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Clearway Energy (CWEN)
NYSE:CWEN
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Clearway Energy (CWEN) AI Stock Analysis

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CWEN

Clearway Energy

(NYSE:CWEN)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(2.20% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash-flow strength but constrained by weak recent profitability and high leverage. The latest earnings call adds support via reaffirmed CAFD guidance, increased capital deployment plans, and strong project economics, while technical indicators remain a near-term headwind. Valuation is mixed: a strong dividend yield is offset by a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation / CAFD
Sustained, large operating cash flow and rapid FCF growth provide durable internal funding for dividends, repowering, and accretive M&A. Predictable contracted revenues and strong CAFD underpin the company’s ability to execute multi‑year deployment plans and cover payout targets even if earnings stay volatile.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A debt‑heavy balance sheet raises refinancing and interest‑rate sensitivity for a capital‑intensive renewables owner. Elevated leverage constrains financial flexibility, increases funding costs for future drop‑downs or data‑center investments, and makes returns more sensitive to cash‑flow volatility over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation / CAFD
Sustained, large operating cash flow and rapid FCF growth provide durable internal funding for dividends, repowering, and accretive M&A. Predictable contracted revenues and strong CAFD underpin the company’s ability to execute multi‑year deployment plans and cover payout targets even if earnings stay volatile.
Read all positive factors

Clearway Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Analyzes the components contributing to net income, providing insight into profitability and how different factors like costs, taxes, and interest impact the bottom line.
Chart InsightsRenewables dominate volatility—with consistent strong mid‑year cash contributions and recurring large year‑end negatives, signaling seasonal generation plus mark‑to‑market/PPA timing swings rather than stable operating EBITDA; Thermal drops to zero after 2022, indicating asset sales or reclassification, shifting earnings mix toward Renewables and Conventional. A massive corporate one‑off in 2022 Q2 skews totals. The recent 2025 Q3 rebound across Renewables and Conventional aligns with management’s tightened CAFD guidance and M&A-led growth plan, but persistent quarter-to-quarter swings and planned equity issuance are dilution and predictability risks for yield‑focused investors.
Data provided by:The Fly

Clearway Energy (CWEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clearway Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Clearway Energy, Inc. operates in the renewable energy business in the United States. It has approximately 5,000 net megawatts (MW) of installed wind and solar generation projects; and approximately 2,500 net MW of natural gas generation facilitie...
How the Company Makes Money
Clearway Energy makes money primarily by owning power generation assets and selling the electricity they produce under long-term contracts. The core revenue stream is contracted energy sales: its wind and solar facilities generate electricity that...

Clearway Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong execution, increased visibility to incremental growth opportunities, and upgraded near-term capital deployment (including a 20% increase in corporate cash deployment through 2029). Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance, reported solid operational performance in solar/battery and flexible generation, closed an accretive acquisition (Cardinal) with >12% CAFD yield, and secured robust financing (including a $1B tax equity facility). Primary operational headwinds were lower wind resources and availability at Alta driven by weather and a turbine enhancement program, which management expects to remedy in 2026. Overall, the positive drivers and expansion in visible growth investments materially outweigh the contained, operational weather-related headwinds.
Positive Updates
Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance and 2027 Target
Reaffirmed full-year 2026 CAFD guidance of $470M–$510M and reiterated 2027 CAFD per share target of $2.70 or better, signaling confidence in near-term financial objectives.
Negative Updates
Wind Resource Shortfall in Q1
Wind generation was below budget in certain regions due to adverse meteorological conditions during the first four months of the year (below‑average wind resource across the Western U.S.), with the most meaningful impact at the Alta wind assets.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance and 2027 Target
Reaffirmed full-year 2026 CAFD guidance of $470M–$510M and reiterated 2027 CAFD per share target of $2.70 or better, signaling confidence in near-term financial objectives.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Clearway reaffirmed full‑year 2026 CAFD guidance of $470–$510 million (assuming P50 resource), reported Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $257 million and Q1 CAFD of $70 million, and reiterated a 2027 CAFD per‑share target of $2.70+ and a 2030 CAFD per‑share target range of $2.90–$3.10 (now aiming for the top end or better) with plans to set a 2031 target later this year targeting the high end of 5%–8%+ annual growth from the 2030 midpoint. Management now expects to deploy $3.0 billion of corporate capital over 2026–2029 (≈20% more than prior outlook) and at least $1.0 billion in 2030; the repowering program is expected to deploy ~$600 million at 11%–12% CAFD yields, the Cardinal acquisition is expected to yield in excess of 12%, and future M&A targets ~10.5%+ CAFD yields. Sponsor‑enabled 2026/2027 vintages are 100% commercialized, >70% of 2028 MW are contracted/signed, the 2029 pipeline includes >4 GW (including ~2 GW solar+storage late‑stage), and the corporate funding framework targets 4.0–4.5x leverage, a payout ratio in the 70s, using retained CAFD first with roughly 45% corporate debt and ~55% equity for incremental capital above the baseline.

Clearway Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$994M; free cash flow ~$656M with ~77.8% growth) supports the business, but this is offset by sharply weaker TTM profitability (net income ~$2M; ~0.1% net margin) and a debt-heavy capital structure (TTM debt ~$9.9B vs equity ~$5.5B; ~1.8x debt-to-equity).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.43B1.37B1.31B1.19B1.29B
Gross Profit763.00M217.00M870.00M841.00M755.00M835.00M
EBITDA1.13B1.10B1.08B1.03B2.20B904.00M
Net Income2.00M169.00M88.00M79.00M582.00M51.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.93B16.66B14.33B14.70B12.31B12.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.00M818.00M332.00M535.00M657.00M179.00M
Total Debt9.94B10.20B7.75B8.66B7.36B8.27B
Total Liabilities11.36B10.74B8.77B9.71B8.28B9.51B
Stockholders Equity5.50B1.92B2.06B2.10B2.23B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow586.00M369.00M483.00M408.00M675.00M550.00M
Operating Cash Flow994.00M688.00M770.00M702.00M787.00M701.00M
Investing Cash Flow-805.00M321.00M-725.00M-523.00M1.13B88.00M
Financing Cash Flow-220.00M-924.00M-363.00M-124.00M-1.57B-600.00M

Clearway Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.14
Price Trends
50DMA
39.07
Positive
100DMA
37.92
Positive
200DMA
34.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
61.44
Neutral
STOCH
92.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.46, above the 50-day MA of 39.07, and above the 200-day MA of 34.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CWEN.

Clearway Energy Risk Analysis

Clearway Energy disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearway Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearway Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$8.30B2,417.490.05%5.29%2.59%-92.25%
61
Neutral
$8.58B65.775.04%0.42%31.45%1.12%
59
Neutral
$3.92B26.525.92%0.99%39.34%-19.07%
57
Neutral
$2.25B20.938.54%30.87%121.64%
51
Neutral
$4.41B-5.17-40.01%-61.93%-66.79%
48
Neutral
$7.06B-1.36494.50%3.84%-6.14%-1632.62%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWEN
Clearway Energy
40.63
11.48
39.36%
ORA
Ormat Techno
137.68
63.68
86.05%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
39.86
11.31
39.61%
SMR
NuScale Power
12.19
-19.80
-61.89%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
6.24
-0.57
-8.37%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
33.18
5.35
19.23%

Clearway Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Clearway Energy Simplifies Capital Structure With Share Conversion
Neutral
May 1, 2026
At its April 29, 2026 annual meeting, Clearway Energy stockholders approved an amendment and restatement of the company’s certificate of incorporation to convert each share of Class A common stock into one share of Class C common stock, effe...
Business Operations and Strategy
Clearway Energy Updates Exchange Agreement and Equity Structure
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Clearway Energy, Inc., Clearway Energy LLC and Clearway Energy Group LLC amended and restated their existing exchange agreement, updating the mechanics governing how Clearway Energy Group and related unitholders can convert their...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Clearway Energy Proposes Charter Change to Unify Share Classes
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Clearway Energy, Inc. announced that its board approved a proposal to amend the company’s charter to convert each share of Class A common stock into one share of Class C common stock, subject to shareholder approval at the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026