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TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)
NYSE:SNX

TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX) AI Stock Analysis

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SNX

TD SYNNEX Corporation

(NYSE:SNX)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$169.00
▲(2.80% Upside)
Overall score reflects strong fundamental progress (notably improved leverage and solid recent profitability) and a positive earnings call with upbeat Q1 guidance and strong free-cash-flow track record. These are tempered by only neutral technical momentum and the company’s structurally thin margins with some historical volatility in growth and cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Improved Leverage & Balance Sheet
Material deleveraging and a low net leverage position provide durable financial flexibility. Lower debt levels reduce refinancing risk, support continued capital returns and strategic investments, and increase resilience to cyclical IT demand shocks over the next several quarters.
Consistent Free Cash Flow
Sustained FCF generation and management guidance of ~95% cumulative conversion underpin repeatable funding for buybacks, dividends and digital investments. Strong cash conversion supports capital allocation discipline and de-risks execution across uneven revenue cycles.
Diversified Growth Engines (HIVE & Distribution)
High-growth HIVE programs plus steady core distribution broaden revenue mix and channel reach. This diversification increases optionality into higher-value services, helps offset cyclicality in hardware, and supports sustainable medium-term growth and margin uplift potential.
Negative Factors
Structurally Thin Margins
As a distributor, gross and operating margins are inherently low, limiting operating leverage and making earnings sensitive to mix, price competition, and rising costs. This constraint reduces upside from top-line growth and makes profits vulnerable during demand slowdowns.
Elevated Gross-to-Net Conversion
A growing software mix and netted HIVE programs increase gross-to-net adjustments, structurally lowering reported net revenue per billings dollar. This compresses visible revenue growth, complicates margin comparisons and reduces transparency of sustainable top-line performance.
Working-Capital & Cash Swing Risk
Significant historical working-capital volatility (including prior negative operating cash flow) implies cash generation can swing materially year-to-year. That variability can pressure liquidity, capital returns and investment pacing during inventories or receivables disruptions.

TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TD SYNNEX Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTD SYNNEX Corporation provides business process services in the United States and internationally. The company distributes PC systems, mobile phones and accessories, printers, peripherals, supplies, endpoint technology software, consumer electronics, information technology (IT) systems including data center server and storage solutions, system components, software, networking, communications and security equipment, consumer electronics, and complementary products. It also provides systems design and integration solutions, build-to-order, and configure-to-order assembly capabilities; logistics services that comprise outsourced fulfillment, virtual distribution, and direct ship to end-users; cloud services; online services; and financing services comprising net terms, third party leasing, floor plan financing, and letters of credit backed financing and arrangements. In addition, the company offers marketing services, such as direct mail, external media advertising, reseller product training, targeted telemarketing campaigns, trade shows, trade groups, database analysis, print on demand services, and web-based marketing. It serves resellers, system integrators, and retailers. The company was formerly known as SYNNEX Corporation and changed its name to TD SYNNEX Corporation in September 2021. TD SYNNEX Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTD SYNNEX generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by acting as a distributor of technology products. The company earns a significant portion of its income from the sale of hardware and software products to resellers, who subsequently sell these products to end-users. Additionally, TD SYNNEX provides value-added services such as logistics, marketing support, and cloud solutions, which further contribute to its revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with leading technology vendors, allowing it to offer a diverse product portfolio and tap into various market segments. Revenue is bolstered by the growing demand for IT solutions and services, particularly in cloud computing and digital transformation initiatives across industries.

TD SYNNEX Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 08, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong execution and multiple record metrics (billings, EPS, free cash flow) driven by broad-based geographic and product strength and exceptional HIVE growth. Management also highlighted strategic investments (digital portal, AI assistant, enablement programs) and continued capital returns. Key headwinds include an elevated gross-to-net mix shift (more software and netted HIVE programs), flat gross margin percentage, higher tax rate, timing-driven cash normalization into Q1, and some uncertainty around component price-induced demand elasticity. Overall, the positive operational and financial momentum and substantial cash generation outweigh these manageable near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Billings and EPS
Q4 non-GAAP gross billings of $24.3B (+15% YoY; +13% constant currency) and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $3.83 (+24% YoY), both company records demonstrating strong top-line and earnings leverage.
Strong HIVE Growth
HIVE gross billings grew more than 50% YoY in Q4, with ODM/centimeters gross billings up 39% YoY; HIVE operating income also grew meaningfully and is becoming a larger portion of the mix.
Distribution Business Momentum (Excluding HIVE)
TD SYNNEX (ex-HIVE) gross billings increased 10% YoY in Q4, with gross profit and operating income each growing by double digits, indicating healthy core-distribution performance.
Solid Net Revenue, Gross Profit and Operating Income
Net revenue of $17.4B (+10% YoY); gross profit $1.2B (+15% YoY); non-GAAP operating income $497M (+18% YoY) and operating margin improved 5 basis points YoY to 2.04%.
Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Annual free cash flow of $1.4B (also $1.4B in the quarter), third consecutive year >$1B; returned $209M to shareholders in Q4 ($173M buybacks, $36M dividends) and $742M for the fiscal year; cumulative 3-year returns >$2.2B (~61% of FCF).
Regional and Product Strength
Broad-based geographic growth: stronger-than-expected Europe and robust Asia Pacific & Japan expansion driven by cloud, PC refresh, and AI development. Endpoint solutions gross billings +12% YoY (PCs in double digits for four consecutive quarters).
Strategic Execution and Market Recognition
Investments in omnichannel/digital platform and AI assistant (self-service 24/7) with reported operational time savings; awards include UK iCloud Marketplace of the Year (CRN) and Cisco Distributor of the Year (global, Americas, EMEA). Won a global security RFP.
Disciplined Cost and Balance Sheet Management
Non-GAAP SG&A $698M (3% of gross billings); cost-to-gross-profit ratio improved ~100 bps YoY to 58%. Net working capital down ~$300M YoY; gross cash days improved by 2 days; cash $2.4B, debt $4.6B, gross leverage 2.4x, net leverage 1.1x.
Forward Guidance and Capital Allocation
Q1 FY26 gross billings guidance $22.7B–$23.7B (~+12% at midpoint), net revenue guidance $15.1B–$15.9B (implied ~33% gross-to-net), Q1 dividend approved $0.48/share, $1.2B remaining buyback authorization.
Negative Updates
Rising Gross-to-Net Impact
Gross-to-net conversion remains elevated: Q4 had ~29% reduction from gross billings to net revenue and Q1 guidance implies ~33% gross-to-net adjustment, driven by a larger software mix and certain HIVE programs — a headwind to reported net revenue conversion.
Gross Margin Stagnation
Gross margin as a percentage of gross billings remained flat YoY at 5%, indicating limited margin expansion in Q4 despite higher gross profit dollars.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Non-GAAP effective tax rate increased to ~24% in Q4 from 21% in the prior year, which reduces net income relative to pre-tax performance.
Timing-Related Cash Flow Normalization
Q4 cash was elevated due to a few large receipts (estimated a few hundred million) that benefited the quarter and will normalize in FY26, contributing to an expected cash outflow in Q1 (seasonality plus timing) versus the very strong Q4.
HIVE Business Variability and Ongoing Investment
HIVE includes lumpy, opportunistic supply-chain programs; management continues to invest in leadership, engineering and capacity which could pressure near-term margins though supports long-term growth — investors flagged margin impact concerns.
Uncertainty Around Memory/Component Price Effects
DRAM/NAND and other component price increases have driven higher ASPs (a near-term tailwind) but create uncertainty around potential demand elasticity and volume impact across PCs, servers and storage; company has not yet seen material demand destruction but remains watchful.
Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 FY26 non‑GAAP gross billings of $22.7–$23.7 billion (≈+12% at the midpoint) assuming a €/$ rate of 1.16, net revenue of $15.1–$15.9 billion (implying a ~33% gross‑to‑net adjustment), non‑GAAP net income of $243–$283 million and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $3.00–$3.50 based on ~80.1 million diluted shares; they expect a Q1 cash outflow due to seasonality and normalization of a few hundred million that benefited Q4, expect cumulative free cash flow conversion of ~95% of non‑GAAP net income across FY25–FY26, are not providing full‑year guidance, and the board approved a $0.48 per‑share cash dividend payable 01/30/2026 (record 01/16/2026).

TD SYNNEX Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are healthy overall: profitability improved in the last two years and leverage dropped sharply (strong balance sheet strength). Offsetting factors are structurally thin distributor margins and historically volatile revenue growth and cash conversion, including prior-period cash flow swings.
Income Statement
72
Positive
SNX shows solid top-line scale and generally improving profitability versus the last few years. Revenue grew in 2025 (annual) after a decline in 2023, while gross margin and operating margin expanded in 2024–2025, supporting higher net income. Offsetting this, margins remain structurally thin (typical for distribution) and revenue growth has been volatile year-to-year, which can pressure earnings consistency in weaker demand cycles.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Balance sheet strength improved materially in 2025 (annual), highlighted by a sharp reduction in total debt and a very low debt-to-equity level versus 2021–2024. Equity and assets are sizable, and return on equity has trended upward into the high-single digits, indicating improving capital efficiency. The main watch item is that returns are still moderate rather than high, consistent with a lower-margin distributor model.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is strong in 2025 (annual), with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising and free cash flow covering most of net income. However, cash flow has shown meaningful swings over time (including negative operating and free cash flow in 2022), suggesting working-capital volatility that can meaningfully impact annual cash conversion even when reported earnings are positive.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.51B58.45B57.56B62.34B31.61B
Gross Profit4.37B3.54B3.58B3.56B1.77B
EBITDA1.83B1.60B1.51B1.49B731.90M
Net Income827.66M689.09M626.91M651.31M395.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.25B30.27B29.41B29.73B27.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.44B1.06B1.03B522.60M993.97M
Total Debt4.61B3.91B4.08B4.10B4.14B
Total Liabilities25.80B22.24B21.23B21.71B19.76B
Stockholders Equity8.45B8.04B8.18B8.03B7.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.39B1.04B1.26B-166.65M754.89M
Operating Cash Flow1.53B1.22B1.41B-49.60M809.79M
Investing Cash Flow-221.17M-193.84M-156.41M-115.51M-952.35M
Financing Cash Flow-32.87M-953.10M-785.88M-275.59M-392.62M

TD SYNNEX Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price164.39
Price Trends
50DMA
153.06
Positive
100DMA
153.21
Positive
200DMA
142.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.79
Negative
RSI
66.53
Neutral
STOCH
90.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 164.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.22, above the 50-day MA of 153.06, and above the 200-day MA of 142.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNX.

TD SYNNEX Corporation Risk Analysis

TD SYNNEX Corporation disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TD SYNNEX Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TD SYNNEX Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.52B18.159.30%1.02%3.19%-4.91%
71
Outperform
$13.27B16.209.95%1.15%6.95%19.19%
71
Outperform
$5.24B25.804.71%2.77%-2.30%-29.75%
68
Neutral
$972.71M13.828.11%-4.88%2.57%
64
Neutral
$7.11B15.237.70%3.16%1.09%
62
Neutral
$2.53B19.048.51%-6.69%-51.74%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
164.39
22.85
16.14%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
137.99
28.27
25.77%
AVT
Avnet
63.99
14.86
30.25%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
81.65
-87.65
-51.77%
CNXN
PC Connection
60.15
-3.22
-5.08%
SCSC
ScanSource
44.33
5.55
14.31%

TD SYNNEX Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TD SYNNEX Extends Trade Receivables Securitization Facility
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 21, 2026, TD SYNNEX Corporation, together with certain subsidiaries and SIT Funding LLC as borrower, amended its accounts receivable securitization program by entering into a new omnibus amendment to its receivables funding and administration agreement and to its receivables sale and servicing agreement. The changes, which included payment of an upfront fee to the lenders, extend the maturity date of the trade receivables securitization facility to January 20, 2028, effectively lengthening the company’s access to this source of liquidity and providing greater certainty around its medium‑term funding structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNX) stock is a Buy with a $180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TD SYNNEX Corporation stock, see the SNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026