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Weir Group (WEGRY)
OTHER OTC:WEGRY
US Market

Weir Group (WEGRY) AI Stock Analysis

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WEGRY

Weir Group

(OTC:WEGRY)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(26.07% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/22/25
The Weir Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, indicating robust operational efficiency and strategic growth. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although valuation concerns slightly temper the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained high cash conversion signals durable operational cash flow and tight working capital control. Over the medium term this funds capex, dividends and M&A integration, enables rapid deleveraging and provides flexibility to withstand mining-cycle volatility without external financing.
Margin Improvement
Material margin expansion to ~20% reflects lasting operational gains from the Performance Excellence programme and accretive M&A. Higher sustainable margins increase free cash flow per unit revenue, strengthening returns and providing headroom to invest in product development and aftermarket capabilities.
Aftermarket & Order Strength
Aftermarket-led growth and an improving order book drive recurring revenue and predictability. A larger aftermarket mix raises lifetime customer value, smooths cyclical OEM volatility and supports stable margins and cashflows across 2-6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Leverage rising to ~2x post-acquisition reduces financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk if commodity or OEM cycles deteriorate. Though management plans deleveraging, elevated debt constrains strategic optionality and raises interest and covenant sensitivity over the medium term.
OEM Revenue Volatility
Phasing-driven declines in original equipment sales highlight cyclicality and potential softness in new equipment demand. Reliance on aftermarket to offset OE weakness may limit top-line expansion if OEM orders don't recover, introducing structural growth risk over several quarters.
Currency Exposure
Material FX translation headwinds demonstrate ongoing currency sensitivity across global operations. Persistent or volatile FX movements can erode reported profits and cash flow, complicating planning and reducing earnings visibility unless hedging and natural offsets are materially strengthened.

Weir Group (WEGRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Weir Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Weir Group PLC produces and sells highly engineered original equipment worldwide. It operates in two segments, Minerals and ESCO. The Minerals segment offers slurry handling equipment and associated aftermarket support services for abrasive high-wear applications used in the mining and oil sands markets. The ESCO segment provides ground engaging tools for mining machines. This segment also produces smart and rugged cameras that monitor and provide valuable and timely data on equipment performance, faults, payloads, and rock fragmentation. The company offers its products under the Accumin, Aspir, Cavex, Delta Industrial, Enduron, Envirotech, Floway, GEHO, Gemex, Hazleton, Hydrau-Flo, R. Wales, Isodry, Isogate, Lewis, Linatex, Multiflo, Synertrex, Stampede, Trio, Vulco, FusionCast, ESCO, Motion Metrics, and Warman brands. The company was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Glasgow, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeir Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its equipment and services across its core sectors. The Minerals segment contributes significantly to the company's earnings, driven by the demand for mining equipment and aftermarket services. The Oil & Gas segment provides revenue through the supply of specialized products and services to the energy sector, particularly in drilling and production operations. The Power & Industrial segment adds to the revenue stream through the provision of equipment and services for energy generation and industrial applications. Additionally, Weir Group benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major players in the mining and energy industries, which provide a stable revenue base. The company also focuses on aftermarket services, which include maintenance, repair, and replacement parts, creating a recurring revenue stream that enhances profitability.

Weir Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveys a broadly positive operational and financial story: mid-single-digit revenue growth, strong aftermarket performance, 15% operating profit growth, margin expansion to 20.2%, robust cash conversion (92%), meaningful emissions reduction (−31% vs 2019), and strategic M&A that expands software and geographic reach. Near-term weaknesses are largely transitional or one‑off: higher net debt from acquisitions (net debt/EBITDA 1.9x), elevated working capital (22.4% of sales) driven by inventory and tariffs, legacy asbestos exposure ( U.S. entity in Chapter 11), and a slip in total incident rate on safety. Management has clear plans to delever, normalize working capital, complete integration of acquisitions, and continue Performance Excellence while investing in R&D and systems. Overall, highlights outweigh the lowlights and the company appears well positioned for continued growth while managing short-term execution and legacy risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Orders Growth
Revenue grew 6% (constant currency) to GBP 2.6bn; total orders increased 7% to GBP 2.6bn, driven by strong aftermarket demand and contributions from acquisitions.
Aftermarket Strength
Aftermarket orders grew 8% and aftermarket revenue grew 8%, supported by high mining activity and increased demand for wear parts and expendables.
Operating Profit and Margin Expansion
Operating profit rose 15% year‑on‑year to GBP 518m. Operating margin expanded by 150 basis points to 20.2%, achieving the 20% margin target a year early.
Cash Conversion and Dividend
Free operating cash conversion was 92%, within the 90%–100% target range. Full year dividend increased 4% to 41.7p per share.
Emissions and Sustainability Progress
Absolute Scope 1 and 2 emissions fell 31% versus the 2019 baseline, exceeding the original 2030 SBTi target of a 30% reduction.
Divisional Performance — Minerals
Minerals orders grew 5%; excluding large projects orders up 7%. Division revenue increased 6% and operating profit rose 11% to GBP 406m; operating margin reached 21.9% (up 100bps).
Divisional Performance — ESCO and Software
ESCO orders grew 11% (like‑for‑like 4% excluding Micromine). ESCO operating profit increased 22% to GBP 152m and margin expanded 260bps to 21.4%. Micromine shows 94% customer retention, recurring revenue ~88% and annualized recurring revenue up 24%.
Performance Excellence and Efficiency Gains
Cumulative Performance Excellence savings reached GBP 59m in‑year and the final savings target was increased to GBP 90m; program delivered under budget with total program costs GBP 113m.
Strategic M&A and Product Expansion
Completed self‑funded acquisitions (Micromine, Townley, Fast2Mine) and strategic investments/partnerships (CiDRA, ESCO Chile JV). New product launches (ENDURON VSM, crushers, mill pumps) and first VSM order received.
Capital Structure and Deleveraging Plan
Net debt/EBITDA rose to 1.9x due to acquisitions but remained within target; company expects to return to 0.5–1.5x by end of 2026 supported by continued strong cash conversion.
Negative Updates
Higher Net Debt Post‑Acquisitions
Net debt-to-EBITDA increased to 1.9x (toward the top end of target range) following significant acquisition activity in 2025, creating near-term deleveraging requirements.
Working Capital and Inventory Build
Working capital as a percentage of sales rose 170 basis points to 22.4%, driven by inventory buildup related to Performance Excellence activity and U.S. tariffs; expected to normalize toward ~20% in 2026.
Return on Capital Employed Decline
Return on capital employed fell by 140 basis points to 17.9%, reflecting acquisition-related capital and near-term dilution of returns.
Free Cash Flow and Liquidity Headwinds
Free cash flow declined to GBP 267m on higher tax payments, increased finance costs, and derivative settlement outflows; adjusted operating cash decreased GBP 25m to GBP 566m.
Adjusting Items and Exceptional Costs
Adjusting items totalled GBP 73m (including GBP 47m exceptional items). Acquisition/integration costs were GBP 22m and Performance Excellence costs contributed to total program spend of GBP 113m.
Asbestos‑Related U.S. Entity and Chapter 11
A U.S. entity holding asbestos claims entered Chapter 11 and was deconsolidated; management believes the remaining provision is sufficient but this remains a legacy risk.
Safety Performance Shortfall
Company missed its '0 harm' ambition as total incident rate increased year‑on‑year, though the number of recordable incidents improved in H2 and leadership is taking corrective actions.
Original Equipment (OE) Orders Flat
Original equipment orders were unchanged year‑on‑year (OE revenue up only 2%), with the phasing down of large greenfield projects limiting near‑term OE growth.
Translational FX and Tariff Headwinds
Translational FX created a GBP 22m headwind to profit and a 10bps margin headwind; U.S. tariffs impacted year‑end inventory balances and added complexity to operations.
Planned Near‑Term Investments Partly Offset Margins
Management expects to reinvest some Performance Excellence benefits into R&D and a global ERP (SAP S/4), creating an expected ~80bps drag on margins in 2026 even as they target 50bps margin expansion overall.
Company Guidance
Guidance for 2026 is for another year of revenue and operating profit growth with 50 basis points of operating margin expansion (management’s bridge implies a 20.7% operating margin driven by +110bps from Performance Excellence, +20bps from acquisitions and an ~80bps reinvestment headwind into R&D/IT), mid-single-digit aftermarket revenue growth and continued strong software growth; cash and balance-sheet targets include free operating cash conversion of 90–100%, net interest cost of ~GBP 90m, CapEx and lease spend around 1.3x depreciation, expected exceptional cash costs of ~GBP 25–30m, an effective tax rate of 28%, a return toward net debt/EBITDA of 0.5–1.5x by end‑2026 (from 1.9x post‑acquisitions), and working capital normalizing toward a ~20% of sales target while cumulative Performance Excellence savings are being increased to GBP 90m (GBP 59m delivered to date).

Weir Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Weir Group demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operational performance, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, though debt levels warrant careful monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The Weir Group has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2021 to 2023. The gross profit margin is strong, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved significantly, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the revenue growth rate has been modest in recent years, suggesting potential challenges in expanding market share.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity has improved, highlighting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is solid, suggesting a strong asset base relative to liabilities. However, the total debt level remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows robust free cash flow generation, with a positive growth trend. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, reflecting good cash management. However, fluctuations in capital expenditures and financing cash flows suggest potential volatility in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.49B2.51B2.64B2.47B1.93B1.96B
Gross Profit1.03B1.02B994.90M873.90M692.00M692.90M
EBITDA516.30M519.00M489.50M422.80M361.90M310.40M
Net Income307.80M312.20M227.90M213.40M258.50M-154.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.23B3.79B3.89B4.06B3.50B3.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments439.20M556.40M707.20M691.20M564.40M351.70M
Total Debt1.65B1.09B1.40B1.49B1.34B1.36B
Total Liabilities2.45B1.93B2.19B2.32B2.04B2.24B
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.84B1.69B1.73B1.44B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow350.30M377.40M307.60M264.70M103.30M194.50M
Operating Cash Flow426.60M449.90M394.30M320.80M156.10M273.40M
Investing Cash Flow-690.80M-52.80M-70.60M-68.30M195.20M-70.80M
Financing Cash Flow378.40M-301.90M-322.50M-303.80M-217.30M-85.40M

Weir Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.83
Price Trends
50DMA
21.63
Positive
100DMA
20.26
Positive
200DMA
18.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
46.46
Neutral
STOCH
28.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEGRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.43, below the 50-day MA of 21.63, and above the 200-day MA of 18.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WEGRY.

Weir Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$11.72B14.3117.35%1.28%0.75%44.30%
76
Outperform
$11.08B30.5913.56%12.60%24.02%
73
Outperform
$10.55B26.0516.49%1.17%3.19%69.89%
67
Neutral
$10.77B31.8524.27%1.28%2.37%-6.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$12.96B50.026.22%5.52%9.03%
60
Neutral
$8.17B-28.04-6.20%0.27%-159.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WEGRY
Weir Group
20.32
4.85
31.38%
DCI
Donaldson Company
93.44
25.64
37.81%
FLS
Flowserve
82.91
32.83
65.56%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
220.89
90.82
69.82%
SPXC
SPX
222.07
81.04
57.46%
MIDD
The Middleby
160.57
0.47
0.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025