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Thermo Fisher (TMO)
NYSE:TMO

Thermo Fisher (TMO) AI Stock Analysis

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Thermo Fisher

(NYSE:TMO)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
Thermo Fisher's overall stock score reflects its solid financial health and strategic initiatives, balanced by current technical weaknesses and valuation concerns. While strong profitability and strategic M&A activity are positives, challenges in revenue growth, macroeconomic pressures, and high valuation limit the score.
Positive Factors
Attractive Investment Opportunity
Thermo Fisher Scientific shares are at historical 5-year lows, presenting a potential attractive opportunity for investors.
Revenue Guidance
Management maintained its full-year revenue guidance, projecting revenue growth of 1.0% to 3.1% for 2025.
Strategic Investment
To support long-term growth and expand market share, TMO announced plans to invest US$2bn over the next four years in expanding its US manufacturing and R&D facilities, in response to growing customer demand.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
The company revised its adjusted EPS guidance downward, expecting a range from a 0.6% decline to 4.4% growth, mainly due to the impact of tariffs.
Profit Impact
Management guided to a $400M revenue hit due to reduced U.S exports (demand destruction), which, net of mitigation efforts and higher-cost China imports, should impact adjusted operating profit by $375M.
Revenue Headwinds
Thermo Fisher Scientific is facing a $400 million top-line headwind from US-to-China sales and a $500 million headwind related to US policy changes.

Thermo Fisher (TMO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Thermo Fisher Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) is a leading global provider of scientific instrumentation, reagents and consumables, and software services. The company operates in several sectors, including life sciences, industrial and applied sciences, clinical and diagnostics, and laboratory products and services. Its core products and services are designed to support scientific research, healthcare, and diagnostics, offering solutions that range from laboratory equipment and software to chemical reagents and genetic testing kits.
How the Company Makes MoneyThermo Fisher makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes the sale of scientific instruments, laboratory equipment, and consumables. It earns significant income from its laboratory products and services segment, which provides a wide array of products such as lab equipment, chemicals, and supplies to various industries including healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and academic research. The company also generates revenue from its life sciences solutions segment, which includes reagents, instruments, and consumables used in biological and medical research. Additionally, its specialty diagnostics segment offers diagnostic test kits, instruments, and reagents that are widely used in clinical laboratories. Thermo Fisher's analytical instruments segment provides precision laboratory instruments and software solutions. Key partnerships with research institutions, pharmaceutical companies, and healthcare providers, alongside strategic acquisitions, also play a significant role in expanding its market reach and enhancing its product offerings, thus contributing to its earnings.

Thermo Fisher Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across various business segments, revealing which areas are contributing most to growth and where there may be potential for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsThermo Fisher's Life Sciences Solutions segment is experiencing a gradual decline, reflecting challenges in the academic and government markets as mentioned in the earnings call. Meanwhile, the Laboratory Products segment remains stable, supported by strategic acquisitions like Soventum's purification business. Despite macroeconomic pressures, the company is focusing on innovation and M&A to drive resilience. The Analytical Instruments segment shows potential for growth, aligning with new product launches. However, US-China tariffs pose a significant risk, potentially impacting future revenue streams.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Thermo Fisher Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in innovation and M&A. However, significant challenges were noted due to macroeconomic conditions, US-China tariffs, and pressures in the academic and government markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Revenue for Q1 was $10.36 billion, with an adjusted operating income of $2.27 billion. Adjusted EPS grew by 1% to $5.15 per share.
Innovation and Product Launches
Several new products were launched, including the Thermo Scientific Vulcan automated lab and the next-generation Thermo Scientific Transcend, strengthening market leadership.
M&A and Capital Deployment
Announced the acquisition of Soventum's purification and filtration business for $4.1 billion, enhancing bioproduction capabilities. $1 billion in share repurchases and a 10% increase in dividends.
Negative Updates
Impact of US-China Tariffs
Expected $400 million revenue headwind due to tariffs, with significant impacts on products made in the US for the Chinese market.
Challenges in Academic and Government Markets
Revenue declined in academic and government sectors due to macro conditions in the U.S. and China, with expected muted purchases in 2025.
FX Headwinds and Operating Margin Pressure
Reported revenue was flat year over year, with a 1% headwind from foreign exchange. Adjusted operating margin was down 10 basis points from the previous year.
Company Guidance
During Thermo Fisher Scientific's 2025 First Quarter Conference Call, comprehensive guidance was provided amidst a changing macroeconomic landscape. The company reported a revenue of $10.36 billion and an adjusted operating income of $2.27 billion, achieving an adjusted operating margin of 21.9%. The adjusted EPS grew by 1% to $5.15 per share. Despite challenges such as tariffs and policy changes, Thermo Fisher updated its 2025 guidance to project revenues between $43.3 billion and $44.2 billion, with an adjusted EPS range of $21.76 to $22.84. The company's strategic focus on innovation, commercial execution, and capital deployment, including a $4.1 billion acquisition of Soventum's purification and filtration business, underpins its resilience and commitment to customer success. The guidance also reflects mitigation strategies against tariffs, with an anticipated full offset by next year.

Thermo Fisher Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thermo Fisher demonstrates strong financial health with stable profitability and efficient cash generation. The company maintains a balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. However, minor challenges exist in revenue growth and debt management.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Thermo Fisher's income statement shows impressive stability and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 41.74%, and the net profit margin is 15.19%, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT margin of 17.08% and EBITDA margin of 24.71% reflect efficient operations. While revenue has been relatively stable over the past periods, the company exhibited a slight decline in revenue from 2022 to TTM, indicating potential challenges in sales growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a robust equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 13.20%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 49.83% demonstrates a balanced capital structure, though the company carries a significant amount of debt, which requires careful management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals healthy operational cash flow with a TTM free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.03, underscoring efficient cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.25 indicates strong cash conversion from profits. However, free cash flow growth is slightly negative compared to the previous period, highlighting the need to focus on future cash flow improvements.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
42.90B42.88B42.86B44.91B39.21B32.22B
Gross Profit
17.83B17.70B17.11B19.50B20.23B16.50B
EBIT
7.33B7.34B6.86B8.39B10.03B7.79B
EBITDA
10.60B11.80B11.08B11.94B12.96B10.19B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.51B6.33B6.00B6.95B7.72B6.38B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.95B5.57B8.08B8.52B4.48B10.32B
Total Assets
99.04B97.32B98.73B97.15B95.12B69.05B
Total Debt
34.19B31.27B34.92B34.49B34.87B21.73B
Net Debt
30.05B27.27B26.84B25.96B30.39B11.41B
Total Liabilities
49.55B47.65B51.88B53.01B54.15B34.53B
Stockholders Equity
49.36B49.55B46.73B43.98B40.79B34.51B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.72B7.27B6.93B6.91B7.02B6.82B
Operating Cash Flow
8.14B8.67B8.41B9.15B9.54B8.29B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.34B-5.84B-5.14B-2.16B-21.93B-1.51B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.07B-6.79B-3.62B-2.81B6.58B959.00M

Thermo Fisher Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price415.33
Price Trends
50DMA
420.20
Negative
100DMA
479.62
Negative
200DMA
521.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.57
Negative
RSI
52.32
Neutral
STOCH
75.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 415.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 405.16, below the 50-day MA of 420.20, and below the 200-day MA of 521.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TMO.

Thermo Fisher Risk Analysis

Thermo Fisher disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Thermo Fisher reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Thermo Fisher Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$42.30B48.4459.33%5.56%4.66%
AA
79
Outperform
$34.24B29.7218.88%0.83%0.56%-4.08%
IQIQV
76
Outperform
$27.64B21.6521.65%2.84%-0.16%
DHDHR
72
Outperform
$145.01B39.287.22%0.63%-9.19%-12.75%
WAWAT
72
Outperform
$20.59B31.7040.82%2.57%8.31%
TMTMO
69
Neutral
$156.49B24.3313.73%0.41%0.96%9.19%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.31-45.11%3.29%16.82%0.04%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMO
Thermo Fisher
415.33
-155.64
-27.26%
A
Agilent
118.91
-10.69
-8.25%
DHR
Danaher
205.10
-48.70
-19.19%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
526.92
20.80
4.11%
WAT
Waters
349.57
54.06
18.29%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
159.13
-54.83
-25.63%

Thermo Fisher Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Thermo Fisher Shareholders Elect Board, Reject Proposals
Neutral
May 28, 2025

At the Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025, Thermo Fisher shareholders elected board nominees for a one-year term and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. However, a proposal on executive compensation was not approved, and a shareholder proposal to remove the one-year holding period for calling special meetings was also rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Thermo Fisher Approves CEO’s $60M Stock Award
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Thermo Fisher‘s Board of Directors approved a 5-year performance-based restricted stock unit award for CEO Marc N. Casper, aimed at securing his leadership until May 2030 and driving substantial shareholder returns. The award, valued at approximately $60 million, is designed to incentivize sustained shareholder value growth through total shareholder return outperformance, with payouts based on performance relative to the S&P 500 over a set period.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMO) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thermo Fisher stock, see the TMO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.