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Thermo Fisher (TMO)
NYSE:TMO
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Thermo Fisher (TMO) AI Stock Analysis

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TMO

Thermo Fisher

(NYSE:TMO)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$539.00
▲(11.12% Upside)
Thermo Fisher's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust margins and operational efficiency, drives the positive outlook. The bullish technical indicators and optimistic earnings call further support the score. However, valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and challenges in specific market segments temper the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Biopharma Growth
Biopharma customer growth improved to 5%, marking the strongest growth in 10 quarters and reflecting a positive demand outlook.
Financial Performance
Thermo Fisher reported improved financials with revenue increasing by 3.0% YoY and adjusted EPS slightly declining by 0.2% YoY, both exceeding Bloomberg consensus.
Investment Plans
TMO announced a US$2bn investment plan in the US, including US$1.5bn in Capex, to capture growing opportunities in reshoring manufacturing.
Negative Factors
Life Sciences R&D
A confluence of headwinds could pressure life sciences R&D, an end market that broadly comprises 50% of Thermo's sales, longer than many expect.
Market Demand
Weak performance in Chemical Analysis and Electron Microscopy due to low demand in China and A&G.
Organic Growth Outlook
Management lowered the long-term organic growth guidance, which indicates a more conservative outlook for future growth.

Thermo Fisher (TMO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Thermo Fisher Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. provides life sciences solutions, analytical instruments, specialty diagnostics, and laboratory products and biopharma services in the North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company's Life Sciences Solutions segment offers reagents, instruments, and consumables for biological and medical research, discovery, and production of drugs and vaccines, as well as diagnosis of infections and diseases; and solutions include biosciences, genetic sciences, and bio production to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agricultural, clinical, healthcare, academic, and government markets. Its Analytical Instruments segment provides instruments, consumables, software, and services for pharmaceutical, biotechnology, academic, government, environmental, and other research and industrial markets, as well as clinical laboratories. The company's Specialty Diagnostics segment offers liquid, ready-to-use, and lyophilized immunodiagnostic reagent kits, as well as calibrators, controls, protein detection assays, and instruments; immunodiagnostics develops, manufactures and markets complete bloodtest systems to support the clinical diagnosis and monitoring of allergy, asthma and autoimmune diseases; dehydrated and prepared culture media, collection and transport systems, instrumentation, and consumables; human leukocyte antigen typing and testing for organ transplant market; and healthcare products. Its Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services segment provides laboratory products, research and safety market channel, and pharma services and clinical research. It offers products and services through a direct sales force, customer-service professionals, electronic commerce, and third-party distributors under Thermo Scientific; Applied Biosystems; Invitrogen; Fisher Scientific; Unity Lab Services; and Patheon and PPD. Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyThermo Fisher generates revenue through multiple key streams including the sale of scientific instruments, consumables, and reagents. Its primary revenue sources are divided into four segments: Life Sciences Solutions, Analytical Instruments, Specialty Diagnostics, and Laboratory Products and Services. The Life Sciences Solutions segment focuses on products for drug discovery, development, and production, while the Analytical Instruments segment includes high-end analytical instruments used for quality control and research. Specialty Diagnostics comprises in vitro diagnostics and biological safety testing products. Additionally, Laboratory Products and Services includes a range of lab equipment and services. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with academic institutions, research organizations, and pharmaceutical companies, which facilitate the development and commercialization of innovative solutions. Thermo Fisher's strong market presence and diverse product portfolio contribute to its robust earnings and financial stability.

Thermo Fisher Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across various business segments, revealing which areas are contributing most to growth and where there may be potential for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsThermo Fisher's revenue from Life Sciences Solutions and Analytical Instruments shows a declining trend, with recent stabilization. The earnings call highlights strong performance in pharma and biotech, offset by challenges in academic and government sectors. Despite a decline in diagnostics revenue, the company is optimistic about future growth, raising full-year revenue guidance. Strategic acquisitions and new product launches are expected to drive long-term growth, while tariff impacts and market hesitancy pose risks. The company's focus on cost management and innovation supports its positive outlook.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Thermo Fisher Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced picture with strong revenue growth and operational performance, supported by strategic innovation and increased guidance. However, challenges remain in specific segments like academic, industrial, and diagnostics due to external factors such as tariffs and market hesitancy.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EPS Beat Expectations
Thermo Fisher's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $10.85 billion, and adjusted EPS was $5.36, both surpassing guidance. Adjusted operating income grew 1% to $2.38 billion.
Strong Performance in Pharma and Biotech
Mid-single-digit growth driven by bioproduction, Pharma Services, and research and safety market. Clinical research saw slight positive growth.
New Product Launches and Innovation
Thermo Fisher launched next-generation products like Orbitrap mass spectrometers and the Krios 5 electron microscope, receiving positive customer feedback.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
Raised full-year revenue guidance to $43.6-$44.2 billion and adjusted EPS to $22.22-$22.84, reflecting strong operational performance.
Successful Cost Management
An additional $300 million in cost reductions since initial guidance, driving strong adjusted operating income growth.
Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships
Acquisition of Solventum's business lines and expansion of partnership with Sanofi to enhance U.S. drug production capacity.
Negative Updates
Decline in Academic and Government Revenue
Revenue from academic and government sectors declined mid-single digits due to customer hesitancy amid an uncertain environment.
Challenges in Industrial and Applied Markets
Growth in industrial and applied markets declined in low single digits, aligning with expectations and muted demand.
Diagnostics and Healthcare Revenue Decline
Revenue declined in low single digits, affected by headwinds in China despite strong growth in transplant diagnostics.
Impact of Tariffs on Analytical Instruments
Tariffs and U.S. policy focus led to a 4% decline in organic growth for Analytical Instruments, affecting demand for equipment.
Company Guidance
During Thermo Fisher Scientific's 2025 second-quarter earnings call, the company reported a revenue growth of 3% to $10.85 billion and an adjusted operating income increase of 1% to $2.38 billion. The adjusted operating margin for the quarter was 21.9%, and the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $5.36, exceeding guidance. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $43.6 billion to $44.2 billion, with an adjusted EPS range of $22.22 to $22.84. CEO Marc Casper highlighted strong performance in the pharma and biotech sectors, with mid-single-digit growth, and noted challenges in the academic and government markets, where revenue declined mid-single digits. The company is actively managing its operations to mitigate tariff impacts and is optimistic about future growth, forecasting a 3% to 6% organic revenue growth for 2026 and 2027, with a long-term target of 7% plus organic growth.

Thermo Fisher Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thermo Fisher demonstrates robust financial health characterized by stable profitability, a balanced capital structure, and efficient cash flow management. Strong margins, effective debt management, and solid ROE are notable, though revenue growth is moderate.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Thermo Fisher shows strong profitability with a stable Gross Profit Margin of approximately 41.74% for TTM. The Net Profit Margin is 15.24%, indicating efficient cost control and profitability. Revenue growth has been modest with a TTM increase of 0.78% compared to the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 17.13% and 19.58%, respectively, reflecting robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's financial position is solid with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.70. Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 13.05%, showcasing effective use of equity. The Equity Ratio of 49.85% highlights a balanced capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet indicates stability with a slight increase in liabilities over time.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.15, indicating strong cash generation. The Free Cash Flow has decreased by 15.09% from the previous year, reflecting higher capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.94, suggesting efficient cash flow management despite investment activities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.21B42.88B42.86B44.91B39.21B32.22B
Gross Profit17.10B17.73B17.19B19.01B19.63B16.03B
EBITDA11.40B11.80B11.20B11.94B11.97B10.11B
Net Income6.58B6.33B6.00B6.95B7.72B6.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.23B97.32B98.73B97.15B95.12B69.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.39B5.57B8.08B8.52B4.48B10.32B
Total Debt35.23B32.77B36.42B36.07B36.34B22.55B
Total Liabilities50.63B47.65B51.88B53.01B54.15B34.53B
Stockholders Equity50.51B49.58B46.73B43.98B40.79B34.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.17B7.27B6.93B6.91B7.02B6.82B
Operating Cash Flow7.58B8.67B8.41B9.15B9.54B8.29B
Investing Cash Flow-4.37B-5.84B-5.14B-2.16B-21.93B-1.51B
Financing Cash Flow-5.95B-6.79B-3.62B-2.81B6.58B959.00M

Thermo Fisher Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price485.04
Price Trends
50DMA
432.54
Positive
100DMA
432.98
Positive
200DMA
485.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
12.47
Negative
RSI
65.41
Neutral
STOCH
90.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 485.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 462.48, above the 50-day MA of 432.54, and below the 200-day MA of 485.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 12.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TMO.

Thermo Fisher Risk Analysis

Thermo Fisher disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Thermo Fisher reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Thermo Fisher Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$180.28B27.6313.44%0.34%2.05%7.03%
77
Outperform
$33.33B28.9418.88%0.82%0.56%-4.08%
77
Outperform
$52.18B55.2664.87%6.68%18.84%
72
Outperform
$32.20B27.4319.80%3.53%-10.72%
69
Neutral
$147.31B43.696.68%0.56%-3.24%-16.60%
66
Neutral
$17.00B26.7637.03%5.89%10.61%
51
Neutral
$7.44B-0.20-46.00%2.27%22.80%-2.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMO
Thermo Fisher
485.04
-116.68
-19.39%
A
Agilent
118.87
-19.95
-14.37%
DHR
Danaher
210.22
-57.70
-21.54%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
653.95
168.43
34.69%
WAT
Waters
293.52
-47.16
-13.84%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
189.40
-51.51
-21.38%

Thermo Fisher Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Thermo Fisher Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. announced that its Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Stephen Williamson, will retire effective March 31, 2026. James R. Meyer, currently Vice President of Financial Operations, will succeed Williamson as CFO starting March 1, 2026, bringing extensive experience within the company since joining in 2009.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Thermo Fisher Shareholders Elect Board, Reject Proposals
Neutral
May 28, 2025

At the Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025, Thermo Fisher shareholders elected board nominees for a one-year term and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. However, a proposal on executive compensation was not approved, and a shareholder proposal to remove the one-year holding period for calling special meetings was also rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Thermo Fisher Approves CEO’s $60M Stock Award
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Thermo Fisher‘s Board of Directors approved a 5-year performance-based restricted stock unit award for CEO Marc N. Casper, aimed at securing his leadership until May 2030 and driving substantial shareholder returns. The award, valued at approximately $60 million, is designed to incentivize sustained shareholder value growth through total shareholder return outperformance, with payouts based on performance relative to the S&P 500 over a set period.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025