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Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)
:CEG
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Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) AI Stock Analysis

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CEG

Constellation Energy Corporation

(NASDAQ:CEG)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$354.00
â–²(8.05% Upside)
Constellation Energy Corporation's overall score reflects strong earnings call performance and strategic initiatives, offset by valuation concerns and mixed technical indicators. Financial performance is solid but challenged by cash flow issues, necessitating improvements for long-term stability.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
CEG's base business holds impressive growth potential, even without new deals, with guidance for double-digit EPS growth through 2030.
Market Leadership
Constellation Energy stands out as the nation’s largest producer of clean energy, the largest nuclear fleet operator, and the largest commercial-industrial retail book holder, cementing an entrenched market leadership story.
Negative Factors
Cost Concerns
Earnings will be partially offset by compensation cost increases and losses on PTC earnings.
Risk Factors
Shareholders are bearing the risk of any cost overrun or delays in the nuclear plant restart.

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Constellation Energy Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConstellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is a leading energy company in the United States that focuses on providing power, natural gas, and energy management services. The company operates across multiple sectors, including electricity generation, supply, and trading. It is committed to delivering clean, reliable, and affordable energy solutions to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. As a key player in the energy industry, Constellation Energy leverages its diverse portfolio of energy assets to meet the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyConstellation Energy Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to a wide range of customers, including residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. The company operates power plants that produce electricity, which it then sells in wholesale and retail markets. Additionally, Constellation Energy engages in energy trading and risk management services, which contribute to its earnings. The company also offers energy efficiency solutions and services that help customers manage their energy consumption and costs. Strategic partnerships and investments in clean energy technologies further bolster its revenue streams, allowing the company to capitalize on the growing demand for renewable energy solutions.

Constellation Energy Corporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Nuclear Generation by Geography
Nuclear Generation by Geography
Maps out nuclear energy production across various locations, reflecting the company's commitment to stable, low-carbon power generation and its strategic positioning in different regulatory environments.
Chart InsightsConstellation Energy's nuclear generation in ERCOT has seen a notable increase since late 2023, reflecting strategic expansion efforts. This aligns with the company's focus on leveraging its clean energy assets to support data center demand, as highlighted in the recent earnings call. The Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions show stable generation, while New York experiences fluctuations. The company's strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions, like Calpine, are poised to enhance earnings, though regulatory challenges and market overestimation remain potential risks.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Constellation Energy Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance, with significant achievements in regulatory support and new transactions. However, challenges in capacity auctions and interconnection processes present ongoing hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Delivered second-quarter GAAP earnings of $2.67 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $1.91 per share, improving on last year's second-quarter performance.
Accelerated Share Repurchases
Executed $400 million in Accelerated Repurchases post-Meta deal, contributing to a total of $2.4 billion of outstanding shares repurchased since the beginning of the buyback program.
Operational Excellence
Nuclear team posted its second-best fleet production ever in the second quarter with a capacity factor of 94.8%, producing over 41 million-megawatt hours of reliable, emissions-free power.
Significant New Transactions
Announced a 20-year power purchase agreement with Meta and a significant carbon-free energy transaction with Comcast.
Regulatory Support for Nuclear
The passage of One Big Beautiful Bill Act preserves and expands nuclear credits, with bipartisan support ensuring the continuation of the nuclear PTC provisions.
Calpine Acquisition Approvals
Received New York, Texas, and FERC approvals for the Calpine acquisition, remaining on track to close by the end of the year.
Negative Updates
Challenges with PJM Capacity Auction
Capacity auction results indicate rising prices due to supply and demand dynamics, with an emphasis on addressing reliability gaps.
Interconnection Delays
Interconnection processes for data center deals are experiencing delays, dependent on utility processes and regulatory approvals.
Delayed Closure of Calpine Transaction
Awaiting final approval from the Department of Justice, causing uncertainty on the exact timeline for closing the Calpine acquisition.
Company Guidance
During Constellation Energy Corporation's Second Quarter Earnings Call, CEO Joseph Dominguez highlighted several key metrics and initiatives. The company reported GAAP earnings of $2.67 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $1.91 per share, surpassing last year's performance. Constellation executed $400 million in accelerated stock repurchases following the Meta announcement. Notably, the company remains on track to close the Calpine acquisition by year-end, having already secured approvals from New York, Texas, and FERC. The recent passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill was touted as a significant win for nuclear power, as it maintains the 45U production tax credits for existing facilities through 2032 and introduces a new 10% nuclear energy community bonus. Additionally, the company announced a 20-year power purchase agreement with Meta for over 1,100 megawatts of emissions-free nuclear energy. The Crane Clean Energy Center's restart has been moved forward to the second half of 2027, reflecting Constellation's commitment to growing its clean energy portfolio.

Constellation Energy Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Constellation Energy Corporation shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with improved EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the negative free cash flow and declining net profit margins highlight financial challenges. The moderate leverage is manageable, but reliance on debt could pose risks if interest rates rise.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Constellation Energy Corporation demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $24.23 billion, a 2.82% increase from the previous annual report. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 25.05% TTM, indicating robust profitability. However, the net profit margin decreased to 12.31% TTM from 15.90% in the previous year, suggesting rising costs or other financial pressures impacting net income. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins show resilience, with EBIT margin at 18.09% and EBITDA margin at 26.64% TTM, reflecting operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.65, indicating moderate leverage, which can be advantageous for growth if managed well. The return on equity stands at 23.03% TTM, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased to 24.79%, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing over equity, which could pose risks if interest rates rise or earnings fluctuate.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Constellation Energy faces challenges with negative free cash flow of $-4.27 billion TTM, though it showed a slight improvement from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting a mismatch between earnings and cash generation. However, the significant investing cash inflow of $5.71 billion indicates strategic investments that may bolster future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.82B23.57B24.92B24.44B19.65B17.60B
Gross Profit5.14B5.99B3.30B2.14B2.75B3.27B
EBITDA6.39B6.97B4.22B2.92B3.81B4.31B
Net Income3.01B3.75B1.62B-160.00M-205.00M589.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.04B52.93B50.76B46.91B48.09B48.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.06B3.02B368.00M422.00M504.00M226.00M
Total Debt8.31B8.41B9.26B5.77B8.20B7.21B
Total Liabilities39.23B39.39B39.47B35.54B36.47B33.42B
Stockholders Equity13.45B13.17B10.93B11.02B11.22B12.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.40B-5.03B-7.72B-4.04B-2.67B-1.16B
Operating Cash Flow456.00M-2.46B-5.30B-2.35B-1.34B584.00M
Investing Cash Flow3.02B7.43B3.03B3.10B3.28B1.96B
Financing Cash Flow-1.80B-2.29B2.20B-799.00M-1.70B-2.66B

Constellation Energy Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price327.63
Price Trends
50DMA
318.72
Positive
100DMA
281.09
Positive
200DMA
269.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.50
Positive
RSI
48.47
Neutral
STOCH
25.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CEG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 327.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 332.79, above the 50-day MA of 318.72, and above the 200-day MA of 269.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CEG.

Constellation Energy Corporation Risk Analysis

Constellation Energy Corporation disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Constellation Energy Corporation reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Constellation Energy Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.40B41.185.40%0.54%2.23%-0.82%
68
Neutral
$178.97B157.3212.88%0.12%8.38%-2.28%
67
Neutral
$17.91B18.748.13%3.40%7.32%12.41%
66
Neutral
$105.77B35.3324.20%0.45%13.41%27.49%
62
Neutral
$5.87B42.663.80%6.20%-0.27%-16.25%
61
Neutral
$5.87B45.563.80%5.79%-0.27%-16.25%
60
Neutral
$6.00B32.67-63.28%4.41%12.46%-388.89%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
326.21
136.73
72.16%
ORA
Ormat Techno
88.36
15.13
20.66%
CWEN
Clearway Energy
29.25
1.96
7.18%
CWEN.A
Clearway Energy
27.28
2.14
8.51%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
32.98
5.59
20.41%
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
625.27
436.82
231.80%

Constellation Energy Corporation Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Constellation Energy Corporation reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a GAAP net income of $2.67 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $1.91 per share. The company announced a 20-year agreement with Meta for the Clinton Clean Energy Center, received regulatory approval for its acquisition of Calpine, and plans to restart the Crane Clean Energy Center by 2027. These developments, along with legislative support for nuclear energy, position Constellation to enhance its operations and market presence, benefiting stakeholders through increased grid reliability and cost-effective energy solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CEG) stock is a Hold with a $272.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Constellation Energy Corporation stock, see the CEG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Constellation Energy Clears PJM Capacity Auction
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Constellation Energy Corporation announced that all of its power plants in the PJM market successfully cleared the capacity auction for the 2026-2027 planning year. This outcome, effective June 1, 2026, includes approximately 6,200 megawatts of ComEd nuclear capacity participating in the Illinois Carbon Mitigation Credit Procurement Plan, potentially impacting the company’s revenue streams and positioning within the energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CEG) stock is a Hold with a $272.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Constellation Energy Corporation stock, see the CEG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025