Baozun (BZUN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $170.45M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 198.98K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.66
• Revenue Growth: 7.91%
• EPS Growth: 30.18%
• Country: US
• Employees: 7,650
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Specialty Retail
• EPS (TTM): -0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 57,845,684
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 170,796
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 198,982
• PEG Ratio: 0.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.30
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.13
• P/FCF Ratio: -11.10
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.11
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.04
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.08
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.34
• 1Y Price Target: $3.52
• Price Target Upside: 23.94% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: $3.50 ▲(23.24% Upside)

Baozun's overall stock score reflects moderate financial performance with significant challenges in profitability and cash flow. Despite strong revenue growth and strategic advancements highlighted in the earnings call, technical indicators show bearish momentum, and valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates resilience and expanding market presence, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Technological Advancements

Investments in technology enhance market insights and decision-making, driving sustainable long-term value creation.

Brand Management Performance

Strong brand management performance, particularly with the Gap brand, indicates effective strategy and market expansion.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Ongoing profitability issues highlight challenges in cost management, impacting long-term financial health and sustainability.

Cash Flow Issues

Negative free cash flow suggests liquidity constraints, which could limit operational flexibility and growth investments.

Increased Operating Expenses

Rising operating expenses can pressure margins and profitability, challenging the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

Baozun Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Baozun Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides e-commerce solutions to brand partners in the People's Republic of China. The company offers IT infrastructure setup and integration, online store design and setup, online store operations, visual merchandising and marketing campaigns, customer services, and warehousing and order fulfilment. It serves brand partners in various categories, including apparel and accessories; appliances; electronics; home and furnishings; food and health products; beauty and cosmetics; fast moving consumer goods, and mother and baby products; and automobiles. The company was formerly known as Baozun Cayman Inc. and changed its name to Baozun Inc. in March 2015. Baozun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

How the Company Makes Money

Baozun generates revenue through a multi-faceted revenue model that includes service fees and commission-based earnings. The primary revenue streams consist of providing end-to-end e-commerce solutions to brands, which involve setup fees for online stores, transaction-based commissions on sales made through these stores, and ongoing service fees for digital marketing and operational support. Additionally, Baozun earns income from logistics services and value-added services such as data analytics and customer engagement solutions. Significant partnerships with major brands and platforms, including Alibaba and Tencent, bolster its market position and contribute to its earnings by expanding its client base and enhancing service offerings.

Baozun Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Baozun's financial performance shows moderate revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, but negative returns and cash flow issues indicate a need for strategic adjustments.

Income Statement

Baozun's revenue has shown moderate growth over the years, with a 6.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has been struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins in recent years. The gross profit margin remains healthy at around 47.6% for 2024, but the persistent negative net profit margin highlights ongoing challenges in managing costs and achieving profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a stable equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 in 2024, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased slightly, reflecting a potential risk in asset financing. The return on equity remains negative due to net losses, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.

Cash Flow

Baozun's cash flow situation is mixed. The operating cash flow has decreased significantly from 2023 to 2024, and free cash flow has turned negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio is a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	9.67B	9.42B	8.81B	8.40B	9.40B	8.85B
Gross Profit	4.65B	4.49B	3.90B	3.42B	3.46B	3.27B
EBITDA	49.09M	190.85M	75.95M	-326.85M	109.78M	669.29M
Net Income	-184.98M	-185.20M	-278.42M	-653.29M	-219.83M	425.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.62B	10.21B	10.47B	10.12B	12.32B	10.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.56B	2.56B	2.87B	3.04B	4.61B	5.03B
Total Debt	2.37B	2.52B	2.75B	2.41B	3.98B	2.80B
Total Liabilities	3.95B	4.43B	4.62B	4.45B	5.84B	4.34B
Stockholders Equity	3.79B	3.91B	4.10B	4.08B	4.90B	6.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-106.99M	283.25M	175.65M	-381.69M	198.96M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	101.28M	448.25M	382.61M	-96.11M	310.01M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-817.61M	-340.37M	-1.31B	375.82M	-616.37M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-19.74M	-8.03M	-1.65B	749.95M	2.67B

Baozun Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2.84
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZUN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.16, below the 50-day MA of 3.59, and below the 200-day MA of 3.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BZUN.

Baozun Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VIPS	79 Outperform	$9.19B	9.77	17.85%	2.47%	-5.24%	-12.89%
JD	70 Outperform	$45.33B	9.77	13.68%	3.39%	16.54%	-3.61%
BABA	69 Neutral	$383.41B	17.96	15.22%	1.29%	5.48%	128.65%
CPNG	66 Neutral	$50.05B	125.70	8.73%	―	16.63%	-62.54%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
ETSY	55 Neutral	$5.24B	37.12	―	―	1.98%	-20.98%
BZUN	51 Neutral	$170.45M	―	-4.73%	―	7.91%	30.18%

Baozun Corporate Events

Baozun Inc. Schedules Board Meeting to Approve Q3 2025 Financial Results

Baozun Inc. announced that its board of directors will hold a meeting on November 25, 2025, to approve the company’s unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The results will be published on the same day, with an earnings conference call scheduled for later that evening. This announcement is significant as it reflects Baozun’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Baozun Reports October 2025 Share Capital Movements

Baozun Inc. announced a submission to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited detailing movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for October 2025. The report, submitted on November 6, 2025, highlights that there was no change in the number of authorized shares, which remained at 470 million for Class A and 30 million for Class B shares. The number of issued shares increased slightly due to the issuance of new shares under the 2022 Share Incentive Plan. This update reflects Baozun’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure effectively, which is crucial for maintaining its competitive position in the e-commerce sector.

Baozun Reports September Share Capital Movements

On October 8, 2025, Baozun Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, detailing the movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for September 2025. The report highlighted that there were no significant changes in the authorized share capital, which remained at 50,000 USD, and a slight increase in the issued shares due to the exercise of share options. This update reflects Baozun’s ongoing compliance with regulatory requirements and provides transparency to its stakeholders regarding its capital structure.

Baozun Releases 2025 Interim Report Highlighting First Half Performance

Baozun Inc. has released its interim report for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, as required by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. This report, dated September 18, 2025, provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction during the reporting period from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025. The release of this report is expected to impact stakeholders by providing transparency and updates on Baozun’s operational progress and market positioning.

Baozun Reports August 2025 Share Movements

Baozun Inc. submitted a monthly return form to The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited on September 3, 2025, detailing movements in its authorized share capital and issued shares for August 2025. The report highlighted a decrease in issued shares, with 2,340,033 fewer shares at the end of August compared to the previous month. This movement in shares could impact the company’s market positioning and shareholder value.

Baozun Inc. Announces Share Issuance and Repurchase on August 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Baozun Inc. announced changes in its issued shares, including the issuance of new shares under its share incentive plans and the repurchase and cancellation of shares. These changes reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity structure and incentivize key personnel. The repurchase of over 2.5 million shares, which were cancelled, indicates a strategic move to consolidate shares and potentially enhance shareholder value. This announcement is likely to impact Baozun’s market positioning by optimizing its capital structure and aligning with its strategic goals.