tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Waters Corp. (WAT)
NYSE:WAT

Waters (WAT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
429 Followers

Top Page

WAT

Waters

(NYSE:WAT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$359.00
▲(12.38% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying profitability and cash generation, plus a constructive 2026 outlook and synergy plan from the BD combination. These positives are tempered by very weak near-term technicals (below key moving averages with negative momentum) and a premium valuation (P/E ~30.5), with added integration and leverage risks flagged in guidance.
Positive Factors
High profitability
Sustained high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure across instruments, consumables and services. This supports recurring cash generation and reinvestment capacity, underpinning long-term R&D funding, margins and shareholder returns over the next 2–6 months.
Recurring revenue base
Growing services and consumables create a sticky, higher‑margin revenue stream (service attach up, e‑commerce penetration ~45%). This recurring mix smooths cyclicality from instrument cycles, enhances margin durability and provides predictable cash flow for operations and integration needs.
Product innovation & LC‑MS momentum
Repeated new‑product wins and strong LC‑MS traction demonstrate sustainable competitive advantage in instrument performance and chemistry. Consistent product-led growth supports replacement cycles, increases consumables attach and secures market share over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Modest organic top‑line growth
Despite margin strength, trailing revenue growth has been muted, limiting operating leverage upside. Slower organic growth raises reliance on cycle recovery, consumables expansion and M&A synergies to meet medium‑term targets, increasing execution dependence over 2–6 months.
Elevated post‑deal leverage
The BD combination materially increases pro forma leverage and interest expense, constraining financial flexibility. Deleveraging targets require consistent cash flow and realized synergies; any integration delays or weaker FCF could slow the planned path to sub‑2x leverage.
Exposure to cyclical/regional headwinds
Significant exposure to diagnostics seasonality and regional demand (China A&G, POC timing) increases revenue volatility. Near‑term weakness in TA and government/academic markets highlights sensitivity to macro and seasonal swings that can pressure instrument replacement and consumables demand.

Waters (WAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Waters Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWaters Corporation, a specialty measurement company, provides analytical workflow solutions in Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through two segments, Waters and TA. The company designs, manufactures, sells, and services high and ultra-performance liquid chromatography, as well as mass spectrometry (MS) technology systems and support products, including chromatography columns, other consumable products, and post-warranty service plans. It also designs, manufactures, sells, and services thermal analysis, rheometry, and calorimetry instruments; and develops and supplies software-based products that interface with its instruments, as well as other manufacturers' instruments. Its MS technology instruments are used in drug discovery and development comprising clinical trial testing, the analysis of proteins in disease processes, nutritional safety analysis, and environmental testing. The company offers thermal analysis, rheometry, and calorimetry instruments for use in predicting the suitability and stability of fine chemicals, pharmaceuticals, water, polymers, metals, and viscous liquids for various industrial, consumer good, and healthcare products, as well as for life science research. Its products are used by life science, pharmaceutical, biochemical, industrial, nutritional safety, environmental, academic, and governmental customers working in research and development, quality assurance, and other laboratory applications. Waters Corporation was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Milford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyWaters generates revenue primarily through the sale of its analytical instruments, consumables, and software solutions. Key revenue streams include the sale of mass spectrometers and chromatographic systems, which are critical for various applications in pharmaceuticals, environmental testing, and food safety. Additionally, Waters earns revenue from ongoing services and support, including maintenance contracts and training for its products. The company has established significant partnerships with research institutions and pharmaceutical companies, enhancing its market presence and driving sales through collaborative product development and innovative applications. Furthermore, Waters benefits from a strong focus on research and development, allowing it to introduce new technologies that meet the evolving needs of its customers, thereby contributing to its financial growth.

Waters Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Recurring Revenue
Total Recurring Revenue
Measures the revenue from ongoing customer subscriptions or services, indicating the stability and predictability of the company’s income stream.
Chart InsightsWaters' Total Recurring Revenue shows a notable upward trend, driven by strong growth in services and chemistry, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. The 11% surge in recurring revenue aligns with strategic expansions and successful product launches. Despite challenges in the TA division and academic segments, the company's increased guidance and strategic combination with BD's Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions business indicate a robust outlook, with expected synergies and continued growth momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Waters Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational execution, continued product-led growth (especially LC‑MS and chemistry), improved commercial KPIs, robust free cash flow and a completed acquisition with defined synergy targets and industry‑leading combined guidance. Near‑term challenges center on underperformance in the acquired BD franchises (China/POC/export timing), TA weakness, short‑term timing effects from the Empower subscription transition, and higher pro forma leverage and dilution. Management has laid out conservative baselines and actionable synergy and commercial plans, suggesting upside if execution is successful.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Revenue and EPS
Q4 sales of $932 million, up 7% reported and 6% constant currency; adjusted EPS $4.53 (GAAP EPS $3.77). Recurring revenue grew 9% in the quarter, supporting margin strength.
Full-Year Growth and Profitability
Full-year revenue grew 7% (reported and constant currency). Adjusted EPS grew 11% to $13.13 (GAAP EPS $10.76). Full-year gross margin 59.3% and adjusted operating margin 30.5%. Full-year free cash flow $677 million.
Recurring Revenue and LC‑MS Momentum
Full-year recurring revenue grew 8% (service +7%, chemistry +12%). Instrument revenue grew 5% for the year with LC‑MS delivering high single-digit growth or better every quarter.
Commercial KPI Improvements & E‑commerce
Service plan attachment rose to 54% (≈ +400 basis points YoY). Instrument replacement tracking at ~2.5% CAGR vs 2019 (≈ +100 bps since cycle start). E‑commerce penetration reached ~45% of consumables revenue. Contract organizations represent 27% of pharma sales (up from 15% five years ago).
Product Innovation Driving Growth
Multiple new-product successes: Alliance iS HPLC sales more than doubled; Xevo TQ Absolute platforms grew >30%; MaxPeak Premier chemistry grew >35%; chemistry/bioseparations expanded with double-digit growth in 2025 (SEC columns, slalom chromatography, affinity separations).
Acquisition Closed with Clear Synergy Targets and Solid Combined Guidance
Closed BD Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions acquisition. Acquired business expected to contribute ~$3.0 billion revenue in 2026. Combined 2026 reported revenue guidance ~$6.405B–$6.455B (blended ~5.3% YoY at midpoint). Expect ~$55M of cost synergies and ~$50M of revenue synergies in 2026 (with ~$25M adjusted EBIT from revenue synergies). Combined adjusted operating margin ~28.1% and adjusted EPS guidance $14.30–$14.50 (8.9%–10.4% growth, includes ~$0.10 accretion).
Healthy Cash Generation and Defined Deleveraging Path
Q4 free cash flow $125M after $39M capex; full-year free cash flow $677M after $113M capex. Pro forma net debt expected ~$4.6–$4.7B (≈2.4x net debt/EBITDA) with plan to reduce to below 2x within ~18 months.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Acquired BD Businesses
BD Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions results came in below expectations in Q4 due to weaker China demand (diagnostics consumption reductions / DRG), U.S. government shutdown-related export delays, and a milder flu season impacting POC. Management assumes ~2.5% underlying growth for the acquired business in 2026 and expects a low single-digit revenue decline in the partial Q1 contribution (~$480M).
TA Division Weakness and Instrument Drag
TA Instruments declined in the quarter (cautious spending in U.S. and Europe) and TA was a drag on instrument growth. Instrument sales grew only 3% in Q4; TA division was flat/negative (full-year TA down ~1%), reducing overall instrument momentum.
Academic & Government and Regional Headwinds
Academic & Government end market declined 3% in Q4 and ~1% for the full year; Europe A&G declined ~5% for the year. China had pockets of weakness tied to stimulus timing and DRG-related headwinds.
Short-Term Revenue Timing from Empower Subscription Transition
Transition of Empower to subscription reduced instrument growth by a low-single-digit percentage in the quarter (revenue now recognized over contract life). While strategic for long-term recurring revenue, this causes near-term timing headwinds and changes revenue recognition dynamics.
Incremental Leverage, Interest and Share Count Impact
Pro forma leverage steps up (net debt ~$4.6–$4.7B; ~2.4x net debt/EBITDA) and interest expense expected ~ $179M in 2026. Share count increases (98.4M shares at close; full‑year average ~94.3M) will dilute near-term EPS dynamics despite projected accretion for the year.
Company Guidance
Waters guided to stand‑alone 2026 organic constant‑currency revenue growth of 5.5%–7% (with a roughly +0.5% FX tailwind), expects the acquired BD Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions business to contribute ~$3.0B of revenue in 2026 (assumed ~2.5% underlying owned‑period growth) and to realize ~$50M of revenue synergies (producing ~$25M of incremental adjusted EBIT) plus ~$55M of cost synergies in 2026; together this implies total reported 2026 revenue of ~$6.405B–$6.455B and a blended year‑over‑year growth of ~5.3% at the midpoint, an adjusted operating margin of ~28.1% and full‑year adjusted EPS of $14.30–$14.50 (up 8.9%–10.4%, including $0.10 of transaction accretion). First‑quarter 2026 guidance assumes stand‑alone organic CC growth of 7%–9% (reported stand‑alone revenue ~$718M–$731M), BD partial‑quarter revenue of ~$480M (low‑single‑digit decline), for combined Q1 revenue of ~$1.198B–$1.211B; Q1 adjusted EPS is guided to $2.25–$2.35 (flat to +4.4%), with stand‑alone Q1 EPS of $2.50 (≈10% growth). Additional notable assumptions: pro forma net debt of roughly $4.6B–$4.7B (~2.4x net debt/EBITDA) with a path below 2x within ~18 months, pro forma net interest ~$179M, full‑year tax rate ~16.6%, full‑year average diluted shares ~94.3M (closing share count 98.4M) and Q1 average share count ~82M.

Waters Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash conversion support a high-quality earnings profile (TTM gross margin ~59%, net margin ~20%; FCF ~83% of net income). Offsetting this, recent revenue growth is modest (TTM ~1.9%) and cash flow has shown some variability (TTM FCF ~-10%). Balance sheet trends look improved in the latest period (TTM shows zero debt), but historical leverage swings add some caution.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Profitability is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin is ~59% and net margin is ~20%, indicating strong pricing power and disciplined cost structure. Revenue growth has been modest recently (TTM ~1.9% after essentially flat 2024 and slight decline in 2023), which tempers the outlook versus earlier, stronger growth years. Overall, earnings power is high and fairly consistent, but the growth trajectory has cooled.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage and equity trends are mixed. The annual reports show meaningful debt and historically elevated debt-to-equity (peaking above 6x in 2020 and improving to ~0.93x in 2024), suggesting balance-sheet risk has been coming down. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows zero total debt and a higher equity base, which—if sustained—would be a major improvement in financial flexibility. Returns on equity are strong across periods, but the sharp shifts in leverage/equity levels point to potential volatility in capital structure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is solid: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$653M) and free cash flow (~$540M) are healthy, and free cash flow is consistently a large share of net income (TTM ~83%). The main weakness is variability—TTM free cash flow declined (~-10%), and prior years show uneven free-cash-flow growth—so cash conversion is good, but not steadily improving.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.17B2.96B2.96B2.97B2.79B
Gross Profit1.83B1.76B1.76B1.72B1.63B
EBITDA1.01B1.04B1.00B1.02B982.81M
Net Income642.63M637.83M642.23M707.75M692.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.08B4.55B4.63B3.28B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments587.83M325.36M395.97M481.39M569.28M
Total Debt1.41B1.70B2.44B1.66B1.60B
Total Liabilities2.52B2.73B3.48B2.78B2.73B
Stockholders Equity2.56B1.83B1.15B504.49M367.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow539.81M619.64M442.18M428.20M579.01M
Operating Cash Flow652.55M762.12M602.81M611.66M747.27M
Investing Cash Flow-152.25M-144.02M-1.44B-107.97M-231.63M
Financing Cash Flow-237.21M-696.67M754.95M-509.63M-438.27M

Waters Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price319.44
Price Trends
50DMA
373.44
Negative
100DMA
368.61
Negative
200DMA
343.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.91
Positive
RSI
32.45
Neutral
STOCH
68.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WAT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 319.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 350.72, below the 50-day MA of 373.44, and below the 200-day MA of 343.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WAT.

Waters Risk Analysis

Waters disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Waters reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Waters Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$35.19B27.2120.62%0.72%6.73%3.34%
70
Outperform
$51.69B50.2666.20%8.39%21.44%
69
Neutral
$32.01B29.6729.28%6.90%3.86%
67
Neutral
$147.76B41.457.05%0.53%2.90%-4.81%
66
Neutral
$28.04B32.764.77%7.93%
61
Neutral
$193.72B29.0613.04%0.30%3.91%7.09%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WAT
Waters
319.44
-65.54
-17.02%
A
Agilent
124.72
-8.68
-6.50%
DHR
Danaher
209.52
1.39
0.67%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
657.38
199.57
43.59%
MTD
Mettler-Toledo
1,379.91
90.39
7.01%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
513.68
-17.73
-3.34%

Waters Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Waters Closes Reverse Morris Trust, Forms Expanded Life Sciences Leader
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Waters completed its previously announced Reverse Morris Trust combination with BD’s Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions businesses, creating a larger life sciences and diagnostics group with Waters shareholders owning 60.8% and BD shareholders 39.2% of the combined company. The deal, financed in part through a $4.0 billion SpinCo term loan guaranteed by Waters and its key subsidiaries, is designed to strengthen the company’s position in high-volume, regulated testing markets and expand into high-growth adjacent segments.

Following the closing, Waters reorganized into four divisions—Analytical Sciences, Biosciences, Advanced Diagnostics, and Materials Sciences—aligning product lines from chromatography and mass spectrometry to flow cytometry and specialty diagnostics under a unified structure. In parallel, the company put in place tax, employee, intellectual property and transition service agreements with BD and SpinCo, while adding genomics expert Claire M. Fraser to its expanded 11-member board to help oversee integration and future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAT) stock is a Buy with a $440.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waters stock, see the WAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Waters shareholders approve transformative BD business combination
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Waters shareholders overwhelmingly approved the issuance of Waters common stock to shareholders of Becton, Dickinson and Company in connection with the planned combination of BD’s Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions business with Waters, with approximately 90.8% of eligible shares represented at the special meeting and about 99% of those present voting in favor. With all required regulatory approvals secured and a favorable IRS private letter ruling obtained on U.S. federal income tax matters related to the deal, the companies expect to close the transaction on February 9, 2026, positioning Waters as a more differentiated leader in life sciences and diagnostics and prompting the company to align the release of its Q4 2025 financial results and conference call with the anticipated closing date.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAT) stock is a Buy with a $460.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waters stock, see the WAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Waters Issues Supplemental Disclosures to Keep Merger on Track
Negative
Jan 16, 2026

On July 13, 2025, Waters Corporation signed definitive agreements with Becton, Dickinson and Company to execute a Reverse Morris Trust transaction under which BD will spin off its Biosciences and Diagnostic Solutions business into Augusta SpinCo Corporation and, following a pro rata distribution of SpinCo shares to BD shareholders, SpinCo will merge with a Waters subsidiary to become a wholly owned unit of Waters in exchange for Waters stock. In the run-up to a January 27, 2026 special meeting of Waters shareholders and after the SEC declared Waters’ Form S‑4 registration statement effective on December 23, 2025, Waters faced two shareholder lawsuits and several demand letters alleging that its proxy statement/prospectus omitted material information; while maintaining that its disclosures fully comply with the law and denying any wrongdoing, the company has issued detailed supplemental disclosures, including additional background on transaction negotiations, financial projections and valuation analyses, in an effort to moot the claims, avoid litigation-related delays and keep the planned merger on track.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAT) stock is a Buy with a $456.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waters stock, see the WAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Waters Highlights Investor Update and Spin-Off Transaction Progress
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Waters Corporation plans to present an investor presentation at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference on January 12, 2026, where President and CEO Udit Batra will provide high-level commentary on the company’s business performance, with a transcript to be made available on its website afterward. The company also detailed the progress of its proposed transaction with Becton, Dickinson and Company and Augusta SpinCo Corporation, noting that the SEC declared effective Waters’ Form S-4 registration statement and SpinCo’s Form 10 on December 23 and December 31, 2025, respectively, and that a definitive proxy statement/prospectus was mailed to Waters shareholders of record as of December 19, 2025, signaling an advanced stage in the regulatory and shareholder communication process for the deal.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAT) stock is a Hold with a $400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waters stock, see the WAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026