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TCAF - ETF AI Analysis

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TCAF

T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF (TCAF)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
TCAF, the T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by large positions in high-quality tech leaders like Alphabet, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple, all benefiting from strong financial performance and long-term growth in AI, cloud, and digital services. These strengths are partly offset by weaker names such as CenterPoint Energy and Nisource, where liquidity, leverage, and bearish technical signals add some risk. The fund is also notably concentrated in a handful of big technology-related companies, which can increase volatility if that sector faces a downturn.
Positive Factors
Large, Established Top Holdings
The ETF’s biggest positions are in well-known, mega-cap companies that tend to be more stable and widely followed by investors.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings spread across technology, health care, consumer, financials, utilities, and other sectors help reduce the impact of weakness in any single industry.
Significant Fund Size
The ETF manages a large pool of assets, which can support better liquidity and trading efficiency for investors.
Negative Factors
Recent Weak Performance
The fund has shown negative returns over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating recent performance has been soft.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
With almost all assets in U.S. stocks, the ETF offers very limited geographic diversification outside the United States.
Tech-Heavy Portfolio
A large tilt toward technology stocks means the fund may be more sensitive to downturns or volatility in the tech sector.

TCAF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TCAF Summary

T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF (TCAF) is an actively managed fund that focuses on large U.S. companies, rather than tracking a set index. It aims for long-term growth by investing in many well-known names such as Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, and Alphabet, with a heavy tilt toward technology and health care. Investors might consider TCAF for broad exposure to leading, established businesses in one simple investment, which can help with diversification and growth potential over time. A key risk is that it is heavily exposed to big tech and stock prices can go up and down with the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The TCAF ETF has an expense ratio of 0.31%, which means you’ll pay $3.10 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed, meaning professional managers select stocks rather than following a preset index. Active management often leads to higher costs due to research and decision-making efforts.
What would affect this ETF?The TCAF ETF, with its strong focus on large-cap U.S. companies, could benefit from continued growth in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, especially with major players like Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple leading innovation. However, it may face challenges if interest rates rise, as this could pressure valuations in growth-oriented sectors like tech and consumer cyclical, or if regulatory changes impact large-cap companies. Economic conditions in the U.S., such as inflation or recession risks, could also influence the ETF's performance positively or negatively.

TCAF Top 10 Holdings

TCAF is leaning heavily on U.S. Big Tech, with Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Apple steering the ship. Alphabet and Amazon have been the bright spots lately, giving the fund a lift as their AI and cloud stories gain traction. Nvidia is more mixed, still a long-term AI powerhouse but no longer sprinting ahead. Apple and Meta, meanwhile, are losing steam and acting as a drag. Outside tech, steady names like Becton Dickinson and utilities such as Nisource help smooth the ride, but this is still very much a U.S. tech-led story.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Microsoft7.12%$454.47M$2.98T-1.74%
79
Outperform
Apple6.11%$390.40M$3.76T4.57%
79
Outperform
Nvidia5.91%$377.39M$4.44T31.66%
76
Outperform
Amazon5.70%$364.03M$2.13T-13.07%
71
Outperform
Alphabet Class A4.80%$306.90M$3.70T65.05%
85
Outperform
Broadcom3.23%$206.20M$1.54T39.53%
76
Outperform
Centerpoint Energy3.08%$196.69M$27.76B27.27%
63
Neutral
Meta Platforms2.97%$189.68M$1.62T-13.15%
76
Outperform
Nisource2.89%$184.42M$22.18B16.83%
64
Neutral
Becton Dickinson2.65%$169.58M$50.08B-21.76%
67
Neutral

TCAF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
38.14
Negative
100DMA
38.09
Negative
200DMA
36.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
34.74
Neutral
STOCH
21.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCAF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.98, equal to the 50-day MA of 38.14, and equal to the 200-day MA of 36.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TCAF.

TCAF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$6.30B0.31%
$8.63B0.68%
$7.76B0.68%
$6.51B0.18%
$6.46B0.56%
$4.11B0.75%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCAF
T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF
37.07
2.95
8.65%
QQQI
NEOS Nasdaq 100 High Income ETF
SPYI
NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF
FELC
Fidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core ETF
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
GRNY
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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