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Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW)
:ARW
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Arrow Electronics (ARW) AI Stock Analysis

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ARW

Arrow Electronics

(NYSE:ARW)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$136.00
▲(9.48% Upside)
Arrow Electronics' overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call that highlights strong sales growth and market recovery. However, financial performance is pressured by declining margins and free cash flow, and technical indicators show mixed momentum. The valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield may deter some investors.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
In the ECS segment ARW delivered year-over-year billings growth.
Operational Efficiency
ARW's supply chain management and integration services were accretive to operating results.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
The company's components segment is facing weak margins due to challenges in the European market and certain end markets.
Stock Performance
Revenue and earnings guidance for the upcoming quarter are significantly below expectations, impacting the stock's performance.
Tariff Impact
Significant uncertainty remains with the potential impact of tariffs on end demand.

Arrow Electronics (ARW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Electronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrow Electronics, Inc. provides products, services, and solutions to industrial and commercial users of electronic components and enterprise computing solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. The Global Components segment markets and distributes semiconductor products and related services; passive, electro-mechanical, and interconnect products, including capacitors, resistors, potentiometers, power supplies, relays, switches, and connectors; and computing and memory products, as well as other products and services. The Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment offers computing solutions, such as datacenter, cloud, security, and analytics solutions. This segment provides access to various services, including engineering and integration support, warehousing and logistics, marketing resources, and authorized hardware and software training. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, value-added resellers, managed service providers, contract manufacturers, and other commercial customers. Arrow Electronics, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrow Electronics generates revenue through multiple key channels. The primary source of income is the distribution of electronic components, where the company earns margins on the products it purchases from manufacturers and sells to customers. Additionally, Arrow provides value-added services such as logistics, supply chain management, and technical support, which further enhance its revenue. The Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment contributes to earnings by offering IT solutions and services, including cloud computing and data center solutions, often through partnerships with leading technology providers. Significant partnerships with major manufacturers like Intel, Texas Instruments, and HP also bolster Arrow's product offerings, ensuring a steady stream of income from both product sales and service contracts.

Arrow Electronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook with strong sales and growth in key segments, despite some challenges with gross margins and external factors like tariffs and interest expenses. The overall market recovery and backlog improvements indicate a promising future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Guidance in Q2 2025
Arrow Electronics reported consolidated sales of $7.6 billion for Q2 2025, which exceeded the guidance range and represented a 10% increase compared to the prior year.
Growth in Global Components
The Global Components segment achieved sales of $5.3 billion, surpassing guidance and marking an 11% increase from the prior quarter. There was also year-over-year growth for the first time since Q4 2022.
Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS) Performance
ECS segment sales were $2.3 billion, 23% higher than the prior year, with double-digit growth in billings, gross profit, and operating income. There was strong performance in both North America and EMEA regions.
Improved Backlog and Book-to-Bill Ratios
The backlog improved for the second consecutive quarter, and book-to-bill ratios were above parity in all three regions, signaling a market recovery.
Cash Conversion and Inventory Management
Cash conversion cycle improved by 10 days to 68 days, and inventory turns reached the highest rate in over two years.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Consolidated non-GAAP gross margin was down approximately 110 basis points year-over-year, mainly due to regional and customer mix in global components and product mix in ECS.
Impact of Tariffs and Regional Mix
The impact of tariffs and regional mix pressures, particularly in Asia, affected global component sales and did not contribute significantly to Q2 results.
Interest Expense and Tax Rate Concerns
Interest and other expenses were $60 million in Q2, with a non-GAAP effective tax rate of 17.6%, which is expected to increase, impacting future earnings.
Company Guidance
During the Arrow Electronics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported sales of $7.6 billion, exceeding guidance and reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase, or 8% on a constant currency basis. Global Components sales reached $5.3 billion, marking an 11% quarterly rise, while Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS) sales grew 23% year-over-year to $2.3 billion. The company noted that gross margin stood at 11.2%, down due to regional and customer mix. Non-GAAP operating income was $215 million, with Global Components achieving a 3.6% operating margin and ECS at 4.3%. The call highlighted strong performance in Asia, industrial, and transportation sectors, with book-to-bill ratios above parity across all regions. Arrow Electronics provided a Q3 sales guidance range of $7.3 billion to $7.9 billion, anticipating mid-single-digit sales growth, while maintaining operating margin stability amidst regional and customer mix headwinds.

Arrow Electronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrow Electronics demonstrates a stable yet pressured financial position with reasonable profitability and manageable leverage. However, declining profitability margins and free cash flow, along with moderate revenue growth, highlight challenges in sustaining growth and operational efficiency in a competitive technology distribution industry.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Arrow Electronics has shown a mixed performance in the TTM with a gross profit margin of 11.1% and a net profit margin of 1.6%. The revenue growth rate from the previous year is 2.1%, indicating slow growth. The EBIT margin stands at 2.5%, and the EBITDA margin is 2.7%, reflecting moderate operational efficiency. However, the decline in margins over the years suggests pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.45, reflecting a manageable level of leverage. ROE is calculated at 7.4%, which is reasonable but not exceptional. The equity ratio is 26.1%, indicating a moderate level of financial stability. However, decreasing equity over the years and increasing liabilities pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by -50.7% compared to the last annual report, indicating a considerable decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.18, suggesting that operating cash flows are sufficient to cover net income. However, a decrease in free cash flow poses a concern for future cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.50B27.92B33.11B37.12B34.48B28.67B
Gross Profit3.17B3.29B4.15B4.84B4.20B3.19B
EBITDA883.79M984.44M1.67B2.26B1.78B1.10B
Net Income467.24M392.07M903.50M1.43B1.11B584.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.25B21.76B21.73B21.76B19.54B17.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.97M188.81M218.05M176.91M222.19M373.62M
Total Debt2.82B3.12B3.81B3.77B2.63B2.26B
Total Liabilities17.84B15.93B15.85B16.15B14.19B11.90B
Stockholders Equity6.33B5.76B5.81B5.55B5.28B5.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow468.14M1.04B622.16M-111.91M335.93M1.24B
Operating Cash Flow552.80M1.13B705.45M-33.08M418.98M1.36B
Investing Cash Flow32.00M-94.44M-72.32M-57.71M-60.12M-138.79M
Financing Cash Flow-737.87M-956.83M-666.22M109.78M-463.30M-1.23B

Arrow Electronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price124.22
Price Trends
50DMA
126.19
Negative
100DMA
119.05
Positive
200DMA
116.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
50.00
Neutral
STOCH
64.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 124.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.73, below the 50-day MA of 126.19, and above the 200-day MA of 116.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARW.

Arrow Electronics Risk Analysis

Arrow Electronics disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Electronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Electronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$12.06B17.098.83%1.15%6.60%19.93%
74
Outperform
$1.60B19.209.78%0.89%4.94%-1.79%
72
Outperform
$4.47B19.474.83%2.37%-6.55%-49.61%
70
Outperform
$6.40B14.707.74%-3.95%-16.72%
69
Neutral
$901.79M14.837.82%-6.72%-1.14%
67
Neutral
$4.04B31.948.67%-7.61%-50.01%
61
Neutral
$34.98B7.37-10.82%1.91%8.82%-8.66%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARW
Arrow Electronics
130.07
-3.11
-2.34%
AVT
Avnet
55.66
1.78
3.30%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
133.86
-79.53
-37.27%
CNXN
PC Connection
64.72
-6.15
-8.68%
SCSC
ScanSource
44.63
-4.56
-9.27%
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
149.82
29.78
24.81%

Arrow Electronics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arrow Electronics Extends Credit Facility to $2 Billion
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Arrow Electronics, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., extending their existing credit facility to $2 billion. This agreement extends the maturity date to June 27, 2030, introduces a step-up provision for leverage ratios during material acquisitions, and modifies various covenants and financial definitions, impacting the company’s operational flexibility and financial strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025