tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Assurant (AIZ)
NYSE:AIZ

Assurant (AIZ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
520 Followers

Top Page

AI

Assurant

(NYSE:AIZ)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$226.00
â–²(13.99%Upside)
Assurant's strong financial performance, characterized by revenue growth and operational efficiency, is the most significant factor supporting the score. The positive earnings call further boosts confidence, though some technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest a more cautious approach. Potential risks in leverage and external tariff impacts are noteworthy but not currently detrimental to the outlook.
Positive Factors
Guidance
Strong overall guidance (ex-CATs losses) should support sentiment.
Market Conditions
Global Housing continues to show strength despite tough comparisons given favorable market conditions and loss trends.
Partnerships
Investments in capabilities and its leadership position in the market helped it add several new meaningful partners and programs recently, including with Verizon and Chase.
Negative Factors
Expenses
Global Lifestyle: While growth was better than expectations, expenses were elevated, resulting in adjusted EBITDA of $192 million, below the consensus expectation of $209 million.
Foreign Exchange
Foreign exchange is expected to be a couple of points headwind to EPS growth in the coming year.
Policy Expansion
The CFO indicated that the moratorium on non-renewals in CA could limit policy count expansion in that state in the near-term.

Assurant (AIZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Assurant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssurant, Inc. (AIZ) is a global provider of risk management products and services, primarily focused on the housing and lifestyle sectors. The company offers a range of insurance products, including mobile device protection, extended service contracts, vehicle protection services, pre-funded funeral insurance, renters insurance, and lender-placed insurance. Headquartered in New York City, Assurant operates across North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific, serving consumers and businesses through strategic partnerships with major financial institutions, retailers, and mobile carriers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssurant makes money through the sale of insurance products and related services, which constitute its primary revenue streams. A significant portion of its revenue is derived from premiums collected on insurance policies, such as mobile device protection plans and extended service contracts for electronics and appliances. Additionally, Assurant generates income from investment returns on its insurance float, which involves investing the premiums collected until claims are paid out. The company also has strategic partnerships with major retailers, financial institutions, and mobile carriers, which help in distributing its products and expanding its customer base. These partnerships play a crucial role in driving sales and enhancing market penetration for Assurant's offerings.

Assurant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong start to 2025 with significant growth in adjusted EBITDA and EPS. The company showcased impressive achievements in the Global Housing segment and strategic partnerships, especially with Verizon. However, there were challenges in the Global Lifestyle segment due to currency impacts and concerns about tariffs affecting costs. The positive aspects of growth and strong financial metrics were balanced by these challenges, leading to a mixed sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
14% growth in adjusted EBITDA and 16% growth in adjusted earnings per share, both excluding reportable catastrophes, for the first quarter of 2025.
Global Housing Segment Success
17% top-line growth within homeowners due to the addition of 70,000 lender placed policies and a combined ratio of 90% despite elevated catastrophes.
Significant Partnerships and New Products
Partnership with Verizon to launch a new mobile device protection plan, and new product launches in Global Auto, including Assurant Vehicle Care Technology Plus.
Resilience and Growth in Renters
Added a new renters book with over 250,000 policies, contributing to consistent double-digit growth in the Property Management Company channel.
Effective Catastrophe Management
Successfully placed 2025 catastrophe reinsurance program with $1.8 billion in loss coverage and maintained low cat exposure relative to peers.
Negative Updates
Decline in Global Lifestyle Earnings
First quarter adjusted EBITDA for Global Lifestyle was down 5% compared to last year, with a $6 million impact from unfavorable foreign exchange.
Challenges in Connected Living
Earnings in Connected Living declined by 6%, partially offset by a new card benefits program but impacted by lower results in domestic mobile.
Increased Tariff Concerns
Guidance now assumes impacts from tariffs, with potential higher claims costs in Auto and Housing due to increased parts and material costs.
Company Guidance
During Assurant's first quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported a strong start to the year with significant growth metrics. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 14% and adjusted earnings per share increased by 16%, both excluding reportable catastrophes. The Global Housing segment saw a remarkable 17% top-line growth, primarily driven by the addition of 70,000 lender-placed policies, leading to a combined ratio of 90%. Assurant's strategic investments in new programs and partnerships supported these results, including a notable collaboration with Verizon for a mobile device protection plan. The company also highlighted its robust capital position, enabling continued shareholder returns, with over $100 million returned in the first quarter, and affirmed its outlook for modest growth in adjusted EBITDA and EPS for the full year 2025, despite potential macroeconomic challenges like tariffs.

Assurant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Assurant demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profit margins, and healthy cash flow generation. The company has effectively managed operational efficiency and reduced debt, although there is room for improvement in cash retention relative to income.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Assurant's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 6.7% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins remain robust at 100%, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT margin improved significantly to 32% in 2024 from 5.8% in 2023, showing enhanced operational efficiency. However, the absence of EBITDA data in 2024 limits a full analysis of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong financial position with a debt-free status in 2024 and a solid equity base. The equity ratio improved to 14.6% in 2024, up from 14.3% in 2023, showing a stable capital structure. Return on equity increased to 14.9% in 2024, indicating effective utilization of equity in generating profits. However, the relatively low equity ratio compared to total assets suggests potential leverage risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis demonstrates a healthy free cash flow generation, with a 42.5% growth rate from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.8 in 2024 highlights effective cash conversion from profit. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 1.8, indicating potential for improvement in cash retention relative to income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.07B11.88B11.13B10.19B10.19B9.59B
Gross Profit
8.97B11.88B11.13B10.19B10.19B9.59B
EBIT
871.50M1.03B642.50M458.20M1.54B502.20M
EBITDA
864.40M1.15B1.12B639.00M1.05B20.00B
Net Income Common Stockholders
670.40M760.20M642.50M276.60M613.50M440.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.12B4.19B8.54B7.98B9.50B16.01B
Total Assets
34.99B35.02B33.64B33.12B33.91B44.65B
Total Debt
2.08B2.08B2.08B2.13B2.20B2.25B
Net Debt
414.10M275.40M453.00M593.20M161.70M24.30M
Total Liabilities
29.75B29.91B28.83B28.90B28.42B38.70B
Stockholders Equity
5.23B5.11B4.81B4.23B5.49B5.95B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.57B1.11B935.60M410.60M594.30M1.22B
Operating Cash Flow
1.64B1.33B1.14B596.90M781.70M1.34B
Investing Cash Flow
-751.20M-657.80M-637.70M-262.10M157.60M-735.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-500.00M-477.50M-403.90M-818.40M-1.09B-264.80M

Assurant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price198.27
Price Trends
50DMA
195.56
Negative
100DMA
201.33
Negative
200DMA
202.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
45.19
Neutral
STOCH
25.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 198.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 198.78, above the 50-day MA of 195.56, and below the 200-day MA of 202.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIZ.

Assurant Risk Analysis

Assurant disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Assurant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Assurant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ACACT
84
Outperform
$5.38B8.0714.09%2.40%4.33%10.21%
MTMTG
79
Outperform
$6.40B8.9615.12%1.93%4.64%15.36%
79
Outperform
$5.99B8.6413.29%2.14%9.87%3.41%
AIAIZ
78
Outperform
$10.14B15.5913.20%1.61%6.18%-10.34%
RDRDN
78
Outperform
$4.64B8.7813.22%2.95%2.95%4.08%
FAFAF
66
Neutral
$6.05B38.773.23%3.68%0.96%-27.04%
64
Neutral
$12.86B9.797.84%78.10%12.05%-7.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIZ
Assurant
195.36
28.27
16.92%
FAF
First American Financial
57.78
5.66
10.86%
MTG
MGIC Investment
26.95
6.09
29.19%
RDN
Radian Group
34.69
4.66
15.52%
ESNT
Essent Group
59.08
3.72
6.72%
ACT
Enact Holdings
35.87
6.21
20.94%

Assurant Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Assurant Stockholders Approve Charter Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Assurant, Inc. held its annual meeting where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s charter, enabling stockholders to call special meetings, limiting officer liability, and modernizing the charter. These changes, effective upon filing, aim to enhance corporate governance and align with Delaware law. Additionally, the company eliminated its 6.50% Series D Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, converting all shares to common stock. Stockholders also voted on several proposals, including electing directors and approving executive compensation, with most proposals passing except for a stockholder proposal to allow shareholders to call special meetings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIZ) stock is a Buy with a $240.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Assurant stock, see the AIZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.