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NuScale Power (SMR)
NYSE:SMR
US Market

NuScale Power (SMR) AI Stock Analysis

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SMR

NuScale Power

(NYSE:SMR)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▼(-2.13% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—very large losses and substantial negative free cash flow—despite strong gross margins and a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals also lean bearish with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. These are partially offset by a constructive earnings call featuring a major deployment partnership and higher reported liquidity.
Positive Factors
High gross margin & revenue improvement
Sustained gross margins near 77% alongside improving revenue demonstrate strong pricing power and favorable contract mix in NuScale's engineering/licensing services. High gross margins provide durable operating leverage as projects scale, aiding a path to profitability if SG&A and commercialization costs normalize.
Conservative balance sheet (no debt)
A zero-debt capital structure with sizable equity provides financial flexibility for multi-year nuclear projects and shields the company from interest shocks. Low leverage reduces default risk, supports longer development timelines, and increases capacity to absorb milestone timing variability without immediate solvency pressure.
Large commercial partnership and improved liquidity
The TVA/InterOne program (up to 6 GW, first power targeted by 2030) represents a tangible commercialization pathway and potential multi-site offtake pipeline. Coupled with a materially stronger liquidity position after equity issuance, this enhances NuScale's ability to fund commercialization, secure suppliers, and pursue multi-module deployments.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Deep, sustained cash burn (~-$282M TTM) indicates the business still consumes large amounts of capital to advance projects. Continued negative cash flow forces reliance on equity markets or partner financing, raising dilution and execution risk and potentially slowing project schedules absent a durable cash-flow turnaround.
Milestone payment and partner execution risk
A $148.5M milestone payment materially strained near-term cash and highlights milestone-tied financing risk. Coupled with doubts about InterOne's operating track record, the company is exposed to counterparty execution risk that could delay deployments, trigger additional cash needs, or require renegotiation of commercial terms.
Very large operating losses and negative returns
Severe operating losses and a deeply negative net margin show the current cost structure doesn't scale with revenue. Persistent negative returns threaten equity value and indicate management must materially reduce operating burn or secure high-margin, recurring revenues to achieve sustainable profitability and protect the balance sheet.

NuScale Power (SMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NuScale Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNuScale Power Corporation develops and sells modular light water reactor nuclear power plants to supply energy for electrical generation, district heating, desalination, hydrogen production, and other process heat applications. It offers NuScale Power Module, a water reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe); The VOYGR-12 power plant that can generate 924 MWe; and four-module VOYGR-4 and six-module VOYGR-6 plants, as well as other configurations based on customer needs. NuScale Power Corporation was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon. NuScale Power Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Fluor Enterprises, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyNuScale Power makes money primarily through the development and sale of its small modular reactors (SMRs). The company generates revenue by licensing its SMR technology to utility companies and other energy providers seeking to deploy nuclear power solutions. Additionally, NuScale may earn income from engineering and consulting services related to the implementation and maintenance of its nuclear reactors. Significant partnerships with government entities, such as the U.S. Department of Energy, and strategic alliances with energy companies around the world further contribute to its revenue streams by facilitating research, development, and deployment support for its advanced nuclear technologies.

NuScale Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong strategic advancements, notably the agreement with TVA and InterOne, and robust financial performance with increased liquidity and revenue. However, concerns about the partnership with InterOne and substantial milestone payments were noted. The positive developments appear to outweigh the challenges, indicating optimism for NuScale Power Corporation's future.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Liquidity Increase
NuScale Power Corporation's overall liquidity increased to $753.8 million as of September 30, 2025, from $489.9 million as of June 30, 2025, driven by the sale of 13.2 million Class A shares, generating $475.2 million in gross proceeds.
Significant Strategic Partnership
NuScale Power Corporation announced a landmark agreement with TVA and InterOne Energy to deploy six gigawatts of SMR technology, marking the largest SMR deployment program in U.S. history.
Increased Revenue
Reported revenue increased to $8.2 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, compared to $5 million during the same period in the prior year, driven by services provided to the Row Power project.
U.S.-Japan Framework Agreement
InterOne positioned to receive up to $25 billion in investment capital as part of a U.S.-Japan framework agreement to expand critical energy infrastructure.
Negative Updates
Significant Milestone Payment
NuScale Power Corporation made a $148.5 million payment related to the PMA milestone triggered by the TVA and InterOne agreement, impacting cash flow.
Uncertainty Around InterOne Partnership
Questions arose about InterOne's capability to execute large-scale projects due to limited publicly available information on their past projects and operational experience.
Company Guidance
During NuScale Power Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided significant guidance on its strategic initiatives and financial outlook. NuScale highlighted their pivotal partnership with InterOne and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) to deploy up to six gigawatts of new nuclear capacity, marking the largest small modular reactor (SMR) deployment in U.S. history. This partnership includes the potential deployment of approximately 72 NuScale modules across multiple sites, with the first power delivery anticipated by 2030. The company also emphasized its strengthened cash position, reporting an increase in liquidity to $753.8 million as of September 30, 2025, driven by the sale of Class A shares. Additionally, NuScale discussed a $148.5 million payment related to a Partnership Milestone Agreement (PMA) with InterOne, designed to accelerate commercialization. The call also addressed the strategic agreement with Fluor, enabling the monetization of its investment in NuScale, and underscored the favorable market conditions and regulatory policies driving demand for NuScale’s carbon-free power solutions.

NuScale Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is improving and gross margin is very strong (~76.7%), and the balance sheet shows zero reported debt with sizable equity (~$828.7M). However, results are dominated by very large losses (TTM net loss ~$379.9M; net margin ~-682.7%), sharply worse operating performance (TTM EBIT about -$628.7M), and heavy cash burn (TTM operating/FCF about -$282M).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue improved to ~$63.9M (up ~13.8%), and gross margin is strong (~76.7%), indicating good pricing and/or favorable contract mix at the gross profit level. However, profitability remains very weak: TTM net loss is ~$379.9M with deeply negative net margin (~-682.7%), and operating losses widened substantially versus 2024 (EBIT fell from about -$138.7M in 2024 to about -$628.7M TTM). Overall, the business is showing top-line momentum, but the cost structure is not yet scaling and losses are expanding.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered with zero reported total debt in both 2024 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and equity is sizable (TTM equity ~$828.7M vs. total assets ~$883.1M), providing a meaningful capital cushion. The key weakness is ongoing value erosion from losses: returns on equity are materially negative (about -53% TTM and ~-22% in 2024), which can pressure equity over time if losses persist. In short, low financial leverage is a strength, but the company must improve profitability to protect its capital base.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is a major challenge: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is about -$282.3M and free cash flow is about -$282.5M, a significant deterioration from 2024 (operating cash flow about -$108.7M). Free cash flow growth shows a large positive percentage in TTM, but this appears to be driven by year-to-year volatility while the absolute level remains deeply negative. Free cash flow broadly tracks net losses (roughly one-for-one), reinforcing that the business is still consuming substantial cash to operate.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue63.90M37.05M22.81M11.80M2.86M600.00K
Gross Profit42.66M32.11M3.85M4.49M1.09M245.00K
EBITDA-618.34M-133.65M-273.01M-227.30M-172.10M-156.76M
Net Income-379.94M-136.62M-58.36M-57.07M-102.49M-88.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets883.13M544.67M224.86M348.63M121.20M47.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments691.78M441.56M120.27M267.69M77.09M4.86M
Total Debt0.000.002.94M4.35M15.44M36.89M
Total Liabilities448.32M91.55M95.52M71.55M54.94M76.20M
Stockholders Equity828.71M618.70M93.46M114.68M66.26M-29.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-282.51M-108.71M-184.98M-150.94M-101.11M-50.76M
Operating Cash Flow-282.32M-108.67M-183.25M-148.61M-99.16M-47.23M
Investing Cash Flow-301.38M-39.85M48.27M-52.33M-1.95M-3.53M
Financing Cash Flow879.66M429.81M16.13M368.06M173.34M38.49M

NuScale Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.88
Price Trends
50DMA
18.50
Negative
100DMA
27.77
Negative
200DMA
30.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Positive
RSI
41.15
Neutral
STOCH
17.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.09, below the 50-day MA of 18.50, and below the 200-day MA of 30.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMR.

NuScale Power Risk Analysis

NuScale Power disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NuScale Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NuScale Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$18.84B61.6226.69%0.56%14.01%10.92%
71
Outperform
$7.64B57.465.45%0.42%6.07%12.07%
70
Neutral
$7.18B14.2813.20%5.60%2.54%124.89%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$1.97B18.757.64%42.09%219.69%
52
Neutral
$4.99B-6.26-76.85%765.67%-202.81%
51
Neutral
$7.36B-6.28-38.17%3.84%5.93%-39.88%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMR
NuScale Power
16.20
-8.35
-34.01%
ORA
Ormat Techno
126.80
62.72
97.87%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
190.10
77.76
69.22%
CWEN.A
Clearway Energy
34.84
11.70
50.56%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
41.67
15.79
61.01%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
5.35
-1.20
-18.32%

NuScale Power Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NuScale Power Sets Date for Full-Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Jan 27, 2026

NuScale Power said it will hold a conference call on Thursday, February 26, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time to review its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, with access provided via phone and a webcast replay available for 30 days on its website. The scheduled earnings call underscores the company’s effort to keep investors informed as it advances its certified small modular reactor technology in a competitive and heavily regulated nuclear power market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMR) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NuScale Power stock, see the SMR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
NuScale Power Advances with Share Amendment Approval
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 16, 2025, NuScale Power Corporation held a special stockholders’ meeting to vote on significant proposals. The company’s shareholders approved an amendment to increase the number of authorized shares after reaching a quorum with 213 million common stock shares represented. This decision solidifies the company’s capability to support potential future growth and operational flexibility. An adjournment proposal tied to insufficient quorum was rendered unnecessary due to the amendment’s approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMR) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NuScale Power stock, see the SMR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
NuScale Power Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 16, 2025, NuScale Power‘s Board of Directors appointed David Tonnel as Chief Accounting Officer, effective November 22, 2025. Tonnel, who joined the company in March 2025, previously held senior roles at Transocean Ltd. Additionally, the Board adopted amendments to the company’s bylaws to designate the Chief Accounting Officer as an officer and approved a deferred compensation plan for non-employee directors, allowing them to defer compensation in cash or stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMR) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NuScale Power stock, see the SMR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NuScale Power Announces New Sales Agreement
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, NuScale Power Corporation announced a new Sales Agreement with several financial institutions for an at-the-market offering program, allowing the company to sell up to $750 million of its Class A common stock. This move replaces a previous agreement from August 2025 and is expected to provide NuScale with greater financial flexibility, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMR) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NuScale Power stock, see the SMR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
NuScale Power Announces Agreement with Fluor Corporation
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, NuScale Power announced a definitive agreement with Fluor Corporation to monetize Fluor’s investment in NuScale. Additionally, NuScale reported its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a landmark agreement with ENTRA1 Energy and the Tennessee Valley Authority for deploying up to six gigawatts of SMR capacity, marking the largest SMR deployment in U.S. history. The company also noted progress on Fluor’s engineering study for a Romanian power plant and a strengthened cash position through capital market activities. Revenue and costs increased due to engineering services, while R&D expenses decreased as personnel shifted to commercial projects. General and administrative expenses rose significantly due to milestone contributions and increased commercialization efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMR) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NuScale Power stock, see the SMR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026