Essent Group (ESNT) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.10B
• Dividend Yield: 1.99%
• Average Volume (3M): 636.98K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.65
• Revenue Growth: 2.78%
• EPS Growth: -0.50%
• Country: US
• Employees: 555
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Insurance - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 1.67
• Shares Outstanding: 98,533,760
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 547,682
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 636,983
• PEG Ratio: 1.43
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.53
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.09
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.07
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.65
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.62
• 1Y Price Target: $67.00
• Price Target Upside: 8.93% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: $68.00 ▲(10.55% Upside)

Essent Group's solid financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by a robust capital strategy. However, technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and challenges such as declining margins and increased default rates temper the overall outlook.

Positive Factors

Strong Financial Position

The growth in mortgage insurance in force indicates a stable demand for Essent's services, supporting long-term revenue and market position.

Robust Capital Strategy

The share repurchase program reflects confidence in the company's financial health and enhances shareholder value over time.

High Persistency and Credit Quality

High persistency and credit quality indicate stable customer retention and low risk, supporting long-term profitability and risk management.

Negative Factors

Declining Net Income

The decline in net income suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact future earnings stability.

Increased Default Rate

Rising default rates could lead to higher claims, impacting profitability and necessitating more provisions for losses.

Higher Provision for Losses

Increased provisions for losses may indicate rising risk exposure, potentially affecting future financial performance and stability.

Essent Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Essent Group Ltd. is a leading provider of private mortgage insurance (PMI) and related services in the United States. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, Essent operates primarily in the financial services sector, focusing on mitigating risk for lenders and facilitating homeownership for borrowers. The company's core products include mortgage insurance, which protects lenders against borrower default, as well as reinsurance and other risk management solutions.

How the Company Makes Money

Essent generates revenue primarily through the sale of private mortgage insurance policies. When lenders issue loans, they often require PMI to protect against the risk of borrower default. Essent charges premiums for these insurance policies, which can be paid upfront or monthly. The company also earns income through reinsurance arrangements, where it shares risk with other insurers, and from investment income generated on the premiums it collects before claims are paid out. Significant partnerships with mortgage lenders and servicers enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by providing a steady stream of premium income. Additionally, the overall health of the housing market and interest rates can impact the volume of mortgage originations, thereby affecting Essent's revenue.

Essent Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Essent Group demonstrates strong profitability with high margins and efficient cash flow management. However, declining EBIT and EBITDA margins and a slight increase in liabilities relative to assets warrant attention.

Income Statement

Essent Group demonstrates strong profitability with high gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient operations and cost management. The TTM data shows a slight revenue growth, suggesting stability in revenue generation. However, the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins over the years could indicate rising operational costs or competitive pressures.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting prudent financial leverage and a strong equity base. Return on equity is healthy, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. However, the equity ratio shows a slight decline, suggesting an increase in liabilities relative to assets.

Cash Flow

Essent Group exhibits strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow growth and a high free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient conversion of profits into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, although it shows some fluctuations, which could suggest variability in cash flow generation relative to earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.31B	1.27B	1.13B	1.02B	1.03B	955.15M
Gross Profit	1.17B	1.19B	1.10B	1.19B	997.45M	653.86M
EBITDA	870.39M	896.59M	857.66M	1.01B	833.98M	502.50M
Net Income	702.89M	729.40M	696.39M	831.35M	681.78M	413.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.35B	7.11B	6.43B	5.72B	5.72B	5.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	91.41M	131.48M	141.79M	333.27M	5.04B	4.67B
Total Debt	0.00	493.96M	421.92M	420.86M	419.82M	321.72M
Total Liabilities	1.61B	1.51B	1.32B	1.26B	1.49B	1.34B
Stockholders Equity	5.74B	5.60B	5.10B	4.46B	4.24B	3.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	836.72M	854.77M	759.00M	584.84M	706.76M	725.49M
Operating Cash Flow	853.67M	861.53M	763.00M	588.82M	709.26M	727.93M
Investing Cash Flow	-220.85M	-706.93M	-525.57M	-398.87M	-583.17M	-1.15B
Financing Cash Flow	-650.71M	-164.91M	-176.88M	-190.20M	-147.43M	457.97M

Essent Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 61.51
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ESNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.70, below the 50-day MA of 61.87, and above the 200-day MA of 58.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ESNT.

Essent Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NMIH	82 Outperform	$2.89B	7.89	16.17%	―	8.86%	9.51%
ACT	80 Outperform	$5.40B	8.59	12.75%	2.14%	2.40%	1.18%
MTG	78 Outperform	$6.33B	9.09	14.40%	1.97%	2.20%	9.90%
RDN	77 Outperform	$4.79B	8.82	12.56%	2.85%	-3.68%	3.65%
ESNT	73 Outperform	$6.10B	9.02	12.35%	1.99%	2.78%	-0.50%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
FAF	60 Neutral	$6.51B	13.72	9.28%	3.47%	25.99%	426.44%

Essent Group Corporate Events

Essent Group Ltd. Earnings Call Highlights Stability

The recent earnings call for Essent Group Ltd. painted a picture of stability and resilience, despite some challenges. The company showcased its ability to maintain a high-quality portfolio and received a commendable upgrade from Moody’s. However, there were slight setbacks, including a decrease in net income and provisions for losses. Overall, the outlook remains positive, supported by a solid balance sheet and strong credit quality.

Essent Group Ltd. Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Dividend

Essent Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based holding company specializing in private mortgage insurance, reinsurance, and title insurance services, primarily serving the housing finance industry. In its latest earnings report, Essent Group Ltd. announced a net income of $195.3 million for the second quarter of 2025, slightly down from $203.6 million in the same period last year. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.31 per share, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns.