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Baozun Inc (BZUN)
NASDAQ:BZUN
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Baozun (BZUN) AI Stock Analysis

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BZUN

Baozun

(NASDAQ:BZUN)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(2.64% Upside)
Baozun's overall score reflects moderate financial performance with significant challenges in profitability and cash flow. Despite positive momentum from recent earnings, technical indicators suggest bearish trends, and valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates resilience and expanding market presence, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Technological Advancements
Investments in technology enhance market insights and decision-making, driving sustainable long-term value creation.
Brand Management Performance
Strong brand management performance, particularly with the Gap brand, indicates effective strategy and market expansion.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues highlight challenges in cost management, impacting long-term financial health and sustainability.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative free cash flow suggests liquidity constraints, which could limit operational flexibility and growth investments.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure margins and profitability, challenging the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

Baozun (BZUN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Baozun Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBaozun Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides e-commerce solutions to brand partners in the People's Republic of China. The company offers IT infrastructure setup and integration, online store design and setup, online store operations, visual merchandising and marketing campaigns, customer services, and warehousing and order fulfilment. It serves brand partners in various categories, including apparel and accessories; appliances; electronics; home and furnishings; food and health products; beauty and cosmetics; fast moving consumer goods, and mother and baby products; and automobiles. The company was formerly known as Baozun Cayman Inc. and changed its name to Baozun Inc. in March 2015. Baozun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyBaozun generates revenue through a multi-faceted revenue model that includes service fees and commission-based earnings. The primary revenue streams consist of providing end-to-end e-commerce solutions to brands, which involve setup fees for online stores, transaction-based commissions on sales made through these stores, and ongoing service fees for digital marketing and operational support. Additionally, Baozun earns income from logistics services and value-added services such as data analytics and customer engagement solutions. Significant partnerships with major brands and platforms, including Alibaba and Tencent, bolster its market position and contribute to its earnings by expanding its client base and enhancing service offerings.

Baozun Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a solid quarter with notable revenue growth and profitability improvements in both e-commerce and brand management segments. However, there were challenges with one-off write-offs and increased operating expenses impacting the overall financial performance. Despite these challenges, the company's positive momentum in brand management and technological advancements indicate a robust strategy for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Revenue Growth
Baozun's total revenue grew by 7% year-over-year, demonstrating resilience and profitability expansion.
Significant Improvement in Adjusted Operating Income
Adjusted operating income expanded to CNY 59 million, up from CNY 10 million in the same period last year.
Strong Performance in Brand Management
BBM revenue grew by 35% year-over-year, driven by strong performance of the Gap brand and new store openings.
Profitability Expansion in E-commerce Segment
BEC adjusted operating profits rose 56% year-over-year to CNY 94 million, marking the highest second quarter level since the pandemic.
Technological Advancements
Significant strides in technology empowerment, enhancing market and consumer demand insights to optimize decision-making.
Negative Updates
One-off Write-offs
A write-off of CNY 53 million was recorded due to unlikely recovery from a distributor in the health care and cosmetic industry.
Increased Sales and Marketing Expenses
Sales and marketing expenses increased by 11% to CNY 938 million, due to higher spending during the 618 e-commerce campaign.
Non-GAAP Operating Loss in BBM
BBM reported a non-GAAP operating loss of CNY 35 million, although this was an improvement of 30% compared to the same period last year.
Company Guidance
During Baozun's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, key metrics highlighted include a 7% increase in total revenue, with adjusted operating income reaching CNY 59 million, a significant rise from CNY 10 million in the same period last year. BEC's revenue grew by 3%, with adjusted operating profits increasing by 56% year-over-year to CNY 94 million, marking the highest second quarter level in four years. BBM's revenue surged by 35% year-over-year, up from 23% in the previous quarter, driven by initiatives in merchandising, channel expansion, and marketing, notably for the Gap brand. The blended gross margin for product sales at the group level expanded by 310 basis points to 28.4%, while gross profit rose by 28.1% to CNY 283 million. Additionally, Baozun's cash and cash equivalents totaled CNY 2.7 billion as of June 30, 2025. The company has focused on leveraging technology for deeper market insights, enhancing inventory efficiency, and optimizing decision-making to drive sustainable long-term value creation.

Baozun Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Baozun is experiencing revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet shows stable leverage, but negative returns and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic adjustments.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Baozun's revenue has shown moderate growth over the years, with a 6.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has been struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins in recent years. The gross profit margin remains healthy at around 47.6% for 2024, but the persistent negative net profit margin highlights ongoing challenges in managing costs and achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a stable equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 in 2024, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased slightly, reflecting a potential risk in asset financing. The return on equity remains negative due to net losses, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Baozun's cash flow situation is mixed. The operating cash flow has decreased significantly from 2023 to 2024, and free cash flow has turned negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.67B9.42B8.81B8.40B9.40B8.85B
Gross Profit4.65B4.49B3.90B3.42B3.46B3.27B
EBITDA-11.86M190.85M75.95M-326.85M109.78M669.29M
Net Income-184.98M-185.20M-278.42M-653.29M-219.83M425.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.62B10.21B10.47B10.12B12.32B10.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.56B2.56B2.87B3.04B4.61B5.03B
Total Debt2.37B2.52B2.75B2.41B3.98B2.80B
Total Liabilities3.95B4.43B4.62B4.45B5.84B4.34B
Stockholders Equity3.79B3.91B4.10B4.08B4.90B6.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-106.99M283.25M175.65M-381.69M198.96M
Operating Cash Flow0.00101.28M448.25M382.61M-96.11M310.01M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-817.61M-340.37M-1.31B375.82M-616.37M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-19.74M-8.03M-1.65B749.95M2.67B

Baozun Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.41
Price Trends
50DMA
3.75
Negative
100DMA
3.24
Positive
200DMA
3.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
42.50
Neutral
STOCH
52.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZUN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.60, below the 50-day MA of 3.75, and above the 200-day MA of 3.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BZUN.

Baozun Risk Analysis

Baozun disclosed 114 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Baozun reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We may incur impairment charges for our goodwill. Q4, 2023
2.
Our plans to innovate, expand our product offerings and successfully implement our growth strategies may not be successful, and implementation of these plans may divert our operational, managerial and administrative resources, which could harm our competitive position and reduce our revenue and profitability. Q4, 2023
3.
We are subject to changing laws and regulations regarding regulatory matters, corporate governance and public disclosure that have increased both our costs and the risk of non-compliance. Q4, 2023

Baozun Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$420.11B19.9815.22%1.10%5.48%128.65%
$9.02B10.1317.79%2.62%-5.24%-12.89%
$53.86B9.7517.26%2.85%14.61%32.78%
$58.19B160.738.55%18.69%-65.55%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$7.41B59.802.38%-38.88%
$211.13M-4.73%7.91%30.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BZUN
Baozun
3.41
0.28
8.95%
VIPS
Vipshop
18.30
4.37
31.37%
JD
JD
34.36
-6.26
-15.41%
BABA
Alibaba
179.97
83.60
86.75%
ETSY
Etsy
65.21
13.77
26.77%
CPNG
Coupang
32.07
6.28
24.35%

Baozun Corporate Events

Baozun Reports September Share Capital Movements
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Baozun Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, detailing the movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for September 2025. The report highlighted that there were no significant changes in the authorized share capital, which remained at 50,000 USD, and a slight increase in the issued shares due to the exercise of share options. This update reflects Baozun’s ongoing compliance with regulatory requirements and provides transparency to its stakeholders regarding its capital structure.

Baozun Releases 2025 Interim Report Highlighting First Half Performance
Sep 18, 2025

Baozun Inc. has released its interim report for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, as required by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. This report, dated September 18, 2025, provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction during the reporting period from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025. The release of this report is expected to impact stakeholders by providing transparency and updates on Baozun’s operational progress and market positioning.

Baozun Reports August 2025 Share Movements
Sep 3, 2025

Baozun Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited on September 3, 2025, detailing movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for August 2025. The report highlighted a decrease in issued shares, with 2,340,033 fewer shares at the end of August compared to the previous month. This movement in shares could impact the company’s market positioning and shareholder value.

Baozun Inc. Announces Share Issuance and Repurchase on August 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Baozun Inc. announced changes in its issued shares, including the issuance of new shares under its share incentive plans and the repurchase and cancellation of shares. These changes reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity structure and incentivize key personnel. The repurchase of over 2.5 million shares, which were cancelled, indicates a strategic move to consolidate shares and potentially enhance shareholder value. This announcement is likely to impact Baozun’s market positioning by optimizing its capital structure and aligning with its strategic goals.

Baozun Reports Stable Share Capital for July 2025
Aug 5, 2025

Baozun Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited on August 4, 2025, detailing the movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for July 2025. The report indicates that there were no changes in the number of authorized or issued shares during the month. This submission is part of Baozun’s regulatory compliance and transparency efforts, reflecting its stable share capital structure, which may reassure investors and stakeholders about the company’s financial stability and governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025