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Clearway Energy Inc (CWEN)
NYSE:CWEN

Clearway Energy (CWEN) AI Stock Analysis

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Clearway Energy

(NYSE:CWEN)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(16.10%Upside)
Clearway Energy's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators contribute significantly to its score. The positive earnings call sentiment further boosts confidence. However, high leverage and valuation concerns slightly offset these strengths. Continued focus on debt management and maintaining operational efficiency will be crucial.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Management has significantly de-risked its business model by adapting to address structural risks.
Guidance
There is a strong likelihood that CWEN might raise its 2025 guidance or deliver CAFD toward the high-end, which is seen as very bullish.
Performance
CWEN is one of the best performing stocks in the clean energy sector, showing resilience despite a high-uncertainty environment.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was below both consensus and Morgan Stanley estimates.
Investment Thesis
There was a modest revision lower to the investment thesis due to financial results versus consensus.
Legislative Uncertainty
Uncertainty over potential revisions to the Inflation Reduction Act continues to be an overhang to correcting valuation.

Clearway Energy (CWEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clearway Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClearway Energy, Inc. operates in the renewable energy business in the United States. It has approximately 5,000 net megawatts (MW) of installed wind and solar generation projects; and approximately 2,500 net MW of natural gas generation facilities. The company was formerly known as NRG Yield, Inc. and changed its name to Clearway Energy, Inc. in August 2018. Clearway Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Princeton, New Jersey. Clearway Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Clearway Energy Group LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyClearway Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its portfolio of renewable and conventional energy assets. The company earns money by entering into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities, commercial and industrial customers, and other energy providers. These agreements secure a predictable revenue stream by locking in energy prices for extended periods, often ranging from 10 to 25 years. Additionally, Clearway Energy benefits from federal and state incentives for renewable energy production, such as tax credits and renewable energy certificates (RECs), which enhance the financial returns of its projects. The company's strategic partnerships with various stakeholders, including energy developers and financial institutions, further contribute to its earnings by facilitating the development and acquisition of new assets, thereby expanding its capacity and market reach.

Clearway Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Chart InsightsClearway Energy's net income from renewables shows volatility, with significant swings each quarter. Despite this, the company remains optimistic, as highlighted in their earnings call, with a strategic focus on growth through fleet enhancements and acquisitions. The conventional segment's decline in recent quarters contrasts with the company's positive outlook, driven by new investments and repowering projects. The earnings call underscores confidence in achieving the upper range of 2025 guidance, despite challenges like increased CapEx due to tariffs, indicating a robust strategic plan to navigate these hurdles.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Clearway Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Clearway Energy, Inc. highlighted strong first quarter results and a clear pathway towards achieving and potentially exceeding their 2025 and 2027 financial objectives. The company demonstrated successful execution of growth initiatives, including repowering projects, battery storage advancements, and strategic acquisitions. Despite some concerns about increased capital expenditure due to tariffs and timing shifts in CAFD, the overall sentiment remains highly positive.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Quarter Results
Clearway delivered solid first quarter results across all segments, reaffirming their 2025 guidance range. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $252 million and CAFD of $77 million, with strong wind resources in California and contributions from 2024 growth investments.
Accretive Growth Pathways
Clearway executed initiatives for future long-term growth, including fleet enhancements, sponsor-enabled dropdown investments, and asset-centered third-party M&A. They closed the Tuolumne Wind acquisition and signed a binding agreement to acquire an operational solar project in California.
Successful Repowering Projects
Progress continues on repowerings for Mt. Storm, Goat Mountain, and San Juan Mesa, which are expected to extend and enhance the value of Clearway's existing wind fleet. These projects contribute to a solid CAFD per share growth outlook beyond 2027.
Positive Battery Storage Developments
Naming of the Spindle project, a 199 MW battery storage project, with a long-term contract signed with an investment-grade utility. Clearway Group's late-stage pipeline includes over 13 GW of projects that could achieve COD through 2029.
Interest Rate Risk Mitigation
Clearway mitigated interest rate risk for refinancing corporate bonds maturing in 2028 by opportunistic hedging of base rates, solidifying their financial strategy.
Negative Updates
Increased Capital Expenditure Due to Tariffs
The currently enacted tariffs could have an impact on CapEx of about 30% for battery projects, which could affect the cost of constructing projects and the pricing to customers.
CAFD Timing Shifts
First quarter CAFD was higher than seasonally expected due to timing of debt service and distributions to non-controlling partners shifting into the second quarter.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Clearway Energy, Inc. reaffirmed its 2025 guidance range and expressed confidence in potentially achieving the top half or better, driven by typical annual resource and fleet performance strength, alongside contributions from newly committed investments. The company continues to pursue growth through fleet enhancements, sponsor-enabled dropdown investments, and asset-centered third-party M&A. Clearway Group's pipeline has been bolstered with over 9 gigawatts of late-stage projects compatible with CWEN, featuring safe harbor investments potentially reaching 13 gigawatts by 2029. The company also highlighted significant progress in repowering projects, such as Mt. Storm, Goat Mountain, and San Juan Mesa, and successfully closed the Tuolumne Wind acquisition. Financially, Clearway reported Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $252 million and CAFD of $77 million, reiterating its 2025 CAFD guidance range of $400 million to $440 million, aiming for the higher end. The firm maintains a strategic focus on disciplined growth, intending to utilize retained CAFD and debt capacity for funding, with modest equity issuances through an ATM facility to support accretive growth towards achieving the high end of its 2027 CAFD per share growth target.

Clearway Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Clearway Energy shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management. The income statement and cash flow metrics are positive, while the balance sheet indicates higher risk due to significant leverage. Managing debt and maintaining operational efficiency are crucial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Clearway Energy's income statement reflects a strong performance in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a notable increase in total revenue and net income compared to previous years. The gross profit margin is solid, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low due to high operational costs. Revenue growth has been consistent, showing a positive trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, highlighting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reliance on debt financing. However, the company's return on equity is improving, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, providing some cushion against financial volatility. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a mix of strengths in equity utilization and risks associated with high leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Clearway Energy has demonstrated robust cash flow management with substantial operating cash flow and consistent free cash flow generation. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash conversion from earnings. The company's ability to generate cash flow efficiently supports its financial flexibility and operational stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.41B1.37B1.31B1.19B1.29B1.20B
Gross Profit592.00M870.00M841.00M755.00M835.00M833.00M
EBITDA1.05B1.13B1.03B2.31B958.00M835.00M
Net Income94.00M88.00M79.00M1.06B-75.00M-62.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.65B14.33B14.70B12.31B12.81B10.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments297.00M332.00M575.00M657.00M179.00M268.00M
Total Debt8.22B7.75B8.66B7.36B8.27B7.31B
Total Liabilities9.23B8.77B9.71B8.28B9.51B7.88B
Stockholders Equity5.42B2.06B2.10B2.23B1.83B1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow539.00M483.00M408.00M675.00M550.00M421.00M
Operating Cash Flow784.00M770.00M702.00M787.00M701.00M545.00M
Investing Cash Flow-775.00M-725.00M-523.00M1.06B-865.00M-62.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.66B-363.00M-124.00M-1.51B367.00M-435.00M

Clearway Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.87
Price Trends
50DMA
30.50
Positive
100DMA
29.32
Positive
200DMA
27.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Positive
RSI
53.27
Neutral
STOCH
64.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.96, above the 50-day MA of 30.50, and above the 200-day MA of 27.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CWEN.

Clearway Energy Risk Analysis

Clearway Energy disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearway Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearway Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.46B40.294.70%5.50%-1.34%21.62%
RNRNW
65
Neutral
$2.71B50.004.18%-1.77%-41.65%
ORORA
65
Neutral
$5.37B42.895.21%0.54%1.95%-6.57%
62
Neutral
£5.95B6.666.40%5.69%-1.30%-60.09%
60
Neutral
$6.04B32.67-4.65%4.47%1.01%-110.78%
EEEE
60
Neutral
$3.11B23.217.58%0.88%-15.82%36.15%
SMSMR
42
Neutral
$10.24B-32.34%62.41%-85.81%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWEN
Clearway Energy
31.87
8.52
36.49%
ORA
Ormat Techno
87.85
15.36
21.19%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
32.83
4.13
14.39%
SMR
NuScale Power
37.48
21.67
137.07%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.46
1.66
28.62%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
27.09
7.85
40.80%

Clearway Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Clearway Energy Appoints Paige Goodwin to Board
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Clearway Energy, Inc. announced the resignation of Emmanuel Barrois from its board of directors, effective July 1, 2025. His departure was not due to any disagreement with the company. Subsequently, on July 7, 2025, the board appointed Paige Goodwin, who is currently serving as VP – U.S. Renewables Portfolio for TotalEnergies, to replace him. Ms. Goodwin brings extensive experience in business and legal leadership roles, and her appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s governance and risk management capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CWEN) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clearway Energy stock, see the CWEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025