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GE Vernova Inc. (GEV)
NYSE:GEV
US Market

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) AI Stock Analysis

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GEV

GE Vernova Inc.

(NYSE:GEV)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$839.00
▲(43.38% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability and strong cash-flow inflection) and supportive earnings-call updates (raised 2026/2028 guidance, strong orders/backlog and capital returns). Technicals also show solid upward momentum. The main constraint is valuation (high P/E and low yield), alongside execution/policy risk concentrated in the Wind segment.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and sizable equity give GE Vernova durable financial flexibility to fund capex, M&A (e.g., Prolec), and shareholder returns while keeping refinancing risk low. That balance-sheet strength supports multi-year industrial project cycles and liquidity during execution swings.
Large, Visible Backlog and Services Base
A $150B backlog with a substantial services portion provides multi-year revenue visibility and recurring, higher-margin aftermarket cash flows. The installed base and services backlog underpin durable annuity-like revenues and reduce sensitivity to near-term equipment order variability.
Improving Cash Generation and Upgraded Guidance
Sustained positive free cash flow and strengthened liquidity signal the business can self-fund investments, support dividends/buybacks, and pursue strategic inorganic moves. Upgraded multi-year targets reflect management confidence in durable margin and cash conversion gains.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Hit to Offshore Wind
A government stop-work order is a structural regulatory risk that can delay installations, create force‑majeure disputes and sustain project uncertainty. For an industrial renewables supplier, prolonged regulatory disruption materially reduces achievable revenue and cash timing from offshore projects.
Wind Segment Execution Losses
Persistent execution problems and contract losses in Wind materially depress consolidated margins and consume cash. Given the structural importance of renewables to the company’s growth story, ongoing wind underperformance threatens margin targets and requires sustained remediation to restore profitability.
Cash-Flow Volatility and Project Timing Risk
While FCF is positive, volatility from working-capital swings and project timing can create lumpiness in available cash for capex, dividends and M&A. This structural variability increases execution risk on large, long-duration projects and complicates multi-year capital allocation planning.

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GE Vernova Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGE Vernova LLC, an energy business company, generates electricity. It operates under three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segments generates and sells electricity through hydro, gas, nuclear, and steam power. Wind segment engages in the manufacturing and sale of wind turbine blades; and Electrification segment provides grid solutions, power conversion, solar, and storage solutions. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyGE Vernova generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling and leasing energy generation equipment such as wind turbines, gas turbines, and technology solutions for grid management. The company also earns income from maintenance and service contracts associated with its products, which provide ongoing support and enhancements to energy systems. Additionally, GEV has established partnerships with various utility companies and governments to develop large-scale renewable energy projects, resulting in significant project-based revenue. The growing demand for clean energy solutions and digital transformation in the energy sector further contributes to GEV's financial performance.

GE Vernova Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Breaks down overall revenue by business segment, offering a comprehensive view of which areas are driving growth and contributing most to the company's financial performance.
Chart InsightsGE Vernova's Electrification segment is experiencing robust growth, with a significant increase in revenue and margins, driven by strong demand across key regions. However, the Wind segment faces challenges, with revenue declining due to previous offshore contract settlements and ongoing tariff uncertainties. The acquisition of Prolec GE is expected to bolster the company's position in the North American transformer market, enhancing electrification capabilities. Despite headwinds in the Wind segment, GE Vernova's strategic acquisitions and strong performance in other areas signal a positive long-term outlook.
Data provided by:The Fly

GE Vernova Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong, broad-based commercial and financial momentum: record orders, a materially larger and higher‑margin backlog, expanding revenues and margins, substantial free cash flow, a strengthened balance sheet and upgraded 2026 and 2028 guidance (including the accretive Prolec GE acquisition). The primary material near-term challenges are concentrated in the Wind segment (offshore stop-work order, elevated contract losses and tariffs) and some margin drag from nuclear investments. Overall, the positives (order and backlog strength, margin expansion, cash generation, and improved guidance) substantially outweigh the Wind-related negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record and Accelerating Orders
Booked $59 billion of orders in 2025 (up 34% year-over-year) and $22.2 billion in 4Q25 (up 65% year-over-year); Q4 book-to-bill approximately 2x. Equipment orders increased 91% in Q4 while service orders increased 22%.
Substantially Expanded Backlog
Total backlog grew to $150 billion (up over 25% / ~$31 billion year-over-year). Equipment backlog reached $64 billion (up ~50% YoY; +$21 billion) and services backlog expanded to $86 billion (up $10 billion or 13% YoY).
Revenue and Margin Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue ~$38 billion (year-over-year growth of 9% per prepared remarks) with adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of ~210 basis points year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA increased materially (Ken cited 46% increase for the year).
Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
Generated $3.7 billion of free cash flow in 2025 (more than double prior year) and $1.8 billion in 4Q25; ended the year with nearly $9 billion in cash. Guidance maintained below 1x gross debt/adjusted EBITDA after planned $2.6 billion debt to complete Prolec GE acquisition.
Power Segment Momentum (Gas-led)
Power orders grew more than 50% in 2025 with gas equipment strength; Q4 Power orders up 77%. Gas slot reservations and equipment under contract rose sequentially from 62 GW to 83 GW; backlog metrics: backlog increased from 33 to 40 GW and SRAs from 29 to 43 GW. Power revenue grew ~10% for the year and Power adjusted EBITDA margin expanded ~100 bps to 14.7% (Q4 Power EBITDA margin 16.9%).
Electrification Rapid Expansion
Electrification revenue grew ~26% in 2025 (32% in Q4); segment orders increased ~21% for the year and Q4 orders were ~2.5x revenue, up ~50% YoY (~$7.4 billion). Electrification backlog grew to $35 billion (up $11 billion YoY) and EBITDA margin expanded ~560 basis points to 14.9% for 2025 (Q4 margin 17.1%). 2026 guidance expects $13.5–14.0 billion revenue for Electrification (20% organic growth plus ~ $3 billion from Prolec GE).
Improved Equipment Backlog Margin Dollars
Added $8 billion of incremental equipment backlog margin dollars in 2025 (more than prior two years combined); equipment backlog reached $64 billion with ~6 points of equipment margin expansion year-over-year and 11 points growth in Power equipment margin.
Capital Returns and Shareholder Actions
Returned $3.6 billion to shareholders in 2025 (repurchased >8 million shares), announced a doubled dividend for 2026 and increased share buyback authorization to $10 billion (from $6 billion).
Operational Capacity and Investment Progress
Installed over 200 new machines and added nearly 1,000 production workers in 2025; plan to add ~200 more machines and >500 production workers in 2026. Investments in automation, robotics and AI are scaling and Advanced Research Center projects (e.g., direct air capture, solid-state transformer, fuel cell progress) are advancing.
Raised 2026 Guidance and Strong 2028 Outlook
2026 revenue guidance raised to $44–45 billion (from $41–42B); adjusted EBITDA margin guidance 11–13%; free cash flow guidance increased to $5–5.5 billion (from $4.5–5.0B). By-2028 outlook raised to at least $56 billion revenue (from $52B) with target adjusted EBITDA margins of 20% and cumulative 2025–2028 free cash flow of at least $24 billion.
Negative Updates
Offshore Wind Stop-Work Order and Project Impact
U.S. government halted all offshore wind activity on December 22, 2025, prompting an incremental accrual in 4Q25 for Vineyard Wind delay. The order created at least a potential 90-day delay; company accrued estimated incremental contract losses and recorded force majeure protections.
Wind Segment Losses and Revenue Decline
Wind revenue decreased 25% in 4Q25 and Wind posted EBITDA losses of $225 million in Q4. Full-year Wind losses were approximately $600 million (worse than prior expectation of ~$400 million), driven by offshore stop-work order and related incremental contract losses.
Potential Near-Term Revenue Risk from Vineyard Wind
If work cannot resume, inability to install the remaining 11 turbines may negatively impact 2026 Wind revenue by roughly $250 million because the company could be unable to bill the customer for those turbines once vessel access is lost.
Tariff Headwinds and U.S. Onshore Uncertainty
Tariffs have negatively impacted Wind (~$70 million impact since 2Q24). U.S. onshore orders remain soft with permitting delays and tariff uncertainty; Wind organic revenue expected down low double digits in 2026 and Q126 revenue expected to decline high teens YoY.
Offshore Contract Losses and Execution Challenges
Offshore wind execution continues to be a significant source of contract losses and margin pressure; Wind segment execution on challenged offshore backlog remains a workstream for improvement.
Nuclear Near-Term Margin Drag
Nuclear was a drag on Power's 2025 margins and is expected to be directionally similar in 2026 as SMR and nuclear investments progress toward longer-term returns.
Company Guidance
GE Vernova raised and detailed 2026 guidance and an updated by‑2028 outlook: full‑year 2026 revenue is now $44–45B (up from $41–42B), adjusted EBITDA margin 11–13%, and free cash flow $5.0–5.5B (up from $4.5–5.0B), with corporate costs of $450–500M; Q1 ’26 is expected to deliver year‑over‑year revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion and positive free cash flow. By segment, Power is forecast to grow organic revenue 16–18% in 2026 with EBITDA margins of 16–18% (Q1 revenue up high‑single digits, Q1 margin ~14–15%) and target annual gas turbine capacity of ~20 GW starting mid‑year; Electrification is expected to deliver $13.5–14B in 2026 plus ~ $3B from Prolec GE with EBITDA margins of 17–19% (Q1 margin 16–17%), and Prolec adds roughly $4B incremental revenue by 2028 and supports a ~22% Electrification margin target; Wind is expected to see organic revenue down low‑double‑digits in 2026 with EBITDA losses of ~ $400M for the year (Q1 losses $300–400M) and a more second‑half‑weighted recovery (highest revenue/EBITDA in Q4 ’26). Financial and capital items include a ~ $2.6B debt issuance to acquire Prolec (remaining below 1x gross debt/adjusted EBITDA), doubling the dividend in 2026, expanding buyback authorization to $10B, and an updated by‑2028 outlook of at least $56B revenue (vs $52B prior), a 20% company EBITDA margin target, cumulative FCF of ≥$24B from ’25–’28 (up ~$2B), and cumulative CapEx+R&D ~ $11B (including nearly $1B incremental Prolec CapEx).

GE Vernova Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround fundamentals: accelerating revenue growth (to $38.1B in 2025), large margin expansion (gross margin ~19.8% vs ~12.3% in 2022), return to solid profitability (~12.8% net margin in 2025), and sharply higher operating and free cash flow (FCF ~$3.7B in 2025). Main offsets are recent volatility (losses/negative cash flow as recently as 2022–2023) and some 2025 ratio fields flagged as inconsistent/0.0, reducing visibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability and growth have improved materially. Revenue rose from $29.7B (2022) to $38.1B (2025), with 2025 growth accelerating to 10.6% from 5.1% in 2024. Margins also expanded: gross margin increased to ~19.8% (2025) from ~12.3% (2022), and the company swung from a net loss in 2022–2023 to a strong net profit margin of ~12.8% in 2025 (vs ~4.4% in 2024). The key weakness is volatility—results were loss-making as recently as 2023 and operating profit metrics have been uneven, which tempers confidence in the durability of the current earnings level.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage appears conservative and improving, with debt-to-equity declining from ~0.16 (2023) to ~0.11 (2024) and reported at 0.0 in 2025, alongside equity rising to $11.2B (2025) from $9.5B (2024). Total assets also expanded to $63.0B (2025) from $51.5B (2024), indicating balance sheet growth. Offsetting this, returns on equity were negative in 2022–2023 and the 2025 return figure is shown as 0.0 despite strong net income, suggesting the profitability-to-equity relationship may be distorted by data limitations; the recent history of losses also highlights that balance sheet strength has been tested in the near past.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation strengthened sharply. Operating cash flow rose from -$0.1B (2022) to $1.2B (2023), $2.6B (2024), and $5.0B (2025), while free cash flow improved from -$0.6B (2022) to $0.4B (2023), $1.7B (2024), and $3.7B (2025). This is a clear positive inflection, and 2025 free cash flow growth is very strong. The main drawback is that some cash-flow-to-earnings coverage fields are reported as 0.0 in 2025, which limits ratio-based comfort checks, and the business did experience negative operating and free cash flow in 2022—evidence of historical cyclicality/execution risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.07B34.94B33.24B29.65B
Gross Profit7.54B6.31B4.82B3.46B
EBITDA3.68B3.56B932.00M-526.00M
Net Income4.88B1.55B-438.00M-2.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.02B51.48B46.12B44.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.85B8.21B1.55B2.07B
Total Debt0.001.62B1.71B1.66B
Total Liabilities50.72B40.89B37.74B32.86B
Stockholders Equity11.18B9.55B7.42B10.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.71B1.70B442.00M-627.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.99B2.58B1.19B-114.00M
Investing Cash Flow-755.00M-37.00M-734.00M-322.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.81B3.65B-408.00M811.00M

GE Vernova Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price585.14
Price Trends
50DMA
657.40
Positive
100DMA
626.87
Positive
200DMA
575.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.96
Negative
RSI
63.57
Neutral
STOCH
84.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 585.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 682.04, below the 50-day MA of 657.40, and above the 200-day MA of 575.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEV.

GE Vernova Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$201.13B44.0947.13%0.14%9.43%35.56%
68
Neutral
$187.37B26.9113.05%2.84%26.96%-6.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$7.52B15.7913.20%5.29%2.54%124.89%
62
Neutral
$78.22B30.7420.35%0.43%21.35%-3.93%
61
Neutral
$1.95B18.727.64%42.09%219.69%
51
Neutral
$7.49B-6.23-38.17%3.84%5.93%-39.88%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
737.53
363.58
97.23%
NEE
NextEra Energy
89.97
22.79
33.92%
CWEN
Clearway Energy
37.34
12.54
50.56%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
40.76
14.65
56.11%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
5.16
-1.59
-23.56%
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
247.06
-63.36
-20.41%

GE Vernova Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
GE Vernova Completes $2.6 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, GE Vernova completed a $2.6 billion multi-tranche senior notes offering, issuing 4.250% notes due 2031, 4.875% notes due 2036, and 5.500% notes due 2056 under a February 4, 2026 indenture, with optional redemption provisions tied to specified par call dates. Proceeds are earmarked for general corporate purposes, notably funding the February 2, 2026 acquisition of the remaining 50% stake in transformer joint venture Prolec GE, enhancing GE Vernova’s grid portfolio and capital structure flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GEV) stock is a Buy with a $923.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GE Vernova Inc. stock, see the GEV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
GE Vernova Names Eric Gray CEO of Power Segment
Neutral
Jan 21, 2026

GE Vernova Inc. announced that Mavi Zingoni will resign as Chief Executive Officer of its Power Segment and as an officer of the company effective January 21, 2026, under a mutual exit agreement that will see her remain as an advisor to support the leadership transition until her departure on June 30, 2026. The board has appointed Eric Gray, who currently serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of Gas Power, as the new Chief Executive Officer of the Power Segment effective January 21, 2026, signaling a consolidation of leadership within the company’s core power generation businesses and a potentially smoother operational alignment across its gas and broader power operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GEV) stock is a Buy with a $1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GE Vernova Inc. stock, see the GEV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026