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Thermo Fisher (TMO)
NYSE:TMO

Thermo Fisher (TMO) AI Stock Analysis

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Thermo Fisher

(NYSE:TMO)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$470.00
▲(9.47%Upside)
Thermo Fisher's overall stock score is driven by its robust financial performance and strategic resilience highlighted in the earnings call. Technical indicators suggest caution, while valuation metrics are fair. The company's ability to manage challenges such as tariffs and debt will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The revised deal is estimated to be accretive by approximately 24 cents pre-financing costs, which is seen as an incremental positive.
Investment Plan
To support long-term growth and expand market share, TMO announced plans to invest US$2bn over the next four years in expanding its US manufacturing and R&D facilities, in response to growing customer demand.
Strategic Initiatives
If successful, this transaction could streamline Thermo Fisher Scientific's operations and focus on other growth areas.
Negative Factors
EPS Guidance
The company revised its adjusted EPS guidance downward, expecting a range from a 0.6% decline to 4.4% growth, mainly due to the impact of tariffs.
Profit Margins
SOLV expects that holding onto the water business will reduce prior gross margin/operating margin benefits post-close, suggesting lower margins for the Drinking Water Filtration business.
Revenue Uncertainty
The divestment includes parts of the diagnostics business that generate significant sales, leading to uncertainty about the impact on TMO's revenue.

Thermo Fisher (TMO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Thermo Fisher Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. provides life sciences solutions, analytical instruments, specialty diagnostics, and laboratory products and biopharma services in the North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company's Life Sciences Solutions segment offers reagents, instruments, and consumables for biological and medical research, discovery, and production of drugs and vaccines, as well as diagnosis of infections and diseases; and solutions include biosciences, genetic sciences, and bio production to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agricultural, clinical, healthcare, academic, and government markets. Its Analytical Instruments segment provides instruments, consumables, software, and services for pharmaceutical, biotechnology, academic, government, environmental, and other research and industrial markets, as well as clinical laboratories. The company's Specialty Diagnostics segment offers liquid, ready-to-use, and lyophilized immunodiagnostic reagent kits, as well as calibrators, controls, protein detection assays, and instruments; immunodiagnostics develops, manufactures and markets complete bloodtest systems to support the clinical diagnosis and monitoring of allergy, asthma and autoimmune diseases; dehydrated and prepared culture media, collection and transport systems, instrumentation, and consumables; human leukocyte antigen typing and testing for organ transplant market; and healthcare products. Its Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services segment provides laboratory products, research and safety market channel, and pharma services and clinical research. It offers products and services through a direct sales force, customer-service professionals, electronic commerce, and third-party distributors under Thermo Scientific; Applied Biosystems; Invitrogen; Fisher Scientific; Unity Lab Services; and Patheon and PPD. Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyThermo Fisher makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes the sale of scientific instruments, laboratory equipment, and consumables. It earns significant income from its laboratory products and services segment, which provides a wide array of products such as lab equipment, chemicals, and supplies to various industries including healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and academic research. The company also generates revenue from its life sciences solutions segment, which includes reagents, instruments, and consumables used in biological and medical research. Additionally, its specialty diagnostics segment offers diagnostic test kits, instruments, and reagents that are widely used in clinical laboratories. Thermo Fisher's analytical instruments segment provides precision laboratory instruments and software solutions. Key partnerships with research institutions, pharmaceutical companies, and healthcare providers, alongside strategic acquisitions, also play a significant role in expanding its market reach and enhancing its product offerings, thus contributing to its earnings.

Thermo Fisher Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across various business segments, revealing which areas are contributing most to growth and where there may be potential for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsThermo Fisher's Life Sciences Solutions segment is experiencing a gradual decline, reflecting challenges in the academic and government markets as mentioned in the earnings call. Meanwhile, the Laboratory Products segment remains stable, supported by strategic acquisitions like Soventum's purification business. Despite macroeconomic pressures, the company is focusing on innovation and M&A to drive resilience. The Analytical Instruments segment shows potential for growth, aligning with new product launches. However, US-China tariffs pose a significant risk, potentially impacting future revenue streams.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Thermo Fisher Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in innovation and M&A. However, significant challenges were noted due to macroeconomic conditions, US-China tariffs, and pressures in the academic and government markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Revenue for Q1 was $10.36 billion, with an adjusted operating income of $2.27 billion. Adjusted EPS grew by 1% to $5.15 per share.
Innovation and Product Launches
Several new products were launched, including the Thermo Scientific Vulcan automated lab and the next-generation Thermo Scientific Transcend, strengthening market leadership.
M&A and Capital Deployment
Announced the acquisition of Soventum's purification and filtration business for $4.1 billion, enhancing bioproduction capabilities. $1 billion in share repurchases and a 10% increase in dividends.
Negative Updates
Impact of US-China Tariffs
Expected $400 million revenue headwind due to tariffs, with significant impacts on products made in the US for the Chinese market.
Challenges in Academic and Government Markets
Revenue declined in academic and government sectors due to macro conditions in the U.S. and China, with expected muted purchases in 2025.
FX Headwinds and Operating Margin Pressure
Reported revenue was flat year over year, with a 1% headwind from foreign exchange. Adjusted operating margin was down 10 basis points from the previous year.
Company Guidance
During Thermo Fisher Scientific's 2025 First Quarter Conference Call, comprehensive guidance was provided amidst a changing macroeconomic landscape. The company reported a revenue of $10.36 billion and an adjusted operating income of $2.27 billion, achieving an adjusted operating margin of 21.9%. The adjusted EPS grew by 1% to $5.15 per share. Despite challenges such as tariffs and policy changes, Thermo Fisher updated its 2025 guidance to project revenues between $43.3 billion and $44.2 billion, with an adjusted EPS range of $21.76 to $22.84. The company's strategic focus on innovation, commercial execution, and capital deployment, including a $4.1 billion acquisition of Soventum's purification and filtration business, underpins its resilience and commitment to customer success. The guidance also reflects mitigation strategies against tariffs, with an anticipated full offset by next year.

Thermo Fisher Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thermo Fisher demonstrates strong financial health with stable profitability and efficient cash generation. The company maintains a balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. However, minor challenges exist in revenue growth and debt management.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Thermo Fisher's income statement shows impressive stability and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 41.74%, and the net profit margin is 15.19%, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT margin of 17.08% and EBITDA margin of 24.71% reflect efficient operations. While revenue has been relatively stable over the past periods, the company exhibited a slight decline in revenue from 2022 to TTM, indicating potential challenges in sales growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a robust equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 13.20%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 49.83% demonstrates a balanced capital structure, though the company carries a significant amount of debt, which requires careful management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals healthy operational cash flow with a TTM free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.03, underscoring efficient cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.25 indicates strong cash conversion from profits. However, free cash flow growth is slightly negative compared to the previous period, highlighting the need to focus on future cash flow improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.90B42.88B42.86B44.91B39.21B32.22B
Gross Profit17.83B17.70B17.11B19.50B20.23B16.50B
EBITDA10.60B11.80B11.08B11.94B12.96B10.19B
Net Income6.51B6.33B6.00B6.95B7.72B6.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.04B97.32B98.73B97.15B95.12B69.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.95B5.57B8.08B8.52B4.48B10.32B
Total Debt34.19B31.27B34.92B34.49B34.87B21.73B
Total Liabilities49.55B47.65B51.88B53.01B54.15B34.53B
Stockholders Equity49.36B49.55B46.73B43.98B40.79B34.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.72B7.27B6.93B6.91B7.02B6.82B
Operating Cash Flow8.14B8.67B8.41B9.15B9.54B8.29B
Investing Cash Flow-4.34B-5.84B-5.14B-2.16B-21.93B-1.51B
Financing Cash Flow-5.07B-6.79B-3.62B-2.81B6.58B959.00M

Thermo Fisher Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price429.33
Price Trends
50DMA
410.37
Positive
100DMA
454.97
Negative
200DMA
507.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.72
Negative
RSI
62.83
Neutral
STOCH
88.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 429.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 407.97, above the 50-day MA of 410.37, and below the 200-day MA of 507.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TMO.

Thermo Fisher Risk Analysis

Thermo Fisher disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Thermo Fisher reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Thermo Fisher Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$43.99B50.5459.33%5.56%4.66%
AA
79
Outperform
$34.48B29.9418.88%0.82%0.56%-4.08%
IQIQV
77
Outperform
$28.41B22.3821.65%2.84%-0.16%
TMTMO
73
Outperform
$161.48B25.1013.73%0.40%0.96%9.19%
WAWAT
73
Outperform
$20.84B31.7640.82%2.57%8.31%
DHDHR
72
Outperform
$145.42B39.397.22%0.63%-9.19%-12.75%
52
Neutral
$7.50B0.31-61.87%2.27%17.10%1.59%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMO
Thermo Fisher
429.33
-105.21
-19.68%
A
Agilent
121.38
-3.73
-2.98%
DHR
Danaher
203.20
-36.19
-15.12%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
547.01
63.28
13.08%
WAT
Waters
350.22
64.65
22.64%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
164.24
-44.70
-21.39%

Thermo Fisher Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Thermo Fisher Shareholders Elect Board, Reject Proposals
Neutral
May 28, 2025

At the Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025, Thermo Fisher shareholders elected board nominees for a one-year term and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. However, a proposal on executive compensation was not approved, and a shareholder proposal to remove the one-year holding period for calling special meetings was also rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Thermo Fisher Approves CEO’s $60M Stock Award
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Thermo Fisher‘s Board of Directors approved a 5-year performance-based restricted stock unit award for CEO Marc N. Casper, aimed at securing his leadership until May 2030 and driving substantial shareholder returns. The award, valued at approximately $60 million, is designed to incentivize sustained shareholder value growth through total shareholder return outperformance, with payouts based on performance relative to the S&P 500 over a set period.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025