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YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF)
NYSE:YPF

YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) AI Stock Analysis

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YPF

YPF Sociedad Anonima

(NYSE:YPF)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(4.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held back primarily by volatile financial results (2025 net loss, inconsistent free cash flow, and rising leverage). Offsetting this are supportive technical momentum and a constructive earnings-call outlook with clear 2026 targets and expected leverage improvement, while valuation is penalized by a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Shale production ramp
Sustained, rapid shale growth increases scale in Vaca Muerta, raising long‑term volume visibility and lowering per‑unit costs. Higher, durable production capacity supports stronger, recurring cash flow generation and underpins reinvestment and export plans over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Upstream cost competitiveness
Material unit‑cost reductions strengthen margin resilience through commodity cycles. Best‑in‑class shale hub economics permit profitable production at lower prices, supporting sustainable operating margins, higher free‑cash potential when prices recover, and a durable competitive advantage in Argentina.
Strategic LNG and Vaca Muerta consolidation
Bringing world‑class partners into Argentina LNG and consolidating Vaca Muerta acreage materially shifts YPF toward long‑term LNG exports and scale via partner financing and expertise. This structural move diversifies revenue streams and reduces execution risk on a transformational, multi‑year project horizon.
Negative Factors
Volatile and negative free cash flow
Unreliable free cash flow constrains the company’s ability to self‑fund growth and deleveraging. Recurring negative or lumpy FCF forces dependence on asset sales or external funding, elevating financing risk and reducing flexibility to absorb shocks or opportunistically invest.
Meaningful leverage and near‑term maturities
Elevated leverage and sizable 2026 maturities increase refinancing and interest‑rate exposure. Even with management plans to reduce leverage, the near‑term debt wall raises the probability of costly refinancing, constraining capital allocation and heightening sensitivity to weaker operating cash flow.
Very high near‑term and project capex needs
Large, multi‑year capital requirements materially increase funding needs and execution risk. Heavy capex reduces immediate free cash flow, requires sustained access to capital markets or asset sales, and ties returns to long‑dated project execution and global LNG price dynamics.

YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

YPF Sociedad Anonima Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, engages in the oil and gas upstream and downstream activities in Argentina. The company's upstream operations include the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs. Its downstream operations include the refining, marketing, transportation, and distribution of oil, petroleum products, petroleum derivatives, petrochemicals, LPG, and bio-fuels, as well as in gas separation, natural gas distribution operations, and power generation. As of December 31, 2021, it had interests in 119 oil and gas fields; approximately 643 million barrels (mmbbl) of oil; and approximately 2,447 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas. It also had a retail distribution network of 1,654 YPF-branded service stations; and 18 exploration permits. In addition, the company owns and operates three refineries with combined annual refining capacity of approximately 120 mmbbl; approximately 2,800 kilometers of crude oil pipelines with approximately 640,000 barrels of aggregate daily transportation capacity of refined products; and crude oil tankage of approximately 7 mmbbl, as well as maintains terminal facilities at five Argentine ports. Further, it participates in 21 power generation plants with an aggregate installed capacity of 3,091 megawatts; offers diesel, fertilizers, lubricants, phytosanitary products, and ensiling bags; and supplies diesel, gasoline, fuel oil, coal, asphalts, paraffin, and sulfur, CO2, decanted oil, and aromatic extract. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyYPF makes money through multiple integrated revenue streams across the oil and gas value chain. (1) Upstream (Exploration & Production): YPF generates revenue by producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids and selling these volumes into domestic and, where applicable, export markets. Earnings in this segment are driven by production volumes, realized prices (influenced by global commodity benchmarks, local market conditions, and applicable regulation), and lifting/development costs; the company’s unconventional development activity (including shale) is a significant contributor to production growth and cash flow when prices and costs are favorable. (2) Downstream (Refining & Marketing): YPF earns revenue by purchasing/producing crude oil, refining it into higher-value products (such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, and other refined products), and selling those products through wholesale channels and its branded service-station network. Profitability is influenced by refining utilization, product demand, and the margin between refined-product selling prices and crude/feedstock costs (refining margins), as well as logistics and retail performance. (3) Petrochemicals and other industrial activities: YPF also generates revenue from selling petrochemical products and related industrial outputs where it operates such activities; contribution depends on product mix, capacity utilization, and market spreads. (4) Power generation and related energy services: Where YPF operates power-generation assets or energy-related services, it earns revenue from electricity sales and related contracts, with earnings depending on dispatch, fuel costs, and contractual/regulatory terms. (5) Trading, logistics, and midstream-linked activities: As an integrated operator, YPF can capture additional value through crude and product trading/optimization and through transportation, storage, and distribution that support its upstream and downstream operations; these activities can improve realized pricing and reduce costs. Partnerships and factors affecting earnings: YPF commonly participates in joint ventures and partnerships (including with other oil and gas companies and service providers) to share capital requirements, technology, and operational risk—particularly in unconventional development—while funding and returns are affected by commodity prices, the local regulatory environment, currency and inflation dynamics, and access to capital and equipment.

YPF Sociedad Anonima Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: record EBITDA and margins, rapid shale production growth, significant reserve expansion, major cost reductions, strong refining performance, successful M&A and financing activity, and clear 2026 targets. The main negatives are substantial one-off cash outflows and a negative FY free cash flow driven by acquisitions and exit costs, large near-term CapEx and project financing needs (notably for LNG), evacuation bottlenecks that may constrain H1 2026 growth, and upcoming debt maturities. Management provided concrete guidance and financing actions to mitigate risks and expects improved leverage and EBITDA in 2026, so the positives materially outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA reached $5.0 billion in 2025 (highest in 10 years and 3rd largest in company history), up 8% year-on-year; EBITDA margin increased from 24% in 2024 to 27% in 2025. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was nearly $1.3 billion, representing ~53% internal growth versus prior period.
Rapid Shale Production Ramp
Shale oil production grew strongly: 35% for 2025 (165,000 bbl/d average) and 42% year-on-year in December 2025, reaching 204,000 bbl/d (exceeding the 190,000 bbl/d target). Company targets ~215,000 bbl/d for 2026 with a year-end shale exit rate of ~250,000 bbl/d.
Material Cost Reductions in Upstream
Total lifting costs declined 26% to $11.6/BOE in 2025; Q4 lifting costs fell 44% year-on-year to $9.6/BOE. Shale hub lifting cost remained best-in-class at $4.4/BOE; pro forma lifting cost excluding divested conventional assets would be below $8/BOE.
Major Reserve and Resource Expansion
Vaca Muerta shale reserves expanded by 32% in 2025 and now represent 88% of total peak oil reserves. Total P1 reserves grew 17% year-on-year; reserve replacement ratio increased to 3.2x (reserve life ~9 years overall; pro forma total P1 reserve life ~8 years excluding divested conventionals).
Operational and Productivity Breakthroughs
Record drilling and fracking speeds (drilling avg 324 m/day in 2025 with record 378 m/day in Jan; fracking 262 stages/month avg with record 282), drilling speed improvements +66% vs Jan 2023 and fracking +61%. Oil wells tied-in increased 26% to 250 wells on a growth basis.
Refining and Downstream Outperformance
Record refinery utilization and processing: average 95% utilization and 320,000 bbl/d processing in 2025 (+6% internal growth); Q4 reached 99% (335,000 bbl/d) and later 352,000 bbl/d (104% utilization). Downstream adjusted EBITDA margin jumped to $22.6/boe in Q4 (FY $17.2/boe).
Successful M&A and Portfolio Optimization
Key acquisitions in Vaca Muerta (3 world-class blocks) and strategic asset swaps secured critical wet-gas blocks for Argentina LNG. Disposals included 50% of Profertil for $635M and sale of Manantiales Behr for ~$410M (+$40M earn-out), with planned divestments (e.g., Metrogas) expected to generate further proceeds (~$1 billion+ total expected proceeds cited).
Strengthened Balance Sheet and Financing Access
Raised $3.7 billion in 2025 across international ($1.6B) and local ($1.4B) markets and trade-related loans ($700M). Closed year with net leverage of 1.9x (improved from 2.1x in Q3) and year-end cash/short-term investments of ~$1.2B; undrawn export-backed loan capacity of $650M available.
CapEx Discipline and Investment Focus
Executed $4.5 billion investment plan with ~75% allocated to unconventional; 2025 CapEx ended ~10% below original estimate due to operational improvements and lower dollar costs. 2026 CapEx guidance set at $5.5–$5.8 billion with ~70% to shale.
Safety and Operational Risk Management
Improved safety metrics: frequency rate 0.09 accidents per million hours worked; upstream lost time injury rate 0.15 (below international benchmark 0.24) and downstream 0.06, highlighting improved safety performance.
Argentina LNG Project Progress
Argentina LNG foundational sponsors formalized (YPF, ENI, XRG/ADNOC); SESA Tolling phase FID secured for initial ~6 Mtpa with YPF 25% stake. Project economics touted as among the most competitive globally; full project CapEx (including upstream) estimated at ~$20 billion with targeted FID in 2026 and initial COD 2030–2031.
2026 Financial Guidance
2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $5.8–$6.2 billion (assumes Brent ~$63/bbl); FY free cash flow expected neutral to slightly negative after CapEx and infrastructure contributions; net leverage target ~1.6–1.7x by year-end 2026.
Negative Updates
Negative Full-Year Free Cash Flow and One-Off Cash Outflows
FY 2025 free cash flow was negative $1.8 billion, driven by ~$550M for Vaca Muerta acquisitions, ~$530M one-off exit costs from mature fields, ~$160M infrastructure contributions and prepayments; adjusted for these extraordinary items free cash flow would have been negative ~$500M.
Revenue and Price Headwinds
Annual revenues declined 4% to $18.4 billion, primarily due to a 15% contraction in Brent which reduced EBITDA by ~ $800M versus 2024 price levels.
High Ongoing and Planned Capital Intensity
Large near-term CapEx requirements: 2026 CapEx guidance $5.5–$5.8 billion and substantial Argentina LNG program (project CapEx up to ~$20 billion total). These, combined with infrastructure contributions (~$300M) and interest (~$800M), imply continued cash needs and financing reliance.
Negative EBITDA from Conventional Mature Fields
Conventional mature fields generated negative EBITDA (~$350M), prompting divestment; conventional production declined 32% in 2025 (to 90,000 bbl/d), which reduces short-term cash generation from legacy assets.
Production Evacuation Bottlenecks
Management flagged evacuation capacity constraints (need for VMOS infrastructure) as a limiting factor for near-term production growth; expects limited growth H1 2026 (200–210k bbl/d) until evacuation/plant completions mid-year.
Short-Term Liquidity and Maturities
2026 maturities total ~ $2.1 billion (including ~$1.0B local bonds and ~$300M international bond amortizations). While management cites available lines and funding, maturities represent a near-term refinancing/liquidity need.
Reserve Revisions and M&A Impacts
2025 reserve additions (467MM BOE) were partially offset by downward revisions of 58MM BOE (project strategy/drilling schedules) and a 29MM BOE reduction due to M&A transactions, reflecting some reserve volatility related to portfolio transactions and timing.
Natural Gas Production Slight Decline
Total natural gas production averaged 36.2 million cubic meters/day in 2025, down ~3% vs 2024 due to strategic exits from mature fields and seasonality, which could affect near-term gas monetization for LNG feedstock prior to upstream investment.
Company Guidance
YPF’s 2026 guidance calls for shale oil production of roughly 215,000 bpd (with a year‑end exit rate of ~250,000 bpd), adjusted EBITDA of $5.8–$6.2 billion assuming Brent at $63/bbl, CapEx of $5.5–$5.8 billion (≈70% to shale), and a neutral-to‑slightly‑negative free cash flow profile that, together with expected M&A proceeds (e.g., Metrogas) and prior cash of ~$1.2 billion, should bring net leverage down from 1.9x at YE‑2025 to about 1.6–1.7x; YPF also plans ~ $300 million in contributions to infrastructure projects (VMOS/SESA), notes VMOS is >50% complete with first oil expected early‑2027, targets FID for Argentina LNG in 2026 (SESA tolling phase ~6 mtpa with YPF 25% stake; full phase ~12 mtpa via two FLNGs, project CapEx ≈ $20 billion excl. upstream, ~70% leverage, CODs 2030/2031) and is evaluating a potential +7 mtpa third FLNG (FID 2027/28, COD ~2032), while 2026 debt maturities total ~ $2.1 billion.

YPF Sociedad Anonima Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed and cyclical fundamentals: 2025 swung to a net loss and revenue declined, while EBITDA margin remained healthy. Operating cash flow stayed positive, but free cash flow has been unreliable (negative in 2025) and leverage is meaningful and trending higher, increasing sensitivity in downturns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Profitability is volatile. After solid profitability in 2024 (about 11.6% net margin), 2025 swung to a net loss (about -4.5% net margin) despite healthy EBITDA margin (~27.6%). Longer-term results also show cyclicality with sizable losses in 2020 and 2023. Revenue growth looks inconsistent, with 2024 modestly up but 2025 showing a sharp decline versus the prior year, raising near-term earnings quality and stability concerns.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage is meaningful but not extreme for the industry. Debt-to-equity has generally sat around ~0.7–1.1, rising in 2025 to ~1.03 (from ~0.83 in 2024), which reduces flexibility if profitability weakens. Equity remains sizable relative to assets, but returns on equity have been inconsistent—positive in 2022 and 2024, negative in 2020, 2023, and 2025—highlighting balance-sheet resilience that is highly dependent on the earnings cycle.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been positive each year shown, including 2025, which is a key support. However, free cash flow is unreliable: positive in 2021, 2022, and 2024, but negative in 2023 and slightly negative in 2025, suggesting periods of heavy investment or weaker cash conversion. The relationship between cash generation and earnings is also choppy (for example, operating cash flow appears low versus 2024 net income in the provided data), reinforcing that cash performance can diverge materially from reported profits.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.28B17.90T5.48T2.53T1.32T
Gross Profit4.94B4.94T969.46B650.78B294.87B
EBITDA5.05B3.90T1.08T631.62B367.45B
Net Income-826.00M2.08T-1.56T289.06B257.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.44B30.27T17.96T4.59T2.39T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B1.55T995.29B193.36B113.69B
Total Debt11.15B9.98T6.35T1.36T812.84B
Total Liabilities18.39B18.05T11.47T2.72T1.54T
Stockholders Equity10.81B12.00T6.42T1.85T839.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-118.00M477.00M-7.57B204.53B165.21B
Operating Cash Flow4.96B5.87B1.58T736.66B400.01B
Investing Cash Flow-5.53B-5.51B-1.55T-523.02B-243.99B
Financing Cash Flow517.00M-293.00M249.65B-157.10B-150.66B

YPF Sociedad Anonima Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.25
Price Trends
50DMA
36.76
Positive
100DMA
35.94
Positive
200DMA
33.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
56.20
Neutral
STOCH
82.21
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YPF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.03, above the 50-day MA of 36.76, and above the 200-day MA of 33.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for YPF.

YPF Sociedad Anonima Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$113.47B3.8027.02%14.10%-11.63%-15.67%
71
Outperform
$9.15B10.0521.09%2.57%28.56%593.72%
67
Neutral
$28.47B12.8911.20%18.88%-7.45%-28.80%
67
Neutral
$88.07B12.113.33%7.43%1.53%-35.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$74.84B19.505.20%5.41%-3.84%15.75%
57
Neutral
$15.81B-17.14-2.22%-2.76%56.81%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
YPF
YPF Sociedad Anonima
38.25
4.46
13.20%
EC
Ecopetrol SA
13.86
4.56
49.10%
E
Eni SPA
51.36
21.80
73.72%
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
96.30
20.08
26.34%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
18.57
5.90
46.59%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
35.25
11.60
49.05%

YPF Sociedad Anonima Corporate Events

YPF Repurchases $35.5 Million in Class XXX Notes Ahead of July 2026 Maturity
Mar 10, 2026

Between March 3 and March 9, 2026, YPF repurchased Class XXX notes for 49.8 billion Argentine pesos, equivalent to a par value of $35.5 million, and will keep these securities in its portfolio. The peso‑denominated buyback, executed at an average 98.83% of nominal value on notes maturing in July 2026, trims a portion of the $389 million originally issued in 2024–2025 and signals ongoing active management of the company’s short‑term debt profile.

The repurchased Class XXX notes were first placed in July 2024 for $185 million and expanded in April 2025 by an additional $204 million under YPF’s frequent issuer framework. By partially retiring this series ahead of maturity and at a modest discount, YPF appears to be seeking to optimize funding costs and balance sheet structure, a move that may modestly reduce refinancing risk and interest expense for bondholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Files 2025 Consolidated Financials in Form 6-K Submission
Mar 6, 2026

On March 2026, YPF Sociedad Anónima filed its Form 6-K with U.S. regulators, providing consolidated financial statements for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 in both U.S. dollars and Argentine pesos. The extensive filing outlines the group’s financial position, performance and cash flows, along with detailed notes covering segment information, risk management, capital structure and regulatory exposure, giving investors comprehensive visibility into the company’s recent financial evolution and operating environment.

The documentation also catalogs key elements such as acquisitions and disposals, major provisions, contingent liabilities, contractual commitments and subsequent events after year-end 2025. By consolidating these disclosures in a single submission, YPF enhances transparency for debt and equity holders, clarifying the impact of Argentina’s macroeconomic context and sector regulations on its balance sheet resilience, earnings profile and long-term obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Board Clears 2025 Results and Proposes Major Reserve Reallocation
Feb 27, 2026

On February 26, 2026, YPF’s board approved the company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, reporting a net loss of Ps. 1,048,272 million but total comprehensive income of Ps. 3,794,721 million under IFRS. As of year-end 2025, total shareholders’ equity stood at Ps. 16,018,983 million, including Ps. 15,685,217 million attributable to shareholders and Ps. 333,766 million to non-controlling interests.

At the same February 26, 2026 meeting, the board proposed to the shareholders’ meeting a comprehensive reclassification of reserves, including fully releasing existing investment and treasury share reserves and absorbing accumulated losses of Ps. 1,096,460 million. The plan also includes creating a new Ps. 38,468 million reserve for potential share buybacks to fund share-based benefit plans and an Ps. 8,415,450 million investment reserve, moves that aim to strengthen the balance sheet and support future capital deployment while maintaining state control through the Ministry of Economy’s Secretary of Energy.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Posts Higher EBITDA but Swings to Loss on Softer 2025 Output and Prices
Feb 27, 2026

YPF reported its full-year 2025 and fourth-quarter 2025 results to the Argentine securities regulator on February 26, 2026, showing slightly lower annual revenues but higher adjusted EBITDA and a return to net losses after a profitable 2024. The company ended 2025 with increased net debt and leverage, while still generating positive fourth-quarter free cash flow and moderating annual capital expenditures.

Operationally, YPF’s 2025 hydrocarbon production declined modestly, driven mainly by lower natural gas volumes and prices, even as crude oil output and shale oil production grew strongly year over year. Refining and downstream performance improved, with higher crude processing, refinery utilization near full capacity in the fourth quarter, and increased local fuel sales, underscoring YPF’s stronger downstream positioning despite upstream and pricing headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Confirms Permanent Chief Audit Officer Appointment in February 2026
Feb 27, 2026

On February 26, 2026, YPF informed Argentine market authorities of a change in its first-level organizational structure, confirming the appointment of Ariel Polotnianka as Chief Audit Officer on a permanent basis. The decision, which follows an earlier material event disclosed on August 18, 2025, formalizes Polotnianka’s leadership over the audit function, signaling continuity and potentially strengthening YPF’s internal control and corporate governance framework for investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Replaces Failed Manantiales Behr Sale With New US$410 Million Deal in Chubut
Feb 19, 2026

On February 18, 2026, YPF reported that its January 16, 2026 agreement to assign 100% of the conventional exploitation concession over the Manantiales Behr area in Chubut to Limay Energía became null and void on February 13, 2026 because the buyer failed to make the required initial funding contribution, leaving no outstanding obligations between the parties. The board the same day approved new agreements with Pecom Servicios Energía (51%) and affiliate San Benito Upstream (49%) to acquire the Manantiales Behr conventional concession, related hydrocarbon transport pipelines and part of the warehouse material stock, for a total price of US$410 million plus a contingent amount of up to US$40 million, with staged payments over up to 24 months and closing subject to conditions including authorization from the Chubut provincial executive, affecting an area that produced about 25 kbbl/d of oil and 0.4 million m3/d of gas at end-2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Brings Eni and XRG on Board Argentina LNG as Shell Pact Ends
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, YPF announced it has signed a binding Joint Development Agreement with Eni and XRG to advance the Argentina LNG project, an integrated gas and liquefaction venture centered on unlocking the Vaca Muerta shale basin. The same day, YPF also disclosed that its earlier Project Development Agreement with Shell Argentina, signed in December 2024, has been terminated, signaling a reshaping of the project’s partner lineup.

The Argentina LNG development is planned to deliver 12 million tons per annum of LNG via two floating liquefaction units and associated production, processing, transport and export infrastructure. Under the new agreement, the partners will move into front-end engineering design and related technical, commercial and financing workstreams, positioning Argentina to become a major long-term LNG exporter and potentially altering the country’s role in global gas markets and its investment and employment outlook.

YPF’s CEO highlighted that XRG’s formal inclusion alongside Eni brings two world-class partners into the project and aims to support reaching a final investment decision in the second half of 2026. Executives from Eni and XRG framed Argentina LNG as one of the most promising global gas opportunities, emphasizing technological leadership, strategic vision and the ambition to supply reliable, flexible energy to international markets while creating long-term value for local communities.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF to Redeem US$177.7 Million Class XXIX Notes Early on February 27, 2026
Feb 12, 2026

On February 11, 2026, YPF announced that it will carry out an early redemption of its Class XXIX notes, originally issued on May 28, 2024, with an initial nominal value of US$177.7 million and scheduled to mature on May 28, 2026. The notes, which bear a fixed annual interest rate of 6%, were issued under the company’s frequent issuer program in the Argentine capital market.

The company will redeem the full outstanding principal of the Class XXIX notes on February 27, 2026, at par plus accrued interest from November 28, 2025, to February 27, 2026, payable in U.S. dollars through Caja de Valores S.A. After the redemption date, interest on the redeemed securities will cease to accrue, effectively closing out this tranche of YPF’s local market funding and adjusting its debt profile ahead of the original maturity.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Boosts Vaca Muerta Stakes with US$163 Million Vista Energy Deal
Feb 2, 2026

On February 1, 2026, YPF entered into agreements with Vista Energy to expand its interests in key unconventional hydrocarbon blocks in Argentina’s Vaca Muerta formation. The company agreed to acquire 16.3% of Equinor Argentina S.A.U., giving it an additional indirect 4.9% working interest in the Bandurria Sur block and raising its total stake there to 44.9%, and to purchase a 15% working interest in the Bajo del Toro and Bajo del Toro Norte blocks, lifting its participation in those areas to 65%. The combined price for these transactions is about US$163.2 million, plus a closing adjustment and a contingent component. Bandurria Sur, a 35‑year unconventional exploitation concession awarded in 2015 and operated by YPF, produced 84,900 barrels of oil equivalent per day on a 100% basis in the third quarter of 2025, while Bajo del Toro Norte, also a 35‑year concession operated by YPF and awarded in 2021, produced 3,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, underscoring the strategic importance of these assets in consolidating YPF’s position as a dominant player in Argentina’s shale oil sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Announces State-Backed Board Reshuffle on January 30, 2026
Jan 30, 2026

At a board meeting held on January 30, 2026, YPF’s Board of Directors took note of the Argentine National State, through the Secretariat of Energy in the Ministry of Economy, appointing Manuel Adorni as a Class A director representing the state’s shareholding, with Adorni waiving any director’s fees. In the same meeting, the board accepted the resignations, for personal reasons, of Class D directors Eduardo Javier Rodríguez Chirillo and José Rolandi, and the Class D Supervisory Committee designated Guillermo Francos and Martín Maquieyra as new Class D directors to serve until the next shareholders’ meeting elects a renewed board, marking a notable reshuffle in state-linked representation on YPF’s governing body.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Appoints New Class D Director Following December Resignation
Jan 23, 2026

On January 22, 2026, YPF Sociedad Anónima reported a change in its board of directors following the previously disclosed December 11, 2025 resignation of Class D regular director Marilina Jaramillo. At a meeting held the same day, the Class D Supervisory Committee appointed José Daniel Álvarez as the new Class D regular director to replace Jaramillo, with his mandate lasting until the next shareholders’ meeting elects new directors. The move ensures continuity of representation for Class D shareholders and maintains the company’s governance structure in line with Argentine securities market regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Moves to Full Control of Three Neuquén Blocks Through Asset Swap With Pluspetrol
Jan 23, 2026

On January 22, 2026, YPF Sociedad Anónima signed an agreement with Pluspetrol S.A. to exchange 44.44% of the shares of Vaca Muerta Inversiones S.A.U. held by YPF for Pluspetrol’s 50% stakes in the Las Tacanas, Meseta Buena Esperanza and Aguada Villanueva areas in the province of Neuquén, giving YPF full ownership of these three blocks. Vaca Muerta Inversiones, now wholly owned by YPF, holds a 45% interest in the joint operation and joint venture for the La Escalonada and Rincón La Ceniza blocks, and the asset swap, which is subject to customary closing conditions and involves no significant immediate income or expenditure for either YPF or Pluspetrol, effectively consolidates YPF’s position in key Neuquén acreage while simplifying its partnership structure in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Sells Manantiales Behr Conventional Assets in US$575 Million Portfolio Shift
Jan 16, 2026

On January 16, 2026, YPF signed two agreements with Limay Energía S.A., a Rovella Capital Group company, to transfer 100% of its conventional exploitation concession in the Manantiales Behr area and associated hydrocarbon transport concessions in the Province of Chubut, as well as to sell related inventory from its Manantiales Behr and Km 20 warehouses, for a total consideration of US$575 million plus VAT, with 60% payable at closing and the remainder within 12 months, subject to provincial executive approval. The divestment, involving an area that at the end of the third quarter of 2025 was producing about 25,000 barrels of oil per day and 0.5 million cubic meters of natural gas per day, is a key element of YPF’s 4×4 Plan to optimize its conventional upstream portfolio and reallocate capital toward unconventional assets, signaling a strategic shift intended to sharpen operational focus and potentially improve returns for the company and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Repurchases Ps. 20.6 Billion of Class XXI Notes Ahead of January 2026 Maturity
Jan 9, 2026

On January 7, 2026, YPF Sociedad Anónima repurchased 20.6 billion Argentine pesos of its Class XXI notes, equivalent to US$14 million in par value, which were originally issued in January 2023 under its frequent issuer program and mature in January 2026. The buyback, executed at an average price of 99.89% of nominal value and to be held in the company’s portfolio, underscores YPF’s active management of its short-term debt profile and may modestly strengthen its balance sheet and liquidity position ahead of the notes’ upcoming maturity, with implications for bondholders’ outstanding float and the company’s funding strategy in local markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Repurchases Class XXI Notes Ahead of 2026 Maturity
Dec 29, 2025

On December 23, 2025, YPF Sociedad Anónima repurchased a portion of its Class XXI Notes, originally issued in January 2023 under its frequent issuer program and maturing in January 2026, for a total of ARS 7.65 billion, equivalent to a par value of US$5.27 million, at an average price of 99.73% of nominal value. The repurchased notes will be held in the company’s portfolio, a move that fine-tunes its near-term debt profile ahead of the 2026 maturity and may slightly reduce future interest obligations while signaling active balance-sheet management to creditors and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Completes Sale of Profertil Stake to Adecoagro Group Unit
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, YPF Sociedad Anónima announced that it had completed the sale of its entire shareholding in Profertil S.A. to Agro Inversora Argentina S.A., part of the Adecoagro Group, after all conditions precedent were fulfilled and on terms previously communicated to the market. The company indicated that the final economic impact of this divestment will be disclosed with its financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, signaling a portfolio adjustment whose full financial and strategic implications for YPF and its stakeholders will only become clear once those results are published.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

YPF Sells 50% Stake in Profertil for $635 Million
Dec 15, 2025

On December 12, 2025, YPF Sociedad Anónima accepted an offer from Agro Inversora Argentina S.A., part of the Adecoagro group, to sell its 50% stake in Profertil S.A. for $635 million. This transaction involves the sale of over 391 million Class B shares and is subject to certain conditions precedent, potentially impacting YPF’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (YPF) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YPF Sociedad Anonima stock, see the YPF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026