Ambitious Base EPS Growth Target
Management forecasted base earnings to grow at a 20% CAGR through 2029, with base EPS rising from $6.65 (2026 base framework) to $11.40–$11.90 in 2029. They also target a minimum rolling 3-year base EPS growth of ~10% thereafter.
2026 Adjusted Operating EPS Guidance and 2025 Beat
2026 adjusted operating EPS guidance set at $11.00–$12.00 per share (consistent with $2 of accretion from Calpine). 2025 adjusted operating EPS was $9.39, marking four consecutive years of beating the guidance midpoint.
Significant Contracting and Market Optionality
Long-term contracted clean energy for 2030 increased from 12 million MWh to 48 million MWh (added 36 million MWh), representing ~25% of available clean firm output. Management states ~147 million MWh of clean firm output remains available to contract.
Balance Sheet Strength and Return of Capital
Board increased share repurchase authorization to $5.0 billion. Management expects $13.6 billion deployable over 2026–2027 (including after-tax proceeds from asset sales), earmarking $3.9 billion for growth projects (targeting ≥10% unlevered IRR), $3.4 billion to delever Calpine debt, and continuing a dividend growth target of ~10% p.a.
Credit Affirmations and Access to Capital
Moody's and S&P reaffirmed Constellation's ratings; Calpine upgraded to investment grade post-close. Constellation issued $2.75 billion of debt including a unique 40-year tranche at a 5.75% coupon and received a $1 billion DOE loan for Crane restart—signaling strong fixed-income investor and federal support.
Scale, Low Carbon Intensity and Operational Performance
Constellation now produces nearly 300 million MWh annually, with ~2/3 carbon-free. The company produces >35% more carbon-free firm power than the next largest producer and claims nuclear fleet outperformance (≈4 percentage points above industry average capacity factor) translating to ~8 million MWh of incremental generation annually.
Commercial Momentum and Product Demand
Commercial wins span hyperscalers, C&I, government and states; 300% year-over-year increase in carbon-free product placements vs. 2024. Enhanced earnings expected to represent ~40% of total EPS in 2026 (declining to ~30–35% over time as base EPS grows).
Grid Capability and Deployment Optionality
Recent and planned additions include 750 MW of batteries/renewables/geothermal placed into service last year, 400 MW of new gas coming online this year, 1,400 MW of idled turbines, 1,100 MW of uprates, potential deployment of ~9,600 MW of batteries and ~1,000 MW of demand response—providing multiple avenues to pair capacity with clean nuclear energy.