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VFMO - ETF AI Analysis

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VFMO

Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF (VFMO)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
VFMO, the Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF, earns a solid overall rating driven by strong momentum names like Newmont, Lam Research, Micron, Johnson & Johnson, and AMD, which all show robust financial performance, positive earnings commentary, and generally supportive technical trends. The rating is held back somewhat by holdings such as GE Vernova, Howmet Aerospace, General Motors, and Corning, where valuation concerns, cash flow challenges, and sector-specific risks introduce more uncertainty. The main risk factor is that many top positions share similar momentum and valuation profiles, so a broad shift away from high-momentum or richly valued stocks could pressure the fund.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Leading Holdings with Strong Momentum
Several of the largest positions, such as Lam Research, Micron, Intel, and KLA, have delivered strong year-to-date results, helping drive the fund’s returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund’s relatively low fee means more of the investment returns stay in investors’ pockets over time.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Concentration
With almost all assets in U.S. stocks, the ETF offers very limited geographic diversification and is highly tied to the U.S. market.
Sector Concentration in a Few Areas
Large weights in health care, industrials, and technology mean the fund is more exposed if these sectors experience a downturn.
Momentum Strategy Can Be Volatile
Because the ETF focuses on momentum stocks, it may be more sensitive to sharp market swings and changes in investor sentiment.

VFMO vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VFMO Summary

Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF (VFMO) is a U.S. stock fund that focuses on companies whose share prices have been rising strongly, a theme known as “momentum.” It doesn’t track a traditional index, but instead follows a rules-based strategy across the broad U.S. market, with big weights in health care, industrials, and technology. Well-known holdings include Alphabet (Google’s parent company) and Intel. Investors might consider VFMO if they want growth potential and diversification across many sectors. A key risk is that momentum stocks can fall quickly when trends reverse, so the fund’s value can move up and down sharply.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF (VFMO) has an expense ratio of 0.13%, which means you’ll pay $1.30 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than the average for actively managed funds because Vanguard focuses on keeping costs low while still providing a momentum-driven investment strategy.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF (VFMO) could benefit from strong performance in sectors like Technology and Industrials, which are heavily weighted in the fund, especially if innovation and economic growth drive demand in these areas. However, it may face challenges during periods of market volatility or economic downturns, as momentum-focused strategies can be sensitive to sudden shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, rising interest rates or regulatory changes affecting top holdings like Alphabet or Broadcom could negatively impact the ETF's performance.

VFMO Top 10 Holdings

VFMO is leaning hard into U.S. momentum names, with chipmakers and industrials setting the pace. Lam Research and Micron are powering ahead on AI-related demand, while KLA adds steady strength despite some valuation worries. On the industrial side, GE Vernova and Howmet Aerospace are climbing, giving the fund an extra lift from the energy and aerospace boom. Newmont Mining has been a quiet but positive contributor. The main sore spot is AMD, which has been losing steam lately and slightly dragging returns in an otherwise U.S.-focused, tech-and-industrials-heavy lineup.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Newmont Mining1.13%$15.55M$126.51B165.08%
81
Outperform
Lam Research1.10%$15.21M$248.92B152.28%
77
Outperform
GE Vernova Inc.1.07%$14.78M$212.72B172.81%
69
Neutral
KLA1.01%$13.90M$176.24B89.03%
77
Outperform
Johnson & Johnson1.00%$13.78M$579.34B44.22%
78
Outperform
Micron0.98%$13.56M$416.78B298.34%
79
Outperform
General Motors0.98%$13.49M$67.99B58.54%
73
Outperform
Howmet Aerospace0.95%$13.16M$100.29B101.07%
67
Neutral
Advanced Micro Devices0.95%$13.14M$313.74B91.84%
73
Outperform
Intel0.93%$12.85M$216.88B110.37%
64
Neutral

VFMO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
203.67
Negative
100DMA
197.60
Negative
200DMA
186.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
39.06
Neutral
STOCH
30.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VFMO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 206.43, equal to the 50-day MA of 203.67, and equal to the 200-day MA of 186.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VFMO.

VFMO Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$1.38B0.13%
67
Neutral
$8.99B0.33%
72
Outperform
$7.55B0.98%
67
Neutral
$3.62B0.50%
75
Outperform
$2.64B0.14%
73
Outperform
$2.25B0.31%
69
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VFMO
Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF
197.58
51.51
35.26%
CGUS
Capital Group Core Equity ETF
AKRE
Akre Focus ETF
QLTY
GMO U.S. Quality ETF
DCOR
Dimensional US Core Equity 1 ETF
APUE
ActivePassive U.S. Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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