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MGC - ETF AI Analysis

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MGC

Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
MGC (Vanguard Mega Cap ETF) earns a solid overall rating, mainly because it is heavily invested in high‑quality tech leaders like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, which show strong financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and promising growth in areas like cloud and AI. However, some major holdings such as Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, and Eli Lilly face risks from high valuations, mixed technical signals, and cash flow or leverage concerns, and the fund’s heavy tilt toward large U.S. tech and growth names means it is exposed to sector and style downturns.
Positive Factors
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings spread across technology, financials, communication services, consumer sectors, health care, and more help reduce the impact if any one industry struggles.
Exposure to Leading Mega-Cap Companies
The fund’s top positions include many of the largest and most established U.S. companies, which can provide stability and long-term growth potential.
Negative Factors
Heavy Tilt Toward Technology
A large portion of the portfolio is in technology stocks, which can make the ETF more sensitive to downturns in that sector.
Weak Recent Performance
The ETF has shown negative returns over the year-to-date and past month, indicating recent performance has been soft.
High U.S. Market Concentration
With almost all assets invested in U.S. companies, the fund offers little geographic diversification and is heavily tied to the U.S. market’s fortunes.

MGC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGC Summary

Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC) tracks the CRSP US Mega Cap Index, which focuses on the largest U.S. companies. It holds many household names, including Apple and Microsoft, along with other big tech, finance, and healthcare firms. This fund can be appealing if you want simple, broad exposure to leading U.S. businesses in one investment, with built-in diversification across many sectors. A key risk is that it is heavily tilted toward large U.S. technology companies, so its value can rise or fall significantly with the overall stock market and tech sector.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, meaning you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs low for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC) could benefit from continued growth in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, as well as strong performance from its top companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple. However, it may face challenges if interest rates rise, potentially impacting valuations of large-cap growth stocks, or if economic conditions weaken, affecting consumer spending and financial sector performance. Regulatory changes targeting major tech firms could also pose risks to the ETF's future returns.

MGC Top 10 Holdings

MGC is very much a U.S. mega-cap tech story, with giants like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft steering the ship. Lately, that trio has been losing a bit of altitude, with Apple and Microsoft in particular lagging and acting as a mild brake on the fund. On the brighter side, Alphabet has been rising nicely, giving the portfolio a lift, while Amazon has been more steady than spectacular. Eli Lilly adds a powerful health care kicker, recently sprinting ahead and helping offset some of the tech wobble.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Nvidia9.02%$952.04M$4.44T31.66%
76
Outperform
Apple7.84%$827.32M$3.76T4.57%
79
Outperform
Microsoft6.54%$690.06M$2.98T-1.74%
79
Outperform
Amazon4.71%$496.78M$2.13T-13.07%
71
Outperform
Alphabet Class A4.02%$424.31M$3.70T65.05%
85
Outperform
Broadcom3.20%$337.59M$1.54T39.53%
76
Outperform
Meta Platforms3.19%$336.72M$1.62T-13.15%
76
Outperform
Alphabet Class C3.18%$335.71M$3.70T63.76%
82
Outperform
Tesla2.49%$262.54M$1.57T17.31%
73
Outperform
Eli Lilly & Co1.80%$190.39M$981.09B23.18%
72
Outperform

MGC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
251.91
Negative
100DMA
249.02
Negative
200DMA
236.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
40.37
Neutral
STOCH
30.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 251.90, equal to the 50-day MA of 251.91, and equal to the 200-day MA of 236.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGC.

MGC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$9.36B0.05%
$8.97B0.34%
$8.63B0.68%
$8.31B0.52%
$8.16B0.61%
$7.87B0.25%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGC
Vanguard Mega Cap ETF
247.66
27.78
12.63%
PRF
Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1000 ETF
QQQI
NEOS Nasdaq 100 High Income ETF
FTCS
First Trust Capital Strength ETF
QYLD
Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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