Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance and 2027 Target
Reaffirmed full-year 2026 CAFD guidance of $470M–$510M and reiterated 2027 CAFD per share target of $2.70 or better, signaling confidence in near-term financial objectives.
Upward Revision to Near-Term Capital Deployment
Expect to deploy $3.0B of corporate capital from 2026–2029 (a ~20% increase in corporate cash deployment versus prior outlook), providing greater visibility to hit the top end or better of the 2030 CAFD per share target.
Ambitious 2030 Outlook — Top End or Better
Management is now targeting the top end or better of the 2030 CAFD per share target range ($2.90–$3.10) and intends to set a 2031 target consistent with the high end of the 5%–8%+ long-term growth range.
Strong Commercialization and Development Visibility
100% commercialization on sponsor-enabled 2026–2027 vintages; contracts signed or awarded for over 70% of planned megawatts for the 2028 COD vintage; 2029 pipeline includes >4 GW of priority projects (including ~2 GW solar-plus-storage in late-stage development).
Repowering Program with Attractive Yields
Repowering program expects ~ $600M of corporate capital deployed at projected CAFD yields of ~11%–12%, extending asset lives and improving cash-flow durability.
Accretive Acquisition Closed — Cardinal
Closed Cardinal acquisition (formerly Dureva) during the quarter; management expects CAFD yields in excess of 12% and reports acquired assets performing in line with expectations.
Q1 Financial Performance and Operational Strength
Delivered Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $257M and CAFD of $70M; solar & battery fleet and flexible generation delivered strong, budget‑in‑line performance for the quarter.
Improved Capital Structure and Funding Flexibility
Share class simplification approved to one publicly traded security (expected to increase liquidity and float); stated funding approach uses retained CAFD first, corporate debt (target ~45% of incremental funding), then equity (~55%), with target leverage of 4.0–4.5x and a long-term payout ratio targeted into the 70s.
Data Center / Co-Located Digital Infrastructure Opportunity
Management increased visibility to large co‑located digital infrastructure complexes (one complex alone could represent a $1B+ capital deployment opportunity weighted to 2030+), and highlighted first-phase generation equipment purchases targeting first load as soon as 2028 for Wyoming complex.
Robust Financing Execution
Finance team reported an active financing environment and closed the largest tax equity facility in company history ($1B); management says project debt, tax equity, and tax credit transfer markets are the strongest they've seen.