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Brookfield Renewable (BEPC)
NYSE:BEPC

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) AI Stock Analysis

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BEPC

Brookfield Renewable

(NYSE:BEPC)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
▼(-1.06% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is held back primarily by financial risk factors—high leverage with negative equity in 2025, volatile earnings, and inconsistent free cash flow—despite solid underlying margins. Offsetting this, technicals are constructive with an uptrend and positive momentum, and the latest earnings call highlighted strong FFO growth and continued project/acquisition progress. Valuation support comes mainly from the dividend, while the negative P/E reflects ongoing net-income volatility.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance Brookfield's market presence and diversify its renewable energy portfolio, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Financial Performance
The increase in funds from operations indicates robust financial health and the ability to generate stable cash flows, supporting future investments.
U.S. Government Partnership
This partnership is expected to drive substantial growth and enhance Brookfield's competitive position in the renewable energy sector.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to market fluctuations.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential issues in cash generation, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth.
Potential Permit Delays
Permit delays can hinder project timelines and increase costs, affecting Brookfield's ability to execute its growth strategy efficiently.

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brookfield Renewable Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable energy power generating facilities primarily in the United States, Europe, Colombia, and Brazil. It operates hydroelectric, wind, and solar power plants with an installed capacity of approximately 12,723 megawatts. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrookfield Renewable generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy assets. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utility companies and other customers, ensuring stable cash flows. Additionally, BEPC benefits from government incentives and renewable energy credits, which bolster its revenue streams. The company also engages in the development of new projects, often forming partnerships with other entities to expand its portfolio and increase its market presence. By operating a diverse range of renewable facilities, Brookfield Renewable mitigates risks associated with energy price fluctuations and regulatory changes, further enhancing its financial stability.

Brookfield Renewable Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Brookfield Renewable Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating economics appear solid (strong gross/EBITDA margins), but earnings quality is weak due to sharp revenue and net income volatility (including a large net loss in 2025). Balance-sheet risk is elevated with very high debt and stockholders’ equity turning negative in 2025, while cash generation is uneven with frequently negative free cash flow—together reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue has been volatile, including a sharp decline in 2025 (annual) after modest growth in prior years. Profitability is inconsistent: strong gross and EBITDA margins overall, but bottom-line results swing materially—most notably a large net loss in 2025 versus positive net income in 2024 and 2022. This pattern suggests solid underlying operating economics, but meaningful earnings volatility that reduces earnings quality and predictability.
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Leverage is a key overhang. Total debt remains very high (roughly $14–$17B across the period), and the capital structure weakened sharply in 2025 with stockholders’ equity turning negative, which makes leverage metrics unattractive and reduces financial flexibility. While assets are sizable, the combination of heavy debt and equity erosion elevates refinancing and balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
32
Negative
Operating cash flow is positive but uneven (stronger in 2022–2023, weaker in 2024–2025), and free cash flow is frequently negative (notably 2021, 2024, and 2025), implying ongoing funding needs to support investment and/or servicing obligations. In 2025, operating cash flow is modest relative to the debt load, and free cash flow deteriorated sharply year over year, increasing reliance on external capital.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.73B4.14B3.97B3.78B3.43B
Gross Profit2.23B2.38B2.50B2.60B2.24B
EBITDA2.12B3.53B2.99B4.19B2.07B
Net Income-2.34B236.00M-181.00M1.50B946.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.27B44.13B49.42B43.29B41.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments682.00M392.00M441.00M435.00M410.00M
Total Debt15.26B14.09B16.57B14.08B13.88B
Total Liabilities37.03B32.02B32.29B26.46B27.76B
Stockholders Equity-406.00M1.34B5.79B5.87B3.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-633.00M-1.34B575.00M568.91M-959.00M
Operating Cash Flow507.00M752.11M1.60B1.67B395.00M
Investing Cash Flow-578.00M-726.08M-1.02B-480.38M-1.03B
Financing Cash Flow93.00M78.09M-636.00M-1.00B678.00M

Brookfield Renewable Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.46
Price Trends
50DMA
40.18
Positive
100DMA
40.29
Positive
200DMA
36.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.92
Positive
RSI
60.23
Neutral
STOCH
40.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BEPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.22, above the 50-day MA of 40.18, and above the 200-day MA of 36.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BEPC.

Brookfield Renewable Risk Analysis

Brookfield Renewable disclosed 5 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brookfield Renewable reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Dividends on BEPC exchangeable shares (2) Q4, 2024
2.
Remeasurement of BEPC exchangeable and BEPC class B shares Q4, 2024
3.
Interest expense (2) Q4, 2024

Brookfield Renewable Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$7.04B52.635.45%0.42%6.07%12.07%
69
Neutral
$7.80B28.128.48%5.29%2.54%124.89%
69
Neutral
$7.80B26.408.48%5.60%2.54%124.89%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
55
Neutral
$7.81B-6.50-38.17%3.84%5.93%-39.88%
55
Neutral
$2.01B13.5811.20%42.09%219.69%
52
Neutral
$4.07B-76.85%765.67%-202.81%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
43.46
16.15
59.14%
ORA
Ormat Techno
115.85
47.88
70.43%
CWEN
Clearway Energy
38.68
12.48
47.63%
CWEN.A
Clearway Energy
36.29
11.61
47.04%
SMR
NuScale Power
13.43
-4.52
-25.18%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
5.52
-0.89
-13.88%

Brookfield Renewable Corporate Events

Brookfield Renewable Posts Record 2025 Results and Lifts Distribution as FFO Climbs 10%
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Brookfield Renewable reported that 2025 was a record year, with funds from operations rising to $1.33 billion, or $2.01 per unit, up 10% year-on-year, and net loss attributable to unitholders narrowing to $19 million for the year ended December 31, 2025. The company highlighted strong performance from its hydroelectric segment, which generated $607 million in FFO, and from its wind, solar, distributed energy, storage and sustainable solutions businesses, which all benefited from development activity, acquisitions such as Neoen and Geronimo Power, and higher demand from technology hyperscalers seeking long-term, clean baseload power. Brookfield Renewable said it committed or deployed up to $8.8 billion across strategic technologies, delivered around 8,000 megawatts of new capacity in 2025, expanded its global footprint through the privatization of Neoen, increased ownership in Colombian utility Isagen, and secured long-term contracts for over 9,000 megawatts of generation capacity, enhancing cash flow visibility and supporting upfinancings to fund further growth. The group also underscored its role in the nuclear and battery storage sectors, citing Westinghouse’s strategic partnership with the U.S. government for new reactors and a planned 1,000+ megawatt battery storage project via Neoen, while executing a record $4.5 billion in asset recycling proceeds through sales of de-risked assets and platforms such as Luminace and non-core hydro and renewables portfolios, reinforcing its capital recycling-led growth model and cementing its positioning as a preferred partner for large-scale clean energy solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (BEPC) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookfield Renewable stock, see the BEPC Stock Forecast page.

Brookfield Renewable Launches $400 Million At-the-Market Share Issuance Program
Jan 13, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Brookfield Renewable Corporation and Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. launched an at-the-market equity issuance program allowing Brookfield Renewable Corporation to sell up to $400 million of Class A exchangeable subordinate voting shares directly into Canadian and U.S. markets from treasury. The group plans to use any proceeds primarily to fund repurchases of Brookfield Renewable Partners’ non-voting limited partnership units under its normal course issuer bid and for general corporate purposes, with the structure designed so that, if executed as intended, the combined number of partnership units and corporate shares remains broadly unchanged, limiting dilution for existing investors while giving the company flexible, opportunistic access to equity capital through 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (BEPC) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookfield Renewable stock, see the BEPC Stock Forecast page.

Brookfield Renewable Renews Issuer Bids for Strategic Share Repurchase
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Brookfield Renewable announced the renewal of its normal course issuer bids, approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, for various units and shares, including limited partnership units, preferred units, and exchangeable shares. This strategic move allows Brookfield Renewable to repurchase shares that may be undervalued, providing flexibility in using available funds. The repurchases, commencing on December 18, 2025, aim to enhance shareholder value by potentially acquiring shares at attractive prices, with all acquired units and shares to be canceled, impacting the company’s financial operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BEPC) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brookfield Renewable stock, see the BEPC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026