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HDV - ETF AI Analysis

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HDV

iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
HDV’s rating suggests it is a solid, but not flawless, high-dividend ETF, supported by strong, diversified leaders like Merck, Johnson & Johnson, Exxon Mobil, and Coca-Cola, which bring robust financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and strategic growth pipelines. Some holdings such as AbbVie, Home Depot, and Philip Morris introduce concerns around leverage, valuation, and bearish technical trends, which slightly weigh on the fund’s overall appeal. The main risk factor is its meaningful exposure to a few large companies and sectors, so weakness in these names or in energy and healthcare more broadly could have an outsized impact on the ETF.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Leading Blue-Chip Holdings
Several of the largest positions, including major energy, health care, and consumer companies, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of the income and growth it generates.
Negative Factors
High U.S. Concentration
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. companies, so the fund offers little geographic diversification outside the U.S. market.
Sector Concentration in Defensive and Energy Names
Large weights in consumer defensive, energy, and health care mean the fund is heavily tied to how these specific sectors perform.
Not All Top Holdings Are Performing Strongly
At least one major holding has shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall returns if the weakness continues.

HDV vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HDV Summary

The iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV) is built to track the Morningstar Dividend Yield Focus Index, which focuses on U.S. companies that pay relatively high and steady dividends. It holds many large, well-known names such as Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, and Coca-Cola, spread across sectors like energy, healthcare, and consumer goods. Someone might invest in HDV to seek regular income from dividends while still staying diversified across many solid companies. A key risk is that dividend-paying stocks can still fall in price and will go up and down with the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?The iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV) has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which means you’ll pay $0.80 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because HDV is passively managed, tracking an index rather than relying on active stock picking.
What would affect this ETF?The iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV) could benefit from stable economic conditions and strong performance in defensive sectors like Consumer Defensive and Health Care, which make up a significant portion of its holdings. However, rising interest rates or regulatory changes in the energy sector, where HDV has notable exposure, could negatively impact its performance. Additionally, shifts in consumer spending or economic downturns might affect dividend payouts from top holdings like Exxon Mobil and Johnson & Johnson.

HDV Top 10 Holdings

HDV’s story right now is all about old-school cash machines rather than flashy growth. Exxon Mobil and Chevron are doing the heavy lifting, with rising energy shares giving the fund a solid tailwind. On the defensive side, Johnson & Johnson is steady, but AbbVie has been lagging and acting like a small anchor in health care. Consumer staples are a big pillar here too: Coca-Cola and PepsiCo are holding up reasonably well, while Procter & Gamble looks a bit tired. With a U.S.-only, dividend-heavy tilt, this ETF is concentrated in energy and classic defensives.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Exxon Mobil8.59%$1.17B$635.47B47.87%
74
Outperform
Chevron6.42%$875.91M$379.84B39.02%
71
Outperform
Johnson & Johnson6.05%$825.48M$574.36B57.16%
78
Outperform
AbbVie5.55%$756.36M$367.80B18.79%
66
Neutral
Procter & Gamble4.51%$615.36M$340.84B-13.03%
69
Neutral
Merck & Company4.30%$586.06M$303.31B53.35%
80
Outperform
Home Depot4.27%$582.24M$338.23B-4.67%
66
Neutral
Philip Morris4.14%$564.18M$251.01B4.26%
61
Neutral
Coca-Cola3.89%$531.01M$336.23B8.46%
75
Outperform
Progressive3.82%$520.40M$113.56B-29.57%
78
Outperform

HDV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
135.35
Negative
100DMA
128.78
Positive
200DMA
123.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
46.92
Neutral
STOCH
55.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.32, equal to the 50-day MA of 135.35, and equal to the 200-day MA of 123.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HDV.

HDV Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$13.67B0.08%
72
Outperform
$86.27B0.06%
73
Outperform
$74.77B0.04%
71
Outperform
$22.61B0.38%
69
Neutral
$20.61B0.35%
71
Outperform
$8.62B0.15%
69
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HDV
iShares Core High Dividend ETF
133.98
24.23
22.08%
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index ETF
DVY
iShares Select Dividend ETF
SDY
SPDR S&P Dividend ETF
FDVV
Fidelity High Dividend ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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