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Clearway Energy Inc (CWEN)
NYSE:CWEN
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Clearway Energy (CWEN) AI Stock Analysis

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CWEN

Clearway Energy

(NYSE:CWEN)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(7.64% Upside)
Clearway Energy's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call that highlights robust growth strategies and increased guidance. However, financial performance is hindered by declining profit margins and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate the stock may be overvalued. The strong dividend yield provides some support to the valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Cash available for distribution was significantly higher than consensus estimates.
Guidance
There is a strong likelihood that CWEN might raise its 2025 guidance or deliver CAFD toward the high-end, which is seen as very bullish.
Performance
CWEN is one of the best performing stocks in the clean energy sector, showing resilience despite a high-uncertainty environment.
Negative Factors
Financial Results
Adjusted EBITDA was below both consensus and Morgan Stanley estimates.
Legislation Uncertainty
Uncertainty over potential revisions to the Inflation Reduction Act continues to be an overhang to correcting valuation.

Clearway Energy (CWEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clearway Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) is a publicly traded energy infrastructure company that focuses on renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure solutions. The company operates primarily in the renewable energy sector, with significant investments in solar and wind power generation assets across the United States. Clearway Energy provides clean energy solutions through its portfolio of operational facilities, making it a key player in the transition to a low-carbon economy.
How the Company Makes MoneyClearway Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its renewable energy assets, which include wind and solar facilities. The company has long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with various utilities and corporate customers, ensuring a steady stream of income. Additionally, Clearway benefits from renewable energy tax incentives and credits, which enhance its financial performance. The company may also engage in partnerships and joint ventures to expand its portfolio and operational capabilities, thereby increasing its revenue potential. Overall, the combination of stable contracts, government incentives, and a growing demand for clean energy drives Clearway Energy's earnings.

Clearway Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Analyzes the components contributing to net income, providing insight into profitability and how different factors like costs, taxes, and interest impact the bottom line.
Chart InsightsClearway Energy's net income from renewables shows volatility, with recent gains offset by operational challenges, particularly in wind resources. The conventional segment's profitability has declined, while thermal remains stagnant. Despite these fluctuations, the company is optimistic, raising its 2025 CAFD guidance and targeting significant growth by 2027 through strategic acquisitions and a robust battery storage pipeline. However, investors should be cautious of ongoing operational challenges and the impact of lower wind resources on future performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Clearway Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook, with Clearway Energy updating its CAFD guidance and achieving significant milestones in growth pathways, despite some challenges related to wind resources and maintenance. The long-term growth strategy appears robust, with increased targets and strategic investments in place.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Updated 2025 CAFD Guidance
Clearway Energy has updated its 2025 CAFD guidance range to $405 million to $440 million, raising the bottom end due to contributions from recently closed project acquisitions.
Strong Growth Pathways
Clearway Energy is advancing growth through fleet optimization, sponsor-enabled growth, and third-party M&A transactions, with significant investments lined up through 2027.
Successful Project Completions
The company closed the previously disclosed Catalina Solar project and demonstrated effective financial execution on the Tuolumne Wind project.
Increase in 2027 CAFD Per Share Target
Clearway Energy increased its 2027 CAFD per share target range to $2.50 to $2.70, up from the previous target range.
Battery Storage Portfolio Investment
Received an offer to invest in a 291-megawatt battery storage portfolio, aligning with underwriting criteria.
Negative Updates
Lower-than-Expected Wind Resources
The second quarter results were affected by lower-than-anticipated wind resources in certain regions.
Maintenance Challenges
Low availability for certain facilities due to maintenance optimization prior to near-term repowering impacted results.
Regulatory and Policy Risks
Potential changes to tax credit qualifications and regulatory developments could impact future growth and investment plans.
Company Guidance
During the Clearway Energy, Inc. second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance and strategic insights. The 2025 CAFD guidance range was increased to $405 million to $440 million, reflecting contributions from recent project acquisitions, with a focus on achieving the higher end of this range. Clearway raised its 2027 CAFD per share target to $2.50 to $2.70, driven by successful project execution and M&A activity. The company also reaffirmed its long-term objective of 5% to 8% CAFD per share growth, with a payout ratio target at the lower end of 70% to 80%. Clearway highlighted its robust pipeline of renewable projects with tax credit qualifications extending through 2029, emphasizing its leading battery storage pipeline, which represents over 40% of its development capacity. The strategic plan includes optimizing existing assets, pursuing dropdowns from sponsors, and acquiring complementary third-party projects, with capital allocation aligned to support consistent long-term growth.

Clearway Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Clearway Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, with a solid gross profit margin. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a risk, reflecting reliance on debt financing. Overall, the financial performance is positive but tempered by leverage concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Clearway Energy's income statement reflects a strong performance in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a notable increase in total revenue and net income compared to previous years. The gross profit margin is solid, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low due to high operational costs. Revenue growth has been consistent, showing a positive trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, highlighting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reliance on debt financing. However, the company's return on equity is improving, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, providing some cushion against financial volatility. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a mix of strengths in equity utilization and risks associated with high leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Clearway Energy has demonstrated robust cash flow management with substantial operating cash flow and consistent free cash flow generation. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash conversion from earnings. The company's ability to generate cash flow efficiently supports its financial flexibility and operational stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.43B1.37B1.31B1.19B1.29B1.20B
Gross Profit757.00M870.00M841.00M755.00M835.00M833.00M
EBITDA1.06B1.08B1.03B2.31B958.00M835.00M
Net Income76.00M88.00M79.00M1.06B-75.00M-62.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.03B14.33B14.70B12.31B12.81B10.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments260.00M332.00M575.00M657.00M179.00M268.00M
Total Debt9.35B7.75B8.66B7.36B8.27B7.31B
Total Liabilities10.45B8.77B9.71B8.28B9.51B7.88B
Stockholders Equity1.85B2.06B2.10B2.23B1.83B1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow562.00M483.00M408.00M675.00M550.00M421.00M
Operating Cash Flow779.00M770.00M702.00M787.00M701.00M545.00M
Investing Cash Flow-476.00M-725.00M-523.00M1.06B-865.00M-62.00M
Financing Cash Flow-87.00M-363.00M-124.00M-1.51B367.00M-435.00M

Clearway Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.73
Price Trends
50DMA
31.50
Negative
100DMA
30.27
Negative
200DMA
28.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
44.00
Neutral
STOCH
62.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWEN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.64, below the 50-day MA of 31.50, and above the 200-day MA of 28.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CWEN.

Clearway Energy Risk Analysis

Clearway Energy disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearway Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearway Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.63B43.005.40%0.52%2.23%-0.82%
67
Neutral
$2.81B25.608.27%33.19%486.74%
67
Neutral
$17.69B18.145.29%3.53%7.33%12.21%
67
Neutral
$2.69B22.246.19%1.10%9.86%22.04%
63
Neutral
$6.07B47.103.80%5.69%-0.27%-16.25%
51
Neutral
$6.03B32.67-63.28%4.35%12.46%-388.89%
42
Neutral
$9.30B-29.93%305.08%-17.22%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWEN
Clearway Energy
30.09
2.53
9.18%
ORA
Ormat Techno
94.85
20.61
27.76%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
34.22
6.94
25.44%
SMR
NuScale Power
35.04
26.84
327.32%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.79
2.10
36.91%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
24.51
4.62
23.23%

Clearway Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Clearway Energy Launches $100 Million ATM Equity Offering
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Clearway Energy, Inc. announced the initiation of a $100 million At-The-Market (ATM) equity offering program, entering into an Equity Distribution Agreement with several major financial institutions. The company plans to use the proceeds from this program for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions, and investments, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and market positioning.

Executive/Board Changes
Clearway Energy Appoints Paige Goodwin to Board
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Clearway Energy, Inc. announced the resignation of Emmanuel Barrois from its board of directors, effective July 1, 2025. His departure was not due to any disagreement with the company. Subsequently, on July 7, 2025, the board appointed Paige Goodwin, who is currently serving as VP – U.S. Renewables Portfolio for TotalEnergies, to replace him. Ms. Goodwin brings extensive experience in business and legal leadership roles, and her appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s governance and risk management capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025