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PC Connection (CNXN)
NASDAQ:CNXN
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PC Connection (CNXN) AI Stock Analysis

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CNXN

PC Connection

(NASDAQ:CNXN)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
▲(21.76% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (very low leverage) and a positive earnings outlook with cost savings, backlog strength, and shareholder returns. Technicals are supportive with the stock above key moving averages. These positives are tempered by recent revenue contraction and cash flow volatility, plus modest valuation support from a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and strong liquidity
Very low leverage and a large cash buffer provide durable financial flexibility for vendor financing, product purchasing, and shareholder returns. Strong liquidity reduces refinancing and solvency risk, enabling continued buybacks/dividends and targeted investments into higher‑margin services over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Choppy and contracting revenue trends
Inconsistent top‑line performance and a sharp TTM decline highlight exposure to timing, large one‑off projects, and end‑market volatility. Persistent revenue instability reduces predictability of margins and free cash flow, complicating investment planning and dealer/vendor negotiating leverage over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet and strong liquidity
Very low leverage and a large cash buffer provide durable financial flexibility for vendor financing, product purchasing, and shareholder returns. Strong liquidity reduces refinancing and solvency risk, enabling continued buybacks/dividends and targeted investments into higher‑margin services over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

PC Connection (CNXN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PC Connection Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN) is a leading technology solutions provider that specializes in delivering a wide range of IT products and services to businesses, educational institutions, and government agencies. Founded in 1982, the company operates p...
How the Company Makes Money
Connection primarily makes money by reselling third-party IT products and bundling them with services. Its core revenue stream is product revenue from the sale of computer hardware (e.g., desktops, laptops, servers, networking equipment, periphera...

PC Connection Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed predominantly positive momentum: strong segment-level gross profit, margin expansion, EPS and adjusted EBITDA growth, solid vertical performance (retail, financial services, healthcare), a new gross billings metric showing demand, robust liquidity, and shareholder-friendly capital returns (buybacks and a 33% dividend increase). Offsetting items included a sharp decline in public sector sales (a single large non-repeating project and rollout timing), working capital buildup, restructuring charges, and some margin compression in Enterprise. Management framed these negatives as temporary/tactical, with expected cost savings and a healthy backlog, positioning the company for growth in AI, cloud and security in 2026.
Positive Updates
Record Gross Profit and Margin Expansion (Consolidated)
Consolidated gross profit rose 4.5% year-over-year to $135.6M and gross margin expanded 100 basis points to 19.3%, reflecting disciplined pricing and favorable product/customer mix.
Negative Updates
Significant Public Sector Revenue Decline
Public Sector net sales fell 36.8% to $90.8M and gross billings declined 23.7% to $170.7M due to a non-repeating project that spanned Q4 2024–Q1 2025 and delayed project rollouts; management cited ~ $30M headwind in Q4 and ~ $40M headwind in the following quarter.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Gross Profit and Margin Expansion (Consolidated)
Consolidated gross profit rose 4.5% year-over-year to $135.6M and gross margin expanded 100 basis points to 19.3%, reflecting disciplined pricing and favorable product/customer mix.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to outperform the U.S. IT market by 200 basis points versus a roughly 4% blended market growth baseline, expecting Q1 2026 to be “flattish” on revenue with low‑to‑mid single‑digit gross profit growth and G&A running below 3%, and targeting an operating income margin of about 3.8% by year‑end; they flagged $5.9–6.2M of total severance/retirement charges ( $3.1M recognized in Q4) that should drive ~$7–8M of ongoing annual cost savings, noted backlog at its highest level since 2022, cited $406.7M of cash/short‑term investments, recurring returns to shareholders via a raised dividend of $0.27/share and an additional $50M buyback authorization, and highlighted TTM adjusted EBITDA of $126.4M (up 6%).

PC Connection Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a major positive (very low leverage, solid ROE), supporting resilience. Offsetting this, revenue has been declining recently (TTM down sharply) and cash flow is volatile despite generally good free-cash-flow conversion.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.87B2.80B2.85B3.12B2.89B
Gross Profit539.33M519.79M511.74M526.18M464.58M
EBITDA128.33M110.46M118.22M132.58M108.68M
Net Income83.72M87.09M83.27M89.22M69.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.35B1.30B1.19B1.10B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments406.68M442.61M297.19M122.93M108.31M
Total Debt996.00K3.36M4.91M8.16M10.21M
Total Liabilities440.80M388.36M347.61M333.65M400.91M
Stockholders Equity910.13M910.99M840.77M766.17M682.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow58.05M166.29M188.36M25.81M47.45M
Operating Cash Flow65.44M173.87M197.95M34.89M57.75M
Investing Cash Flow42.83M-115.29M-160.20M-9.08M-8.73M
Financing Cash Flow-93.37M-25.22M-15.73M-11.19M-36.37M

PC Connection Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.31
Price Trends
50DMA
61.19
Positive
100DMA
59.83
Positive
200DMA
60.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
64.89
Neutral
STOCH
77.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNXN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.56, below the 50-day MA of 61.19, and below the 200-day MA of 60.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNXN.

PC Connection Risk Analysis

PC Connection disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PC Connection reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PC Connection Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.60B17.409.37%1.02%2.52%-0.59%
67
Neutral
$865.66M12.958.14%0.07%27.46%
63
Neutral
$392.51M21.8020.00%0.63%40.14%14.23%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$9.50B9.999.05%10.49%50.30%
59
Neutral
$6.67B16.254.22%2.77%2.96%-30.72%
59
Neutral
$2.21B16.319.79%-5.22%-35.00%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNXN
PC Connection
63.38
1.98
3.22%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
185.98
74.62
67.01%
AVT
Avnet
81.53
35.74
78.05%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
73.59
-64.69
-46.78%
SCSC
ScanSource
40.30
7.31
22.16%
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions
21.27
-4.96
-18.90%

PC Connection Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
PC Connection Posts Strong Q1 Results, Declares Dividend
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
On April 29, 2026, Connection reported first-quarter 2026 results showing net sales up 3% year on year to $721.9 million and gross billings up 4.3% to $1.0 billion, while net income jumped 27.8% to $17.2 million and diluted EPS rose to $0.68. The ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
PC Connection boosts capital returns after Q4 performance
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Connection reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, showing modest top-line pressure but improved profitability metrics. Fourth-quarter 2025 net sales edged down 0.8% to $702.9 million, while gross billings rose...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026