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Clearway Energy Inc (CWEN)
NYSE:CWEN

Clearway Energy (CWEN) AI Stock Analysis

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CWEN

Clearway Energy

(NYSE:CWEN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(5.61% Upside)
CWEN scores highest on valuation and forward outlook (attractive yield and moderate P/E; tightened CAFD guidance and clear long-term CAFD/share growth targets). The overall score is held back by mixed financial performance (revenue and free-cash-flow decline, low ROE) and a neutral-to-weak technical picture (negative MACD, below the 50-day average), with additional pressure from the reported internal-control material weakness.
Positive Factors
High operational margins
Sustained high gross and EBITDA margins indicate durable operational efficiency across Clearway's wind, solar and thermal assets. Strong margins support internal cash generation, fund reinvestment and acquisitions, and provide resilience to variability in power prices over multiple years.
Improving leverage profile
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio enhances financial flexibility and lowers refinancing risk for long‑dated projects. Improved leverage supports the company's ability to finance growth, pursue acquisitions and repowering while preserving capacity to withstand interest and capital market cycles.
Sizeable development pipeline and explicit CAFD targets
A multi‑GW late‑stage pipeline combined with a clear 2030 CAFD/share target provides a tangible growth runway. Explicit medium‑term CAFD goals, backed by acquisitions and repowering, create visibility into future cash available for distribution and strategic capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Weak revenue and free cash flow trends
Declining revenue and sharply negative FCF growth constrain the company’s ability to self‑fund development and dividends over the medium term. Low ROE signals limited profit generation on equity, increasing reliance on external financing for sustaining growth initiatives.
Material internal control weakness
A reported material weakness in HLBV calculations raises governance and reporting risk, potentially undermining investor confidence and increasing remediation costs. Prolonged control issues could delay financings, tax equity allocations and deal closings that underpin long‑term growth.
Dependence on equity issuance and delayed PPA growth
Reliance on modest equity issuance increases dilution risk and cost of capital for multi‑year buildouts. Limited near‑term PPA extensions push meaningful contracted revenue growth beyond 2030, raising execution and market exposure risks for the company’s intermediate cash flow profile.

Clearway Energy (CWEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clearway Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClearway Energy, Inc. operates in the renewable energy business in the United States. It has approximately 5,000 net megawatts (MW) of installed wind and solar generation projects; and approximately 2,500 net MW of natural gas generation facilities. The company was formerly known as NRG Yield, Inc. and changed its name to Clearway Energy, Inc. in August 2018. Clearway Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Princeton, New Jersey. Clearway Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Clearway Energy Group LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyClearway Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity generated from its renewable energy assets, which are typically contracted under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs). These agreements provide a stable and predictable revenue stream by securing customers for the electricity produced, often at fixed prices. Additionally, Clearway benefits from the sale of renewable energy certificates (RECs) and tax equity financing, which provides financial incentives for investments in renewable energy projects. The company also engages in partnerships with other energy firms and utilities to expand its operational footprint and enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Clearway Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Analyzes the components contributing to net income, providing insight into profitability and how different factors like costs, taxes, and interest impact the bottom line.
Chart InsightsClearway Energy's net income from renewables shows volatility, with recent gains offset by operational challenges, particularly in wind resources. The conventional segment's profitability has declined, while thermal remains stagnant. Despite these fluctuations, the company is optimistic, raising its 2025 CAFD guidance and targeting significant growth by 2027 through strategic acquisitions and a robust battery storage pipeline. However, investors should be cautious of ongoing operational challenges and the impact of lower wind resources on future performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Clearway Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Clearway Energy's earnings call indicated strong performance and growth prospects with strategic expansions and clear financial targets, although the reliance on equity issuance and long-term PPA extensions presents some challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Performance
Clearway Energy, Inc. narrowed its financial guidance to the top half of the originally set range for 2025 following a strong third quarter performance.
2030 CAFD Per Share Target Established
Clearway set a CAFD per share goal of $2.90 to $3.10 for 2030, translating to a 7% to 8% growth CAGR from the 2025 guidance midpoint.
Expansion in Development Pipeline
Clearway Group has grown its late-stage pipeline by 4x since 2017, with a total project volume of over 6.5 gigawatts planned for 2028 and 2029.
Solid Financial Position
Year-to-date, Clearway generated $980 million of adjusted EBITDA and $395 million of CAFD, with expectations to meet top end of guidance.
Successful M&A Activity
Clearway completed three transactions at CAFD yields above 12%, including the Deriva Solar portfolio acquisition.
Negative Updates
Limited PPA Extensions
While PPA extensions are occurring, they are primarily expected to contribute to growth beyond 2030 rather than in the immediate term.
Equity Issuance for Growth
Clearway plans to issue moderate amounts of equity to fund growth, which may dilute existing shareholders if not managed carefully.
Company Guidance
During Clearway Energy, Inc.'s third quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided updated financial guidance, narrowing their 2025 cash available for distribution (CAFD) to $420 million to $440 million following a strong quarter. Looking ahead, Clearway set a 2030 CAFD per share target of $2.90 to $3.10, reflecting a 7% to 8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from the 2025 midpoint. This growth is supported by multiple acquisitions, repowering projects, and sponsor-developed drop-downs. The company also expects to leverage retained cash flow, debt, and modest equity issuances to fund future growth, aiming for a long-term payout ratio of less than 70%. Additionally, Clearway's development pipeline includes over 6.5 gigawatts of projects planned for 2028 and 2029, with an expected CAFD yield of 10.5% or better, positioning the company for sustained growth into the 2030s.

Clearway Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Clearway Energy demonstrates a mixed financial performance with strong profitability margins and improved leverage management. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and free cash flow, which need addressing to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Clearway Energy's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at 50.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 20.1% from the previous year's 6.4%, suggesting improved profitability. Revenue growth is negative at -3.98%, indicating a decline in sales, which is a concern. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 15.6% and 73.1%, respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a stable yet leveraged financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.61 from a high of 4.51 in previous years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 2.0%, showing less effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 35.6%, suggesting a balanced asset financing structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -21.7%, indicating a decline in available cash for reinvestment. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.02, showing adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 62.6%, suggesting a reasonable conversion of net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.38B1.37B1.31B1.19B1.29B1.20B
Gross Profit871.00M870.00M841.00M755.00M835.00M833.00M
EBITDA1.05B1.08B1.03B2.20B904.00M879.00M
Net Income276.00M88.00M79.00M582.00M51.00M25.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.07B14.33B14.70B12.31B12.81B10.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments251.00M332.00M535.00M657.00M179.00M268.00M
Total Debt9.22B7.75B8.66B7.36B8.27B7.31B
Total Liabilities10.28B8.77B9.71B8.28B9.51B7.88B
Stockholders Equity5.71B2.06B2.10B2.23B1.83B1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow440.00M483.00M408.00M675.00M550.00M421.00M
Operating Cash Flow703.00M770.00M702.00M787.00M701.00M545.00M
Investing Cash Flow-790.00M-725.00M-523.00M1.13B88.00M-62.00M
Financing Cash Flow54.00M-363.00M-124.00M-1.57B-600.00M-435.00M

Clearway Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.14
Price Trends
50DMA
33.94
Positive
100DMA
31.78
Positive
200DMA
30.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
64.41
Neutral
STOCH
63.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.14, below the 50-day MA of 33.94, and above the 200-day MA of 30.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CWEN.

Clearway Energy Risk Analysis

Clearway Energy disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearway Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearway Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.69B28.556.96%0.99%45.09%50.54%
71
Outperform
$7.28B54.705.45%0.42%6.07%12.07%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$6.68B14.1713.20%5.29%2.54%124.89%
61
Neutral
$1.97B18.897.64%42.09%219.69%
52
Neutral
$6.00B-6.61-76.85%765.67%-202.81%
51
Neutral
$6.96B-5.80-38.17%3.84%5.93%-39.88%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWEN
Clearway Energy
35.38
10.40
41.63%
ORA
Ormat Techno
115.91
48.61
72.23%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
38.79
13.93
56.03%
SMR
NuScale Power
18.90
-1.38
-6.80%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
5.40
-1.33
-19.76%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
32.87
1.18
3.72%

Clearway Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Clearway Energy completes $600 million senior notes offering
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Clearway Energy Operating LLC, a subsidiary of Clearway Energy, Inc., completed a private offering of $600 million in 5.750% senior unsecured notes due 2034, sold to institutional investors under Rule 144A and Regulation S in a transaction exempt from U.S. registration requirements. The notes, governed by an indenture with CSC Delaware Trust Company as trustee, carry semiannual interest payments beginning July 15, 2026, feature a series of optional redemption provisions before and after January 15, 2029, and impose customary covenants restricting liens, major asset transfers, and certain corporate actions, with standard events of default that allow acceleration if payment failures, covenant breaches, cross‑defaults, or insolvency events occur, shaping the company’s capital structure and creditor protections going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (CWEN) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clearway Energy stock, see the CWEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Clearway Energy Upsizes Senior Notes Offering for Growth
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Clearway Energy Operating LLC, a subsidiary of Clearway Energy, Inc., announced a proposed offering of senior unsecured notes due 2034, initially targeted at $500 million and subsequently upsized the same day to $600 million after pricing. The company plans to allocate an amount equal to the net proceeds to repay borrowings under its revolving credit facility, finance or refinance certain indebtedness, and support the acquisition of renewable energy generation and storage assets, moves that are expected to strengthen its balance sheet while further expanding its clean energy portfolio and reinforcing its position in the U.S. renewable power market.

The most recent analyst rating on (CWEN) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clearway Energy stock, see the CWEN Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Clearway Energy Reports Control Weakness in HLBV Calculations
Negative
Jan 7, 2026

In a filing covering its quarterly periods ended March 31, June 30 and September 30, 2025, Clearway Energy, Inc. and Clearway Energy LLC disclosed that they had identified and corrected immaterial errors in the hypothetical liquidation at book value (HLBV) calculations used to allocate net income and loss to redeemable noncontrolling interests and noncontrolling interests in tax equity partnerships. The company concluded under SEC guidance that these errors were not material to any prior reporting period and therefore did not require restatement of previously issued financial statements, and the adjustments did not affect reported net income or cash flow from operations, though prior-period figures will be revised when presented in future filings. Management also reported that in the fourth quarter of 2025 it had identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting related to the review of these HLBV calculations, and while Clearway has begun remediation efforts and plans process changes to strengthen controls, it acknowledged that the weakness will remain until the new controls are fully tested and may require additional measures, underscoring ongoing governance and reporting risk for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CWEN) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clearway Energy stock, see the CWEN Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Clearway Energy Acquires Interests in Battery Storage
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Clearway Energy‘s subsidiary, RS2-Spindle Purchaser LLC, entered into a Membership Interest Purchase Agreement to acquire interests in RS2-Spindle TargetCo LLC. This acquisition will make Clearway the indirect owner of Spindle Battery LLC and Golden Fields Solar VI, LLC, which are developing significant battery energy storage systems in Colorado and California, respectively. The transaction, valued at approximately $92.9 million, is expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to customary conditions and third-party actions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CWEN) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clearway Energy stock, see the CWEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026