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Waters Corp (WAT)
NYSE:WAT
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Waters (WAT) AI Stock Analysis

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WAT

Waters

(NYSE:WAT)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$389.00
▲(18.68% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/09/26
The score is primarily supported by strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings-call update (raised guidance, EPS/margin outperformance, and quantified synergy targets). Offsetting these positives, the financial profile shows meaningful near-term pressure in margins and free cash flow despite better top-line growth, and valuation is a key weak point due to the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue / installed base
Waters' business model generates durable recurring revenue from consumables, service contracts and software attached to an installed base. This creates predictable revenue streams and higher lifetime customer value, supporting margin stability and durable cash generation as instruments are maintained and resupplied over years.
Negative Factors
Margin deterioration
Margins compressed materially in the trailing period, reflecting higher costs, purchase accounting and integration mix changes. Sustained margin pressure would weaken earnings quality and ROE, limiting the company's ability to reinvest and fund synergies without structural pricing, cost or product‑mix improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring revenue / installed base
Waters' business model generates durable recurring revenue from consumables, service contracts and software attached to an installed base. This creates predictable revenue streams and higher lifetime customer value, supporting margin stability and durable cash generation as instruments are maintained and resupplied over years.
Read all positive factors

Waters Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Recurring Revenue
Total Recurring Revenue
Measures the revenue from ongoing customer subscriptions or services, indicating the stability and predictability of the company’s income stream.
Chart InsightsWaters' total recurring revenue has shown consistent growth, with a notable uptick in 2025, reflecting a 9% increase as highlighted in the latest earnings call. This growth is driven by strong demand in the pharma sector, particularly in China, and successful product innovations like the Xevo CDMS. Despite challenges in specific segments and external factors such as tariffs, the company's raised guidance and strategic initiatives, including the upcoming combination with BD, signal a positive outlook and potential for continued revenue expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Waters (WAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Waters Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Waters Corporation, a specialty measurement company, provides analytical workflow solutions in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through two segments, Waters and TA. The company designs, manufactures, sells, and services high and ultra-p...
How the Company Makes Money
Waters makes money primarily by selling analytical instruments and the recurring products and services that support those systems over their operating life. Key revenue streams include: (1) Instrument sales: Revenue from the sale of LC, LC-MS/MS, ...

Waters Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive picture: strong combined‑company Q1 results with double‑digit organic growth in legacy businesses, a meaningful EPS beat (+20%), margin outperformance, an above‑plan start for the acquired BD businesses, and raised full‑year guidance. Management also outlined concrete integration actions (180‑day plan), product/regulatory wins, and synergy targets with clear timelines. Offsetting risks include a $20M respiratory headwind, notable China DRG and export constraints that drove declines in parts of the acquired businesses, Q1 GAAP acquisition‑related charges and modest free cash flow impacted by transaction costs, and prudent conservatism baked into the back‑half guide. Overall the positives—beats, raised guidance, tangible synergy progress and product/regulatory milestones—materially outweigh the near‑term operational and geographic headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Combined Revenue and Organic Growth
Total reported Q1 revenue $1.267B; organic revenue $747M and grew 13% as reported / 11% constant currency versus Q1 2025; orders outpaced sales.
Negative Updates
Respiratory Testing Headwind
Respiratory testing weakness (weak flu season) created a ~$20M headwind in the quarter; company estimates a ~4.5% respiratory-related drag on divisional pro forma growth in the full quarter for Advanced Diagnostics.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Combined Revenue and Organic Growth
Total reported Q1 revenue $1.267B; organic revenue $747M and grew 13% as reported / 11% constant currency versus Q1 2025; orders outpaced sales.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance: Waters raised full‑year 2026 organic constant‑currency revenue growth to 6.5%–8% (embedding $15M of mass‑spec cross‑sell revenue synergies), expects the acquired Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions to generate ~ $3.035B of reported 2026 revenue (including $35M of revenue synergies), and sees total 2026 reported revenue of ~$6.405B–$6.455B; adjusted EPS guidance was nudged up $0.10 to $14.40–$14.60 (implying 10%–11% EPS growth), adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be 28.2% for 2026, net interest expense ~ $186M, and an ongoing tax rate of ~16%; near‑term targets include $55M of cost synergies in 2026 and ~$50M of revenue synergies this year (split into the $35M and $15M noted above). For Q2, Waters expects organic constant‑currency growth of 6%–8% (FX ≈ 0.5% headwind) -> organic reported revenue $814M–$829M, Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions revenue ~ $802M, total reported Q2 revenue $1.616B–$1.631B, and Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.95–$3.05.

Waters Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is mixed. Revenue growth re-accelerated sharply in the TTM (+19.1%), but profitability deteriorated (net margin ~11.9% vs ~20.3% in 2025) and free cash flow fell materially (FCF down ~51.1% with weaker cash conversion at ~67.7% of net income). Leverage is more manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.34), but ROE compressed (~8.0%), reflecting the margin reset.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.77B3.17B2.96B2.96B2.97B2.79B
Gross Profit2.07B1.83B1.76B1.76B1.72B1.63B
EBITDA924.47M1.01B1.04B1.00B1.02B982.81M
Net Income449.25M642.63M637.83M642.23M707.75M692.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.53B5.08B4.55B4.63B3.28B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments462.00M587.83M325.36M395.97M481.39M569.28M
Total Debt5.57B1.49B1.70B2.44B1.66B1.60B
Total Liabilities9.24B2.52B2.73B3.48B2.78B2.73B
Stockholders Equity15.29B2.56B1.83B1.15B504.49M367.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow264.00M539.81M619.64M442.18M428.20M579.01M
Operating Cash Flow390.00M652.55M762.12M602.81M611.66M747.27M
Investing Cash Flow-31.00M-152.25M-144.02M-1.44B-107.97M-231.63M
Financing Cash Flow-276.96M-237.21M-696.67M754.95M-509.63M-438.27M

Waters Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price327.77
Price Trends
50DMA
315.50
Positive
100DMA
337.45
Positive
200DMA
337.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.85
Positive
RSI
57.20
Neutral
STOCH
27.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 327.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 326.71, above the 50-day MA of 315.50, and below the 200-day MA of 337.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WAT.

Waters Risk Analysis

Waters disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Waters reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Waters Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$43.67B40.4170.87%13.08%25.40%
69
Neutral
$33.51B-86.778.04%26.39%-28.79%
68
Neutral
$32.15B31.0519.73%0.72%8.14%4.17%
68
Neutral
$121.11B31.227.06%0.53%4.02%0.05%
67
Neutral
$21.88B37.75-610.32%6.78%6.19%
67
Neutral
$167.89B26.6613.26%0.30%5.36%6.54%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WAT
Waters
341.32
-7.14
-2.05%
A
Agilent
113.78
4.99
4.59%
DHR
Danaher
171.12
-15.08
-8.10%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
553.58
48.75
9.66%
MTD
Mettler-Toledo
1,082.67
-53.33
-4.69%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
451.79
52.78
13.23%

Waters Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Waters Subsidiary Completes $3.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 23, 2026
On March 23, 2026, Augusta SpinCo Corporation, a subsidiary of Waters Corporation, completed a $3.5 billion public offering of senior unsecured notes across multiple maturities, all fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Waters and certain of its...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Waters Details Financial Impact of Recent SpinCo Acquisition
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
Waters Corporation has filed a current report in connection with an upcoming Form S-3 shelf registration and has furnished detailed historical and pro forma financial information related to Becton, Dickinson and Company’s former Biosciences ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Waters Closes Reverse Morris Trust, Forms Expanded Life Sciences Leader
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
On February 9, 2026, Waters completed its previously announced Reverse Morris Trust combination with BD’s Biosciences Diagnostic Solutions businesses, creating a larger life sciences and diagnostics group with Waters shareholders owning 60....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026