Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW)
:ARW
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Arrow Electronics (ARW) AI Stock Analysis

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ARW

Arrow Electronics

(NYSE:ARW)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$119.00
▲(6.95% Upside)
Arrow Electronics' overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with modest revenue growth but operational efficiency and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while the valuation suggests reasonable pricing. The earnings call provides a cautiously optimistic outlook, highlighting strategic growth in the ECS segment and a positive future outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion in ECS Business
The ECS segment's growth through strategic outsourcing and market expansion indicates a strong potential for sustained revenue growth and market leadership.
Improved Leverage Management
Improved leverage management enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing for better capital allocation and risk management.
Positive Outlook for 2026
A positive outlook for the global components market supports long-term growth prospects, driven by strong demand in key sectors like transportation and industrial.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decrease in free cash flow raises concerns about the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives without external financing.
ECS Margin Impact Due to Charge
Margin impact from charges in the ECS segment highlights potential profitability challenges, affecting overall financial performance.
Operational Efficiency Challenges
Declining EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate struggles in maintaining cost efficiency, which could impact long-term profitability and competitiveness.

Arrow Electronics (ARW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrow Electronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) is a global provider of technology solutions, primarily serving industrial and commercial customers. The company operates in two main segments: Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. Arrow's core products and services include electronic components, integrated supply chain solutions, and IT services, which cater to a diverse range of industries such as telecommunications, automotive, and healthcare. With its extensive distribution network and strong supplier relationships, Arrow is positioned to deliver innovative solutions and support for its customers' technology needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrow Electronics generates revenue through multiple key channels. The primary source of income is the distribution of electronic components, where the company earns margins on the products it purchases from manufacturers and sells to customers. Additionally, Arrow provides value-added services such as logistics, supply chain management, and technical support, which further enhance its revenue. The Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment contributes to earnings by offering IT solutions and services, including cloud computing and data center solutions, often through partnerships with leading technology providers. Significant partnerships with major manufacturers like Intel, Texas Instruments, and HP also bolster Arrow's product offerings, ensuring a steady stream of income from both product sales and service contracts.

Arrow Electronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, particularly in the ECS segment. However, it also detailed challenges such as a significant charge impacting margins and slower recovery in certain customer segments. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with signs of gradual recovery.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Performance
Arrow Electronics delivered revenue above the midpoint of guidance and earnings per share above the high end of guidance for Q3 2025. Sales for the third quarter increased by $890 million year-over-year to $7.7 billion, marking a 13% increase versus the prior year.
Strategic Expansion in ECS Business
The ECS business experienced a 15% sales increase year-over-year to $2.2 billion, with ECS billings reaching $5.2 billion, up 14% year-over-year. The segment is growing through strategic outsourcing engagements and expanding its addressable market.
Resolution of Compliance Issue in China
Arrow's Chinese subsidiaries were placed on a U.S. Department of Commerce entity list but were removed after ten days, allowing resumption of normal business activities.
Growth in APAC and Key Markets
The APAC region showed significant growth with a 12% sequential increase in sales, driven by industrial, compute, consumer, and EV momentum in transportation sectors.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Indicators suggest a gradual recovery in the global components market. Leading indicators such as book-to-bill ratios remain above parity across all regions.
Negative Updates
ECS Margin Impact Due to Charge
A $21 million charge was taken in the ECS segment, largely due to lower profit expectations on multiyear contracts. This reduced the consolidated non-GAAP gross margin by 30 basis points.
Challenges in Mass Market Recovery
Mass market customers are recovering more slowly than larger OEMs, which is a headwind to profit margins and not atypical of prior cycles.
Regional and Customer Mix Headwinds
Global components gross margins were impacted by regional and customer mix dynamics, with APAC outpacing other regions contributing to a profit margin headwind.
Company Guidance
During Arrow Electronics' third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company delivered revenue of $7.7 billion, surpassing the midpoint of their guidance, with a 13% year-over-year increase. The global components segment achieved $5.6 billion in sales, marking a 5% sequential growth, while the enterprise computing solutions (ECS) segment reported $2.2 billion in sales, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase. Despite a non-GAAP gross margin of 10.8%, down 70 basis points from the previous year, Arrow managed a non-GAAP operating income of $217 million. The third quarter also saw a $21 million charge impacting ECS, reducing the overall gross margin by 30 basis points. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $2.41, exceeding guidance due to favorable sales results and lower interest expenses. Looking ahead, Arrow forecasts fourth-quarter sales between $7.8 billion and $8.4 billion, with non-GAAP EPS guidance ranging from $3.44 to $3.64. The company highlighted the gradual recovery in global components, with strong demand in transportation and industrial markets, and a promising outlook for cloud and AI infrastructure investments in ECS.

Arrow Electronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrow Electronics shows modest revenue growth and improved net profit margins, but faces challenges in operational efficiency and cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects improved leverage and stable equity, yet cash flow issues could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Arrow Electronics shows a modest revenue growth of 3.12% in the TTM period, recovering from previous declines. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 11.10% from 11.79% in the previous year, indicating some pressure on cost management. The net profit margin improved to 1.62% in the TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined, suggesting operational efficiency challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.49 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity stands at 7.79%, showing a moderate return for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure, but the overall return on equity has decreased from previous highs.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has significantly decreased by 64.11% in the TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.01, indicating potential cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 0.88, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.39B27.92B33.11B37.12B34.48B28.67B
Gross Profit3.26B3.29B4.15B4.84B4.20B3.19B
EBITDA879.28M1.12B1.67B2.26B1.76B1.09B
Net Income475.87M392.07M903.50M1.43B1.11B584.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.53B21.76B21.73B21.76B19.54B17.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments213.61M188.81M218.05M176.91M222.19M373.62M
Total Debt3.13B3.39B3.81B3.77B2.63B2.26B
Total Liabilities18.05B15.93B15.85B16.15B14.19B11.90B
Stockholders Equity6.40B5.76B5.81B5.55B5.28B5.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow168.01M1.04B622.16M-111.91M335.93M1.24B
Operating Cash Flow190.56M1.13B705.45M-33.08M418.98M1.36B
Investing Cash Flow9.57M-94.44M-72.32M-57.71M-60.12M-138.79M
Financing Cash Flow-310.87M-956.83M-666.22M109.78M-463.30M-1.23B

Arrow Electronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price111.27
Price Trends
50DMA
119.63
Negative
100DMA
123.14
Negative
200DMA
117.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.57
Positive
RSI
37.88
Neutral
STOCH
47.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 111.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.99, below the 50-day MA of 119.63, and below the 200-day MA of 117.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARW.

Arrow Electronics Risk Analysis

Arrow Electronics disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrow Electronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrow Electronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.57B16.759.23%1.18%6.95%19.19%
72
Outperform
$1.47B17.969.30%1.02%3.19%-4.91%
67
Neutral
$3.85B17.634.71%2.84%-2.30%-29.75%
64
Neutral
$5.73B12.287.70%3.16%1.09%
64
Neutral
$906.01M12.678.11%-4.88%2.57%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$2.94B22.158.51%-6.69%-51.74%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARW
Arrow Electronics
111.27
-3.93
-3.41%
AVT
Avnet
47.18
-4.51
-8.73%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
91.65
-60.98
-39.95%
CNXN
PC Connection
59.11
-11.57
-16.37%
SCSC
ScanSource
41.47
-7.94
-16.07%
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
152.72
38.55
33.77%

Arrow Electronics Corporate Events

Arrow Electronics Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 1, 2025

Arrow Electronics, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a cautiously optimistic outlook for the company. The call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, particularly in the ECS segment. However, it also addressed challenges such as a significant charge impacting margins and slower recovery in certain customer segments. Despite these hurdles, the sentiment remains positive with signs of gradual recovery on the horizon.

Arrow Electronics Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Arrow Electronics, Inc. is a global technology solutions provider that operates in the electronics distribution industry, offering a wide range of products and services to manufacturers and service providers across various sectors.

Executive/Board Changes
Arrow Electronics Appoints William Austen as Interim CEO
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Arrow Electronics announced a leadership change with William F. Austen appointed as Interim President and CEO, succeeding Sean Kerins. The Board expressed confidence in the leadership team during this transition, and Mr. Kerins will assist in the transition process. This change is not related to the company’s financial statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARW) stock is a Buy with a $141.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrow Electronics stock, see the ARW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025