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Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)
NASDAQ:CEG
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Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) AI Stock Analysis

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CEG

Constellation Energy Corporation

(NASDAQ:CEG)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$390.00
▲(8.05% Upside)
Constellation Energy Corporation's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and robust financial metrics, despite operational and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis shows mixed signals, and the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on nuclear energy and public support enhances its long-term prospects, but current financial and operational challenges need to be addressed.
Positive Factors
Nuclear Fleet Reliability
High nuclear fleet reliability indicates operational efficiency and a strong competitive position in the energy sector, supporting long-term energy supply stability.
Public Support for Nuclear Energy
Growing public support for nuclear energy enhances Constellation's market position and regulatory environment, facilitating future growth and investment in nuclear projects.
Maryland Agreement for Conowingo Dam
The long-term agreement for Conowingo Dam ensures a stable revenue stream and aligns with clean energy goals, reinforcing Constellation's commitment to sustainable energy solutions.
Negative Factors
Declining Margins
Declining margins suggest cost management issues or competitive pricing pressures, which could affect profitability and require strategic adjustments to maintain financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow and declining growth indicate potential liquidity issues, which could limit investment capacity and necessitate improved cash management strategies.
Interconnection Challenges
Interconnection delays can hinder growth in the data economy sector, affecting Constellation's ability to capitalize on emerging market opportunities and expand its customer base.

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Constellation Energy Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConstellation Energy Corporation generates and sells electricity in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and Other Power Regions. It sells natural gas, renewable energy, and other energy-related products and services. The company has 32,400 megawatts of generating capacity consisting of nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric assets. It serves distribution utilities; municipalities; cooperatives; and commercial, industrial, governmental, and residential customers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. Constellation Energy Corporation was formerly a subsidiary of Exelon Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyConstellation Energy generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source is the sale of electricity generated from its power plants, which include nuclear, solar, wind, and natural gas facilities. The company also earns money by providing energy supply services to residential and commercial customers, offering fixed and variable pricing plans. Additionally, Constellation engages in wholesale energy trading, buying and selling power in competitive markets to optimize its energy portfolio. The company's revenue is further supported by long-term contracts with various customers and utilities, as well as partnerships with businesses and governmental entities focused on sustainability initiatives. These diverse revenue streams, combined with strategic investments in renewable energy, enable Constellation Energy to maintain a stable financial foundation.

Constellation Energy Corporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Nuclear Generation by Geography
Nuclear Generation by Geography
Maps out nuclear energy production across various locations, reflecting the company's commitment to stable, low-carbon power generation and its strategic positioning in different regulatory environments.
Chart InsightsConstellation Energy's nuclear generation in ERCOT has seen a notable increase since late 2023, reflecting strategic expansion efforts. This aligns with the company's focus on leveraging its clean energy assets to support data center demand, as highlighted in the recent earnings call. The Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions show stable generation, while New York experiences fluctuations. The company's strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions, like Calpine, are poised to enhance earnings, though regulatory challenges and market overestimation remain potential risks.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Constellation Energy Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong operational and financial performance, with significant achievements such as increased earnings, high nuclear fleet reliability, and progress on strategic acquisitions. Public support for nuclear energy is also increasing, bolstering future prospects. However, there are some challenges, including O&M headwinds from stock compensation and interconnection delays for large load customers in the data economy.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Constellation delivered third quarter GAAP earnings of $2.97 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $3.04 per share, higher than the third quarter of last year. The company also narrowed its full-year guidance to $9.05 to $9.45 per share.
Nuclear Fleet Reliability
The nuclear fleet achieved a capacity factor of 96.8%, consistently outperforming the industry average by about 4%, which equates to the equivalent of an additional reactor's worth of power on a full-year basis.
Progress on Calpine Acquisition
The Calpine acquisition remains on track to close in the fourth quarter, with no significant delays noted from the government shutdown.
Maryland Agreement for Conowingo Dam
Reached a landmark agreement with the state of Maryland for the continued operation of Conowingo Dam for the next 50 years, contributing to Maryland's clean energy goals.
Increasing Public Support for Nuclear
Nearly 3/4 of the public supports nuclear energy, with 9 out of 10 people in favor of extending licenses on existing plants and 2 out of 3 supporting new nuclear plant construction.
Negative Updates
O&M Headwinds from Stock Compensation Plans
Outstanding stock performance this year has triggered stock compensation plans, creating nonrecurring O&M headwinds.
Interconnection Challenges for Large Loads
Deals with data economy customers are often delayed due to the speed of interconnection processes, with a call for FERC to develop a standard approach to expedite connections.
Company Guidance
During the Constellation Energy Corporation third quarter earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic insights. Constellation reported GAAP earnings of $2.97 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $3.04 per share, both of which exceeded last year's third quarter figures. The company's nuclear team achieved a fleet-wide capacity factor of 96.8%, which is about 4% higher than the industry average. The company narrowed its full-year stand-alone adjusted operating earnings guidance to a range of $9.05 to $9.45 per share, highlighting strong performance from their commercial and generation businesses. Additionally, Constellation emphasized the robust public support for nuclear energy, with nearly 75% of the public in favor and 90% supporting license extensions for existing plants. They also discussed the strategic importance of their existing sites for future nuclear development and highlighted ongoing negotiations in the data economy market, indicating confidence in completing transactions soon.

Constellation Energy Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Constellation Energy Corporation demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with efficient cost management, reflected in high gross profit margins. However, operational efficiency has declined, as seen in reduced EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but a low equity ratio, indicating potential financial risk. Cash flow challenges persist, with negative free cash flow growth and insufficient cash generation from operations.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Constellation Energy Corporation shows a strong gross profit margin of 64.70% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin of 11.03% is healthy, though it has decreased from the previous year. Revenue growth rate is positive at 8.10% in TTM, showing a recovery from the previous annual decline. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.63 in TTM, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity stands at 20.32%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is low, suggesting a high reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with potential risks due to leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -88.49% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, indicating that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.45B23.57B24.92B24.44B19.65B17.60B
Gross Profit4.95B5.99B3.30B2.14B2.75B3.27B
EBITDA6.03B6.97B4.22B2.92B3.81B4.31B
Net Income2.74B3.75B1.62B-160.00M-205.00M589.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.16B52.93B50.76B46.91B48.09B48.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.09B3.02B368.00M422.00M504.00M226.00M
Total Debt9.04B8.41B9.26B5.77B8.20B7.21B
Total Liabilities41.47B39.39B39.47B35.54B36.47B33.42B
Stockholders Equity14.35B13.17B10.93B11.02B11.22B12.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-276.00M-5.03B-7.72B-4.04B-2.67B-1.16B
Operating Cash Flow2.42B-2.46B-5.30B-2.35B-1.34B584.00M
Investing Cash Flow151.00M7.43B3.03B3.10B3.28B1.96B
Financing Cash Flow-358.00M-2.29B2.20B-799.00M-1.70B-2.66B

Constellation Energy Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price360.93
Price Trends
50DMA
351.51
Positive
100DMA
336.77
Positive
200DMA
297.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Positive
RSI
47.64
Neutral
STOCH
26.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CEG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 360.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 376.09, above the 50-day MA of 351.51, and above the 200-day MA of 297.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CEG.

Constellation Energy Corporation Risk Analysis

Constellation Energy Corporation disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Constellation Energy Corporation reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Constellation Energy Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$174.79B26.6512.48%2.66%26.96%-6.80%
70
Neutral
$7.07B14.1213.20%5.69%2.54%124.89%
69
Neutral
$96.16B19.449.92%3.42%4.80%14.44%
68
Neutral
$64.71B68.2321.63%0.47%42.77%-47.64%
68
Neutral
$111.96B41.0520.35%0.40%18.57%-3.93%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
56
Neutral
$7.98B-38.17%3.32%5.93%-39.88%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
360.93
125.08
53.03%
DUK
Duke Energy
122.93
14.49
13.36%
NEE
NextEra Energy
84.77
11.15
15.15%
VST
Vistra Energy
188.28
43.31
29.88%
CWEN.A
Clearway Energy
33.28
8.66
35.17%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
44.18
15.03
51.56%

Constellation Energy Corporation Corporate Events

Constellation Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 8, 2025

Constellation Energy Corporation, a leading Fortune 200 company based in Baltimore, specializes in producing reliable, emissions-free energy and is a major supplier to various sectors across the United States, with a significant focus on nuclear power generation.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Constellation Energy Corporation announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a GAAP net income of $2.97 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $3.04 per share. The company highlighted significant operational achievements, including a settlement for the Conowingo Dam’s re-licensing and strong performance from its nuclear fleet. The narrowing of the full-year adjusted earnings guidance and the upcoming Calpine transaction position Constellation to meet growing demand for clean energy, enhancing its market positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CEG) stock is a Buy with a $478.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Constellation Energy Corporation stock, see the CEG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Constellation Energy Elects Alan Armstrong to Board
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Constellation Energy Corporation, a company listed on Nasdaq as CEG, announced the election of Alan S. Armstrong to its board of directors, effective January 1, 2026. Armstrong, who has extensive experience in the energy sector, most notably with Williams, is expected to bring valuable insights as Constellation integrates a large natural gas portfolio into its operations. This strategic move is aimed at enhancing Constellation’s mission to provide reliable, clean energy and strengthen America’s energy security.

The most recent analyst rating on (CEG) stock is a Buy with a $391.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Constellation Energy Corporation stock, see the CEG Stock Forecast page.

Constellation Energy’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Performance
Aug 13, 2025

Constellation Energy Corporation’s recent earnings call highlighted a robust financial and operational performance, marked by significant achievements in regulatory support and new transactions. The sentiment was generally positive, although challenges in capacity auctions and interconnection processes were noted as ongoing hurdles.

Constellation Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Constellation Energy Corporation, headquartered in Baltimore, is a leading producer of reliable, emissions-free energy, primarily operating in the nuclear energy sector. The company is recognized for its commitment to sustainable energy solutions and its significant contribution to the nation’s clean energy supply.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025