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SMH - ETF AI Analysis

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SMH

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) benefits from strong contributions by holdings like Nvidia and TSMC, which are leaders in AI and advanced technologies, driving long-term growth despite valuation concerns. However, weaker holdings like Intel, which faces profitability and cash flow challenges, slightly weigh down the fund's overall rating. A key risk factor is the ETF's heavy concentration in the semiconductor sector, which makes it vulnerable to industry-specific challenges such as geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions.
Positive Factors
Strong Year-to-Date Performance
The ETF has delivered impressive gains this year, reflecting strength in the semiconductor sector.
Top Holdings Driving Growth
Several key holdings, like AMD and Micron, have shown strong performance, contributing positively to the fund’s returns.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a competitive fee, making it cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.
Negative Factors
Sector Over-Concentration
The fund is heavily focused on the technology sector, which increases vulnerability to downturns in the semiconductor industry.
Geographic Concentration Risk
Nearly all of the ETF’s exposure is tied to U.S. companies, limiting diversification across global markets.
High Concentration in Nvidia
Nvidia makes up a significant portion of the portfolio, exposing investors to risks tied to the performance of a single company.

SMH vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SMH Summary

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is an investment fund focused on the semiconductor industry, a key part of the technology sector. It includes leading companies like Nvidia and TSMC, which produce essential components for electronics, computers, and advanced technologies like AI and 5G. This ETF is ideal for investors looking to benefit from the growth of the tech industry and the increasing demand for semiconductors. However, since it focuses solely on one sector, its value can fluctuate significantly with changes in the tech market.
How much will it cost me?The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, meaning you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than the average for ETFs because it is a sector-focused fund that requires more active management to track the semiconductor industry. However, it may be worth it for investors seeking targeted exposure to this fast-growing sector.
What would affect this ETF?The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) could benefit from increasing demand for semiconductors driven by advancements in AI, cloud computing, and electric vehicles, as well as global digital transformation trends. However, it may face challenges from geopolitical tensions affecting key players like TSMC, regulatory changes, or economic slowdowns that reduce consumer and corporate spending on technology. Interest rate hikes could also impact growth-oriented companies within the ETF's portfolio.

SMH Top 10 Holdings

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is riding the wave of the semiconductor boom, with a heavy concentration in tech giants like Nvidia and TSMC, which are benefiting from their leadership in AI and advanced chip technologies. Nvidia has shown mixed momentum recently, with strong long-term growth prospects but some short-term headwinds. Meanwhile, TSMC and Broadcom are steady performers, bolstered by their focus on AI and infrastructure. Micron and Lam Research are rising stars, delivering robust gains thanks to their strategic investments in AI and data centers. However, laggards like AMD and Intel are holding back the fund slightly, as valuation concerns and profitability challenges weigh on their performance. With nearly all its holdings in the semiconductor sector, this ETF is a pure play on the global demand for cutting-edge tech.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Nvidia18.15%$6.31B$4.38T33.19%
76
Outperform
TSMC9.64%$3.35B$1.19T60.03%
81
Outperform
Broadcom9.01%$3.13B$1.88T148.99%
76
Outperform
Micron6.35%$2.21B$258.46B134.48%
75
Outperform
Advanced Micro Devices5.94%$2.07B$348.79B57.25%
74
Outperform
Applied Materials5.61%$1.95B$199.14B45.91%
75
Outperform
Lam Research5.56%$1.93B$194.86B116.77%
77
Outperform
ASML Holding5.49%$1.91B$403.20B55.26%
81
Outperform
Intel5.40%$1.88B$175.58B55.64%
56
Neutral
KLA4.79%$1.67B$152.29B83.36%
79
Outperform

SMH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
341.31
Positive
100DMA
317.20
Positive
200DMA
275.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.64
Positive
RSI
52.98
Neutral
STOCH
71.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 347.53, equal to the 50-day MA of 341.31, and equal to the 200-day MA of 275.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMH.

SMH Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$34.17B0.35%
$10.75B0.59%
$6.24B0.39%
$3.54B0.50%
$2.81B0.40%
$13.59M0.15%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
347.71
106.65
44.24%
CIBR
First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF
IXN
iShares Global Tech ETF
TDIV
First Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund
QTUM
Defiance Quantum ETF
CHPS
Xtrackers Semiconductor Select Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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