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TOLL - ETF AI Analysis

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TOLL

Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
TOLL (Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF) earns a solid overall rating, mainly driven by strong, high-quality holdings like Lam Research, KLA, Ferrovial, and Gilead Sciences, which all show robust financial performance, positive earnings sentiment, and good growth positioning. Visa, GE Aerospace, Cboe, and Thermo Fisher also support the fund’s quality, though recurring concerns about high valuations, some bearish or mixed technical trends, and company-specific risks such as export controls, leverage, and cash flow pressures slightly hold back the rating. The main risk factor is that many top holdings share similar issues around rich valuations and technical caution, which could increase volatility if market sentiment turns against these types of stocks.
Positive Factors
Solid Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Strong Leading Tech and Industrial Holdings
Several of the largest positions in technology and industrial companies have delivered strong performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.
Diversified Across Key Sectors
Holdings spread across technology, financials, health care, and industrials help reduce the impact if any one sector weakens.
Negative Factors
Higher-Than-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which can modestly reduce net returns over time.
Heavy U.S. Market Concentration
With the vast majority of assets in U.S. companies, the ETF is highly sensitive to movements in the U.S. market and offers limited international diversification.
Notable Underperforming Top Holding
One of the larger positions has shown weak performance year-to-date, which can drag on overall returns if the stock continues to lag.

TOLL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TOLL Summary

The Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL) invests in companies that dominate their industries, often facing only a few serious competitors. It doesn’t track a traditional index, but follows the theme of powerful, market-leading businesses across technology, finance, health care, and more, mostly in the U.S. Well-known holdings include Visa and GE Aerospace. Someone might invest in TOLL to seek long-term growth and stability from companies with strong brands and pricing power. However, this ETF can still go up and down with the overall stock market and is concentrated in a specific type of company.
How much will it cost me?The Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL) has an expense ratio of 0.55%, which means you’ll pay $5.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the ETF is actively managed, focusing on a unique niche of companies with significant market power. Active management typically involves higher costs due to the research and expertise required.
What would affect this ETF?The Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL) could benefit from economic stability and growth, as its focus on dominant companies with strong pricing power and high barriers to entry may allow these firms to thrive in favorable conditions. However, regulatory changes targeting monopolistic or oligopolistic practices, as well as rising interest rates that could impact sectors like technology and financials, may pose risks to the ETF's performance in the future.

TOLL Top 10 Holdings

TOLL leans heavily on a mix of tech and financial powerhouses, and that’s where most of the action is. Lam Research and KLA are the clear engines right now, riding strong momentum in chips and AI tools, while Synopsys adds more fuel from the software side. On the financial front, Cboe and Moody’s are steady contributors, but Visa is losing steam and Intuit has been noticeably lagging, acting as a brake on returns. With a global mandate but a tilt toward U.S.-centric giants, the fund is essentially betting on entrenched market leaders to keep their edge.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
GE Aerospace5.91%$2.77M$330.81B51.44%
72
Outperform
Visa5.13%$2.40M$598.64B-11.23%
70
Outperform
Lam Research5.01%$2.35M$294.12B184.63%
77
Outperform
Performance Food Group4.48%$2.10M$15.40B12.53%
65
Neutral
Cboe Global Markets4.03%$1.89M$28.79B35.97%
75
Outperform
KLA3.85%$1.80M$191.91B95.02%
77
Outperform
Ferrovial3.29%$1.54M€44.01B42.12%
78
Outperform
Fortinet3.17%$1.48M$63.63B-23.36%
71
Outperform
Thermo Fisher3.03%$1.42M$189.66B-5.08%
72
Outperform
Broadcom2.90%$1.36M$1.54T39.53%
76
Outperform

TOLL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
35.94
Negative
100DMA
35.16
Positive
200DMA
34.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
46.93
Neutral
STOCH
35.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TOLL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.36, equal to the 50-day MA of 35.94, and equal to the 200-day MA of 34.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TOLL.

TOLL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$46.85M0.55%
$94.94M3.19%
$83.03M0.99%
$79.82M0.69%
$70.79M0.65%
$68.69M0.73%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TOLL
Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF
35.86
2.44
7.30%
ICAP
InfraCap Equity Income Fund ETF
GINX
SGI Enhanced Global Income ETF
PRAY
FIS Biblically Responsible Risk Managed ETF
SAGP
Strategas Global Policy Opportunities ETF
GOP
Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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