside)
Arrow Electronics' overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call reflecting strong sales growth and promising future prospects. However, financial performance is pressured by declining margins and cash flow, and technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum. The valuation is moderate, with no dividend yield to attract income investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 10% year-over-year sales increase demonstrates strong demand and effective market positioning, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Segment Performance
The ECS segment's robust growth indicates successful strategic initiatives and strengthens Arrow's competitive position in IT solutions.
Inventory Management
Improved inventory management enhances operational efficiency and cash flow, supporting sustainable business operations.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins indicate pressure on profitability, which could affect long-term earnings and operational efficiency.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A significant decline in free cash flow may limit Arrow's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations.
Interest Expense
Rising interest expenses and tax rates could impact net income, reducing financial flexibility and affecting future profitability.

Arrow Electronics (ARW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Electronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) is a global provider of technology solutions, primarily serving industrial and commercial customers. The company operates in two main segments: Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. Arrow's core products and services include electronic components, integrated supply chain solutions, and IT services, which cater to a diverse range of industries such as telecommunications, automotive, and healthcare. With its extensive distribution network and strong supplier relationships, Arrow is positioned to deliver innovative solutions and support for its customers' technology needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrow Electronics generates revenue through multiple key channels. The primary source of income is the distribution of electronic components, where the company earns margins on the products it purchases from manufacturers and sells to customers. Additionally, Arrow provides value-added services such as logistics, supply chain management, and technical support, which further enhance its revenue. The Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment contributes to earnings by offering IT solutions and services, including cloud computing and data center solutions, often through partnerships with leading technology providers. Significant partnerships with major manufacturers like Intel, Texas Instruments, and HP also bolster Arrow's product offerings, ensuring a steady stream of income from both product sales and service contracts.

Arrow Electronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook with strong sales and growth in key segments, despite some challenges with gross margins and external factors like tariffs and interest expenses. The overall market recovery and backlog improvements indicate a promising future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Guidance in Q2 2025
Arrow Electronics reported consolidated sales of $7.6 billion for Q2 2025, which exceeded the guidance range and represented a 10% increase compared to the prior year.
Growth in Global Components
The Global Components segment achieved sales of $5.3 billion, surpassing guidance and marking an 11% increase from the prior quarter. There was also year-over-year growth for the first time since Q4 2022.
Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS) Performance
ECS segment sales were $2.3 billion, 23% higher than the prior year, with double-digit growth in billings, gross profit, and operating income. There was strong performance in both North America and EMEA regions.
Improved Backlog and Book-to-Bill Ratios
The backlog improved for the second consecutive quarter, and book-to-bill ratios were above parity in all three regions, signaling a market recovery.
Cash Conversion and Inventory Management
Cash conversion cycle improved by 10 days to 68 days, and inventory turns reached the highest rate in over two years.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Consolidated non-GAAP gross margin was down approximately 110 basis points year-over-year, mainly due to regional and customer mix in global components and product mix in ECS.
Impact of Tariffs and Regional Mix
The impact of tariffs and regional mix pressures, particularly in Asia, affected global component sales and did not contribute significantly to Q2 results.
Interest Expense and Tax Rate Concerns
Interest and other expenses were $60 million in Q2, with a non-GAAP effective tax rate of 17.6%, which is expected to increase, impacting future earnings.
Company Guidance
During the Arrow Electronics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported sales of $7.6 billion, exceeding guidance and reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, or 8% on a constant currency basis. Global Components sales reached $5.3 billion, marking an 11% quarterly rise, while Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS) sales grew 23% year-over-year to $2.3 billion. The company noted that gross margin stood at 11.2%, down due to regional and customer mix. Non-GAAP operating income was $215 million, with Global Components achieving a 3.6% operating margin and ECS at 4.3%. The call highlighted strong performance in Asia, industrial, and transportation sectors, with book-to-bill ratios above parity across all regions. Arrow Electronics provided a Q3 sales guidance range of $7.3 billion to $7.9 billion, anticipating mid-single-digit sales growth, while maintaining operating margin stability amidst regional and customer mix headwinds.

Arrow Electronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrow Electronics demonstrates a stable yet pressured financial position with reasonable profitability and manageable leverage. However, the declining profitability margins and free cash flow, along with moderate revenue growth, highlight challenges in sustaining growth and operational efficiency in a competitive technology distribution industry.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Arrow Electronics has shown a mixed performance in the TTM with a gross profit margin of 11.1% and a net profit margin of 1.6%. The revenue growth rate from the previous year is 2.1%, indicating slow growth. The EBIT margin stands at 2.5%, and the EBITDA margin is 2.7%, reflecting moderate operational efficiency. However, the decline in margins over the years suggests pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.45, reflecting a manageable level of leverage. ROE is calculated at 7.4%, which is reasonable but not exceptional. The equity ratio is 26.1%, indicating a moderate level of financial stability. However, decreasing equity over the years and increasing liabilities pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by -50.7% compared to the last annual report, indicating a considerable decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.18, suggesting that operating cash flows are sufficient to cover net income. However, a decrease in free cash flow poses a concern for future cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.50B27.92B33.11B37.12B34.48B28.67B
Gross Profit3.17B3.29B4.15B4.84B4.20B3.19B
EBITDA883.79M984.44M1.67B2.26B1.78B1.10B
Net Income467.24M392.07M903.50M1.43B1.11B584.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.25B21.76B21.73B21.76B19.54B17.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.97M188.81M218.05M176.91M222.19M373.62M
Total Debt2.82B3.12B3.81B3.77B2.63B2.26B
Total Liabilities17.84B15.93B15.85B16.15B14.19B11.90B
Stockholders Equity6.33B5.76B5.81B5.55B5.28B5.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow468.14M1.04B622.16M-111.91M335.93M1.24B
Operating Cash Flow552.80M1.13B705.45M-33.08M418.98M1.36B
Investing Cash Flow32.00M-94.44M-72.32M-57.71M-60.12M-138.79M
Financing Cash Flow-737.87M-956.83M-666.22M109.78M-463.30M-1.23B

Arrow Electronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price120.07
Price Trends
50DMA
123.18
Negative
100DMA
124.43
Negative
200DMA
117.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Negative
RSI
48.48
Neutral
STOCH
81.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 120.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.78, below the 50-day MA of 123.18, and above the 200-day MA of 117.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARW.

Arrow Electronics Risk Analysis

Arrow Electronics disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Electronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Electronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.62B16.829.23%1.16%6.95%19.19%
74
Outperform
$1.58B18.919.78%0.88%4.94%-1.79%
70
Outperform
$6.46B13.577.74%-3.95%-16.72%
66
Neutral
$939.94M14.077.82%-6.72%-1.14%
65
Neutral
$4.24B18.984.83%2.62%-6.55%-49.61%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$3.45B26.128.67%-7.61%-50.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARW
Arrow Electronics
120.07
-13.84
-10.34%
AVT
Avnet
51.22
-1.65
-3.12%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
109.08
-101.59
-48.22%
CNXN
PC Connection
62.63
-7.01
-10.07%
SCSC
ScanSource
42.34
-2.83
-6.27%
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
151.16
32.04
26.90%

Arrow Electronics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Arrow Electronics Appoints William Austen as Interim CEO
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Arrow Electronics announced a leadership change with William F. Austen appointed as Interim President and CEO, succeeding Sean Kerins. The Board expressed confidence in the leadership team during this transition, and Mr. Kerins will assist in the transition process. This change is not related to the company’s financial statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARW) stock is a Buy with a $141.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrow Electronics stock, see the ARW Stock Forecast page.

Arrow Electronics Exceeds Q2 Expectations Amid Optimism
Aug 2, 2025

Arrow Electronics Exceeds Expectations Amid Cautious Optimism

Arrow Electronics Exceeds Q2 2025 Financial Expectations
Aug 1, 2025

Arrow Electronics, Inc. is a global provider of technology solutions, operating primarily in the electronics distribution industry, with a focus on sourcing and engineering solutions for manufacturers and service providers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025