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Ecopetrol SA (EC)
NYSE:EC

Ecopetrol SA (EC) AI Stock Analysis

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EC

Ecopetrol SA

(NYSE:EC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(13.64% Upside)
Ecopetrol's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, despite financial challenges and high leverage. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's potential, although caution is advised due to overbought technical signals.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Ecopetrol's scale as Colombia's largest oil company and an integrated operator (E&P, refining, transport, sales) creates durable competitive advantages: cost absorption, bargaining power with suppliers and customers, extensive pipeline/refining footprint, and resilience to regional disruptions, supporting steady cash generation over the medium term.
Renewables Expansion
The purchase of ~0.6 GW of solar assets accelerates Ecopetrol's 2040 energy-transition strategy, diversifying revenue streams and lowering carbon intensity. Building owned renewable capacity reduces long-term regulatory and transition risk, complements gas and refining cash flows, and increases asset optionality for future low-carbon energy markets.
Stable Production and Refining Recovery
Sustained production near guidance (751kbd) and a strong refining rebound underpin predictable upstream and downstream cash flows. Contributions from Colombia fields and the Permian, plus improved refinery throughput and refining margins, support EBITDA stability and the company's ability to fund capex and transition investments over the coming months.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio of ~1.42 indicates material leverage that constrains financial flexibility. In a cyclical industry, high debt elevates refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, narrows room for strategic investment or acquisitions, and increases vulnerability to sovereign-related rating moves that can raise funding costs over the medium term.
Weak Free Cash Flow Conversion
A pronounced decline in free cash flow growth and an FCF-to-net-income ratio below 1 indicate weaker conversion of accounting profits into discretionary cash. This constrains capacity to self-fund capex, sustain high payouts, or shore up the balance sheet, increasing reliance on external financing during downturns and limiting strategic optionality.
State Influence & Governance Risks
Formalization of a government-backed director slate and employee representation signals strong state influence over strategy and board composition. While ensuring support, this can politicize strategic choices, limit minority shareholder influence, and heighten compliance or asset-divestment risks, potentially affecting long-term strategic agility and investor protections.

Ecopetrol SA (EC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ecopetrol SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEcopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. The company operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining, Petrochemical and Biofuels; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. It engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas; transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels; processing and refining crude oil; distribution of natural gas and LPG; sale of refined and petrochemical products; supplying of electric power transmission services; design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of road and energy infrastructure projects; and supplying of information technology and telecommunications services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 9,127 kilometers of crude oil and multi-purpose pipelines. It also produces and commercializes polypropylene resins and compounds, and masterbatches; and offers industrial service sales to customers and specialized management services. It has operations in Colombia, the United States, Asia, Central America and the Caribbean, Europe, South America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEcopetrol generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, which constitutes its largest revenue stream. The company sells its crude oil and natural gas on both domestic and international markets, pricing influenced by global oil prices. Additionally, revenue is derived from refining operations where crude oil is processed into various refined products, which are then sold to consumers and businesses. The company also earns income from transportation services, as it operates an extensive network of pipelines that facilitate the movement of hydrocarbons. Significant partnerships with international oil companies for joint ventures in exploration and production further enhance its revenue potential. Factors such as fluctuations in global oil prices, production levels, and operational efficiency play a crucial role in determining the company's earnings.

Ecopetrol SA Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBITDA by Segment
EBITDA by Segment
Highlights earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for each business segment, providing insight into the profitability and operational efficiency of different areas within the company.
Chart InsightsEcopetrol's upstream segment shows resilience despite a volatile market, with recent production gains from Colombian fields and the Permian Basin. However, the midstream segment faces challenges with a 6% volume decline due to external disruptions. The downstream segment is recovering post-maintenance, with a notable EBITDA increase. Despite a 22% drop in Brent crude prices impacting revenue, Ecopetrol's strategic focus on renewable energy and gas commercialization is promising, potentially offsetting some financial pressures. The company remains committed to its long-term strategy, evidenced by significant investments and operational efficiencies.
Data provided by:The Fly

Ecopetrol SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong operational and financial performance with significant achievements in sustainability and efficiency. However, challenges such as currency fluctuations and political risks were noted. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Ecopetrol reported robust operational performance across all business segments, maintaining an average production of 751,000 barrels per day and achieving a 42% growth in net income.
Strategic Milestones in Transportation
The company achieved an average throughput of 1,098,000 barrels per day, with strategic milestones such as the Covenas-Barrancabermeja connection and LNG infrastructure approvals.
Refining Segment Rebound
Refining operations rebounded, reaching 413,000 barrels per day, and the integrated gross refining margin grew by 22% compared to 2024.
Sustainability and Decarbonization Progress
Ecopetrol reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 379,000 tons, expanded renewable energy capacity to 254 megawatts, and was recognized for sustainability practices.
Financial Stability
The company maintained a strong cash position with COP 14.1 trillion and achieved COP 4.1 trillion in efficiencies, exceeding targets by 40%.
Negative Updates
Exchange Rate Impact
The appreciation of the Colombian peso against the dollar required additional measures to compensate for external factors, affecting financial planning.
Suspension of Operations in Tibu
Operations in the northern part of the Tibu field were suspended, affecting gas production, though it represented less than 1% of total gas production.
Challenges with Political and Compliance Risks
Concerns were raised about potential political and compliance risks, including the impact of possible sanctions and asset divestment discussions.
Company Guidance
During Ecopetrol's earnings conference call for the third quarter of 2025, the company provided detailed guidance on its operational and financial performance metrics. The average production over the past nine months was 751,000 barrels per day, nearing the upper end of the annual guidance range, with significant contributions from the Cano Sur and CPO-09 in Colombia, as well as the Permian Basin in the U.S. Transportation throughput averaged 1,098,000 barrels per day as of September, while refining operations rebounded strongly to 413,000 barrels per day following major maintenance. The company's disciplined cost management strategy led to an 11% increase in EBITDA, achieving a margin of 41%, and a 42% growth in net income. Ecopetrol's investment reached nearly $4.2 billion year-to-date, representing 72% of the annual target. The company also made progress on its sustainability agenda, reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 379,000 tons of Tier 2 equivalent and increasing renewable energy capacity to 234 megawatts. Additionally, Ecopetrol's financial performance was supported by an effective commercial strategy, with cumulative EBITDA reaching COP 36.7 trillion and a cash position of COP 14.1 trillion, ensuring liquidity for the year-end.

Ecopetrol SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ecopetrol SA's financial statements reflect challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with high leverage posing potential risks. Operational efficiency remains strong, but the decline in free cash flow growth and high debt levels could impact future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Ecopetrol SA's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -3.66%, reflecting challenges in maintaining top-line growth. Gross profit margin stands at 31.62%, and net profit margin at 8.20%, both of which have decreased compared to previous years, indicating pressure on profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively strong at 26.47% and 33.28%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. Return on equity is at 12.84%, showing a decent return for shareholders, although it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's leverage suggests a moderate level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis highlights a decrease in free cash flow growth at -22.77%, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.76, indicating that operating cash flow adequately covers net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.58 suggests potential challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>91.88T50.22T
Gross Profit39.74T46.85T55.01T70.15T36.30T12.66T
EBITDA41.82T55.75T59.83T73.81T40.72T17.36T
Net Income10.31T13.84T21.06T31.60T15.65T1.59T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.73T14.91T14.20T16.56T16.18T7.28T
Total Debt10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>95.06T46.73T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>84.19T
Stockholders Equity80.71T83.70T78.39T91.03T68.49T49.90T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.21T32.54T5.77T26.69T14.62T2.10T
Operating Cash Flow29.80T42.83T14.42T36.28T21.22T6.77T
Investing Cash Flow-22.15T-26.01T-20.71T-22.45T-22.64T-8.34T
Financing Cash Flow-10.98T-16.37T5.76T-14.70T11.10T-262.99B

Ecopetrol SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.76
Price Trends
50DMA
10.51
Positive
100DMA
9.88
Positive
200DMA
9.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
69.58
Neutral
STOCH
83.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.53, above the 50-day MA of 10.51, and above the 200-day MA of 9.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EC.

Ecopetrol SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$61.68B20.485.31%5.41%-3.84%15.75%
74
Outperform
$26.34B9.9113.79%18.88%-7.45%-28.80%
70
Outperform
$92.61B7.0118.20%14.10%-11.63%-15.67%
69
Neutral
$66.25B12.4513.49%7.43%1.53%-35.81%
67
Neutral
$7.90B14.6317.45%2.57%28.56%593.72%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$15.71B-4.01%-2.76%56.81%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EC
Ecopetrol SA
12.76
4.05
46.48%
E
Eni SPA
40.87
13.75
50.73%
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
83.09
14.07
20.38%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
15.38
2.48
19.25%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
26.24
3.58
15.78%
YPF
YPF Sociedad Anonima
38.60
-1.88
-4.64%

Ecopetrol SA Corporate Events

Ecopetrol Sets Governance Measures for February 5, 2026 Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting
Jan 20, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. announced a series of governance and procedural measures to ensure proper shareholder representation at its Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for February 5, 2026. The company will formally remind investors of their right to be represented by proxy and detail the legal requirements for valid powers of attorney, empower its Corporate Legal Vice Presidency and General Secretariat to review and verify these proxies, and instruct meeting personnel to reject any that do not meet legal standards or fail to clearly identify the designated representative. Ecopetrol is also reinforcing restrictions on the conduct of managers and employees, prohibiting them from influencing shareholders’ choice of proxies, from recommending voting slates or coordinating voting strategies, from acting as attorneys-in-fact for others’ shares except in limited legal cases, and from receiving proxy appointments if they are directly or indirectly connected to company management. These steps underscore the company’s effort to align with Colombian regulatory guidance, bolster corporate governance practices, and provide greater transparency and safeguards for minority shareholders ahead of a key extraordinary meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Calls Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting to Elect Directors for 2025–2029 Term
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. announced that its chief executive officer has called an extraordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting for February 5, 2026, at the company’s main offices in Bogotá, primarily to elect directors to serve for the remainder of the 2025–2029 term. The in‑person meeting, which will also be streamed online, will feature electronic voting supported by shareholders’ mobile devices, with alternative mechanisms for those lacking the required technology, and is governed by Colombian commercial and securities-market rules that limit proxy representation by company managers and employees. Detailed logistical and compliance guidelines were provided, including rules for proxy documentation, limits on the number of proxies per representative, health-related attendance recommendations, and restrictions on publicity materials, underscoring Ecopetrol’s focus on orderly corporate governance and broad, regulated shareholder participation in a key board election that could influence the company’s strategic direction for the remainder of the current board period.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Formalizes Government-Backed Board Slate, Confirms Employee-Elected Director
Jan 20, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. announced that it has completed the corporate procedures needed to formalize the Colombian government’s slate of candidates for its Board of Directors, confirming the inclusion of Cesar Eduardo Loza Arenas as the employee-elected nominee to occupy the seventh seat. The company said that nominees for the eighth and ninth board seats will be disclosed in subsequent communications, signaling an ongoing refresh of its board composition that reflects both state ownership and employee representation and may shape future strategic oversight and governance for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol’s Hydrocarbon-Producing Regions Renominate Board Candidate Ricardo Rodriguez Yee
Jan 20, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. announced that the hydrocarbon-producing departments where it operates have once again nominated Ricardo Rodriguez Yee as their representative candidate to the company’s Board of Directors. His nomination will be presented to shareholders as the eighth director on the slate proposed by the Government of Colombia, underscoring the continued influence of regional hydrocarbon-producing areas in Ecopetrol’s governance structure and reinforcing the link between the company’s board composition, government oversight and the interests of key producing regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Minority Shareholders Reaffirm Board Nominee on Government Slate
Jan 20, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. announced that minority shareholders have again nominated Luis Felipe Henao Cardona as their candidate for the company’s Board of Directors, with his name to be submitted for election as the ninth director on the slate proposed by the Government of Colombia. The move underscores the continuing participation of minority investors in Ecopetrol’s governance process and reflects the ongoing balance between state influence and private shareholder representation at one of Latin America’s key integrated energy companies, a dynamic that may shape future strategic decisions and oversight at the group.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Employees Elect Board Representative to Government-Backed Slate
Jan 16, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. announced that its employees elected Cesar Eduardo Loza Arenas as their representative candidate to the company’s Board of Directors, completing the employee-designated seat as the seventh director on the slate of nominees proposed by the Government of Colombia. The appointment, which still requires completion of certain corporate formalities, underscores the company’s governance framework that incorporates employee participation and confirms the government’s continuing central role in shaping Ecopetrol’s board composition, a point of interest for investors monitoring corporate control and strategic direction at Colombia’s flagship energy group.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Faces Broad Labor Renegotiations as Unions File Complaints to Revise Collective Agreement
Jan 8, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Ecopetrol S.A. reported that, in addition to the December 24, 2025 complaint filed by Unión Sindical Obrera (USO), multiple labor organizations – including Adeco, Sindispetrol, Asopetrogas, Asteco, Trasine, Asintrahc, Sintramen, Sup, and Utipec – have formally initiated the renegotiation of their respective chapters of the company’s Collective Bargaining Agreement by filing complaints with Colombia’s Ministry of Labor within the legally established timeframe. These moves, made under the framework of the Colombian Labor Code, signal a broad-based round of labor talks that could affect Ecopetrol’s labor relations and cost structure, but the company emphasized its commitment to open, respectful, and constructive dialogue aimed at reaching agreements that support worker well-being, national interests, and the development of sustainable, value-creating solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Takes Full Control of Southern Caribbean Offshore Gas Blocks
Dec 29, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. announced that Colombia’s National Hydrocarbons Agency has formalized the transfer of Shell EP Offshore Venture’s 50% stake and operatorship in the COL 5, Purple Angel and Fuerte Sur offshore contracts in the southern Caribbean, giving Ecopetrol full ownership of the rights, interests and obligations in these exploration and production blocks. The company said it will continue advancing the development of existing gas discoveries in these areas—such as Kronos-1, Purple Angel, Gorgon-1, Gorgon-2 ST2 and Glaucus-1—by moving toward the project development phase, including planning an onshore gas evacuation route, integrating with the national gas transportation system and shaping the necessary regulatory and commercialization frameworks. Ecopetrol will also assess whether to retain 100% of the assets or bring in a strategic partner to add technical expertise and financial support, a decision that could influence capital allocation and risk-sharing for these offshore projects. The move underscores Ecopetrol’s strategy to bolster Colombia’s future natural gas supply and reinforces its positioning of gas as a key complementary fuel in the country’s broader energy transition efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Enters Early Collective Bargaining Talks with Unión Sindical Obrera Ahead of 2025 Contract Expiry
Dec 29, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. began an early collective bargaining process with the Unión Sindical Obrera (USO), after the union filed a complaint before Colombia’s Ministry of Labor against the current collective bargaining agreement that runs from January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2025. The filing, made within the legally required 60-day window before the agreement’s expiration, triggers a formal process under the Colombian Labor Code in which Ecopetrol must first await administrative steps by the Ministry before USO presents its list of demands that will frame the negotiations; the company has indicated it will report further developments as required, signaling a potentially significant negotiation phase for labor relations and operational stability ahead of the agreement’s expiry.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Downgraded to BB by Fitch After Colombia Sovereign Cut
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. reported that Fitch Ratings downgraded the company’s global credit rating from BB+ to BB with a Stable Outlook, mirroring the cut to Colombia’s sovereign rating made on December 16 and underscoring the tight linkage between the state-controlled oil major and the country’s credit profile. Despite the downgrade at the global level, Fitch kept Ecopetrol’s Standalone Credit Profile at ‘bbb-’ within investment grade, recognizing its strategic importance as Colombia’s dominant hydrocarbon producer, which may help reassure investors and other stakeholders about the underlying strength of its operations even as the sovereign-driven rating action could influence its future funding costs and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Clarifies Status of Potential Brazil Acquisition Amid Preliminary Market Assessments
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. issued a clarification in response to media reports about a potential acquisition in Brazil, stating that it is routinely evaluating inorganic growth opportunities as part of its diversification strategy and is currently assessing alternatives in the Brazilian market where it already operates. The company emphasized that these reviews remain at a preliminary stage, with no binding commitments or obligations in place that would qualify as material information, and pledged to inform the market in line with regulatory requirements should any decision on a specific transaction arise, signaling a cautious but active stance on regional expansion that stakeholders should watch closely for future developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Announces New Board Committee Composition Following Director Resignations
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10 and 11, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A.’s board of directors approved a new composition for its supporting committees following the resignations of directors Mónica de Greiff Lindo and Guillermo García Realpe. The changes reflect a strategic reorganization aimed at strengthening the company’s governance and operational efficiency. The company expressed gratitude to the departing directors for their significant contributions, emphasizing their roles in advancing Ecopetrol’s strategic initiatives and commitment to Colombia’s development.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Hold with a $8.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Unveils 2026 Investment Plan Amid Market Challenges
Nov 28, 2025

Ecopetrol S.A. announced its 2026 Annual Investment Plan, with a budget between COP 22 and 27 trillion, maintaining investment levels similar to 2025. The plan allocates 70% of the budget to oil production and refining, while 30% is dedicated to energy transition and infrastructure projects. The company aims to produce up to 740 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day and maintain refinery throughput of up to 420 thousand barrels per day. The plan anticipates a challenging market environment with a Brent price of US$60 per barrel and focuses on profitability and liquidity through cost reductions. Ecopetrol plans to drill up to 430 development wells and invest significantly in energy transition projects to enhance clean energy capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Announces Leadership Changes Amid Board Resignation
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A.’s board of directors appointed Ángela María Robledo Gómez as Chairwoman and Álvaro Torres Macías as Vice Chairman. Additionally, Dr. Guillermo García Realpe announced his resignation as an Independent Director, effective December 12, 2025, citing personal reasons. The board expressed gratitude for his contributions. These changes reflect ongoing governance adjustments within the company, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Secures USD 530 Million Loan for Investment Plans
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. received authorization from the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit to enter into a loan agreement with international banks for up to USD 530 million. This five-year credit facility, involving Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, will support Ecopetrol’s investment plans as part of its 2025 financing strategy. The agreement, governed by New York law, underscores the financial sector’s confidence in Ecopetrol’s strategy despite market volatility, ensuring favorable financing terms for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Appoints New Alternate Legal and Commercial Representative
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. announced the appointment of Mr. Juan Carlos Hurtado Parra as the Alternate Legal and Commercial Representative. This decision by the Board of Directors is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership and operational capabilities, potentially impacting its strategic positioning in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Acquires Solar Project Portfolio in Colombia
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. announced the acquisition of a solar project portfolio in Colombia from Statkraft, including six special purpose entities owning solar projects totaling approximately 0.6 GW, for USD157.5 million. This acquisition aligns with Ecopetrol’s 2040 Strategy, enhancing its low-emission energy generation capabilities and supporting its energy transition goals. The transaction strengthens Ecopetrol’s competitive position in renewable energy, complementing its traditional oil and gas operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol S.A. Reports Strong Financial Results and Advances in Energy Transition
Nov 13, 2025

Ecopetrol S.A. reported strong financial performance for the first nine months of 2025, with revenues of COP 90.9 trillion and a net income of COP 7.5 trillion, despite challenges such as crude price volatility and exchange rate fluctuations. The company has made significant strides in enhancing Colombia’s energy security by increasing natural gas output and securing environmental clearance for LNG import activities. Additionally, Ecopetrol has expanded its renewable energy capacity with the launch of La Iguana Solar Farm and improved its workplace environment, achieving a ‘Highly Satisfactory’ ranking from the Great Place to Work Institute.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Shareholders Approve Bylaws Amendment in November Meeting
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. held an extraordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting where shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s bylaws. The meeting, which complied with Colombian legal requirements, also saw the appointment of Germán Ávila as Chair and the establishment of committees for elections and minutes review. The amendment approval reflects Ecopetrol’s ongoing efforts to adapt its governance structure, potentially impacting its strategic operations and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol Announces Key Leadership Changes in November 2025
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Ecopetrol S.A. announced significant changes in its senior management, effective November 16. Juan Carlos Hurtado Parra was appointed as Executive Vice President of Hydrocarbons, succeeding Rafael Ernesto Guzmán Ayala, who will pursue new challenges within the company. Rodolfo Mario García Paredes was confirmed as Chief Compliance Officer. These appointments are expected to bolster Ecopetrol’s leadership and strategic direction in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Ecopetrol S.A. Schedules Q3 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
Oct 31, 2025

Ecopetrol S.A. announced it will release its third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results after market close on November 13, 2025. A virtual conference call to discuss these results will be held on November 14, 2025, with options for Spanish and English transmission. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market position and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Fitch Ratings Reaffirms Ecopetrol’s Credit Ratings as of October 2025
Oct 31, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Fitch Ratings reaffirmed Ecopetrol’s global credit rating at ‘BB+’ with a Negative Outlook, while maintaining its Standalone Credit Profile at ‘bbb-‘. The national long- and short-term ratings were affirmed at ‘AAA (col)’ with a Stable Outlook and ‘F1+(col)’, respectively. These ratings reflect Ecopetrol’s strategic importance to Colombia, its solid financial profile, and stable operating metrics, indicating a strong investment-grade standing that surpasses its global rating by one notch.

The most recent analyst rating on (EC) stock is a Sell with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ecopetrol SA stock, see the EC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025