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Clearway Energy (CWEN)
NYSE:CWEN
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Clearway Energy (CWEN) AI Stock Analysis

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CWEN

Clearway Energy

(NYSE:CWEN)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(2.84% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is primarily held back by balance-sheet leverage risk and weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by strong TTM cash generation and a supportive long-term CAFD/share growth narrative from management, while valuation is mixed—high dividend yield but an extremely elevated P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Clearway's TTM operating cash flow and materially higher free cash flow provide durable internal funding to cover obligations, support dividends and fund a portion of growth. Robust FCF helps absorb volatility and reduces sole reliance on external financing over the 2–6 month horizon.
Negative Factors
High leverage and debt load
A large absolute debt burden elevates refinancing, interest-rate and covenant risk and constrains capital allocation. Even with improving equity, historically high leverage reduces financial flexibility and amplifies downside risk if cash flows weaken or capital markets tighten over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Clearway's TTM operating cash flow and materially higher free cash flow provide durable internal funding to cover obligations, support dividends and fund a portion of growth. Robust FCF helps absorb volatility and reduces sole reliance on external financing over the 2–6 month horizon.
Read all positive factors

Clearway Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Analyzes the components contributing to net income, providing insight into profitability and how different factors like costs, taxes, and interest impact the bottom line.
Chart InsightsClearway’s net income is dominated by large, seasonal and accounting-driven swings in Renewables (strong summer gains, deep Q4/Q1 losses) while Corporate contains episodic one‑offs (a massive mid‑2022 gain and a large late‑2025 charge) that distort the trend. Conventional is the steadier cash engine but has softened recently; Thermal has effectively gone to zero. Management’s call underscores improving CAFD and a well‑commercialized growth pipeline, so focus on CAFD/project commercialization rather than noisy GAAP net income—while acknowledging resource timing and permitting remain execution risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Clearway Energy (CWEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clearway Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) operates as an energy company primarily focused on renewable power generation across the United States. Its diverse portfolio includes approximately 5,000 net megawatts (MW) of installed wind and solar projects, alongs...
How the Company Makes Money
Clearway Energy primarily makes money by generating and selling electricity from its operating renewable (wind and solar) and other power-generation assets. The core of its revenue model is contracted cash flows: many of its facilities sell power ...

Clearway Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents strong long-term conviction driven by a sizable and increasingly commercialized development pipeline, clear multi-year capital plans, accretive contracting actions, and a path to deliver top-end 2030 targets. Near-term results were impacted by weather-driven resource shortfalls that prompted a downward revision to 2026 CAFD guidance and introduced near-term sensitivity. Management emphasizes that the underlying fleet earnings power remains intact and that most growth investments are derisked and ready to be funded from a mix of retained cash flow, debt and modest equity issuance. Overall, the positive long-term visibility and multiple accretive actions outweigh the transitory operational headwinds.
Positive Updates
Q2 Financial Results
Adjusted EBITDA of $409 million and CAFD of $167 million for Q2 2026; year-to-date adjusted EBITDA $666 million and YTD CAFD $237 million.
Negative Updates
2026 CAFD Guidance Revision
2026 full-year CAFD guidance revised down to $430 million–$470 million from prior $470 million–$510 million. The midpoint fell from $490 million to $450 million (a $40 million reduction, ~8.2% decline at the midpoint). Management cites resource-driven impacts as the cause.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Q2 Financial Results
Adjusted EBITDA of $409 million and CAFD of $167 million for Q2 2026; year-to-date adjusted EBITDA $666 million and YTD CAFD $237 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Clearway revised its 2026 CAFD guidance down to $430M–$470M (from $470M–$510M) due to lower H1 renewable resource tied to ENSO; Q2 reported adjusted EBITDA $409M and CAFD $167M (YTD adjusted EBITDA $666M, YTD CAFD $237M). Management reaffirmed a 2027 CAFD/share target of $2.70+ and is targeting the top end or better of a 2030 CAFD/share goal (cited as ~$3.10), with conviction in delivering 7%–8%+ CAGR in CAFD/share from 2025–2030 and a long-term objective of 5%–8%+. To fund growth, Clearway expects to deploy ~$3.0B of corporate capital from 2026–2029 (with >$2.0B already identified for 2027–2029 and ~70% of needed investment commercialized), including a ~2 GW 2029 solar+storage cohort representing ~$650M of potential corporate capital, plus a ~$600M “powering” program targeted at 11%–12% CAFD yields. Funding assumptions include >$500M of retained cash flow over 2026–2029, >$1.5B of corporate debt expected in that period ($600M already raised), $0.5B–$1.0B of external equity expected ($50M raised), a target corporate leverage of 4.0–4.5x (BB rating) and a long‑term payout ratio goal of <70%; Clearway also highlights additional upside from Clearway Group’s digital infrastructure pipeline (17 GW total, >6 GW in MISO South/Wyoming) with initial generating capacity expected to begin in 2029.

Clearway Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is strong (TTM operating cash flow $1.42B; free cash flow $0.93B) and revenue has steadily increased, but balance-sheet risk is a major constraint due to high debt ($9.89B) and historically elevated leverage, alongside low TTM ROE (~2%). Earnings quality is also less predictable due to margin and net income volatility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.57B1.43B1.37B1.31B1.19B1.29B
Gross Profit834.00M217.00M870.00M841.00M755.00M835.00M
EBITDA1.12B1.10B1.08B1.03B2.20B904.00M
Net Income91.00M169.00M88.00M79.00M582.00M51.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.77B16.66B14.33B14.70B12.31B12.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments251.00M818.00M332.00M535.00M657.00M179.00M
Total Debt9.89B10.20B7.75B8.66B7.36B8.27B
Total Liabilities11.18B10.74B8.77B9.71B8.28B9.51B
Stockholders Equity5.47B1.92B2.06B2.10B2.23B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow671.00M369.00M483.00M408.00M675.00M550.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.02B688.00M770.00M702.00M787.00M701.00M
Investing Cash Flow-669.00M321.00M-725.00M-523.00M1.13B88.00M
Financing Cash Flow-591.00M-924.00M-363.00M-124.00M-1.57B-600.00M

Clearway Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.09
Price Trends
50DMA
34.76
Negative
100DMA
36.76
Negative
200DMA
35.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
55.93
Neutral
STOCH
85.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.70, below the 50-day MA of 34.76, and below the 200-day MA of 35.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWEN.

Clearway Energy Risk Analysis

Clearway Energy disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearway Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearway Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$4.05B23.896.94%0.85%48.97%3.43%
58
Neutral
$6.97B54.584.96%0.48%31.13%-4.27%
57
Neutral
$2.48B22.328.54%30.87%121.64%
53
Neutral
$7.06B45.031.96%5.69%7.99%22.73%
53
Neutral
$4.12B-3.84-31.82%-80.95%-91.30%
48
Neutral
$6.38B-1.38243.54%3.84%-2.38%-301.98%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWEN
Clearway Energy
34.22
6.42
23.12%
ORA
Ormat Techno
113.52
25.55
29.04%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
35.87
4.15
13.07%
SMR
NuScale Power
9.85
-26.08
-72.59%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
6.80
-0.90
-11.69%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
35.60
11.46
47.49%

Clearway Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Clearway Energy Launches $100 Million At-The-Market Program
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
On August 6, 2026, Clearway Energy, Inc. entered into an equity distribution agreement with several major banks, allowing it to sell up to $100 million of Class C common stock through an at-the-market offering program on the New York Stock Exchang...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Clearway Energy Announces General Counsel Leadership Transition
Neutral
May 15, 2026
On May 15, 2026, Clearway Energy, Inc. announced that longtime Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary Kevin P. Malcarney will retire effective June 1, 2026, after serving as General Counsel since May 2018 and nearly two ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026